Review
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World J Nephrol. Aug 6, 2014; 3(3): 31-49
Published online Aug 6, 2014. doi: 10.5527/wjn.v3.i3.31
Chronic kidney disease prediction is an inexact science: The concept of “progressors” and “nonprogressors”
Macaulay Amechi Chukwukadibia Onuigbo, Nneoma Agbasi
Macaulay Amechi Chukwukadibia Onuigbo, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN 55905, United States
Macaulay Amechi Chukwukadibia Onuigbo, Department of Nephrology, Mayo Clinic Health System, Eau Claire, WI 54702, United States
Nneoma Agbasi, North East London NHS Foundation Trust, Ilford IG3 8XJ, United Kingdom
Author contributions: Onuigbo MAC contributed to conception, design, acquisition of data, data analysis, interpretation of data, drafting the article and final approval of manuscript; Agbasi N contributed to critically revise for important intellectual content, final approval of manuscript.
Correspondence to: Macaulay Amechi Chukwukadibia Onuigbo, MD, MSc, FWACP, FASN, MBA, Department of Nephrology, Mayo Clinic Health System, 1221 Whipple Street, Eau Claire, WI 54702, Unites States. onuigbo.macaulay@mayo.edu
Telephone: +1-715-8383891 Fax: +1-715-8381946
Received: April 13, 2014
Revised: June 13, 2014
Accepted: July 25, 2014
Published online: August 6, 2014
Core Tip

Core tip: In 2002, the National Kidney Foundation established a novel chronic kidney disease (CKD) staging paradigm. In 2012, the authoritative United States Preventative Task Force questioned the validity of asymptomatic CKD screening. The American Society of Nephrology and the American College of Physicians have opposite recommendations regarding this controversy. We examined the evidence-base and limitations of CKD staging. Furthermore, we show clinical evidence of pitfalls of the current CKD staging model and the failings of current CKD prediction models. We called for more research into CKD to end stage renal disease translations including the impact of acute kidney injury on this continuum. CKD care and prognostication must be individualized.