Brief Article
Copyright ©2011 Baishideng Publishing Group Co., Limited. All rights reserved.
World J Gastroenterol. Jul 28, 2011; 17(28): 3347-3352
Published online Jul 28, 2011. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v17.i28.3347
Risk factors for predicting early variceal rebleeding after endoscopic variceal ligation
Liang Xu, Feng Ji, Qin-Wei Xu, Mie-Qing Zhang
Liang Xu, Feng Ji, Qin-Wei Xu, Mie-Qing Zhang, Department of Gastroenterology, First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Road, Hangzhou 310003, Zhejiang Province, China
Author contributions: Xu L wrote the manuscript and collected some of the data in addition to performing statistical analysis; Ji F designed the study; Xu QW co-wrote the manuscript; Zhang MQ collected most of the data.
Correspondence to: Dr. Feng Ji, Department of Gastroenterology, First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Road, Hangzhou 310003, China. jifeng1126@sina.com
Telephone: +86-571-87236568 Fax: +86-571-87236611
Received: October 19, 2010
Revised: February 26, 2011
Accepted: March 5, 2011
Published online: July 28, 2011
Abstract

AIM: To analyze the clinical risk factors for early variceal rebleeding after endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL).

METHODS: 342 cirrhotic patients with esophageal varices who received elective EVL to prevent bleeding or rebleeding at our endoscopy center between January 2005 and July 2010. were included in this study. The early rebleeding cases after EVL were confirmed by clinical signs or endoscopy. A case-control study was performed comparing the patients presenting with early rebleeding with those without this complication.

RESULTS: The incidence of early rebleeding after EVL was 7.60%, and the morbidity of rebleeding was 26.9%. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that four variables were independent risk factors for early rebleeding: moderate to excessive ascites [odds ratio (OR) 62.83, 95% CI: 9.39-420.56, P < 0.001], the number of bands placed (OR 17.36, 95% CI: 4.00-75.34, P < 0.001), the extent of varices (OR 15.41, 95% CI: 2.84-83.52, P = 0.002) and prothrombin time (PT) > 18 s (OR 11.35, 95% CI: 1.93-66.70, P = 0.007).

CONCLUSION: The early rebleeding rate after EVL is mainly affected by the volume of ascites, number of rubber bands used to ligate, severity of varices and prolonged PT. Effective measures for prevention and treatment should be adopted before and after EVL.

Keywords: Esophageal variceal bleeding, Endoscopic variceal ligation, Loop ligature, Early rebleeding, Risk factor