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Ferrigno I, Verzellesi L, Ottone M, Bonacini M, Rossi A, Besutti G, Bonelli E, Colla R, Facciolongo N, Teopompi E, Massari M, Mancuso P, Ferrari AM, Pattacini P, Trojani V, Bertolini M, Botti A, Zerbini A, Giorgi Rossi P, Iori M, Salvarani C, Croci S. CCL18, CHI3L1, ANG2, IL-6 systemic levels are associated with the extent of lung damage and radiomic features in SARS-CoV-2 infection. Inflamm Res 2024:10.1007/s00011-024-01852-1. [PMID: 38308760 DOI: 10.1007/s00011-024-01852-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Revised: 01/17/2024] [Accepted: 01/21/2024] [Indexed: 02/05/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE AND DESIGN We aimed to identify cytokines whose concentrations are related to lung damage, radiomic features, and clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. MATERIAL OR SUBJECTS Two hundred twenty-six patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection and chest computed tomography (CT) images were enrolled. METHODS CCL18, CHI3L1/YKL-40, GAL3, ANG2, IP-10, IL-10, TNFα, IL-6, soluble gp130, soluble IL-6R were quantified in plasma samples using Luminex assays. The Mann-Whitney U test, the Kruskal-Wallis test, correlation and regression analyses were performed. Mediation analyses were used to investigate the possible causal relationships between cytokines, lung damage, and outcomes. AVIEW lung cancer screening software, pyradiomics, and XGBoost classifier were used for radiomic feature analyses. RESULTS CCL18, CHI3L1, and ANG2 systemic levels mainly reflected the extent of lung injury. Increased levels of every cytokine, but particularly of IL-6, were associated with the three outcomes: hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, and death. Soluble IL-6R showed a slight protective effect on death. The effect of age on COVID-19 outcomes was partially mediated by cytokine levels, while CT scores considerably mediated the effect of cytokine levels on outcomes. Radiomic-feature-based models confirmed the association between lung imaging characteristics and CCL18 and CHI3L1. CONCLUSION Data suggest a causal link between cytokines (risk factor), lung damage (mediator), and COVID-19 outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ilaria Ferrigno
- Unit of Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- PhD Program in Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Laura Verzellesi
- Unit of Medical Physics, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marta Ottone
- Unit of Epidemiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Martina Bonacini
- Unit of Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Alessandro Rossi
- Unit of Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giulia Besutti
- Unit of Radiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences With Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Unit of Radiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Rossana Colla
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Nicola Facciolongo
- Unit of Respiratory Diseases, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Elisabetta Teopompi
- Multidisciplinary Internal Medicine Unit, Guastalla Hospital, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Unit of Infectious Diseases, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pamela Mancuso
- Unit of Epidemiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Anna Maria Ferrari
- Department of Emergency, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Pattacini
- Unit of Radiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Valeria Trojani
- Unit of Medical Physics, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Bertolini
- Unit of Medical Physics, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Andrea Botti
- Unit of Medical Physics, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Alessandro Zerbini
- Unit of Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Paolo Giorgi Rossi
- Unit of Epidemiology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Mauro Iori
- Unit of Medical Physics, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Carlo Salvarani
- Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences With Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
- Unit of Rheumatology, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Stefania Croci
- Unit of Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
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Xu J, Zhang W, Cai Y, Lin J, Yan C, Bai M, Cao Y, Ke S, Liu Y. Nomogram-based prediction model for survival of COVID-19 patients: A clinical study. Heliyon 2023; 9:e20137. [PMID: 37809383 PMCID: PMC10559916 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20137] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Revised: 09/07/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 10/10/2023] Open
Abstract
The study aim to construct an effective model for predicting the survival period of COVID-19 patients. METHODS Clinical data of 386 COVID-19 patients were collected from December 2022 to January 2023. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify prognostic factors, and a nomogram was constructed. Nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis, receiver operating characteristic curve, consistency index (c-index), and calibration curve. RESULTS 86 patients (22.3%) died. A new nomogram for predicting the survival was established based on age, resting oxygen saturation, Blood urea nitrogen (BUN), c-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR), and pneumonia visual score. The decision curve indicated high clinical applicability. The nomogram c-indexes in the training and validation cohorts were 0.846 and 0.81, respectively. The area under the curves (AUCs) for the 15-day and 30-day survival probabilities were 0.906 and 0.869 in the training cohort, and 0.851 and 0.843 in the validation cohort. The calibration curves demonstrated consistency between predicted and actual survival probabilities. CONCLUSIONS Our nomogram has the capacity to assist clinical practitioners in estimating the survival rate of COVID-19 patients, thereby facilitating more optimal management strategies and therapeutic interventions with substantial clinical applicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinxin Xu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Wenshan Zhang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhangzhou Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Zhangzhou, China
| | - Yingjie Cai
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Jingping Lin
- Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Chun Yan
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Meirong Bai
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Yunpeng Cao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Sunkui Ke
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Yali Liu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
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Chest computed tomography of suspected COVID-19 pneumonia in the Emergency Department: comparative analysis between patients with different vaccination status. Pol J Radiol 2023; 88:e80-e88. [PMID: 36910888 PMCID: PMC9995244 DOI: 10.5114/pjr.2023.125010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2022] [Accepted: 10/25/2022] [Indexed: 03/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose To identify differences in chest computed tomography (CT) of the symptomatic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) population according to the patients' severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination status (non-vaccinated, vaccinated with incomplete or complete vaccination cycle). Material and methods CT examinations performed in the Emergency Department (ED) in May-November 2021 for suspected COVID-19 pneumonia with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test were retrospectively included. Personal data were compared for vaccination status. One 13-year experienced radiologist and two 4th-year radiology residents independently evaluated chest CT scans according to CO-RADS and ACR COVID classifications. In possible COVID-19 pneumonia cases, defined as CO-RADS 3 to 5 (ACR indeterminate and typical) by each reader, high involvement CT score (≥ 25%) and CT patterns (presence of ground glass opacities, consolidations, crazy paving areas) were compared for vaccination status. Results 184 patients with known vaccination status were included in the analysis: 111 non-vaccinated (60%) for SARS-CoV-2 infection, 21 (11%) with an incomplete vaccination cycle, and 52 (28%) with a complete vaccination cycle (6 different vaccine types). Multivariate logistic regression showed that the only factor predicting the absence of pneumonia (CO-RADS 1 and ACR negative cases) for the 3 readers was a complete vaccination cycle (OR = 12.8-13.1compared to non-vaccinated patients, p ≤ 0.032). Neither CT score nor CT patterns of possible COVID-19 pneumonia showed any statistically significant correlation with vaccination status for the 3 readers. Conclusions Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected patients with a complete vaccination cycle had much higher odds of showing a negative CT chest examination in ED compared to non-vaccinated patients. Neither CT involvement nor CT patterns of interstitial pneumonia showed differences across different vaccination status.
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Besutti G, Pellegrini M, Ottone M, Bonelli E, Monelli F, Farì R, Milic J, Dolci G, Fasano T, Canovi S, Costi S, Fugazzaro S, Massari M, Ligabue G, Croci S, Salvarani C, Pattacini P, Guaraldi G, Giorgi Rossi P. Modifications of Chest CT Body Composition Parameters at Three and Six Months after Severe COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Nutrients 2022; 14:3764. [PMID: 36145141 PMCID: PMC9501258 DOI: 10.3390/nu14183764] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2022] [Revised: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 09/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
We aimed to describe body composition changes up to 6-7 months after severe COVID-19 and to evaluate their association with COVID-19 inflammatory burden, described by the integral of the C-reactive protein (CRP) curve. The pectoral muscle area (PMA) and density (PMD), liver-to-spleen (L/S) ratio, and total, visceral, and intermuscular adipose tissue areas (TAT, VAT, and IMAT) were measured at baseline (T0), 2-3 months (T1), and 6-7 months (T2) follow-up CT scans of severe COVID-19 pneumonia survivors. Among the 208 included patients (mean age 65.6 ± 11 years, 31.3% females), decreases in PMA [mean (95%CI) -1.11 (-1.72; -0.51) cm2] and in body fat areas were observed [-3.13 (-10.79; +4.52) cm2 for TAT], larger from T0 to T1 than from T1 to T2. PMD increased only from T1 to T2 [+3.07 (+2.08; +4.06) HU]. Mean decreases were more evident for VAT [-3.55 (-4.94; -2.17) cm2] and steatosis [L/S ratio increase +0.17 (+0.13; +0.20)] than for TAT. In multivariable models adjusted by age, sex, and baseline TAT, increasing the CRP interval was associated with greater PMA reductions, smaller PMD increases, and greater VAT and steatosis decreases, but it was not associated with TAT decreases. In conclusion, muscle loss and fat loss (more apparent in visceral compartments) continue until 6-7 months after COVID-19. The inflammatory burden is associated with skeletal muscle loss and visceral/liver fat loss.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Massimo Pellegrini
- Department of Biomedical, Metabolic and Neural Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Filippo Monelli
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Clinical and Experimental PhD Program, University of Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Roberto Farì
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Jovana Milic
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Giovanni Dolci
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Tommaso Fasano
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Simone Canovi
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Stefania Costi
- Scientific Directorate Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences with Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Stefania Fugazzaro
- Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Guido Ligabue
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Stefania Croci
- Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Carlo Salvarani
- Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences with Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
- Rheumatology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Pattacini
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giovanni Guaraldi
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124 Modena, Italy
| | - Paolo Giorgi Rossi
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123 Reggio Emilia, Italy
