Prospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2024.
World J Gastroenterol. Mar 7, 2024; 30(9): 1177-1188
Published online Mar 7, 2024. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v30.i9.1177
Table 1 Baseline characteristics of patients from study cohort according to 365-d survival, n (%)
Variable
Survivors1 (n = 220)
Non-survivors (n = 78)
P value
Multivariate Cox regression
HR (95%CI)
P value
Age (yr)51 ± 1252 ± 110.692
Sex, female68 (31)23 (30)0.815
Etiology
        HBV149 (68)48 (62)0.321
        HCV17 (8)3 (4)0.239
        Alcohol30 (14)15 (19)0.236
        Autoimmune27 (12)10 (13)0.900
        Others15 (7)10 (13)0.100
ACLF12 (6)28 (36)< 0.001
Bacterial infection64 (29)40 (51)< 0.001
UGIB40 (18)16 (21)0.651
Ascites160 (73)64 (82)0.101
HE (I-II/III-IV)18/312/60.0031.669 (1.094-2.546)0.017
WBC (×109/L)4.6 (3.1-6.0)6.4 (4.4-9.4)< 0.0010.627
Hb (g/L)111 (87-126)106 (80-124)0.132
Platelets (×109/L)71 (45-113)60 (45-102)0.226
Albumin (g/L)30 (27-34)29 (24-33)0.0300.213
ALT (U/L)46 (27-120)77 (35-296)0.0210.581
AST (U/L)64 (38-138)107 (62-258)0.0010.123
TBil (mg/dL)3.0 (1.3-9.8)11.7 (4.5-25.9)< 0.0011.333 (1.053-1.688)0.017
INR1.4 (1.2-1.7)1.9 (1.5-2.6)< 0.0018.546 (3.850-18.968)< 0.001
Creatinine (mg/dL)0.8 (0.6-0.9)0.8 (0.6-1.1)0.112
BUN (mmol/L)4.7 (3.5-6.7)6.0 (3.8-10.2)0.0032.065 (1.345-3.171)0.001
Sodium (mmol/L)138 (135-140)135 (130-138)< 0.0010.529
CRP (mg/L)3.2 (1.9-4.0)3.9 (3.4-4.3)< 0.0010.070
PCT (μg/L)0.1 (0.1-0.3)0.3 (0.1-0.7)< 0.0010.403
sCD14-ST (mg/L)1.2 (1.0-1.5)1.3 (1.0-1.6)0.170
sTREM-1 (μg/L)0.8 (0.6-1.1)1.2 (0.9-1.6)< 0.0012.163 (1.295-3.614)0.003
Organ failure
        Liver43 (20)39 (50)< 0.001
        Coagulation6 (3)20 (26)< 0.001
        Cerebral3 (1)6 (8)0.015
        Lung0 (0)0 (0)1.000
        Circulation2 (1)0 (0)1.000
        Kidney3 (1)6 (8)0.015
MELD11 (6-17)22 (11-26)< 0.001
MELD-Na11 (7-19)24 (17-30)< 0.001
CLIF-C ACLF33 ± 740 ± 9< 0.001
CLIF-C AD44 ± 955 ± 12< 0.001
P-AD2.6 (2.1-3.4)4.4 (3.2-5.1)< 0.001
Table 2 Baseline characteristics of patients according to the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure during 28-d follow-up, n (%)
Variable
No ACLF during1 Follow-up (n = 340)
ACLF during
Follow-up (n = 36)
P value
Multivariate logistic regression
RR (95%CI)
P value
Age (yr)51 ± 1251 ± 120.959
Sex, female120 (35%)8 (22%)0.115
Etiology
        HBV204 (60%)27 (75%)0.079
        HCV28 (8%)1 (3%)0.402
        Alcohol54 (16%)5 (14%)0.755
        Autoimmune48 (14%)3 (8%)0.479
        Others29 (9%)3 (8%)0.968
Bacterial infection105 (31%)21 (58%)0.001
UGIB71 (21%)4 (11%)0.240
Ascites240 (71%)33 (92%)0.0120.057
HE (I-II/III-IV)25/60/00.167
WBC (×109/L)4.5 (3.0-6.1)6.3 (4.8-8.1)< 0.0010.991
Hb (g/L)108 (87-124)116 (102-126)0.165
Platelets (×109/L)69 (47-111)63 (45-91)0.247
Albumin (g/L)30 (27-34)30 (26-33)0.744
ALT (U/L)46 (26-118)132 (67-321)< 0.0010.236
AST (U/L)63 (38-136)183 (107-326)< 0.0011.971 (1.228-3.163)0.005
TBil (mg/dL)3.1 (1.4-8.9)16.1 (10.0-26.8)< 0.0013.151 (1.717-5.782)< 0.001
INR1.4 (1.2-1.7)1.9 (1.6-2.2)< 0.00113.841 (2.021-94.767)0.007
Creatinine (mg/dL)0.7 (0.6-0.9)0.8 (0.6-1.0)0.2970.929
BUN (mmol/L)4.6 (3.5-6.7)5.6 (3.5-8.2)0.2193.302 (1.352-8.067)0.009
Sodium (mmol/L)138 (135-140)136 (132-139)0.0160.962
CRP (mg/L)3.2 (1.6-4.0)3.7 (3.3-4.1)0.0060.339
PCT (μg/L)0.1 (0.1-0.3)0.4 (0.2-0.6)< 0.0010.709
sCD14-ST (mg/L)1.2 (1.0-1.5)1.2 (1.0-1.6)0.226
sTREM-1 (μg/L)0.8 (0.6-1.0)1.2 (1.0-1.3)< 0.0013.023 (1.053-8.677)0.040
Organ failure
        Liver58 (17%)21 (58%)< 0.001
        Coagulation5 (2%)5 (14%)< 0.001
        Cerebral6 (2%)0 (0%)1.000
        Lung0 (0%)0 (0%)1.000
        Circulation1 (0%)0 (0%)1.000
        Kidney0 (0%)0 (0%)1.000
MELD11 ± 720 ± 5< 0.001
MELD-Na12 (7-18)24 (20-29)< 0.001
CLIF-C ACLF33 (28-38)39 (35-42)< 0.001
CLIF-C AD44 ± 853 ± 8< 0.001
P-AD2.6 (2.1-3.3)4.1 (3.5-4.5)< 0.001
ACLF-R6.6 (5.0-8.4)10.5 (9.7-11.3)< 0.001
Table 3 Efficiency of prognostic scores to predict development of acute-on-chronic liver failure during 28-d follow-up
Score
AUROC
95% CI
P value1
P value2
ACLF-R0.910.88-0.94
P-AD0.870.83-0.900.012
MELD0.840.80-0.880.3970.013
MELD-Na0.830.79-0.870.2250.004
CLIF-C AD0.800.75-0.840.0290.003
CLIF-C ACLF0.780.74-0.820.006< 0.001