Retrospective Cohort Study Open Access
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2022. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Diabetes. Mar 15, 2022; 13(3): 240-250
Published online Mar 15, 2022. doi: 10.4239/wjd.v13.i3.240
Higher risk of type 2 diabetes in young women with polycystic ovary syndrome: A 10-year retrospective cohort study
Wan-Ting Liao, Chun-Chi Wu, Institute of Medicine, Chung-Shan Medical University, Taichung 402, Taiwan
Wan-Ting Liao, Chinese Medicine Department, Show Chwan Memorial Hospital, Changhua 500, Taiwan
Jing-Yang Huang, Research Center for Health Data Science, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung 402, Taiwan
Ming-Tsung Lee, National Center for Geriatrics and Welfare Research, National Health Research Institutes, Yunlin 632, Taiwan
Yu-Cih Yang, Clinical Trial Research Center, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung 404, Taiwan
ORCID number: Wan-Ting Liao (0000-0002-1990-729X); Jing-Yang Huang (0000-0002-0794-9388); Ming-Tsung Lee (0000-0003-3041-3239); Yu-Cih Yang (0000-0002-5725-1244); Chun‑Chi Wu (0000-0002-7753-2481).
Author contributions: Liao WT and Wu CC contributed to the conceptualization, writing-review and editing; Huang JY, Lee MT and Yang YC contributed to the methodology; Yang YC contributed to the software and formal analysis; Liao WT and Lee MT contributed to the validation; Huang JY contributed to the data curation; Liao WT contributed to the writing-original draft preparation; Wu CC contributed to the supervision and project administration; all authors reviewed the final version of the manuscript.
Supported by the Show Chwan Memorial Hospital, No. SRD-108014.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the institutional review board of China Medical University in central Taiwan (CMUH104-REC2-115).
Informed consent statement: The informed consent form is waived by the Institutional Review Board.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors declare no conflict-of-interest.
Data sharing statement: Restrictions apply to the availability of some or all data generated or analyzed during this study to preserve patient confidentiality and because they were used under license. Upon request, the corresponding author will provide details on the restrictions and conditions under which access to some data may be provided.
STROBE statement: The authors have read the STROBE Statement-checklist of items, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the STROBE Statement-checklist of items.
Open-Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Chun-Chi Wu, PhD, Associate Professor, Institute of Medicine, Chung-Shan Medical University, 110 Section 1 Jianguo North Road, Taichung 402, Taiwan. daniel@csmu.edu.tw
Received: August 12, 2021
Peer-review started: August 12, 2021
First decision: October 3, 2021
Revised: October 13, 2021
Accepted: February 19, 2022
Article in press: February 19, 2022
Published online: March 15, 2022

Abstract
BACKGROUND

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a common disorder in women of reproductive age. Over the last few decades, research studies have revealed that PCOS is strongly associated with metabolic disorders, including metabolic syndrome, obesity, insulin resistance and prediabetes. Clinical observation has shown that women with PCOS are expected to have an increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in the future.

AIM

To assess the hazard ratio (HR) of T2DM between women with/without PCOS.

METHODS

This population-based, retrospective cohort study evaluated data retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database. The subjects were women with PCOS (n = 2545) identified on the basis of diagnosis, testing, or treatment codes, and women without PCOS as controls (n = 2545). The HR of T2DM between women with or without PCOS was the main outcome measure analyzed.

RESULTS

Our study found that, during a 10-year follow-up period, the overall incidence of T2DM was 6.25 per 1000 person-years in the PCOS group compared with 1.49 in the control group. After adjustment for potential confounding variables, the overall incidence of T2DM was higher in the PCOS group vs the control group (HR = 5.13, 95%CI: 3.51-7.48, P < 0.0001). The risk of developing T2DM subsequent to PCOS decreased with increasing diagnosis age: the adjusted HR was 10.4 in the 18–24-year age group, 5.28 in the 25-29-year age group, and 4.06 in the 29-34-year age group. However, no such significant association was noted in women older than 35 years.