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Li MD, Chang K, Mei X, Bernheim A, Chung M, Steinberger S, Kalpathy-Cramer J, Little BP. Radiology Implementation Considerations for Artificial Intelligence (AI) Applied to COVID-19, From the AJR Special Series on AI Applications. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2022; 219:15-23. [PMID: 34612681 DOI: 10.2214/ajr.21.26717] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Hundreds of imaging-based artificial intelligence (AI) models have been developed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. AI systems that incorporate imaging have shown promise in primary detection, severity grading, and prognostication of outcomes in COVID-19, and have enabled integration of imaging with a broad range of additional clinical and epidemiologic data. However, systematic reviews of AI models applied to COVID-19 medical imaging have highlighted problems in the field, including methodologic issues and problems in real-world deployment. Clinical use of such models should be informed by both the promise and potential pitfalls of implementation. How does a practicing radiologist make sense of this complex topic, and what factors should be considered in the implementation of AI tools for imaging of COVID-19? This critical review aims to help the radiologist understand the nuances that impact the clinical deployment of AI for imaging of COVID-19. We review imaging use cases for AI models in COVID-19 (e.g., diagnosis, severity assessment, and prognostication) and explore considerations for AI model development and testing, deployment infrastructure, clinical user interfaces, quality control, and institutional review board and regulatory approvals, with a practical focus on what a radiologist should consider when implementing an AI tool for COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthew D Li
- Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 55 Fruit St, Boston, MA 02114
| | - Ken Chang
- Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 55 Fruit St, Boston, MA 02114
| | - Xueyan Mei
- Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY
| | - Adam Bernheim
- Department of Radiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY
| | - Michael Chung
- Department of Radiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY
| | - Sharon Steinberger
- Department of Radiology, NewYork-Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York, NY
| | - Jayashree Kalpathy-Cramer
- Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 55 Fruit St, Boston, MA 02114
| | - Brent P Little
- Department of Radiology, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL
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Besutti G, Djuric O, Ottone M, Monelli F, Lazzari P, Ascari F, Ligabue G, Guaraldi G, Pezzuto G, Bechtold P, Massari M, Lattuada I, Luppi F, Galli MG, Pattacini P, Giorgi Rossi P. Imaging-based indices combining disease severity and time from disease onset to predict COVID-19 mortality: A cohort study. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0270111. [PMID: 35709213 PMCID: PMC9202871 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Accepted: 06/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background COVID-19 prognostic factors include age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory and imaging findings, and time from symptom onset to seeking care. Purpose The study aim was to evaluate indices combining disease severity measures and time from disease onset to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). Materials and methods All consecutive COVID-19 patients who underwent both computed tomography (CT) and chest X-ray (CXR) at ED presentation between 27/02/2020 and 13/03/2020 were included. CT visual score of disease extension and CXR Radiographic Assessment of Lung Edema (RALE) score were collected. The CT- and CXR-based scores, C-reactive protein (CRP), and oxygen saturation levels (sO2) were separately combined with time from symptom onset to ED presentation to obtain severity/time indices. Multivariable regression age- and sex-adjusted models without and with severity/time indices were compared. For CXR-RALE, the models were tested in a validation cohort. Results Of the 308 included patients, 55 (17.9%) died. In multivariable logistic age- and sex-adjusted models for death at 30 days, severity/time indices showed good discrimination ability, higher for imaging than for laboratory measures (AUCCT = 0.92, AUCCXR = 0.90, AUCCRP = 0.88, AUCsO2 = 0.88). AUCCXR was lower in the validation cohort (0.79). The models including severity/time indices performed slightly better than models including measures of disease severity not combined with time and those including the Charlson Comorbidity Index, except for CRP-based models. Conclusion Time from symptom onset to ED admission is a strong prognostic factor and provides added value to the interpretation of imaging and laboratory findings at ED presentation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Department, AUSL—IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- * E-mail:
| | - Olivera Djuric
- Epidemiology Unit, AUSL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, AUSL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Filippo Monelli
- Radiology Department, AUSL—IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Patrizia Lazzari
- Department of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Francesco Ascari
- Department of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Guido Ligabue
- Department of Radiology, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Giovanni Guaraldi
- Department of Infectious Diseases, AOU Policlinico di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | | | - Petra Bechtold
- Epidemiology and Risk Communication Unit, Department of Public Health, Local Health Unit, Modena, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Infectious Disease Unit, Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Ivana Lattuada
- Emergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Francesco Luppi
- Emergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
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Malécot N, Chrusciel J, Sanchez S, Sellès P, Goetz C, Lévêque HP, Parizel E, Pradel J, Almhana M, Bouvier E, Uyttenhove F, Bonnefoy E, Vazquez G, Adib O, Calvo P, Antoine C, Jullien V, Cirille S, Dumas A, Defasque A, Ben Ghorbal Y, Elkadri M, Schertz M, Cavet M. Chest CT Characteristics are Strongly Predictive of Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Multicentric Cohort Study. Acad Radiol 2022; 29:851-860. [PMID: 35282991 PMCID: PMC8769941 DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2022.01.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2021] [Revised: 12/09/2021] [Accepted: 01/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Rationale and Objectives The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has presented a significant and urgent threat to global health and there has been a need to identify prognostic factors in COVID-19 patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether chest computed tomography (CT) characteristics had any prognostic value in patients with COVID-19. Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis of COVID-19 patients who underwent a chest CT-scan was performed in four medical centers. The prognostic value of chest CT results was assessed using a multivariable survival analysis with the Cox model. The characteristics included in the model were the degree of lung involvement, ground glass opacities, nodular consolidations, linear consolidations, a peripheral topography, a predominantly inferior lung involvement, pleural effusion, and crazy paving. The model was also adjusted on age, sex, and the center in which the patient was hospitalized. The primary endpoint was 30-day in-hospital mortality. A second model used a composite endpoint of admission to an intensive care unit or 30-day in-hospital mortality. Results A total of 515 patients with available follow-up information were included. Advanced age, a degree of pulmonary involvement ≥50% (Hazard Ratio 2.25 [95% CI: 1.378-3.671], p = 0.001), nodular consolidations and pleural effusions were associated with lower 30-day in-hospital survival rates. An exploratory subgroup analysis showed a 60.6% mortality rate in patients over 75 with ≥50% lung involvement on a CT-scan. Conclusion Chest CT findings such as the percentage of pulmonary involvement ≥50%, pleural effusion and nodular consolidation were strongly associated with 30-day mortality in COVID-19 patients. CT examinations are essential for the assessment of severe COVID-19 patients and their results must be considered when making care management decisions.
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Shim SR, Kim SJ, Hong M, Lee J, Kang MG, Han HW. Diagnostic Performance of Antigen Rapid Diagnostic Tests, Chest Computed Tomography, and Lung Point-of-Care-Ultrasonography for SARS-CoV-2 Compared with RT-PCR Testing: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis. Diagnostics (Basel) 2022; 12:1302. [PMID: 35741112 PMCID: PMC9222155 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12061302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2022] [Revised: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 05/20/2022] [Indexed: 12/10/2022] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: The comparative performance of various diagnostic methods for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the comparison of the 3 index test performances of rapid antigen diagnostic tests (RDTs), chest computed tomography (CT), and lung point-of-care-ultrasonography (US) with reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), the reference standard, to provide more evidence-based data on the appropriate use of these index tests. (2) Methods: We retrieved data from electronic literature searches of PubMed, Cochrane Library, and EMBASE from 1 January 2020, to 1 April 2021. Diagnostic performance was examined using bivariate random-effects diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) and Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) models. (3) Results: Of the 3992 studies identified in our search, 118 including 69,445 participants met our selection criteria. Among these, 69 RDT, 38 CT, and 15 US studies in the pairwise meta-analysis were included for DTA with NMA. CT and US had high sensitivity of 0.852 (95% credible interval (CrI), 0.791-0.914) and 0.879 (95% CrI, 0.784-0.973), respectively. RDT had high specificity, 0.978 (95% CrI, 0.960-0.996). In accuracy assessment, RDT and CT had a relatively higher than US. However, there was no significant difference in accuracy between the 3 index tests. (4) Conclusions: This meta-analysis suggests that, compared with the reference standard RT-PCR, the 3 index tests (RDTs, chest CT, and lung US) had similar and complementary performances for diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. To manage and control COVID-19 effectively, future large-scale prospective studies could be used to obtain an optimal timely diagnostic process that identifies the condition of the patient accurately.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sung Ryul Shim
- Department of Health and Medical Informatics, Kyungnam University College of Health Sciences, Changwon 51767, Korea;
| | - Seong-Jang Kim
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan 50615, Korea;
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, College of Medicine, Pusan National University, Yangsan 50615, Korea
- BioMedical Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan 50615, Korea
| | - Myunghee Hong
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, CHA University School of Medicine, CHA University, Seongnam 13488, Korea;
- Institute for Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, CHA University, Seongnam 13488, Korea
| | - Jonghoo Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Jeju National University Hospital, Jeju National University School of Medicine, Jeju 63241, Korea;
| | - Min-Gyu Kang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University College of Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju 28644, Korea;
| | - Hyun Wook Han
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, CHA University School of Medicine, CHA University, Seongnam 13488, Korea;
- Institute for Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, CHA University, Seongnam 13488, Korea
- Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, School of Medicine, CHA University, Seongnam 13488, Korea
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9
