Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2019.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Feb 15, 2019; 11(2): 102-116
Published online Feb 15, 2019. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v11.i2.102
Table 1 European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer criteria[24]
EUROPAC criteria
Criterion 1≥ 2 first-degree relatives with pancreatic cancer
Criterion 2≥ 3 relatives with pancreatic cancer
Criterion 3Possible associated cancer syndrome (defined as sub-criteria below) in addition to the case of pancreatic cancer being studied
Criterion 3.a: BRCA1/2Personal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of breast/ovarian cancer
Criterion 3.b: Familial Atypical Multiple Mole Melanoma (FAMMM) syndromePersonal/family history of melanoma in ≥ 1 first/second degree relative AND a high total body naevi count (often > 50)
Criterion 3.c: Lynch syndromePersonal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of a Lynch syndrome-associated cancer (such as colorectal, endometrial, small bowel, renal)
Criterion 3.d: Peutz-Jeghers syndromeOral/mucous membrane pigmentation +/- a personal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of gastrointestinal cancers in first/second degree relatives
Table 2 Patient population baseline demographics
ParameterFrequencyRelative percentage (%)
Patient demographic
GenderMale20651.5
Female19448.5
AgeMedian67.7 yr
Range29.9-94.2
Comorbidity grade (according to Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27)[34]None14937.32
Mild164412
Moderate60152
Severe276.82
Pathological confirmation of malignancyYes35588.82
No14511.32
StageLocalised (I-II)41.0
Locally advanced (III)20250.5
Metastatic (IV)19448.5
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status at time of PDAC diagnosis04310.82
119849.52
29824.52
35814.52
430.82
Treatment characteristics
Treatment intent at time of referral3Curative6215.5
Palliative33884.5
Curative management
Patient received curative surgery?Yes6516.3
Patient received adjuvant chemotherapy after curative surgeryYes4265.6
No2234.4
Unknown1n/a
Type of adjuvant chemotherapy5-fluorouracil12.42
Capecitabine1842.92
Gemcitabine2354.82
Palliative management
Patient received palliative chemotherapyYes23057.5
No17042.5
Type of palliative chemotherapyFOLFIRINOX3716.1
Gemcitabine/Capecitabine6026.1
Gemcitabine/Cisplatin52.2
Gemcitabine NabPaclitaxel2711.7
Gemcitabine monotherapy9440.9
Other473.0
Table 3 Non-inheritable risk factors for pancreas cancer in patients included in study
Non-heritable risk factorsFrequencyRelative percentage (%)
Smoking
Smoker (active or ex-smoker)Yes18755.8
No14844.2
Unknown65n/a
Active smokerYes7121.2
No26478.8
Unknown65n/a
Alcohol
Alcohol consumptionYes23374.9
No7825.1
Unknown89n/a
“Excess” consumptionYes3314.2
No20085.8
Pancreatitis
Previous pancreatitisYes112.8
No38697.2
Unknown3n/a
Diagnosed > 2 yr before PDACYes654.6
No545.5
IPMN
Past medical history of IPMNYes30.8
No39499.2
Unknown3n/a
Diabetes
Type 2 diabetes mellitusYes10325.9
No29574.1
Unknown2n/a
Diagnosed > 2 yr before PDACYes3957.4
No2942.7
Unknown35n/a
Type 1 diabetes mellitusYes51.3
No39398.7
Unknown2n/a
Table 4 Entire patient population family history of malignancy and whether European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer referral criteria were met
Risk FactorFrequencyRelative percentage (%)
Any personal1/family history of cancerYes20250.5
No13233.0
Unknown6616.5
Any personal1 or family history of cancer meeting EUROPAC[24] criteriaYes11328.3
No22155.2
Unknown6616.5
Criteria metCriterion 1 (≥ 2 first-degree relatives with pancreatic cancer)108.8
Criterion 3.a (Personal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of breast/ovarian cancer)6053.1
Criterion 3.b [Personal/family history of melanoma in ≥ 1 first/second degree relative AND a high total body naevi count (often > 50)]21.8
Criterion 3.c [Personal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of a Lynch syndrome-associated cancer (such as colorectal, endometrial, small bowel, renal)]2925.7
Criterion 3.d (Oral/mucous membrane pigmentation +/- a personal/family history (≥ 1 first/second-degree relatives) of gastrointestinal cancers in first/second degree relatives)1210.6
Table 5 Univariate analysis exploring demographic characteristics as factors predictive of meeting European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer criteria
Patients who did not meet criteria for referral (n = 221)
Patients who did meet criteria for referral (n = 113)
Univariate analysis
FrequencyRelative percentageFrequencyRelative percentageP value
Demographic characteristics
GenderMale12054.34842.50.0041
Female10145.76557.5
Age (yr)Mean (95%CI)66.3 (64.9-67.7)67.2 (65.4-68.9)0.4726
Comorbidity grade (ACE-27)[34]None7533.94539.80.040
Mild9743.93934.5
Moderate2812.72421.2
Severe219.544.4
Pathological confirmation of malignancyYes19487.810290.30.499
No2712.2119.7
StageLocalised41.8000.015
Locally advanced12054.34640.7
Metastatic9743.96759.3
ECOG performance status0219.451412.40.534
110748.45851.3
26027.22522.1
33214.51412.4
410.521.8
Treatment characteristics
Treatment intentCurative3817.297.90.022
Palliative18382.810492.0
Curative surgeryYes3817.21311.50.171
No18382.810088.5
Adjuvant chemotherapyYes2310.497.90.465
No19789.610492.0
Palliative chemotherapyYes12556.66557.50.867
No9643.44842.5
Table 6 Univariate analysis exploring risk-factors predictive of meeting European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer[24] criteria
Patients who did not meet criteria for referral (n = 194)
Patients who did meet criteria for referral (n = 98)
Univariate analysis
FrequencyRelative percentageFrequencyRelative percentageP value
Personal past medical history
Smoker (active or ex-smoker)Yes10855.75556.10.941
No8644.34343.9
Active smokerYes4523.21616.30.173
No14976.88283.7
Alcohol consumptionYes13170.87583.30.025
No5429.21516.7
“Excess” alcohol consumptionYes2412.955.60.060
No16187.08594.4
Previous pancreatitisYes73.210.90.195
No21396.811299.1
Pancreatitis diagnosed > 2 yr before PDACYes52.3000.3493
No215997.7113100
Past medical history of IPMNYes0000n/a
No220100113100
Type 2 diabetes mellitusYes6127.72723.90.453
No15672.38676.1
Type 2 diabetes mellitus diagnosed > 2 yr before PDACYes2211.01110.60.910
No17889.09389.4
Type 1 diabetes mellitusYes20.932.70.215
No21899.111097.4
Family past medical history
Any family history of cancerYes9342.110996.5< 0.0001
No12857.943.5
Table 7 Multivariable logistic regression analysis exploring factors predictive of meeting European Registry of Hereditary Pancreatitis and Familial Pancreatic Cancer criteria
CharacteristicMultivariable analysis (logistic regression)
OR(95%CI)P value
Gender: Female (Ref) vs male0.7 (0.4-1.2)0.211
Comorbidity scale: None/mild (Ref) vs moderate/severe1.1 (0.5-2.2)0.787
Stage: Localised/locally advanced (Ref) vs metastatic1.5 (0.8-2.9)0.207
Treatment intent: Curative (Ref) vs metastatic2.0 (0.8-5.4)0.158
History alcohol consumption: No (Ref) vs yes2.4 (1.1-5.1)0.022
Family history of any malignancy: No (Ref) vs yes25.3 (8.8-72.6)< 0.001