CONCLUSION

These findings highlight the importance of prompting a more aggressive treatment to prevent diabetes in women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, and, in contrast, the lessened importance of this type of intervention in women diagnosed with PCOS at a late reproductive age.

Key Words: Polycystic ovary syndrome, Diabetes, Incidence, Hazard ratio, Population-based cohort study

Core Tip: We aimed to evaluate the incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) over time in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) at different diagnosis ages, in comparison with non-PCOS controls. Our results showed that, among women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, the incidence of T2DM was significantly higher than that of age-matched women in the general population. However, the risk disappeared among women diagnosed with PCOS after age 35. These findings highlight the importance of prompting a more aggressive treatment to prevent diabetes among women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, and, in contrast, the lessened importance of this type of intervention in women diagnosed with PCOS at a late reproductive age.



INTRODUCTION

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a common endocrine pathology that affects 5%-15% of women of reproductive age worldwide. The prevalence estimates vary according to the different diagnostic parameters applied[1]. It is also the most common cause of endocrine-related female infertility in the United States. This syndrome was first described by American gynecologists Irving F, Stein Sr. and Michael L Leventhal in 1935, when they reported a series of patients with enlarged polycystic ovaries, hirsutism, oligo/amenorrhea, and infertility. It has been demonstrated that PCOS includes a complex of systemic symptoms in addition to the reproductive apparatus. Over the last few decades, research studies have revealed that PCOS is strongly associated with metabolic disorders, including metabolic syndrome, obesity, insulin resistance, prediabetes, and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). The prevalence of metabolic syndrome in women with PCOS was approximately 6- to 7-fold higher than that detected in the controls[2,3]. According to a prospective case–control study, 64.4% of 271 patients with PCOS were noted to be insulin-resistant after adjusted for age, race, and body mass index (BMI)[4]. Based on clamp data, both obese and lean women with PCOS were more insulin-resistant compared with their weight-matched normal counterparts. In this study, insulin resistance (IR) was present in 75% of lean women with PCOS, 62% of overweight controls, and 95% of overweight women with PCOS[5]. Insulin resistance is defined as a reduced response of target tissues, such as the skeletal muscle and adipocytes. In women with PCOS, insulin-mediated glucose uptake is decreased by 35%-40% compared with age- and weight-comparable control women[6]. Because insulin resistance is the driving factor of hyperglycemia, women with POCS are particularly at risk of developing T2DM. The estimated prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and T2DM was 31%-37% and 7.5%-10.0%, respectively, in women with PCOS in the United States[7-9]. In two prospective trials of women with PCOS conducted in the United States and Turkey, after an average follow-up period of 2-3 years, both studies revealed a higher IGT and T2DM conversion rate compared with women without PCOS[9,10]. Abundant strong evidence supports the contention that diabetes is much more prevalent in women with PCOS than it is in the general population. We noticed that, even at a young age, women with PCOS also exhibit β-cell dysfunction, IGT, and T2DM[11,12]. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the incidence of T2DM over time in women with PCOS at different diagnosis ages, in comparison with non-PCOS controls. We selected the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), which records age, gender, diagnosis codes, comorbidities, and the clinical prescriptions for each beneficiary, as the data source.

MATERIALS AND METHODS
Data source

In this population-based retrospective cohort study, we used data from individuals in the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID2000), to evaluate the outcomes. LHID2000 is a subset of the NHIRD that contains the entire original claim data of 1000000 individuals randomly sampled from the 2000 registry for beneficiaries (ID) of the NHIRD, which maintains the registration data of everyone who was a beneficiary of the National Health Insurance (NHI) program during the period of 1996-2013. There are approximately 23.75 million individuals in this registry. The complete registration and claim data of these 1000000 individuals collected by the NHI program constitute the LHID2000. There was no significant difference in the gender distribution (χ2 = 1.74, df = 1, P value = 0.187) between the patients in the LHID2000 and those in the original NHIRD[13]. The data recorded in the LHID2000 include demographic information; prescription details; clinical events; diagnosis codes in accordance with the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) system; and medical examinations and managements for all admitted patients and outpatients. In this study, we used LHID2000 from 1997 to 2010 as the research database, and followed to December 2013. This study was approved by the institutional review board of China Medical University in central Taiwan (CMUH104-REC2-115).