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Ebrahimzadeh S, Islam N, Dawit H, Salameh JP, Kazi S, Fabiano N, Treanor L, Absi M, Ahmad F, Rooprai P, Al Khalil A, Harper K, Kamra N, Leeflang MM, Hooft L, van der Pol CB, Prager R, Hare SS, Dennie C, Spijker R, Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, Jenniskens K, Korevaar DA, Cohen JF, Van den Bruel A, Takwoingi Y, van de Wijgert J, Wang J, Pena E, Sabongui S, McInnes MD. Thoracic imaging tests for the diagnosis of COVID-19. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2022; 5:CD013639. [PMID: 35575286 PMCID: PMC9109458 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd013639.pub5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Our March 2021 edition of this review showed thoracic imaging computed tomography (CT) to be sensitive and moderately specific in diagnosing COVID-19 pneumonia. This new edition is an update of the review. OBJECTIVES Our objectives were to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of thoracic imaging in people with suspected COVID-19; assess the rate of positive imaging in people who had an initial reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) negative result and a positive RT-PCR result on follow-up; and evaluate the accuracy of thoracic imaging for screening COVID-19 in asymptomatic individuals. The secondary objective was to assess threshold effects of index test positivity on accuracy. SEARCH METHODS We searched the COVID-19 Living Evidence Database from the University of Bern, the Cochrane COVID-19 Study Register, The Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library, and repositories of COVID-19 publications through to 17 February 2021. We did not apply any language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA We included diagnostic accuracy studies of all designs, except for case-control, that recruited participants of any age group suspected to have COVID-19. Studies had to assess chest CT, chest X-ray, or ultrasound of the lungs for the diagnosis of COVID-19, use a reference standard that included RT-PCR, and report estimates of test accuracy or provide data from which we could compute estimates. We excluded studies that used imaging as part of the reference standard and studies that excluded participants with normal index test results. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS The review authors independently and in duplicate screened articles, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and applicability concerns using QUADAS-2. We presented sensitivity and specificity per study on paired forest plots, and summarized pooled estimates in tables. We used a bivariate meta-analysis model where appropriate. MAIN RESULTS We included 98 studies in this review. Of these, 94 were included for evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of thoracic imaging in the evaluation of people with suspected COVID-19. Eight studies were included for assessing the rate of positive imaging in individuals with initial RT-PCR negative results and positive RT-PCR results on follow-up, and 10 studies were included for evaluating the accuracy of thoracic imaging for imagining asymptomatic individuals. For all 98 included studies, risk of bias was high or unclear in 52 (53%) studies with respect to participant selection, in 64 (65%) studies with respect to reference standard, in 46 (47%) studies with respect to index test, and in 48 (49%) studies with respect to flow and timing. Concerns about the applicability of the evidence to: participants were high or unclear in eight (8%) studies; index test were high or unclear in seven (7%) studies; and reference standard were high or unclear in seven (7%) studies. Imaging in people with suspected COVID-19 We included 94 studies. Eighty-seven studies evaluated one imaging modality, and seven studies evaluated two imaging modalities. All studies used RT-PCR alone or in combination with other criteria (for example, clinical signs and symptoms, positive contacts) as the reference standard for the diagnosis of COVID-19. For chest CT (69 studies, 28285 participants, 14,342 (51%) cases), sensitivities ranged from 45% to 100%, and specificities from 10% to 99%. The pooled sensitivity of chest CT was 86.9% (95% confidence interval (CI) 83.6 to 89.6), and pooled specificity was 78.3% (95% CI 73.7 to 82.3). Definition for index test positivity was a source of heterogeneity for sensitivity, but not specificity. Reference standard was not a source of heterogeneity. For chest X-ray (17 studies, 8529 participants, 5303 (62%) cases), the sensitivity ranged from 44% to 94% and specificity from 24 to 93%. The pooled sensitivity of chest X-ray was 73.1% (95% CI 64. to -80.5), and pooled specificity was 73.3% (95% CI 61.9 to 82.2). Definition for index test positivity was not found to be a source of heterogeneity. Definition for index test positivity and reference standard were not found to be sources of heterogeneity. For ultrasound of the lungs (15 studies, 2410 participants, 1158 (48%) cases), the sensitivity ranged from 73% to 94% and the specificity ranged from 21% to 98%. The pooled sensitivity of ultrasound was 88.9% (95% CI 84.9 to 92.0), and the pooled specificity was 72.2% (95% CI 58.8 to 82.5). Definition for index test positivity and reference standard were not found to be sources of heterogeneity. Indirect comparisons of modalities evaluated across all 94 studies indicated that chest CT and ultrasound gave higher sensitivity estimates than X-ray (P = 0.0003 and P = 0.001, respectively). Chest CT and ultrasound gave similar sensitivities (P=0.42). All modalities had similar specificities (CT versus X-ray P = 0.36; CT versus ultrasound P = 0.32; X-ray versus ultrasound P = 0.89). Imaging in PCR-negative people who subsequently became positive For rate of positive imaging in individuals with initial RT-PCR negative results, we included 8 studies (7 CT, 1 ultrasound) with a total of 198 participants suspected of having COVID-19, all of whom had a final diagnosis of COVID-19. Most studies (7/8) evaluated CT. Of 177 participants with initially negative RT-PCR who had positive RT-PCR results on follow-up testing, 75.8% (95% CI 45.3 to 92.2) had positive CT findings. Imaging in asymptomatic PCR-positive people For imaging asymptomatic individuals, we included 10 studies (7 CT, 1 X-ray, 2 ultrasound) with a total of 3548 asymptomatic participants, of whom 364 (10%) had a final diagnosis of COVID-19. For chest CT (7 studies, 3134 participants, 315 (10%) cases), the pooled sensitivity was 55.7% (95% CI 35.4 to 74.3) and the pooled specificity was 91.1% (95% CI 82.6 to 95.7). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS Chest CT and ultrasound of the lungs are sensitive and moderately specific in diagnosing COVID-19. Chest X-ray is moderately sensitive and moderately specific in diagnosing COVID-19. Thus, chest CT and ultrasound may have more utility for ruling out COVID-19 than for differentiating SARS-CoV-2 infection from other causes of respiratory illness. The uncertainty resulting from high or unclear risk of bias and the heterogeneity of included studies limit our ability to confidently draw conclusions based on our results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sanam Ebrahimzadeh
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Nayaar Islam
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Haben Dawit
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Sakib Kazi
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Lee Treanor
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Marissa Absi
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Faraz Ahmad
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Paul Rooprai
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Ahmed Al Khalil
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Kelly Harper
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Neil Kamra
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Mariska Mg Leeflang
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Lotty Hooft
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht , Netherlands
| | | | - Ross Prager
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Samanjit S Hare
- Department of Radiology, Royal Free London NHS Trust, London , UK
| | - Carole Dennie
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Medical Imaging, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Canada
| | - René Spijker
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht , Netherlands
- Medical Library, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Jonathan J Deeks
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Jacqueline Dinnes
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Kevin Jenniskens
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Daniël A Korevaar
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Jérémie F Cohen
- Obstetrical, Perinatal and Pediatric Epidemiology Research Team (EPOPé), Centre of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics (CRESS), UMR1153, Université de Paris, Paris, France
| | | | - Yemisi Takwoingi
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Janneke van de Wijgert
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Junfeng Wang
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Elena Pena
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Medical Imaging, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Matthew Df McInnes
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
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10
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Besutti G, Giorgi Rossi P, Ottone M, Spaggiari L, Canovi S, Monelli F, Bonelli E, Fasano T, Sverzellati N, Caruso A, Facciolongo N, Ghidoni G, Simonazzi A, Iori M, Nitrosi A, Fugazzaro S, Costi S, Croci S, Teopompi E, Gallina A, Massari M, Dolci G, Sampaolesi F, Pattacini P, Salvarani C. Inflammatory burden and persistent CT lung abnormalities in COVID-19 patients. Sci Rep 2022; 12:4270. [PMID: 35277562 PMCID: PMC8914439 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-08026-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2021] [Accepted: 02/28/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Inflammatory burden is associated with COVID-19 severity and outcomes. Residual computed tomography (CT) lung abnormalities have been reported after COVID-19. The aim was to evaluate the association between inflammatory burden during COVID-19 and residual lung CT abnormalities collected on follow-up CT scans performed 2–3 and 6–7 months after COVID-19, in severe COVID-19 pneumonia survivors. C-reactive protein (CRP) curves describing inflammatory burden during the clinical course were built, and CRP peaks, velocities of increase, and integrals were calculated. Other putative determinants were age, sex, mechanical ventilation, lowest PaO2/FiO2 ratio, D-dimer peak, and length of hospital stay (LOS). Of the 259 included patients (median age 65 years; 30.5% females), 202 (78%) and 100 (38.6%) had residual, predominantly non-fibrotic, abnormalities at 2–3 and 6–7 months, respectively. In age- and sex-adjusted models, best CRP predictors for residual abnormalities were CRP peak (odds ratio [OR] for one standard deviation [SD] increase = 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.23–2.62) at 2–3 months and CRP integral (OR for one SD increase = 2.24; 95%CI = 1.53–3.28) at 6–7 months. Hence, inflammation is associated with short- and medium-term lung damage in COVID-19. Other severity measures, including mechanical ventilation and LOS, but not D-dimer, were mediators of the relationship between CRP and residual abnormalities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy. .,Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
| | - Paolo Giorgi Rossi
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Lucia Spaggiari
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Simone Canovi
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL-IRCCS Di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Filippo Monelli
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Clinical and Experimental PhD Program, University of Reggio Emilia, 41124, Modena, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Tommaso Fasano
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL-IRCCS Di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Nicola Sverzellati
- Radiology Unit, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, 43126, Parma, Italy
| | - Andrea Caruso
- Rheumatology Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Nicola Facciolongo
- Respiratory Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giulia Ghidoni
- Respiratory Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Anna Simonazzi
- Respiratory Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Mauro Iori
- Medical Physics Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Andrea Nitrosi
- Medical Physics Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Stefania Fugazzaro
- Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Stefania Costi
- Scientific Directorate Azienda, USL - IRCCS Di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences With Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124, Modena, Italy
| | - Stefania Croci
- Clinical Immunology, Allergy and Advanced Biotechnologies Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Elisabetta Teopompi
- Multidisciplinary Internal Medicine Unit, Guastalla Hospital, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Annalisa Gallina
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giovanni Dolci
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Fabio Sampaolesi
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Pattacini
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Carlo Salvarani
- Rheumatology Unit, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Department of Surgery, Medicine, Dentistry and Morphological Sciences With Interest in Transplant, Oncology and Regenerative Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, 41124, Modena, Italy
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11
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Jin KN, Do KH, Nam BD, Hwang SH, Choi M, Yong HS. [Korean Clinical Imaging Guidelines for Justification of Diagnostic Imaging Study for COVID-19]. TAEHAN YONGSANG UIHAKHOE CHI 2022; 83:265-283. [PMID: 36237918 PMCID: PMC9514447 DOI: 10.3348/jksr.2021.0117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2021] [Revised: 09/10/2021] [Accepted: 09/17/2021] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
To develop Korean coronavirus disease (COVID-19) chest imaging justification guidelines, eight key questions were selected and the following recommendations were made with the evidence-based clinical imaging guideline adaptation methodology. It is appropriate not to use chest imaging tests (chest radiograph or CT) for the diagnosis of COVID-19 in asymptomatic patients. If reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing is not available or if results are delayed or are initially negative in the presence of symptoms suggestive of COVID-19, chest imaging tests may be considered. In addition to clinical evaluations and laboratory tests, chest imaging may be contemplated to determine hospital admission for asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic unhospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19. In hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19, chest imaging may be advised to determine or modify treatment alternatives. CT angiography may be considered if hemoptysis or pulmonary embolism is clinically suspected in a patient with confirmed COVID-19. For COVID-19 patients with improved symptoms, chest imaging is not recommended to make decisions regarding hospital discharge. For patients with functional impairment after recovery from COVID-19, chest imaging may be considered to distinguish a potentially treatable disease.
