Serum metabolomic characteristics and their predictive value for ninety-day prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Table 5 Predictive value of models and parameters for ninety-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Parameter	AUC	Sensitivity (%)	Specificity (%)	Optimal cut-off	95%CI	P value
Age	0.682	68	66.7	0.347	0.541-0.823	0.019
NLR	0.704	64	66.3	0.337	0.569-0.840	0.008
Arg	0.721	76	69.7	0.457	0.584-0.858	0.004
MELD	0.663	60	75.8	0.358	0.521-0.805	0.035
MELD-Na	0.714	80	60.6	0.406	0.580-0.847	0.006
ANA	0.945	88	87.9	0.759	0.893-0.997	0

AUC: Area under the curve; CI: Confidence interval; NLR: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; Arg: Arginine; MELD: Model for end-stage liver disease; MELD-Na: Model for end-stage liver disease with sodium; ANA: Age-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio-arginine.