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Copyright ©The Author(s) 2021.
World J Gastroenterol. May 7, 2021; 27(17): 1920-1935
Published online May 7, 2021. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i17.1920
Table 3 Artificial intelligence in prediction of therapy response and clinical outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease
Ref.
AI classifier vs comparator
IBD type
Study design and sample size
Modality
Outcomes
Study results/validation cohort
Waljee et al[59], 2018Random forest (RF). No comparatorCD/UCPost-hoc analysis of prospective clinical trial, 594 CD patientsVeteran’s Health Administration Electronic Health Record (EHR)Outpatient corticosteroids prescribed for IBD and inpatient hospitalizations associated with a diagnosis of IBDAUC for the RF longitudinal model was 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.84–0.85]. AUC for the RF longitudinal model using previous hospitalization or steroid use was 0.87 (95%CI: 0.87-0.88). Validation cohort included
Uttam et al[60], 2019Support vector machines (SVM) vs nanoscale nuclear architecture mapping (NanoNAM)CD/UCProspective cohort, 103 IBD patients3-dimensional NanoNAM of normal-appearing rectal biopsiesColonic neoplasiaNanoNAM detects colonic neoplasia with an AUC of 0.87 ± 0.04, sensitivity of 0.81 ± 0.09, and specificity of 0.82 ± 0.07 in the independent validation set. Validation cohort included
Waljee et al[61], 2017RF. No comparatorCD/UCRetrospective cohort, 1080 IBD patientsEHR, lab valuesRemission and clinical outcomes with thiopurinesAUC for algorithm-predicted remission in the validation set was 0.79 vs 0.49 for 6-TGN. The mean number of clinical events per year in patients with sustained algorithm-predicted remission (APR) was 1.08 vs 3.95 in those that did not have sustained APR (P < 1 × 10-5). Validation cohort included
Popa et al[62], 2020Neural network model. No comparatorUCProspective cohort, 55 UC patientsClinical and biological parameters and the endoscopic Mayo scoreDisease activity after one year of anti-TNF treatmentThe classifier achieved an excellent performance predicting the disease activity at one year with an accuracy of 90% and AUC 0.92 on the test set and an accuracy of 100% and an AUC of 1 on the validation set. Validation cohort included
Douglas et al[45], 2018RF. No comparatorPeds CDCross-sectional, 20 CD patients, 20 healthy controlsShotgun metagenomics (MGS), 16S rRNA gene sequencingResponse to induction therapy16S genera were again the top dataset (accuracy = 77.8%; P = 0.008) for predicting response to therapy. MGS strain (P = 0.029), genus (P = 0.013), and KEGG pathway (P = 0.018) datasets could also classify patients according to therapy response with accuracy = 72.2% for all three. Validation cohort included
Waljee et al[63], 2010RF vs boosted trees, RuleFitCD/UCCross-sectional, 774 IBD patientsEHR, lab values (thiopurine metabolites)Response to thiopurine therapyA RF algorithm using laboratory values and patient age differentiated clinical response from nonresponse in the model validation data set with an AUC of 0.856 (95%CI: 0.793-0.919). Validation cohort included
Menti et al[64], 2016Naïve bayes vs Bayesian additive regression trees vs Bayesian networksCD/UCRetrospective cohort, 152 CD patientsGenomic DNA, genetic polymorphismPresence of extra-intestinal manifestations in IBD patientsBayesian networks achieved accuracy of 82% when considering only clinical factors and 89% when considering also genetic information, outperforming the other techniques. Validation cohort included
Waljee et al[65], 2017RF vs baseline regression modelCD/UCRetrospective cohort, 20368 IBD patientsEHR, lab valuesCorticosteroid-free biologic remission with vedolizumabThe AUC for corticosteroid-free biologic remission at week 52 using baseline data was only 0.65 (95%CI: 0.53-0.77), but was 0.75 (95%CI: 0.64-0.86) with data through week 6 of vedolizumab. Validation cohort included