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12
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Predictive factors of clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19 treated with tocilizumab: A monocentric retrospective analysis. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0262908. [PMID: 35081151 PMCID: PMC8791493 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262908] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this retrospective observational study is to analyse clinical, serological and radiological predictors of outcome in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia treated with tocilizumab, providing clinical guidance to its use in real-life. METHOD This is a retrospective, monocentric observational cohort study. All consecutive patients hospitalized between February the 11th and April 14th 2020 for severe COVID-19 pneumonia at Reggio Emilia AUSL and treated with tocilizumab were enrolled. The patient's clinical status was recorded every day using the WHO ordinal scale for clinical improvement. Response to treatment was defined as an improvement of one point (from the status at the beginning of tocilizumab treatment) during the follow-up on this scale. Bivariate association of main patients' characteristics with outcomes was explored by descriptive statistics and Fisher or Kruskal Wallis tests (respectively for qualitative or quantitative variables). Each clinically significant predictor was checked by a loglikelihood ratio test (in univariate logistic models for each of the considered outcomes) against the null model. RESULTS A total of 173 patients were included. Only hypertension, the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, PaO2/FiO2, respiratory rate and C-reactive protein were selected for the multivariate analysis. In the multivariable model, none of them was significantly associated with response. CONCLUSIONS Evaluating a large number of clinical variables, our study did not find new predictors of outcome in COVID19 patients treated with tocilizumab. Further studies are needed to investigate the use of tocilizumab in COVID-19 and to better identify clinical phenotypes which could benefit from this treatment.
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13
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Pecoraro V, Negro A, Pirotti T, Trenti T. Estimate false-negative RT-PCR rates for SARS-CoV-2. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Clin Invest 2022; 52:e13706. [PMID: 34741305 PMCID: PMC8646643 DOI: 10.1111/eci.13706] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 22.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2021] [Accepted: 11/04/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Molecular-based tests used to identify symptomatic or asymptomatic patients infected by SARS-CoV-2 are characterized by high specificity but scarce sensitivity, generating false-negative results. We aimed to estimate, through a systematic review of the literature, the rate of RT-PCR false negatives at initial testing for COVID-19. METHODS We systematically searched Pubmed, Embase and CENTRAL as well as a list of reference literature. We included observational studies that collected samples from respiratory tract to detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA using RT-PCR, reporting the number of false-negative subjects and the number of final patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis. Reported rates of false negatives were pooled in a meta-analysis as appropriate. We assessed the risk of bias of included studies and graded the quality of evidence according to the GRADE method. All information in this article is current up to February 2021. RESULTS We included 32 studies, enrolling more than 18,000 patients infected by SARS-CoV-2. The overall false-negative rate was 0.12 (95%CI from 0.10 to 0.14) with very low certainty of evidence. The impact of misdiagnoses was estimated according to disease prevalence; a range between 2 and 58/1,000 subjects could be misdiagnosed with a disease prevalence of 10%, increasing to 290/1,000 misdiagnosed subjects with a disease prevalence of 50%. CONCLUSIONS This systematic review showed that up to 58% of COVID-19 patients may have initial false-negative RT-PCR results, suggesting the need to implement a correct diagnostic strategy to correctly identify suspected cases, thereby reducing false-negative results and decreasing the disease burden among the population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Valentina Pecoraro
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Azienda USL of Modena, Modena, Italy
| | - Antonella Negro
- Health and Social Regional Agency of Emilia-Romagna Region, Bologna, Italy
| | - Tommaso Pirotti
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Azienda USL of Modena, Modena, Italy
| | - Tommaso Trenti
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Azienda USL of Modena, Modena, Italy
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14
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Çomoğlu Ş, Öztürk S, Topçu A, Kulalı F, Kant A, Sobay R, Arslan M, Ülgür HŞ, Kostakoğlu U, Küçük EV, Karakoç HN, Çağlar M, Uzuğ G, Bağcı U, Özkan ÖF, Yılmaz G. The Role of CO-RADS Scoring System in the Diagnosis of COVID-19 Infection and its Correlation with Clinical Signs. Curr Med Imaging 2022; 18:381-386. [PMID: 34455964 DOI: 10.2174/1573405617666210827150937] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2021] [Revised: 06/04/2021] [Accepted: 06/04/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Computed tomography (CT) evaluation systematics has become necessary to eliminate the difference of opinion among radiologists in evaluating COVID-19 CT findings. INTRODUCTION The objectives of this study were to evaluate the efficiency of CO-RADS scoring system in our patients with COVID-19 as well as to examine its correlation with clinical and laboratory findings. METHODS The CO-RADS category of all patients included in the study was determined by a radiologist who did not know the rtRT-PCR test result of the patients, according to the Covid-19 reporting and data system of Mathias Prokop et al. Results: A total of 1338 patients were included. CT findings were positive in 66.3%, with a mean CO-RADS score of 3,4 ± 1,7. 444 (33.1%) of the patients were in the CO-RADS 1-2, 894 (66.9%) were in the CO-RADS 3-5 group. There were positive correlations between CO-RADS score and age, CMI, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic pulmonary diseases presence of symptoms, symptom duration, presence of cough, shortness of breath, malaise, CRP, and LDH, while CORADS score was negatively correlated with lymphocyte count. The results of the ROC analysis suggested that those with age ≥40 years, symptom duration >2 days, CMI score >1 and/or comorbid conditions were more likely to have a CO-RADS score of 3-5. CONCLUSION The CO-RADS classification system is a CT findings assessment system that can be used to diagnose COVID-19 in patients with symptoms of cough, shortness of breath, myalgia and fatigue for more than two days.
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Affiliation(s)
- Şenol Çomoğlu
- Department of Infection Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Sinan Öztürk
- Department of Infection Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Topçu
- Department of General Surgery, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Fatma Kulalı
- Radiology Department, University of Health Sciences Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Aydın Kant
- Chest Diseases Department, Trabzon Vakfıkebir State Hospital, Trabzon, Turkey
| | - Resul Sobay
- Department of Urology, Health Sciences University, Ümraniye Teaching Hospital, İstanbul, Turkey
| | - Mustafa Arslan
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Amasya University, Faculty of Medicine, Amasya, Turkey
| | - Hanife Şeyda Ülgür
- Department of General Surgery, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
- Department of General Surgery, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Uğur Kostakoğlu
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Recep Tayyip Erdogan University, Faculty of Medicine, Rize, Turkey
| | - Eyüp Veli Küçük
- Department of Urology, Health Sciences University, Ümraniye Teaching Hospital, İstanbul, Turkey
| | - Hanife Nur Karakoç
- Department of Infection Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Bitlis Tatvan State Hospital, Bitlis, Turkey
| | - Merve Çağlar
- Department of Infection Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Gülsüm Uzuğ
- Department of Infection Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Ulaş Bağcı
- Center for Research in Computer Vision, University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA
| | - Ömer Faruk Özkan
- Department of General Surgery, Health Sciences University, Umraniye Research and Education Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Gürdal Yılmaz
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey
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15
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Dolci G, Cassone G, Besutti G, Corsini R, Sampaolesi F, Iotti V, Galli E, Palermo A, Fontana M, Mancuso P. Tocilizumab or glucocorticoids treatment for patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia: An observational study. Braz J Infect Dis 2021; 26:101702. [PMID: 34963560 PMCID: PMC8687752 DOI: 10.1016/j.bjid.2021.101702] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2021] [Revised: 11/20/2021] [Accepted: 12/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To estimate the effect of tocilizumab or glucocorticoids in preventing death and intubation in patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study enrolling all consecutive patients hospitalized at Reggio Emilia AUSL between February the 11th and April 14th 2020 for severe COVID-19 and treated with tocilizumab or glucocorticoids (at least 80 mg/day of methylprednisolone or equivalent for at least 3 days). The primary outcome was death within 30 days from the start of the considered therapies. The secondary outcome was a composite outcome of death and/or intubation. All patients have been followed-up until May 19th 2020, with a follow-up of at least 30 days for every patient. To reduce confounding due to potential non-comparability of the two groups, those receiving tocilizumab and those receiving glucocorticoids, a propensity score was calculated as the inverse probability weighting of receiving treatment conditional on the baseline covariates. Results and conclusion Therapy with tocilizumab alone was associated with a reduction of deaths (OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.21-1.17) and of the composite outcome death/intubation (OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.13-0.90) compared to glucocorticoids alone. Nevertheless, this result should be cautiously interpreted due to a potential prescription bias.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giovanni Dolci
- Infectious Disease Unit, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
| | - Giulia Cassone
- Rheumatology Unit, IRCCS Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy; Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Giulia Besutti
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy; Radiology Unit, Department of Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Romina Corsini
- Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Fabio Sampaolesi
- Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Valentina Iotti
- Radiology Unit, Department of Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Elena Galli
- Rheumatology Unit, IRCCS Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Adalgisa Palermo
- Rheumatology Unit, IRCCS Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Matteo Fontana
- Pneumology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pamela Mancuso
- Servizio di epidemiologia, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Emilia-Romagna, Italy
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16
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Lee JH, Hong H, Kim H, Lee CH, Goo JM, Yoon SH. CT Examinations for COVID-19: A Systematic Review of Protocols, Radiation Dose, and Numbers Needed to Diagnose and Predict. TAEHAN YONGSANG UIHAKHOE CHI 2021; 82:1505-1523. [PMID: 36238884 PMCID: PMC9431975 DOI: 10.3348/jksr.2021.0096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2021] [Revised: 07/25/2021] [Accepted: 07/28/2021] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
Purpose Although chest CT has been discussed as a first-line test for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), little research has explored the implications of CT exposure in the population. To review chest CT protocols and radiation doses in COVID-19 publications and explore the number needed to diagnose (NND) and the number needed to predict (NNP) if CT is used as a first-line test. Materials and Methods We searched nine highly cited radiology journals to identify studies discussing the CT-based diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia. Study-level information on the CT protocol and radiation dose was collected, and the doses were compared with each national diagnostic reference level (DRL). The NND and NNP, which depends on the test positive rate (TPR), were calculated, given a CT sensitivity of 94% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 91%-96%) and specificity of 37% (95% CI: 26%-50%), and applied to the early outbreak in Wuhan, New York, and Italy. Results From 86 studies, the CT protocol and radiation dose were reported in 81 (94.2%) and 17 studies (19.8%), respectively. Low-dose chest CT was used more than twice as often as standard-dose chest CT (39.5% vs.18.6%), while the remaining studies (44.2%) did not provide relevant information. The radiation doses were lower than the national DRLs in 15 of the 17 studies (88.2%) that reported doses. The NND was 3.2 scans (95% CI: 2.2-6.0). The NNPs at TPRs of 50%, 25%, 10%, and 5% were 2.2, 3.6, 8.0, 15.5 scans, respectively. In Wuhan, 35418 (TPR, 58%; 95% CI: 27710-56755) to 44840 (TPR, 38%; 95% CI: 35161-68164) individuals were estimated to have undergone CT examinations to diagnose 17365 patients. During the early surge in New York and Italy, daily NNDs changed up to 5.4 and 10.9 times, respectively, within 10 weeks. Conclusion Low-dose CT protocols were described in less than half of COVID-19 publications, and radiation doses were frequently lacking. The number of populations involved in a first-line diagnostic CT test could vary dynamically according to daily TPR; therefore, caution is required in future planning.