Study population and outcome assessment

In this retrospective cohort study, we aimed to compare women with PCOS with those without PCOS. We selected the PCOS cohort as follows: (1) Women older than 18 years of age and diagnosed with polycystic ovarian morphology; (2) Clinical visit for oligomenorrhea and/or anovulation problems, or hyperandrogenism problems at least twice a year; and (3) Women who underwent gynecological ultrasonography or blood testing for testosterone or 17-hydroxyprogesterone levels. Women were eligible to participate when all three conditions were met. Patients with the diagnoses of type 1 diabetes, T2DM, IGT, gestational diabetes, hyperinsulinism, Cushing’s syndrome, and congenital adrenal hyperplasia before the date of initial PCOS diagnosis and those who were aged less than 18 years were excluded from the cohort. According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 2545 people were defined as the PCOS group in this study (Figure 1). The factors associated with PCOS that are considered as potential confounding variables include lipid metabolism disorders, coronary artery disease, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, cerebrovascular accident, female infertility, obesity, chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis, major depression, and a history of anxiety before baseline. Prescriptions during follow-up for menstrual cycle regulation, ovulation induction, anti-androgen, and metformin were also considered potential confounding variables. The index date for the cohort group was assigned as the first time of recording of the ICD-9-CM code. The end point was set on the date of the new diagnosis of T2DM (more than three times at outpatient department or once in admission), the date of withdrawal from the NHI program, or the end of 2013. For the control group, women without PCOS were randomly selected and 1:1 frequency matched the cohort group by age, index date, and comorbidities. The comorbidities controlled in this study were lipid metabolism disorders, hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, cerebrovascular accident, infertility, obesity, Hashimoto’s disease, major depression, and anxiety.

Figure 1
Figure 1 Flow diagram of the recruitment of subjects from the 1 million samples randomly selected from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Research Database from 1997 to 2010. LHID2000: Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000; PCOS: Polycystic ovary syndrome.
Statistical analysis

The baseline characteristics of women with PCOS and controls are described by numbers and percentages. An intergroup comparison was performed using the chi-squared and t-test for categorical variables and continuous variables, respectively. The incidence rates of T2DM were calculated in person-years. We used univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models to estimate and adjust the crude hazard ratio (HR). After adjustment for key covariates (age, comorbidity), we calculated the adjusted HR together with 95%CIs with statistical significance set at P < 0.05. Survival curves were estimated for each group, considered separately using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared statistically using the log-rank test. The Kaplan–Meier curves of the cumulative incidence of T2DM between the PCOS group and the control group were performed to estimate the cumulative probability of T2DM between two groups. All analyses were performed using the SAS software (version 9.4 for windows; SAS Institute, Cary, NC, United States).

The study was reviewed by our expert biostatistician Dr. Jing-Yang Huang.

RESULTS

The first possible date for cohort entry (the study start date) was January 1, 1997, and patients could enter the cohort until December 31, 2010. The end of the follow-up time is December 2013. During the study period, we identified 2545 women with PCOS. These women were frequency matched at 1:1 to 2545 individuals in the non-POCS control group. The PCOS group and the control group were both followed for a mean period of 10 years, and the standard deviation was 3.14 vs 3.15 years (Table 1). In the baseline characteristic of the patients, all enrollees are stratified by age. The highest proportion of patients were into the 18-24-year age group (58.8%), followed by the 25-29-year age group (22.9%). The proportion of women over 30 years of age was only 18.3%. As expected, the age and comorbidity distributions of these two groups were similar because the groups were 1:1 propensity-score matched. Their mean age was 25 years, and there was no difference in the age stratification between the two groups. Women with PCOS were more likely to receive a prescription of metformin, oral contraceptive pills (OCPs), clomiphene citrate, and spironolactone.