Morilla et al[66], 2019Deep neural networks. No comparatorUCRetrospective cohort, 47 UC patientsColonic microrna profilesResponses to therapyA deep neural network-based classifier identified 9 microRNAs plus 5 clinical factors, routinely recorded at time of hospital admission, that were associated with responses of patients to treatment. This panel discriminated responders to steroids from non-responders with 93% accuracy (AUC, 0.91). Three algorithms, based on microRNA levels, identified responders to infliximab vs non-responders (84% accuracy, AUC 0.82) and responders to cyclosporine vs non-responders (80% accuracy, AUC 0.79). Validation cohort included
Wang et al[67], 2020Back-propagation neural network (BPNN), SVM vs logistic regressionCD Cross-sectional, 446 CD patientsEHRMedication nonadherence to maintenance therapyThe average classification accuracy and AUC of the three models were 85.9% and 0.912 for BPNN, and 87.7% and 0.930 for SVM, respectively. Validation cohort included
Bottigliengo et al[68], 2019Bayesian machine learning techniques (BMLTs) vs logistic regressionCD/UCRetrospective cohort, 142 IBD patientsEHR, genetic polymorphismsPresence of extra-intestinal manifestations in IBD patientsBMLTs had an AUC of 0.50 for classifying the presence of extra-intestinal manifestations. Validation cohort included
Ghoshal et al[69], 2020Nonlinear artificial neural network (ANN) vs multivariate linear PCAUCProspective cohort, 263 UC patientsEHRResponses to therapyThe multilayer perceptron neural network was trained by back-propagation algorithm (10 networks retained out of 16 tested). The classification accuracy rate was 73% in correctly classifying response to medical treatment in UC patients. No validation cohort included
Sofo et al[70], 2020SVM leave-one-out cross-validation. No comparatorUCRetrospective cohort, 32 UC patientsEHRPost-surgical complications after colectomyEvaluating only preoperative features, machine learning algorithms were able to predict minor postoperative complications with a high strike rate (84.3%), high sensitivity (87.5%) and high specificity (83.3%) during the testing phase. Validation cohort included
Kang et al[71], 2017ANN vs logistic regressionUCCross-sectional, 24 UC patientsGene expression profilesResponse to anti-TNFBalanced accuracy in cross validation test for predicting response to anti-TNF therapy in ulcerative colitis patient was 82%. Validation cohort included
Babic et al[72], 1997CART vs back propagation neural network (BPNN)CD/UCCross-sectional, 200 IBD patientsEHRQuality of lifeBest reached classification accuracy did not exceed 80% in any case. Other classifiers namely, K-nearest-neighbor, learning vector quantization and BPNN confirmed that outcome. Validation cohort included
Dong et al[73], 2019RF, SVM, ANN vs logistic regressionCDRetrospective cohort, 239 CD patientsEHR, laboratory testsCrohn's related surgeryThe results revealed that RF predictive model performed better than LR model in terms of accuracy (93.11% vs 91.15%), precision (53.42% vs 44.81%), F1 score (0.6016 vs 0.5763), TN rate (95.08% vs 92.00%), and the AUC (0.8926 vs 0.8809). The AUCs were excellent at 0.9864 in RF,0.9538 in LR, 0.8809 in DT, 0.9497 in SVM, and 0.9059 in ANN, respectively. Validation cohort included
Lerrigo et al[74], 2019Latent Dirichlet allocation, unsupervised machine learning algorithm. No comparatorCD/UCRetrospective cohort, 28623 IBD patientsOnline posts from the Crohn’s and colitis foundation community forumImpact of online community forums on well-being and their emotional content10702 (20.8%) posts were identified expressing: gratitude (40%), anxiety/fear (20.8%), empathy (18.2%), anger/frustration (13.4%), hope (13.2%), happiness (10.0%), sadness/depression (5.8%), shame/guilt (2.5%), and/or loneliness (2.5%). A common subtheme was the importance of fostering social support. No validation cohort included