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17
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Liu J, Yang X, Zhu Y, Zhu Y, Liu J, Zeng X, Li H. Diagnostic value of chest computed tomography imaging for COVID-19 based on reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction: a meta-analysis. Infect Dis Poverty 2021; 10:126. [PMID: 34674774 PMCID: PMC8529575 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-021-00910-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The computed tomography (CT) diagnostic value of COVID-19 is controversial. We summarized the value of chest CT in the diagnosis of COVID-19 through a meta-analysis based on the reference standard. Methods All Chinese and English studies related to the diagnostic value of CT for COVID-19 across multiple publication platforms, was searched for and collected. Studies quality evaluation and plotting the risk of bias were estimated. A heterogeneity test and meta-analysis, including plotting sensitivity (Sen), specificity (Spe) forest plots, pooled positive likelihood ratio (+LR), negative likelihood ratio (-LR), dignostic odds ratio (DOR) values and 95% confidence interval (CI), were estimated. If there was a threshold effect, summary receiver operating characteristic curves (SROC) was further plotted. Pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and 95% CI were also calculated. Results Twenty diagnostic studies that represented a total of 9004 patients were included from 20 pieces of literatures after assessing all the aggregated studies. The reason for heterogeneity was caused by the threshold effect, so the AUROC = 0.91 (95% CI: 0.89–0.94) for chest CT of COVID-19. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, +LR, -LR from 20 studies were 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88–0.94), 0.71 (95% CI: 0.59–0.80), 3.1(95% CI: 2.2–4.4), 0.12 (95% CI: 0.09–0.17), separately. The I2 was 85.6% (P = 0.001) by Q-test. Conclusions The results of this study showed that CT diagnosis of COVID-19 was close to the reference standard. The diagnostic value of chest CT may be further enhanced if there is a unified COVID-19 diagnostic standard. However, please pay attention to rational use of CT. Graphic Abstract ![]()
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Liu
- Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Infectious Diseases Hospital of Soochow University, The Fifth People's Hospital of Suzhou, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Xue Yang
- Department of Radiology, Beijing Youan Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People's Republic of China
| | - Yunxian Zhu
- Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Infectious Diseases Hospital of Soochow University, The Fifth People's Hospital of Suzhou, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Yi Zhu
- Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Infectious Diseases Hospital of Soochow University, The Fifth People's Hospital of Suzhou, Suzhou, 215000, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Jingzhe Liu
- Department of Radiology, The First Hospital of Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100016, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiantao Zeng
- Center for Evidence-Based and Translational Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430071, Hubei, People's Republic of China
| | - Hongjun Li
- Department of Radiology, Beijing Youan Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People's Republic of China.
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18
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Ardakani AA, Kwee RM, Mirza-Aghazadeh-Attari M, Castro HM, Kuzan TY, Altintoprak KM, Besutti G, Monelli F, Faeghi F, Acharya UR, Mohammadi A. A practical artificial intelligence system to diagnose COVID-19 using computed tomography: A multinational external validation study. Pattern Recognit Lett 2021; 152:42-49. [PMID: 34580550 PMCID: PMC8457921 DOI: 10.1016/j.patrec.2021.09.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/08/2021] [Revised: 08/14/2021] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
Abstract
Computed tomography has gained an important role in the early diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia. However, the ever-increasing number of patients has overwhelmed radiology departments and has caused a reduction in quality of services. Artificial intelligence (AI) systems are the remedy to the current situation. However, the lack of application in real-world conditions has limited their consideration in clinical settings. This study validated a clinical AI system, COVIDiag, to aid radiologists in accurate and rapid evaluation of COVID-19 cases. 50 COVID-19 and 50 non-COVID-19 pneumonia cases were included from each of five centers: Argentina, Turkey, Iran, Netherlands, and Italy. The Dutch database included only 50 COVID-19 cases. The performance parameters namely sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were computed for each database using COVIDiag model. The most common pattern of involvement among COVID-19 cases in all databases were bilateral involvement of upper and lower lobes with ground-glass opacities. The best sensitivity of 92.0% was recorded for the Italian database. The system achieved an AUC of 0.983, 0.914, 0.910, and 0.882 for Argentina, Turkey, Iran, and Italy, respectively. The model obtained a sensitivity of 86.0% for the Dutch database. COVIDiag model could diagnose COVID-19 pneumonia in all of cohorts with AUC of 0.921 (sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 88.8%, 87.0%, and 88.0%, respectively). Our study confirmed the accuracy of our proposed AI model (COVIDiag) in the diagnosis of COVID-19 cases. Furthermore, the system demonstrated consistent optimal diagnostic performance on multinational databases, which is critical to determine the generalizability and objectivity of the proposed COVIDiag model. Our results are significant as they provide real-world evidence regarding the applicability of AI systems in clinical medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali Abbasian Ardakani
- Radiology Technology Department, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Robert M Kwee
- Department of Radiology, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen/Sittard-Geleen, the Netherlands
| | | | | | - Taha Yusuf Kuzan
- Department of Radiology, Sancaktepe Sehit Prof. Dr. Ilhan Varank Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Kübra Murzoğlu Altintoprak
- Department of Radiology, Sancaktepe Sehit Prof. Dr. Ilhan Varank Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Department, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Filippo Monelli
- Radiology Department, Azienda USL - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Fariborz Faeghi
- Radiology Technology Department, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - U Rajendra Acharya
- Ngee Ann Polytechnic, Department of Electronics and Computer Engineering, 599489, Singapore.,Department of Biomedical Engineering, School of Science and Technology, SUSS University, Singapore.,Department of Biomedical Informatics and Medical Engineering, Asia University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Afshin Mohammadi
- Department of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Urmia University of Medical Science, Urmia, Iran
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19
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Santura I, Kawalec P, Furman M, Bochenek T. Chest computed tomography versus RT-PCR in early diagnostics of COVID-19 - a systematic review with meta-analysis. Pol J Radiol 2021; 86:e518-e531. [PMID: 34820028 PMCID: PMC8607837 DOI: 10.5114/pjr.2021.109074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2020] [Accepted: 07/19/2020] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to compare the sensitivity and specificity of computed tomography (CT) scans of the chests of patients with the reference reverse-transcription real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in early diagnosis of COVID-19. A systematic review with meta-analysis for numerical outcomes was performed, including 10 studies (6528 patients). High risk of systematic bias (spectrum bias) was demonstrated in all studies, while in several studies research information bias was found to be possible. The sensitivity of CT examination ranged from 72% to 98%, and the specificity from 22% to 96%. The overall sensitivity of the CT scan was 91% and the specificity 87% (95% CI). Overall sensitivity of the RT-PCR reference test was lower (87%) than its specificity (99%) (95% CI). No clear conclusion could be drawn on the rationale of using CT scanning in the early diagnosis of COVID-19 in situations when specific clinical symptoms and epidemiological history would indicate coronavirus infection. The sensitivity of the CT test seems to be higher than that of the RT-PCR reference test, but this may be related to the mode of analysis and type of material analysed in genetic tests. CT scanning could be performed in symptomatic patients, with a defined time interval from symptom onset to performing CT or RT-PCR, and it should be explicitly included as an additional procedure when initial coronavirus genetic test results are negative, while clinical symptoms and epidemiological history indicate possible infection. However, a reference test showing the presence of coronavirus genetic material is essential throughout the diagnostic and treatment process.