Table 1 Baseline patient characteristics.
PCOS

Yes (n = 2545)
No (n = 2545)
P value
n
%
n
%

Age, yr> 0.99
18-24149758.8 149758.8
25-2958322.9 58322.9
30-3428911.4 28911.4
35-391174.60 1174.60
40-44451.77 451.77
≥ 45140.55 140.55
mean ± SD25.1 ± 5.8125.2 ± 5.910.63
Comorbidity
Disorders of lipid metabolism381.49381.49> 0.99
Cardiovascular disease30.1280.310.13
Hypertension271.06 271.06 > 0.99
Chronic kidney disease20.08 40.16 0.41
Cerebrovascular accident70.28 80.310.80
Infertility1515.93 1515.93> 0.99
Obesity271.06 271.06 > 0.99
Hashimoto’s disease50.20 40.160.74
Major depression180.71 271.060.18
Anxiety1696.64 1696.64> 0.99
Medication (during follow-up period)
Metformin2389.35 180.71< 0.0001
OCPs44317.4 722.83< 0.0001
Clomiphene138454.4 30211.9< 0.0001
Spironolactone1114.36 321.26< 0.0001

In the PCOS group, the overall incidence of T2DM was 6.25 per 1000 person-years compared with 1.49 in the control group (Table 2). After adjustment for potential confounding variables (age, all comorbidities, and the medications listed in Table 1), the incidence of T2DM was higher in the PCOS group compared with the control group (HR = 5.13, 95%CI: 3.51-7.48, P < 0.0001). Moreover, the PCOS group showed a higher incidence of T2DM in the 18-24-year age group (HR = 10.4, 95%CI: 5.04-21.4, P < 0.0001). The incidence of T2DM decreased with the increasing diagnosis age. However, no such significant association was noted in women older than 35 years. All participants were stratified according to the presence or absence of comorbidities or of medication. Among women without comorbidities and no medication, the PCOS group exhibited a higher incidence of T2DM compared with the control group (non-comorbidity stratifications: adjusted HR = 7.62, 95%CI: 4.68-12.4; non-metformin stratifications: adjusted HR = 5.41, 95%CI: 3.67-7.98; non-OCP stratifications: adjusted HR = 5.18, 95%CI: 3.54-7.58; non-clomiphene stratifications: adjusted HR = 5.93, 95%CI: 3.94-8.92; non-spironolactone stratifications: adjusted HR = 5.07, 95%CI: 3.47-7.41). The Kaplan–Meier curves present the differences in the cumulative incidence of T2DM between the PCOS group and the control group (Figure 2). The cumulative incidence of T2DM in the PCOS group (dashed line) was significantly higher than that observed in the control group (solid line) (log-rank test, P < 0.001).

Figure 2
Figure 2 Kaplan–Meier curves for the cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes of the polycystic ovary syndrome and control groups. PCOS: Polycystic ovary syndrome.
Table 2 Incidence rate and hazard ratio of type 2 diabetes between two groups stratified by gender, age, and comorbidity.
PCOS

