Case Control Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2024.
World J Gastroenterol. Apr 21, 2024; 30(15): 2118-2127
Published online Apr 21, 2024. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v30.i15.2118
Table 1 Characteristics of the study population and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography procedures
Before matching
After matching
Total, n = 254
ERCP ≤ 24 h, n = 102
ERCP > 24 h, n = 152
P value
Total, n = 186
ERCP ≤ 24 h, n = 93
ERCP > 24 h, n = 93
P value
Age, yr69.47 ± 15.8170.73 ± 15.2468.63 ± 16.180.36270.32 ± 15.3971.05 ± 15.2669.58 ± 15.560.515
Male sex, n (%)121 (47.6)58 (56.9)63 (41.4)0.01694 (50.5)54 (58.1)40 (43)0.04
CCI1 (0-7)1 (0-5)1 (0-7)0.1081 (0-7)1 (0-3)1 (0-7)0.187
Past medical history
ERCP, n (%)30 (11.8)13 (12.7)17 (11.2)0.70622 (11.8)13 (14)9 (9.7)0.364
Cholecystectomy, n (%)67 (26.4)27 (26.5)40 (26.3)0.97844 (23.7)22 (23.7)22 (23.7)1
Lab values
WBC count as/μL10.32 ± 6.7112.57 ± 6.618.81 ± 6.37< 0.00110.58 ± 7.0312.11 ± 6.449.06 ± 7.30.003
Platelet count as/μL173.96 ± 71.08164.21 ± 73.35180.5 ± 68.990.594168.11 ± 71.33164.85 ± 74.65171.38 ± 68.090.534
CRP in mg/L75.17 ± 76.0394.9 ± 79.3261.75 ± 70.95< 0.00178.53 ± 76.689.66 ± 76.3776.37 ± 75.750.079
NLR (%)7.94 (0.81-106.31)15.67 (1.36-106.31)6.9 (0.805-64.13)< 0.00118.545 (2.55-64.13)19.87 (11.2)16.42 (2.55-64.13)< 0.001
INR1.2 ± 0.221.23 ± 0.971.14 ± 0.92< 0.0011.21 ± 0.231.25 ± 0.271.17 ± 0.170.012
D2 polymers657 (0.21-26652)1567 (76-26652)504 (0.38-15502)< 0.0011193.5 (479-15502)1455 (479-4811)832 (504-15502)0.005
Creatinine in mg/dL0.826 (0.34-8.32)1.01 (0.34-5.86)0.76 (0.44-8.32)< 0.0011.10 (0.77-5.86)1.15 (0.77-5.86)1.02 (0.79-3.1)0.013
TB in mg/dL2.61 (0.28-22.52)3.7 (0.29-15.02)2.14 (0.28-22.52)0.0213.58 ± 2.983.78 ± 2.83.38 ± 3.140.363
AST in U/L108.5 (13-4051)128.5 (13-744)104 (15-4051)0.168118 (40-539)131 (40-497)116 (46-539)0.53
ALT in U/L201.68 ± 206.61196.67 ± 173.10205.03 ± 226.840.652222 (68-512)259 (68-512)209 (88-479)0.55
γ-GT in U/L406.66 ± 354.98425.8 ± 376.89393.82 ± 340.160.463383.61 ± 332.61405.97 ± 347.74361.25 ± 361.250.361
Albumin in g/dL35.8 (15.9-46.6)35.9 (15.9-48.7)37.8 (25.1-49.1)0.03333.7 (24.3-36.1)32.6 (24.3-35.7)33.8 (25.4-36.1)0.163
Tokyo Score
348 (28)39 (38.2)32 (21.1)0.00358 (31.2)35 (37.6)23 (24.7)0.058
2206 (72)63 (61.8)120 (78.9)128 (68.8)58 (62.4)70 (75.3)
ERCP procedure
Door to ERCP time in h48 (1-312)8.5 (1-24)120 (27-312)< 0.00125.5 (1-312)9 (1-24)120 (27-312)< 0.001
ERCP procedure time (min)60 (25-780)60 (30-200)60 (30-335)0.71460 (26-780)60 (30-200)60 (30-335)0.52
One-stage ERCP, n (%)254 (100)102 (100)152 (100)1186 (100)93 (100)93 (100)1
CBD, n (%)254 (100)102 (100)152 (100)1186 (100)93 (100)93 (100)1
Stones size (mm)8 (2-25)9 (2-25)8 (2-25)0.2228 (2-25)9 (2-25)8 (2-25)0.368
Multiple stones, n (%)109 (42.9)35 (34.3)74 (48.7)0.02379 (42.5)32 (34.4)47 (50.5)0.026
Common bile duct width (mm)13 (4-33)14 (4-33)14 (5-33)0.01613 (4-33)13 (4-33)12.1 (5-25)0.038
EST, n (%)177 (69.7)75 (73.5)102 (67.1)0.275128 (68.8)69 (74.2)59 (63.4)0.113
EPBD, n (%)204 (80.3)90 (88.2)114 (75)0.009149 (80.1)83 (89.2)66 (71)0.002
Pancreatic stent placement, n (%)21 (8.3)5 (4.9)16 (10.5)0.11115 (8.1)5 (5.4)10 (10.8)0.178
Nasal Biliary Drainage Catheter placement, n (%)251 (98.8)100 (98)151 (99.3)0.346183 (98.4)91 (97.8)92 (98.9)0.561