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Affiliation(s)
- Izabella Santura
- Department of Nutrition and Drug Research, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland
| | - Paweł Kawalec
- Department of Nutrition and Drug Research, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland
| | - Maciej Furman
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland
| | - Tomasz Bochenek
- Department of Nutrition and Drug Research, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland
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20
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Ma IWY, Hussain A, Wagner M, Walker B, Chee A, Arishenkoff S, Buchanan B, Liu RB, Mints G, Wong T, Noble V, Tonelli AC, Dumoulin E, Miller DJ, Hergott CA, Liteplo AS. Canadian Internal Medicine Ultrasound (CIMUS) Expert Consensus Statement on the Use of Lung Ultrasound for the Assessment of Medical Inpatients With Known or Suspected Coronavirus Disease 2019. JOURNAL OF ULTRASOUND IN MEDICINE : OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF ULTRASOUND IN MEDICINE 2021; 40:1879-1892. [PMID: 33274782 PMCID: PMC8451849 DOI: 10.1002/jum.15571] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2020] [Revised: 10/20/2020] [Accepted: 10/27/2020] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To develop a consensus statement on the use of lung ultrasound (LUS) in the assessment of symptomatic general medical inpatients with known or suspected coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS Our LUS expert panel consisted of 14 multidisciplinary international experts. Experts voted in 3 rounds on the strength of 26 recommendations as "strong," "weak," or "do not recommend." For recommendations that reached consensus for do not recommend, a fourth round was conducted to determine the strength of those recommendations, with 2 additional recommendations considered. RESULTS Of the 26 recommendations, experts reached consensus on 6 in the first round, 13 in the second, and 7 in the third. Four recommendations were removed because of redundancy. In the fourth round, experts considered 4 recommendations that reached consensus for do not recommend and 2 additional scenarios; consensus was reached for 4 of these. Our final recommendations consist of 24 consensus statements; for 2 of these, the strength of the recommendations did not reach consensus. CONCLUSIONS In symptomatic medical inpatients with known or suspected COVID-19, we recommend the use of LUS to: (1) support the diagnosis of pneumonitis but not diagnose COVID-19, (2) rule out concerning ultrasound features, (3) monitor patients with a change in the clinical status, and (4) avoid unnecessary additional imaging for patients whose pretest probability of an alternative or superimposed diagnosis is low. We do not recommend the use of LUS to guide admission and discharge decisions. We do not recommend routine serial LUS in patients without a change in their clinical condition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irene W. Y. Ma
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of CalgaryCalgaryAlbertaCanada
- Division of Emergency Ultrasound, Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General HospitalHarvard Medical SchoolBostonMassachusettsUSA
| | - Arif Hussain
- Division of Cardiac Critical Care, Department of Cardiac SciencesKing Abdulaziz Medical CityRiyadhSaudi Arabia
| | - Michael Wagner
- Division of Hospital Medicine, Department of MedicinePrisma Health–UpstateGreenvilleSouth CarolinaUSA
| | - Brandie Walker
- Division of Respiratory Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of CalgaryCalgaryAlbertaCanada
| | - Alex Chee
- Division of Thoracic Surgery and Interventional PulmonologyBeth Israel Deaconess Medical CenterBostonMassachusettsUSA
| | - Shane Arishenkoff
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of British ColumbiaVancouverBritish ColumbiaCanada
| | - Brian Buchanan
- Department of Critical CareUniversity of AlbertaEdmontonAlbertaCanada
| | - Rachel B. Liu
- Section of Emergency Ultrasound, Department of Emergency MedicineYale School of MedicineNew HavenConnecticutUSA
| | - Gregory Mints
- Section of Hospital Medicine, Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of MedicineWeill Cornell Medical CollegeNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Tanping Wong
- Section of Hospital Medicine, Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of MedicineWeill Cornell Medical CollegeNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Vicki Noble
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical CenterCase Western Reserve School of MedicineClevelandOhioUSA
| | - Ana Claudia Tonelli
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Hospital de Clinicas de Porto Alegre and Department of MedicineUnisinos UniversitySão LeopoldoBrazil
| | - Elaine Dumoulin
- Division of Respiratory Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of CalgaryCalgaryAlbertaCanada
| | - Daniel J. Miller
- Division of Respiratory Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of CalgaryCalgaryAlbertaCanada
| | - Christopher A. Hergott
- Division of Respiratory Medicine, Department of MedicineUniversity of CalgaryCalgaryAlbertaCanada
| | - Andrew S. Liteplo
- Division of Emergency Ultrasound, Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General HospitalHarvard Medical SchoolBostonMassachusettsUSA
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21
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Nabavi S, Ejmalian A, Moghaddam ME, Abin AA, Frangi AF, Mohammadi M, Rad HS. Medical imaging and computational image analysis in COVID-19 diagnosis: A review. Comput Biol Med 2021; 135:104605. [PMID: 34175533 PMCID: PMC8219713 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2020] [Revised: 06/21/2021] [Accepted: 06/21/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus. The disease presents with symptoms such as shortness of breath, fever, dry cough, and chronic fatigue, amongst others. The disease may be asymptomatic in some patients in the early stages, which can lead to increased transmission of the disease to others. This study attempts to review papers on the role of imaging and medical image computing in COVID-19 diagnosis. For this purpose, PubMed, Scopus and Google Scholar were searched to find related studies until the middle of 2021. The contribution of this study is four-fold: 1) to use as a tutorial of the field for both clinicians and technologists, 2) to comprehensively review the characteristics of COVID-19 as presented in medical images, 3) to examine automated artificial intelligence-based approaches for COVID-19 diagnosis, 4) to express the research limitations in this field and the methods used to overcome them. Using machine learning-based methods can diagnose the disease with high accuracy from medical images and reduce time, cost and error of diagnostic procedure. It is recommended to collect bulk imaging data from patients in the shortest possible time to improve the performance of COVID-19 automated diagnostic methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shahabedin Nabavi
- Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Azar Ejmalian
- Anesthesiology Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Ahmad Ali Abin
- Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Alejandro F Frangi
- Centre for Computational Imaging and Simulation Technologies in Biomedicine (CISTIB), School of Computing, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Mohammad Mohammadi
- Department of Medical Physics, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; School of Physical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Hamidreza Saligheh Rad
- Quantitative MR Imaging and Spectroscopy Group (QMISG), Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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22
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Reddy R. Imaging diagnosis of bronchogenic carcinoma (the forgotten disease) during times of COVID-19 pandemic: Current and future perspectives. World J Clin Oncol 2021; 12:437-457. [PMID: 34189068 PMCID: PMC8223714 DOI: 10.5306/wjco.v12.i6.437] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2021] [Revised: 04/07/2021] [Accepted: 06/02/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Patients with bronchogenic carcinoma comprise a high-risk group for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia and related complications. Symptoms of COVID-19 related pulmonary syndrome may be similar to deteriorating symptoms encountered during bronchogenic carcinoma progression. These resemblances add further complexity for imaging assessment of bronchogenic carcinoma. Similarities between clinical and imaging findings can pose a major challenge to clinicians in distinguishing COVID-19 super-infection from evolving bronchogenic carcinoma, as the above-mentioned entities require very different therapeutic approaches. However, the goal of bronchogenic carcinoma management during the pandemic is to minimize the risk of exposing patients to COVID-19, whilst still managing all life-threatening events related to bronchogenic carcinoma. The current pandemic has forced all healthcare stakeholders to prioritize per value resources and reorganize therapeutic strategies for timely management of patients with COVID-19 related pulmonary syndrome. Processing of radiographic and computed tomography images by means of artificial intelligence techniques can facilitate triage of patients. Modified and newer therapeutic strategies for patients with bronchogenic carcinoma have been adopted by oncologists around the world for providing uncompromised care within the accepted standards and new guidelines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ravikanth Reddy
- Department of Radiology, St. John's Hospital, Bengaluru 560034, Karnataka, India
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23
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Saeed GA, Helali AAA, Shah A, Almazrouei S, Ahmed LA. Chest CT performance and features of COVID-19 in the region of Abu Dhabi, UAE: a single institute study. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2021; 4:248-256. [PMID: 34179688 PMCID: PMC8211305 DOI: 10.1007/s42058-021-00075-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2020] [Revised: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 06/07/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
Objective We aim to investigate high-resolution CT features of COVID-19 infection in Abu Dhabi, UAE, and to compare the diagnostic performance of CT scan with RT-PCR test. Methods Data of consecutive patients who were suspected to have COVID-19 infection and presented to our hospital were collected from March 2, 2020, until April 12, 2020. All patients underwent RT-PCR test; out of which 53.8% had chest CT scan done. Using RT-PCR as a standard reference, the sensitivity and specificity of the CT scan were calculated. We also analyzed the most common imaging findings in patients with positive RT-PCR results. Results The typical HRCT findings were seen in 50 scans (65.8%) out of total positive ones; 44 (77.2%) with positive RT-PCR results and 6 (31.6%) with negative results. The peripheral disease distribution was seen in 86%, multilobe involvement in 70%, bilateral in 82%, and posterior in 82% of the 50 scans. The ground glass opacities were seen in 50/74 (89.3%) of the positive RT-PCR group. The recognized GGO patterns in these scans were: rounded 50%, linear 38%, and crazy-paving 24%. Using RT-PCR as a standard of reference, chest HRCT scan revealed a sensitivity of 68.8% and specificity of 70%. Conclusion The commonest HRCT findings in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were peripheral, posterior, bilateral, multilobe rounded ground-glass opacities. The performance of HRCT scan can vary depending on multiple factors.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Asad Shah
- General Radiology, Sheikh Khalifa Medical City, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | | | - Luai A Ahmed
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine & Health Sciences, UAE University, Al Ain, UAE
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24
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Besutti G, Pellegrini M, Ottone M, Cantini M, Milic J, Bonelli E, Dolci G, Cassone G, Ligabue G, Spaggiari L, Pattacini P, Fasano T, Canovi S, Massari M, Salvarani C, Guaraldi G, Rossi PG. The impact of chest CT body composition parameters on clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0251768. [PMID: 33989341 PMCID: PMC8121324 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251768] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2021] [Accepted: 05/02/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
We assessed the impact of chest CT body composition parameters on outcomes and disease severity at hospital presentation of COVID-19 patients, focusing also on the possible mediation of body composition in the relationship between age and death in these patients. Chest CT scans performed at hospital presentation by consecutive COVID-19 patients (02/27/2020-03/13/2020) were retrospectively reviewed to obtain pectoralis muscle density and total, visceral, and intermuscular adipose tissue areas (TAT, VAT, IMAT) at the level of T7-T8 vertebrae. Primary outcomes were: hospitalization, mechanical ventilation (MV) and/or death, death alone. Secondary outcomes were: C-reactive protein (CRP), oxygen saturation (SO2), CT disease extension at hospital presentation. The mediation of body composition in the effect of age on death was explored. Of the 318 patients included in the study (median age 65.7 years, females 37.7%), 205 (64.5%) were hospitalized, 68 (21.4%) needed MV, and 58 (18.2%) died. Increased muscle density was a protective factor while increased TAT, VAT, and IMAT were risk factors for hospitalization and MV/death. All these parameters except TAT had borderline effects on death alone. All parameters were associated with SO2 and extension of lung parenchymal involvement at CT; VAT was associated with CRP. Approximately 3% of the effect of age on death was mediated by decreased muscle density. In conclusion, low muscle quality and ectopic fat accumulation were associated with COVID-19 outcomes, VAT was associated with baseline inflammation. Low muscle quality partly mediated the effect of age on mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Massimo Pellegrini
- Clinical Nutrition Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Department of Biomedical, Metabolic and Neural Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