No
Yes
Crude
Adjusted

Event
PY
IR
Event
PY
IR
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
Overall38254831.49 159254606.254.19 (2.94, 5.97)< 0.00015.13 (3.51, 7.48)< 0.0001
Age
18-249154530.58 74153014.84 8.33 (4.17, 16.6)< 0.000110.4 (5.04, 21.4)< 0.0001
25-29956301.60 4057666.94 4.32 (2.10, 8.90)< 0.00015.28 (2.42, 11.5)< 0.0001
30-34927533.27 2727349.88 3.01 (1.42, 6.40)0.0044.06 (1.73, 9.53)0.001
35-39611175.37 1111349.70 1.81 (0.67, 4.90)0.242.14 (0.72, 6.35)0.17
40-44539912.53 539712.59 1.03 (0.30, 3.55)0.971.68 (0.38, 7.41)0.50
≥ 4501320.00 212815.63
Comorbidity1
Yes1738644.40 3238358.34 1.90 (1.06, 3.43)0.032.14 (1.14, 3.99)0.02
No21216200.97 127216255.87 6.05 (3.81, 9.60)< 0.00017.62 (4.68, 12.4)< 0.0001
Medication
Metformin
Yes219110.47 2123259.03 0.88 (0.21, 3.75)0.860.54 (0.1, 2.78)0.46
No36252921.42 138231355.96 4.19 (2.91, 6.05)< 0.00015.41 (3.67, 7.98)< 0.0001
OCPs
Yes07890.00 1745593.73
No38246951.54 142209016.79 4.42 (3.09, 6.32)< 0.00015.18 (3.54, 7.58)< 0.0001
Clomiphene
Yes533491.49 72144704.98 3.41 (1.38, 8.43)0.0083.26 (1.3, 8.21)0.01
No33221351.49 87109907.92 5.33 (3.57, 7.95)< 0.00015.93 (3.94, 8.92)< 0.0001
Spironolactone
Yes03490.00 412113.30
No38251351.51 155242496.39 4.23 (2.97, 6.04)< 0.00015.07 (3.47, 7.41)< 0.0001
DISCUSSION

To our knowledge, this was the first attempt to analyze large-scale data to evaluate the relationship between women with PCOS and the development of T2DM in an East-Asian cohort. Moreover, this was the only study that stratified the cohorts into subgroups based on the age at diagnosis.

Our study found that, during a 10-year follow-up period, women with PCOS were associated with 5-fold higher risk of developing T2DM compared with women without PCOS. In past studies, the incidence of T2DM in women with PCOS presented with substantial clinical heterogeneity (ranging from 2- to 7-fold). There may be several explanations for these marked differences. First, different ethnic backgrounds may be responsible for the higher prevalence of T2DM. A small-size prospective trial carried out in the eastern Mediterranean region showed that 11.5% of women with PCOS and normal glucose tolerance (NGT) at the baseline converted to IGT with an annualized incidence rate of 4.5%. Furthermore, the annualized incidence rate from IGT converted to T2DM was 10.4%. In comparison, another similar study conducted in the United States reported that, among women with PCOS, the annualized conversion risk was 16% from NGT to IGT, and 2% from IGT to T2DM[9,10]. A nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study performed in Denmark found that the HR for women with PCOS who developed T2DM was 3.5 (95%CI: 3.2-3.8) when gestational diabetes mellitus was excluded. The results of the Danish study were slightly lower than our current findings (HR = 5.13, 95%CI: 3.51-7.48)[13]. The different ethnic backgrounds may be responsible for the higher prevalence of T2DM detected in Taiwan. A meta-analysis of multiple quality studies calculated an increased prevalence of IGT and T2DM among women with PCOS and different ethnicities (OR for IGT, Asia = 5.22, Americas = 4.4, Europe = 2.59)[14]. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have become a feasible option for studying the genetic background of PCOS, thus providing the ability of surveying a large number of genomes at once[15]. Two GWASs targeting PCOS have been performed in China; they identified 11 variants associated with PCOS risk in Han Chinese women who were diagnosed with PCOS (i.e., who fulfilled all three Rotterdam criteria)[16,17]. However, not all loci for PCOS have been replicated in European women, which may speak to the variation in susceptible single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) among distinct racial and ethnic groups[18]. Some researchers believe that different combinations of SNPs may underlie the severity of the PCOS phenotypes, with Americans and Asians being more often characterized by the metabolic phenotype, and Europeans and Middle-Eastern women having a higher prevalence of hyperandrogenic phenotype[19]. Therefore, we assume that ethnicity may affect the transition from PCOS to diabetes[14].

