Brief Article
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World J Gastroenterol. Nov 28, 2013; 19(44): 8093-8098
Published online Nov 28, 2013. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v19.i44.8093
“Metroticket” predictor for assessing liver transplantation to treat hepatocellular carcinoma: A single-center analysis in mainland China
Jian-Yong Lei, Wen-Tao Wang, Lu-Nan Yan
Jian-Yong Lei, Wen-Tao Wang, Lu-Nan Yan, Liver Transplantation Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China
Author contributions: Wang WT proposed the study; Lei JY and Wang WT performed the research and wrote the first draft; Lei JY collected and analyzed the data; all authors contributed to the design and interpretation of the study and to further drafts.
Correspondence to: Wen-Tao Wang, MD, PhD, Liver Transplantation Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China. zzphuaxiyiyuanno1@163.com
Telephone: +86-28-85422867 Fax: +86-28-85422867
Received: September 10, 2013
Revised: October 17, 2013
Accepted: November 1, 2013
Published online: November 28, 2013
Core Tip

Core tip: The aim of our study was to validate the “Metroticket” predictor using a large cohort of liver transplantation (LT) patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The predicted survival rates for all 230 cases, as calculated by the Metroticket model, were 64.7% and 56.2% at 3 and 5 years, respectively, and the observed survival rates for these patients were 71.3% and 62.2%, respectively. For the 23 cases with macrovascular invasion, the predicted 5-year survival rate was 43.5%, whereas the observed 5-year survival rate was only 8.7%. The Metroticket model can be used to accurately predict survival in HCC-related LT cases with an absence of macrovascular invasion.