- * E-mail:
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Michele Cantini
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Jovana Milic
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Radiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giovanni Dolci
- Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giulia Cassone
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
- Rheumatology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Guido Ligabue
- Radiology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Modena, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Lucia Spaggiari
- Radiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | | | - Tommaso Fasano
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Simone Canovi
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Carlo Salvarani
- Rheumatology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giovanni Guaraldi
- Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Paolo Giorgi Rossi
- Epidemiology Unit, Azienda USL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
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25
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Besutti G, Ottone M, Fasano T, Pattacini P, Iotti V, Spaggiari L, Bonacini R, Nitrosi A, Bonelli E, Canovi S, Colla R, Zerbini A, Massari M, Lattuada I, Ferrari AM, Giorgi Rossi P. The value of computed tomography in assessing the risk of death in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency room. Eur Radiol 2021; 31:9164-9175. [PMID: 33978822 PMCID: PMC8113019 DOI: 10.1007/s00330-021-07993-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2020] [Revised: 03/22/2021] [Accepted: 04/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
Objective The aims of this study were to develop a multiparametric prognostic model for death in COVID-19 patients and to assess the incremental value of CT disease extension over clinical parameters. Methods Consecutive patients who presented to all five of the emergency rooms of the Reggio Emilia province between February 27 and March 23, 2020, for suspected COVID-19, underwent chest CT, and had a positive swab within 10 days were included in this retrospective study. Age, sex, comorbidities, days from symptom onset, and laboratory data were retrieved from institutional information systems. CT disease extension was visually graded as < 20%, 20–39%, 40–59%, or ≥ 60%. The association between clinical and CT variables with death was estimated with univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models; model performance was assessed using k-fold cross-validation for the area under the ROC curve (cvAUC). Results Of the 866 included patients (median age 59.8, women 39.2%), 93 (10.74%) died. Clinical variables significantly associated with death in multivariable model were age, male sex, HDL cholesterol, dementia, heart failure, vascular diseases, time from symptom onset, neutrophils, LDH, and oxygen saturation level. CT disease extension was also independently associated with death (HR = 7.56, 95% CI = 3.49; 16.38 for ≥ 60% extension). cvAUCs were 0.927 (bootstrap bias-corrected 95% CI = 0.899–0.947) for the clinical model and 0.936 (bootstrap bias-corrected 95% CI = 0.912–0.953) when adding CT extension. Conclusions A prognostic model based on clinical variables is highly accurate in predicting death in COVID-19 patients. Adding CT disease extension to the model scarcely improves its accuracy. Key Points • Early identification of COVID-19 patients at higher risk of disease progression and death is crucial; the role of CT scan in defining prognosis is unclear. • A clinical model based on age, sex, comorbidities, days from symptom onset, and laboratory results was highly accurate in predicting death in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency room. • Disease extension assessed with CT was independently associated with death when added to the model but did not produce a valuable increase in accuracy. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00330-021-07993-9.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Besutti
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy. .,Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Tommaso Fasano
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Pattacini
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Valentina Iotti
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Lucia Spaggiari
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Riccardo Bonacini
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Andrea Nitrosi
- Medical Physics Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Radiology Unit, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Via Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Simone Canovi
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Rossana Colla
- Clinical Chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Department of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Alessandro Zerbini
- Autoimmunity, Allergology and Innovative Biotechnology Laboratory, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marco Massari
- Infectious Diseases Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Ivana Lattuada
- Emergency Department, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
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26
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Karam M, Althuwaikh S, Alazemi M, Abul A, Hayre A, Alsaif A, Barlow G. Chest CT versus RT-PCR for the detection of COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies. JRSM Open 2021; 12:20542704211011837. [PMID: 34035931 PMCID: PMC8127597 DOI: 10.1177/20542704211011837] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To compare the performance of chest computed tomography (CT) scan versus reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) as the reference standard in the initial diagnostic assessment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. DESIGN A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines. A search of electronic information was conducted using the following databases: MEDLINE, EMBASE, EMCARE, CINAHL and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. SETTING Studies that compared the diagnostic performance within the same patient cohort of chest CT scan versus RT-PCR in COVID-19 suspected patients. PARTICIPANTS Thirteen non-randomised studies enrolling 4092 patients were identified. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy were primary outcome measures. Secondary outcomes included other test performance characteristics and discrepant findings between both investigations. RESULTS Chest CT had a median sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 0.91 (range 0.82-0.98), 0.775 (0.25-1.00) and 0.87 (0.68-0.99), respectively, with RT-PCR as the reference. Importantly, early small, China-based studies tended to favour chest CT versus later larger, non-China studies. CONCLUSIONS A relatively high false positive rate can be expected with chest CT. It is possible it may still be useful to provide circumstantial evidence, however, in some patients with a suspicious clinical presentation of COVID-19 and negative initial Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 RT-PCR tests, but more evidence is required in this context. In acute cardiorespiratory presentations, negative CT scan and RT-PCR tests is likely to be reassuring.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Mohammad Alazemi
- School of Medical Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Ahmad Abul
- School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Amrit Hayre
- School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | | | - Gavin Barlow
- Experimental Medicine and Biomedicine, Hull York Medical School, University of York, York, UK
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27
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Islam N, Ebrahimzadeh S, Salameh JP, Kazi S, Fabiano N, Treanor L, Absi M, Hallgrimson Z, Leeflang MM, Hooft L, van der Pol CB, Prager R, Hare SS, Dennie C, Spijker R, Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, Jenniskens K, Korevaar DA, Cohen JF, Van den Bruel A, Takwoingi Y, van de Wijgert J, Damen JA, Wang J, McInnes MD. Thoracic imaging tests for the diagnosis of COVID-19. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2021; 3:CD013639. [PMID: 33724443 PMCID: PMC8078565 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd013639.pub4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The respiratory illness caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection continues to present diagnostic challenges. Our 2020 edition of this review showed thoracic (chest) imaging to be sensitive and moderately specific in the diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In this update, we include new relevant studies, and have removed studies with case-control designs, and those not intended to be diagnostic test accuracy studies. OBJECTIVES To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of thoracic imaging (computed tomography (CT), X-ray and ultrasound) in people with suspected COVID-19. SEARCH METHODS We searched the COVID-19 Living Evidence Database from the University of Bern, the Cochrane COVID-19 Study Register, The Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library, and repositories of COVID-19 publications through to 30 September 2020. We did not apply any language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA We included studies of all designs, except for case-control, that recruited participants of any age group suspected to have COVID-19 and that reported estimates of test accuracy or provided data from which we could compute estimates. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS The review authors independently and in duplicate screened articles, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and applicability concerns using the QUADAS-2 domain-list. We presented the results of estimated sensitivity and specificity using paired forest plots, and we summarised pooled estimates in tables. We used a bivariate meta-analysis model where appropriate. We presented the uncertainty of accuracy estimates using 95% confidence intervals (CIs). MAIN RESULTS We included 51 studies with 19,775 participants suspected of having COVID-19, of whom 10,155 (51%) had a final diagnosis of COVID-19. Forty-seven studies evaluated one imaging modality each, and four studies evaluated two imaging modalities each. All studies used RT-PCR as the reference standard for the diagnosis of COVID-19, with 47 studies using only RT-PCR and four studies using a combination of RT-PCR and other criteria (such as clinical signs, imaging tests, positive contacts, and follow-up phone calls) as the reference standard. Studies were conducted in Europe (33), Asia (13), North America (3) and South America (2); including only adults (26), all ages (21), children only (1), adults over 70 years (1), and unclear (2); in inpatients (2), outpatients (32), and setting unclear (17). Risk of bias was high or unclear in thirty-two (63%) studies with respect to participant selection, 40 (78%) studies with respect to reference standard, 30 (59%) studies with respect to index test, and 24 (47%) studies with respect to participant flow. For chest CT (41 studies, 16,133 participants, 8110 (50%) cases), the sensitivity ranged from 56.3% to 100%, and specificity ranged from 25.4% to 97.4%. The pooled sensitivity of chest CT was 87.9% (95% CI 84.6 to 90.6) and the pooled specificity was 80.0% (95% CI 74.9 to 84.3). There was no statistical evidence indicating that reference standard conduct and definition for index test positivity were sources of heterogeneity for CT studies. Nine chest CT studies (2807 participants, 1139 (41%) cases) used the COVID-19 Reporting and Data System (CO-RADS) scoring system, which has five thresholds to define index test positivity. At a CO-RADS threshold of 5 (7 studies), the sensitivity ranged from 41.5% to 77.9% and the pooled sensitivity was 67.0% (95% CI 56.4 to 76.2); the specificity ranged from 83.5% to 96.2%; and the pooled specificity was 91.3% (95% CI 87.6 to 94.0). At a CO-RADS threshold of 4 (7 studies), the sensitivity ranged from 56.3% to 92.9% and the pooled sensitivity was 83.5% (95% CI 74.4 to 89.7); the specificity ranged from 77.2% to 90.4% and the pooled specificity was 83.6% (95% CI 80.5 to 86.4). For chest X-ray (9 studies, 3694 participants, 2111 (57%) cases) the sensitivity ranged from 51.9% to 94.4% and specificity ranged from 40.4% to 88.9%. The pooled sensitivity of chest X-ray was 80.6% (95% CI 69.1 to 88.6) and the pooled specificity was 71.5% (95% CI 59.8 to 80.8). For ultrasound of the lungs (5 studies, 446 participants, 211 (47%) cases) the sensitivity ranged from 68.2% to 96.8% and specificity ranged from 21.3% to 78.9%. The pooled sensitivity of ultrasound was 86.4% (95% CI 72.7 to 93.9) and the pooled specificity was 54.6% (95% CI 35.3 to 72.6). Based on an indirect comparison using all included studies, chest CT had a higher specificity than ultrasound. For indirect comparisons of chest CT and chest X-ray, or chest X-ray and ultrasound, the data did not show differences in specificity or sensitivity. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS Our findings indicate that chest CT is sensitive and moderately specific for the diagnosis of COVID-19. Chest X-ray is moderately sensitive and moderately specific for the diagnosis of COVID-19. Ultrasound is sensitive but not specific for the diagnosis of COVID-19. Thus, chest CT and ultrasound may have more utility for excluding COVID-19 than for differentiating SARS-CoV-2 infection from other causes of respiratory illness. Future diagnostic accuracy studies should pre-define positive imaging findings, include direct comparisons of the various modalities of interest in the same participant population, and implement improved reporting practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nayaar Islam
- Department of Radiology , University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | | | - Sakib Kazi
- Department of Radiology , University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Lee Treanor
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Marissa Absi
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Mariska Mg Leeflang
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Lotty Hooft
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht , Netherlands
| | | | - Ross Prager
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa , Ottawa, Canada