Second, it may be related to the age at diagnosis of PCOS. This was also the most important finding of our study. There are indications that age may affect the incidence rate of conversion from PCOS to T2DM. According to a prospective study with a follow-up of 18 years performed in the United States, 53 women fulfilled the criteria for PCOS at ages 20-32 (average, 26 years). Compared with those without PCOS, women with persistent PCOS had a 7-fold odds of developing diabetes[20]. Another 10-year follow-up study performed in China among women with PCOS aged 30-39 years reported that the age-standardized incidence rate of T2DM was approximately 3-fold compared with women without PCOS[21]. It is well established that the PCOS phenotype changes with aging, the improvement of phenotype, and oligo-ovulation, as indicated by the decrease in serum androgen levels (e.g., testosterone, free androgen index, calculated free testosterone, androstenedione, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate) and increase in the number of regular menstrual cycles[22-25]. In healthy women, the positive correlation between age and worsening glucose tolerance is obvious after adjusting for BMI[26]. Interestingly, not only ovarian dysfunction and hyperandrogenism, but also insulin resistance, ameliorate during aging in women with PCOS[20]. According to a cross-sectional study, homeostasis model assessment (HOMA)-IR was negatively associated with age in women with PCOS as well as in different BMI subgroups, namely lean, normal-weight, and overweight subjects[27]. The observations that BMI and androgens are positively associated with HOMA-IR and that androgens decline with time suggest that these women achieved a better metabolic profile at their late reproductive ages. In a long-term prospective cohort study with a follow-up of more than 10 years, Kazemi Jaliseh et al[28] found that the adjusted HR for T2DM in women with PCOS aged ≤ 40 years was 4.9. In contrast, there was no difference between the two groups regarding the incidence rates of T2DM after the age of 40 years. The study included 178 women with PCOS and 1524 women without PCOS, and all PCOS cases were defined using the National Institutes of Health 1990 criteria, which carry the strongest clinical significance. The hazard differences between women with PCOS and those in the general population disappeared in their late reproductive years, which is in line with the results of the current study. Women who were diagnosed with PCOS before the age of 25 were 10 times more likely to develop T2DM compared with women without PCOS after adjusting for variance. The risk of developing T2DM subsequent to PCOS decreased with increasing diagnosis age: the adjusted HR was 10.4 in the 18-24-year age group, 5.28 in the 25-29-year age group, and 4.06 in the 29-34-year age group. Although the risk decreased with increasing age, it remained higher compared with that detected in women without PCOS. After age 35, the association between PCOS and T2DM was not statistically significant. Furthermore, among women without comorbidities and taking no medications, the incidence of T2DM was higher in the PCOS group than that in the control group. Several reasons for this result have been identified. First, women with PCOS who had no comorbidities showed a higher incidence of T2DM than the overall average, which means that the health problems caused by PCOS may be higher than previously recognized. Second, women without comorbidities and taking no medications may be relatively younger, which corroborates the previous assumption that women who are diagnosed with PCOS at a young age are more likely to develop T2DM. However, the sample size in the stratification of no medication is notably very small and may not provide reliable estimates and conclusive results.

The strength of our study consisted in the fact that NHIRD is one of the largest and most comprehensive nationwide population reimbursement databases in the world, as it covers almost 23 million residents in Taiwan with universal coverage. It provides a big sample size and complete records of medical visits and treatment, which are conducive to a longitudinal study design and age stratification. Furthermore, research conducted using NHIRD can avoid a selection bias and the possibility of recall bias in questionnaire assessments.

