Observational Study
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World J Gastroenterol. Nov 14, 2014; 20(42): 15805-15814
Published online Nov 14, 2014. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v20.i42.15805
Can composite performance measures predict survival of patients with colorectal cancer?
Kuo-Piao Chung, Li-Ju Chen, Yao-Jen Chang, Yun-Jau Chang
Kuo-Piao Chung, Li-Ju Chen, Graduate Institute of Health Policy and Management, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10055, Taiwan
Li-Ju Chen, Department of Ophthalmology, Heping Branch, Taipei City Hospital, Taipei 10065, Taiwan
Yao-Jen Chang, Department of General Surgery, Buddhist Xindian Tzu Chi General Hospital, Xindian City, Taipei 23142, Taiwan
Yun-Jau Chang, Department of General Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei 10002, Taiwan
Yun-Jau Chang, Department of General Surgery, Zhongxing Branch, Taipei City Hospital, Taipei 10341, Taiwan
Author contributions: Chen LJ drafted and revised the manuscript; Chang YJ conceived of and designed the study; Chang YJ analyzed the data, and participated in interpretation and discussion of results; Chung KP participated in data acquisition and reviewed the manuscript; all authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Supported by Bureau of Health Promotion, Department of Health, Taiwan No. DOH98-NH-1004
Correspondence to: Yun-Jau Chang, MD, PhD, Department of General Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, No. 7 Zhongshan South Road, Zhongzheng District, Taipei 10002, Taiwan. yunjauchang2003@gmail.com
Telephone: +886-2-25523234-6258 Fax: +886-2-23581541
Received: November 6, 2013
Revised: March 24, 2014
Accepted: May 19, 2014
Published online: November 14, 2014
Abstract

AIM: To assess the relationship between long-term colorectal patient survival and methods of calculating composite performance scores.

METHODS: The Taiwan Cancer Database was used to identify patients who underwent bowel resection for colorectal adenocarcinoma between 2003 and 2004. Patients were assigned to one of three cohorts based on tumor staging: cohort 1, colon cancer stage < III; cohort 2, colon cancer stage III; cohort 3, rectal cancer. A composite performance score (CPS) was calculated for each patient using five different aggregating methods, including all-or-none, 70% standard, equal weight, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and principal component analysis (PCA) algorithms. The relationships between CPS and five-year overall, disease-free, and disease-specific survivals were evaluated by a Cox proportional hazards model. A goodness-of-fit analysis for all five methods was performed using Akaike’s information criterion.

RESULTS: A total of 3272 colorectal cancer patients (cohort 1, 1164; cohort 2, 790; cohort 3, 1318 patients) with a mean age of 65 years were enrolled in the study. Bivariate correlation analysis showed that CPS values from the equal weight method were highly correlated with those from the AHP method in all cohorts (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox hazards analysis showed that CPS values derived from equal weight and AHP methods were significantly associated with five-year survivals of patients in cohorts 1 and 2 (all P < 0.05). In these cohorts, higher CPS values suggested a higher probability of five-year survival. However, CPS values derived from the all-or-none method did not show any significant process-outcome relationship in any cohort. Goodness-of-fit analyses showed that CPS values derived from the PCA method were the best fit to the Cox proportional hazards model, whereas the values from the all-or-none model showed the poorest fit.

CONCLUSION: CPS values may highlight process-outcome relationships for patients with colorectal cancer in addition to evaluating quality of care performance.

Keywords: Performance measure, Composite performance score, Colon cancer, Rectal cancer, Patient survival, Analytic hierarchy process, Principal component analysis

Core tip: Performance measures allow healthcare stakeholders to evaluate the quality of services provided and maintained by healthcare organizations. However, it is unknown whether the implementation of performance measurements may also improve patient outcome. This study aimed to investigate the association between composite performance scores calculated with five different algorithms and survival of surgical patients with non-stage IV colorectal cancer. Models with weighted schemes showed that higher performance scores correlated with increased five-year survivals. However, the most stringent criterion-based strategy, the all-or-none method, failed to show any association.