The identification of aviation hazardous winds is crucial and challenging in air traffic management for assuring flight safety, particularly during the take-off and landing phases. Existing criteria are typically tailored for special wind types, and whether there exists a universal feature that can effectively detect diverse types of hazardous winds from radar/lidar observations remains as an open question. Here we propose an interpretable semi-supervised clustering paradigm to solve this problem, where the prior knowledge and probabilistic models of winds are integrated to overcome the bottleneck of scarce labels (pilot reports). Based on this paradigm, a set of high-dimensional hazard features is constructed to effectively identify the occurrence of diverse hazardous winds and assess the intensity metrics. Verification of the paradigm across various scenarios has highlighted its high adaptability to diverse input data and good generalizability to diverse geographical and climate zones.

Demands to manage the risks of artificial intelligence (AI) are growing. These demands and the government standards arising from them both call for trustworthy AI. In response, we adopt a convergent approach to review, evaluate, and synthesize research on the trust and trustworthiness of AI in the environmental sciences and propose a research agenda. Evidential and conceptual histories of research on trust and trustworthiness reveal persisting ambiguities and measurement shortcomings related to inconsistent attention to the contextual and social dependencies and dynamics of trust. Potentially underappreciated in the development of trustworthy AI for environmental sciences is the importance of engaging AI users and other stakeholders, which human-AI teaming perspectives on AI development similarly underscore. Co-development strategies may also help reconcile efforts to develop performance-based trustworthiness standards with dynamic and contextual notions of trust. We illustrate the importance of these themes with applied examples and show how insights from research on trust and the communication of risk and uncertainty can help advance the understanding of trust and trustworthiness of AI in the environmental sciences.

Recent research in transport safety focuses on the processing of large amounts of available data by means of intelligent systems, in order to decrease the number of accidents for transportation users. Several Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications have been developed to address safety problems and improve efficiency of transportation systems. However exchange of knowledge between transport modes has been limited. This paper reviews the ML and AI methods used in different transport modes (road, rail, maritime and aviation) to address safety problems, in order to identify good practices and experiences that can be transferable between transport modes. The methods examined include statistical and econometric methods, algorithmic approaches, classification and clustering methods, artificial neural networks (ANN) as well as optimization and dimension reduction techniques. Our research reveals the increasing interest of transportation researchers and practitioners in AI applications for crash prediction, incident/failure detection, pattern identification, driver/operator or route assistance, as well as optimization problems. The most popular and efficient methods used in all transport modes are ANN, SVM, Hidden Markov Models and Bayesian models. The type of the analytical technique is mainly driven by the purpose of the safety analysis performed. Finally, a wider variety of AI and ML methodologies is observed in road transport mode, which also appears to concentrate a higher, and constantly increasing, number of studies compared to the other modes.

We investigated the potential of machine learning techniques, at an early stage after stroke, to predict the need for ankle-foot orthosis (AFO) in stroke patients. We retrospectively recruited 474 consecutive stroke patients. The need for AFO during ambulation (output variable) was classified according to the Medical Research Council (MRC) score for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected limb. Patients with an MRC score of < 3 for the ankle dorsiflexor of the affected side were considered to require AFO, while those with scores ≥ 3 were considered not to require AFO. The following demographic and clinical data collected when patients were transferred to the rehabilitation unit (16.20 ± 6.02 days) and 6 months after stroke onset were used as input data: age, sex, type of stroke (ischemic/hemorrhagic), motor evoked potential data on the tibialis anterior muscle of the affected side, modified Brunnstrom classification, functional ambulation category, MRC score for muscle strength for shoulder abduction, elbow flexion, finger flexion, finger extension, hip flexion, knee extension, and ankle dorsiflexion of the affected side. For the deep neural network model, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.887. For the random forest and logistic regression models, the AUC was 0.855 and 0.845, respectively. Our findings demonstrate that machine learning algorithms, particularly the deep neural network, are useful for predicting the need for AFO in stroke patients during the recovery phase.

Extending previous work on quantile classifiers (q-classifiers) we propose the q*-classifier for the class imbalance problem. The classifier assigns a sample to the minority class if the minority class conditional probability exceeds 0 < q* < 1, where q* equals the unconditional probability of observing a minority class sample. The motivation for q*-classification stems from a density-based approach and leads to the useful property that the q*-classifier maximizes the sum of the true positive and true negative rates. Moreover, because the procedure can be equivalently expressed as a cost-weighted Bayes classifier, it also minimizes weighted risk. Because of this dual optimization, the q*-classifier can achieve near zero risk in imbalance problems, while simultaneously optimizing true positive and true negative rates. We use random forests to apply q*-classification. This new method which we call RFQ is shown to outperform or is competitive with existing techniques with respect to tt-mean performance and variable selection. Extensions to the multiclass imbalanced setting are also considered.

Continuous monitoring of the Earth radiation budget (ERB) is critical to our understanding of the Earth's climate and its variability with time. The Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) instrument is able to provide a long record of ERB for such scientific studies. This manuscript, which is first of a two-part paper, describes the new CERES algorithm for improving the clear/cloudy scene classification without the use of coincident cloud imager data. This new CERES algorithm is based on a subset of modern artificial intelligence (AI) paradigm called Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. This paper describes development and application of the ML algorithm known as Random Forests (RF) which is used to classify CERES broadband footprint measurements into clear and cloudy scenes. Results from the RF analysis carried using the CERES Single Scanner Footprint (SSF) data for the months of January and July are presented in the manuscript. The daytime RF misclassification rate (MCR) shows relatively large values (>30%) for snow, sea ice and bright desert surface types while lower values of (<10%) for forest surface type. MCR values observed for the nighttime data in general show relatively larger values for most of the surface types compared to the daytime MCR values. The modified MCR values show lower values (< 4%) for most surface types after thin cloud data is excluded from the analysis. Sensitivity analysis shows that the number of input variables and decision trees used in the RF analysis has substantial influence in determining the classification error.