The limitation of this study was that certain prognostic factors that are associated with the incidence of T2DM are not available through the NHIRD; namely, BMI, waist-hip ratio, lifestyle, and the results of blood tests (androgen and plasma glucose levels). Thus, we were unable to rule out the possibility that the differences in HR detected between the two groups stemmed from these factors. Moreover, NHI covers 96%-99% of Taiwan’s population and 93% of hospitals and clinics are NHI-contracted. It subsidizes most medical treatments at a relatively low cost. However, there is still a possibility that patients reviewed in this study might have consulted other doctors before entering the NHI system. In addition, the sample size of the groups of women diagnosed with PCOS after the age of 35 years was relatively small, which may have led to imprecise estimates and statistical significance. Finally, the study population was homogeneous because all women were Asian. Therefore, additional research is required to substantiate this association among non-Asian women as well.

CONCLUSION

The data supplied here were from a relatively large population, spanning a long period. Our results showed that, among women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, the incidence of T2DM was significantly higher than that of age-matched women in the general population. However, the risk disappeared among women diagnosed with PCOS after age 35. These findings highlight the importance of prompting a more aggressive treatment to prevent diabetes among women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, and in contrast, the lessened importance of this type of intervention in women diagnosed with PCOS at a late reproductive age.

ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS
Research background

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the most common endocrinopathy in women of reproductive age. Research over the last few decades has revealed that PCOS is strongly associated with metabolic disorders. Even at a young age, women with PCOS also exhibit β-cell dysfunction, impaired glucose tolerance, and type 2 diabetes (T2DM).

Research motivation

Although current evidence supports the contention that diabetes is much more prevalent in women with PCOS than it is in the general population. The majority of longitudinal studies regarding the incidence of T2DM in women with PCOS are from non-Asian countries.

Research objectives

We aimed to evaluate the incidence of T2DM over time in women with PCOS at different diagnosis ages, in comparison with non-PCOS controls.

Research methods

The data retrieved from the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID2000). LHID2000 is a subset of the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) that contains the entire original claim data of 1000000 individuals randomly sampled from the 2000 registry for beneficiaries (ID) of the NHIRD, which maintains the registration data of everyone who was a beneficiary of the National Health Insurance program.

Research results

After adjustment for potential confounding variables (age, comorbidities and medications), the overall incidence of T2DM was higher in the PCOS group compared with the control group (HR = 5.13, 95%CI: 3.51-7.48, P < 0.0001). The risk of developing T2DM subsequent to PCOS decreased with increasing diagnosis age: the adjusted HR was 10.4 in the 18-24-year age group, 5.28 in the 25-29-year age group, and 4.06 in the 29-34-year age group. After age 35, the association between PCOS and T2DM was not statistically significant.

Research conclusions

The risk of developing T2DM subsequent to PCOS decreased with increasing diagnosis age. No such significant association was noted in women older than 35 years.

Research perspectives

These findings highlight the importance of prompting a more aggressive treatment to prevent diabetes among women diagnosed with PCOS at a young age, and, in contrast, the lessened importance of this type of intervention in women diagnosed with PCOS at a late reproductive age.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This study was based in part on data from the National Health Insurance Research Database, provided by the National Health Insurance Administration, Ministry of Health and Welfare and managed by National Health Research Institutes. The interpretation and conclusions contained herein do not represent those of the National Health Insurance Administration, Ministry of Health and Welfare, or National Health Research Institutes.

Footnotes

Provenance and peer review: Unsolicited article; Externally peer reviewed.

Peer-review model: Single blind

Specialty type: Endocrinology and metabolism

Country/Territory of origin: Taiwan

Peer-review report’s scientific quality classification

Grade A (Excellent): 0

Grade B (Very good): B, B

Grade C (Good): 0

Grade D (Fair): 0

Grade E (Poor): 0

P-Reviewer: Nong X, Popova PV S-Editor: Zhang H L-Editor: A P-Editor: Zhang H

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