HLL, n (%)21 (8.3)11 (10.8)10 (6.6)0.23316 (8.6)11 (11.8)5 (5.4)0.117
Table 2 Outcomes of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography
Before matching
After matching
Total, n = 254
ERCP ≤ 24 h, n = 102
ERCP > 24 h, n = 152
P value
Total, n = 186
ERCP ≤ 24 h, n = 93
ERCP > 24 h, n = 93
P value
ERCP intervention type, n (%)
Complete stone removal250 (98.4)101 (99)149 (98)0.533184 (98.9)92 (98.9)92 (98.9)1
Biliary stent insertion4 (1.6)1 (1)3 (2)0.5332 (1.1)1 (1.1)1 (1.1)1
Technical success rate, n (%)250 (98.4)101(99)149 (98)0.533183 (98.4)92 (98.9)91 (98)0.561
ERCP failure, n (%)4 (1.6)1 (1)3 (2)0.5333 (1.6)1 (1.1)2 (2.2)1
Duration of antibiotic use (d)7 (1-28)6 (2-15)8 (2-26)< 0.0017 (2-28)6 (2-18)9 (2-28)< 0.001
In-hospital mortality, n (%)3 (1.2)03 (2)0.1532 (1.1)02 (2.2)0.155
30-d mortality, n (%)7 (2.8)2 (2)5 (3.3)0.5265 (2.7)2 (2.2)3 (3.2)0.65
Recurrent cholangitis, n (%)7 (2.8)3 (2.9)4 (2.6)0.8836 (3.2)3 (3.2)3 (3.2)1
LOHS, (d)10 (3-71)9 (3-39)18 (5-71)< 0.0019 (3-71)9 (3-39)18.5 (7-71)< 0.001
Required ICU stay, n (%)61 (24)33 (32.4)28 (18.4)0.01152 (28)32 (34.4)20 (21.5)0.05
ICU stay length, (d)9 (1-71)3 (1-15)8 (1-71)0.0034.5 (1-71)3 (1-15)9 (1-71)< 0.001
30 d readmission, n (%)33 (13)15 (14.7)18 (11.8)0.50629 (15.6)14 (15.1)15 (16.1)0.84
ERCP-related complications, n (%)42 (16.5)18 (17.7)24 (15.8)0.69629 (15.6)16 (17.2)13 (14)0.544
PEP23 (9.1)9 (8.8)14 (9.2)0.91617 (9.1)9 (9.7)8 (8.6)0.799
Cholangitis9 (3.5)6 (5.9)3 (2)0.0997 (3.8)5 (5.4)2 (2.2)0.248
Bleeding6 (2.4)4 (3.9)2 (1.3)0.184 (2.2)3 (3.2)1 (1.1)0.312
Others2 (0.8)2 (2)00.0832 (1.1)2 (2.2)00.155
Table 3 Linear regression analyses to assess intensive care unit length of stay
Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
OR (95%CI)
P value
OR (95%CI)
P value
WBC count0.503 (0.185 to 0.821)0.003-0.092 (-0.305 to 0.12)0.387
Platelet count-0.031 (-0.069 to 0.007)0.105
CRP0.046 (0.009 to 0.082)0.0150.002 (0.021 to 0.024)0.877
NLR-0.006 (-0.181 to 0.169)0.945
INR-4.986 (-15.932 to 5.961)0.365
TB-0.101 (-1.26 to 1.058)0.862
Cr6.248 (4.216 to 8.281)< 0.0011.818 (0.073 to 3.564)0.042
Albumin0.569 (0.043 to 1.095)0.0350.02 (-0.308 to 0.347)0.905
ALT-0.005 (-0.017 to 0.007)0.375
AST-0.001 (-0.007 to 0.005)0.789
Multiple stones-3.31 (-9.87 to 3.249)0.316
CCI1.466 (-0.713 to 3.644)0.183
Age-0.367 (-0.663 to -0.072)0.016-0.086 (-0.256 to 0.083)0.312
Severity of AC3.188 (-3.434 to 9.809)0.338
Time to ERCP0.051 (0.340 to 0.059)< 0.0010.044 (0.033 to 0.056)< 0.001
Common bile duct width-0.002 (-0.34 to 0.335)0.988
Table 4 Outcomes of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in the propensity matched population (Tokyo score 3 subgroup)
Patients with Grade III AC
Total, n = 58
ERCP ≤ 24 h, n = 35
ERCP > 24 h, n = 23
P value
Duration of antibiotic use (d)8 (3-28)7 (3-15)11 (3-28)0.004
In-hospital mortality, n (%)1 (1.7)01 (4.3)0.213
30-d mortality, n (%)4 (6.9)2 (5.7)2 (8.7)0.661
Recurrent cholangitis, n (%)4 (6.9)2 (5.7)2 (8.7)0.661
LOHS, (d)13 (6-71)9 (6-17)20 (14-71)< 0.001
Required ICU stay, n (%)32 (55.2)21 (60)11 (47.8)0.362
ICU stay length, (d)6 (1-71)4 (1-15)11 (1-71)0.014
30 d readmission, n (%)10 (17.2)6 (17.1)4 (17.4)0.98
ERCP-related complications, n (%)11 (19)8 (22.9)3 (13)0.351
PEP4 (6.9)3 (8.6)1 (4.3)0.535
Cholangitis3 (5.2)3 (8.6)00.149
Bleeding2 (3.4)1 (2.9)1 (4.3)0.761
Others1 (1.7)1 (2.9)00.414