| | - Samanjit S Hare
- Department of Radiology , Royal Free London NHS Trust, London , UK
| | - Carole Dennie
- Department of Radiology , University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Medical Imaging, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Canada
| | - René Spijker
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht , Netherlands
- Medical Library, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Jonathan J Deeks
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Jacqueline Dinnes
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham , UK
| | - Kevin Jenniskens
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Daniël A Korevaar
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Jérémie F Cohen
- Obstetrical, Perinatal and Pediatric Epidemiology Research Team (EPOPé), Centre of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics (CRESS), UMR1153, Université de Paris, Paris, France
| | | | - Yemisi Takwoingi
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Test Evaluation Research Group, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Janneke van de Wijgert
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Johanna Aag Damen
- Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Junfeng Wang
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Matthew Df McInnes
- Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
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28
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Canovi S, Besutti G, Bonelli E, Iotti V, Ottone M, Albertazzi L, Zerbini A, Pattacini P, Giorgi Rossi P, Colla R, Fasano T. The association between clinical laboratory data and chest CT findings explains disease severity in a large Italian cohort of COVID-19 patients. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:157. [PMID: 33557778 PMCID: PMC7868898 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-05855-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2020] [Accepted: 01/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Laboratory data and computed tomography (CT) have been used during the COVID-19 pandemic, mainly to determine patient prognosis and guide clinical management. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between CT findings and laboratory data in a cohort of COVID-19 patients. METHODS This was an observational cross-sectional study including consecutive patients presenting to the Reggio Emilia (Italy) province emergency rooms for suspected COVID-19 for one month during the outbreak peak, who underwent chest CT scan and laboratory testing at presentation and resulted positive for SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS Included were 866 patients. Total leukocytes, neutrophils, C-reactive protein (CRP), creatinine, AST, ALT and LDH increase with worsening parenchymal involvement; an increase in platelets was appreciable with the highest burden of lung involvement. A decrease in lymphocyte counts paralleled worsening parenchymal extension, along with reduced arterial oxygen partial pressure and saturation. After correcting for parenchymal extension, ground-glass opacities were associated with reduced platelets and increased procalcitonin, consolidation with increased CRP and reduced oxygen saturation. CONCLUSIONS Pulmonary lesions induced by SARS-CoV-2 infection were associated with raised inflammatory response, impaired gas exchange and end-organ damage. These data suggest that lung lesions probably exert a central role in COVID-19 pathogenesis and clinical presentation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simone Canovi
- Clinical chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
| | - Giulia Besutti
- Radiology Unit, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Efrem Bonelli
- Clinical chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy.,Radiology Unit, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Valentina Iotti
- Radiology Unit, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Marta Ottone
- Epidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Laura Albertazzi
- Clinical chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Alessandro Zerbini
- Laboratory of autoimmunity, allergology and innovative biotechnologies, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Pattacini
- Radiology Unit, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Paolo Giorgi Rossi
- Epidemiology Unit, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento, 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Rossana Colla
- Clinical chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Tommaso Fasano
- Clinical chemistry and Endocrinology Laboratory, Departement of Diagnostic Imaging and Laboratory Medicine, AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, viale Risorgimento 80, 42123, Reggio Emilia, Italy
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29
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Arevalo-Rodriguez I, Buitrago-Garcia D, Simancas-Racines D, Zambrano-Achig P, Del Campo R, Ciapponi A, Sued O, Martinez-García L, Rutjes AW, Low N, Bossuyt PM, Perez-Molina JA, Zamora J. False-negative results of initial RT-PCR assays for COVID-19: A systematic review. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0242958. [PMID: 33301459 PMCID: PMC7728293 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 388] [Impact Index Per Article: 77.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2020] [Accepted: 11/12/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A false-negative case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is defined as a person with suspected infection and an initial negative result by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test, with a positive result on a subsequent test. False-negative cases have important implications for isolation and risk of transmission of infected people and for the management of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to review and critically appraise evidence about the rate of RT-PCR false-negatives at initial testing for COVID-19. METHODS We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS, as well as COVID-19 repositories, including the EPPI-Centre living systematic map of evidence about COVID-19 and the Coronavirus Open Access Project living evidence database. Two authors independently screened and selected studies according to the eligibility criteria and collected data from the included studies. The risk of bias was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. We calculated the proportion of false-negative test results using a multilevel mixed-effect logistic regression model. The certainty of the evidence about false-negative cases was rated using the GRADE approach for tests and strategies. All information in this article is current up to July 17, 2020. RESULTS We included 34 studies enrolling 12,057 COVID-19 confirmed cases. All studies were affected by several risks of bias and applicability concerns. The pooled estimate of false-negative proportion was highly affected by unexplained heterogeneity (tau-squared = 1.39; 90% prediction interval from 0.02 to 0.54). The certainty of the evidence was judged as very low due to the risk of bias, indirectness, and inconsistency issues. CONCLUSIONS There is substantial and largely unexplained heterogeneity in the proportion of false-negative RT-PCR results. The collected evidence has several limitations, including risk of bias issues, high heterogeneity, and concerns about its applicability. Nonetheless, our findings reinforce the need for repeated testing in patients with suspicion of SARS-Cov-2 infection given that up to 54% of COVID-19 patients may have an initial false-negative RT-PCR (very low certainty of evidence). SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION Protocol available on the OSF website: https://tinyurl.com/vvbgqya.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ingrid Arevalo-Rodriguez
- Clinical Biostatistics Unit, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal- IRYCIS, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
| | - Diana Buitrago-Garcia
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Daniel Simancas-Racines
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Pública y Epidemiología Clínica (CISPEC), Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud “Eugenio Espejo”, Universidad UTE, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Paula Zambrano-Achig
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Rosa Del Campo
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Agustin Ciapponi
- Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria (IECS-CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Omar Sued
- Fundación Huésped, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Laura Martinez-García
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Anne W. Rutjes
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Nicola Low
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Patrick M. Bossuyt
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Amsterdam University Medical Centres, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Jose A. Perez-Molina
- Infectious Diseases Department, National Referral Centre for Tropical Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain
- Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria, Madrid, Spain
| | - Javier Zamora
- Clinical Biostatistics Unit, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal- IRYCIS, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
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30
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Arevalo-Rodriguez I, Buitrago-Garcia D, Simancas-Racines D, Zambrano-Achig P, Del Campo R, Ciapponi A, Sued O, Martinez-García L, Rutjes AW, Low N, Bossuyt PM, Perez-Molina JA, Zamora J. False-negative results of initial RT-PCR assays for COVID-19: A systematic review. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0242958. [PMID: 33301459 DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.16.20066787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 93] [Impact Index Per Article: 18.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2020] [Accepted: 11/12/2020] [Indexed: 05/23/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A false-negative case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is defined as a person with suspected infection and an initial negative result by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test, with a positive result on a subsequent test. False-negative cases have important implications for isolation and risk of transmission of infected people and for the management of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to review and critically appraise evidence about the rate of RT-PCR false-negatives at initial testing for COVID-19. METHODS We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS, as well as COVID-19 repositories, including the EPPI-Centre living systematic map of evidence about COVID-19 and the Coronavirus Open Access Project living evidence database. Two authors independently screened and selected studies according to the eligibility criteria and collected data from the included studies. The risk of bias was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. We calculated the proportion of false-negative test results using a multilevel mixed-effect logistic regression model. The certainty of the evidence about false-negative cases was rated using the GRADE approach for tests and strategies. All information in this article is current up to July 17, 2020. RESULTS We included 34 studies enrolling 12,057 COVID-19 confirmed cases. All studies were affected by several risks of bias and applicability concerns. The pooled estimate of false-negative proportion was highly affected by unexplained heterogeneity (tau-squared = 1.39; 90% prediction interval from 0.02 to 0.54). The certainty of the evidence was judged as very low due to the risk of bias, indirectness, and inconsistency issues. CONCLUSIONS There is substantial and largely unexplained heterogeneity in the proportion of false-negative RT-PCR results. The collected evidence has several limitations, including risk of bias issues, high heterogeneity, and concerns about its applicability. Nonetheless, our findings reinforce the need for repeated testing in patients with suspicion of SARS-Cov-2 infection given that up to 54% of COVID-19 patients may have an initial false-negative RT-PCR (very low certainty of evidence). SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION Protocol available on the OSF website: https://tinyurl.com/vvbgqya.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ingrid Arevalo-Rodriguez
- Clinical Biostatistics Unit, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal- IRYCIS, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
| | - Diana Buitrago-Garcia
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Daniel Simancas-Racines
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Pública y Epidemiología Clínica (CISPEC), Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud "Eugenio Espejo", Universidad UTE, Quito, Ecuador
| | - Paula Zambrano-Achig
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Rosa Del Campo
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Agustin Ciapponi
- Instituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria (IECS-CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Omar Sued
- Fundación Huésped, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Laura Martinez-García
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
- Department of Microbiology, Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
| | - Anne W Rutjes
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Nicola Low
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Graduate School for Health Sciences, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Patrick M Bossuyt
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Amsterdam University Medical Centres, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Jose A Perez-Molina
- Infectious Diseases Department, National Referral Centre for Tropical Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain
- Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria, Madrid, Spain
| | - Javier Zamora
- Clinical Biostatistics Unit, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal- IRYCIS, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health, Madrid, Spain
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
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