Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2015.
World J Gastroenterol. Dec 14, 2015; 21(46): 13132-13139
Published online Dec 14, 2015. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i46.13132
Table 1 Population characteristics and bivariate association with fibrosis
CharacteristicMedian (inter-quartile range)Bivariate analysis1 (P value)
Age46 (38, 52)< 0.0001
APRI score0.63 (0.40, 1.11)< 0.0001
Anti-schistosoma antibody128 (0, 512)0.53
HCV RNA titer (Log10)5.60 (4.98, 6.17)0.38
AST42 (31, 63)< 0.0001
Platelet (× 103)192 (147, 232)< 0.0001
Fibrosis, n (%)NA
No26 (7.1)-
Stage I112 (30.4)-
Stage II138 (37.5)-
Stage III75 (20.4)-
Stage IV17 (4.6)-
Grade, n (%)< 0.00012
02 (0.54)-
I101 (27.4)-
II185 (50.1)-
III74 (20.1)-
IV7 (1.90)-
Table 2 Odds ratio estimates and Wald confidence intervals of multinomial regression predicting fibrosis status
PredictorOutcome:fibrosisUnitOR95%CIP value
APRI_SCORESevere/cirrhosis12.411.12-5.180.025
APRI_SCOREMild/moderate10.650.31-1.400.275
AGESevere/cirrhosis51.831.37-2.46< 0.0001
AGEMild/moderate51.461.14-1.880.003
Grade moderate/severe vs no/mildSevere/cirrhosisNA11.632.41-56.120.002
Grade moderate/severe vs no/mildMild/moderateNA1.290.51-3.280.587
Table 3 Aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score AUC, cutoff points and accuracy in determining fibrosis
CharacteristicAUCCutoff point1SensitivitySpecificity
No fibrosis63%0.4556%69%
Significant fibrosis73%0.6463%76%
Severe fibrosis81%1.0664%86%
Cirrhosis89%1.1188%79%
Table 4 Comparison of AUC of models that include aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score only, anti-schistosomiasis only or aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score plus anti-schistosomiasis in determining fibrosis
CharacteristicAUC
Model 11Model 22Model 33
No fibrosis63%54%60%
Significant fibrosis73%55%73%
Severe fibrosis81%54%81%
Cirrhosis89%52%89%