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Rawashdeh B, Al-abdallat H, Arpali E, Thomas B, Dunn TB, Cooper M. Machine learning in solid organ transplantation: Charting the evolving landscape. World J Transplant 2025; 15:99642. [PMID: 40104197 PMCID: PMC11612896 DOI: 10.5500/wjt.v15.i1.99642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2024] [Revised: 10/17/2024] [Accepted: 11/06/2024] [Indexed: 11/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Machine learning (ML), a major branch of artificial intelligence, has not only demonstrated the potential to significantly improve numerous sectors of healthcare but has also made significant contributions to the field of solid organ transplantation. ML provides revolutionary opportunities in areas such as donor-recipient matching, post-transplant monitoring, and patient care by automatically analyzing large amounts of data, identifying patterns, and forecasting outcomes. AIM To conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of publications on the use of ML in transplantation to understand current research trends and their implications. METHODS On July 18, a thorough search strategy was used with the Web of Science database. ML and transplantation-related keywords were utilized. With the aid of the VOS viewer application, the identified articles were subjected to bibliometric variable analysis in order to determine publication counts, citation counts, contributing countries, and institutions, among other factors. RESULTS Of the 529 articles that were first identified, 427 were deemed relevant for bibliometric analysis. A surge in publications was observed over the last four years, especially after 2018, signifying growing interest in this area. With 209 publications, the United States emerged as the top contributor. Notably, the "Journal of Heart and Lung Transplantation" and the "American Journal of Transplantation" emerged as the leading journals, publishing the highest number of relevant articles. Frequent keyword searches revealed that patient survival, mortality, outcomes, allocation, and risk assessment were significant themes of focus. CONCLUSION The growing body of pertinent publications highlights ML's growing presence in the field of solid organ transplantation. This bibliometric analysis highlights the growing importance of ML in transplant research and highlights its exciting potential to change medical practices and enhance patient outcomes. Encouraging collaboration between significant contributors can potentially fast-track advancements in this interdisciplinary domain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Badi Rawashdeh
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | | | - Emre Arpali
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | - Beje Thomas
- Department of Nephrology, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53226, United States
| | - Ty B Dunn
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
| | - Matthew Cooper
- Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI 53202, United States
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2
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Avramidou E, Todorov D, Katsanos G, Antoniadis N, Kofinas A, Vasileiadou S, Karakasi KE, Tsoulfas G. AI Innovations in Liver Transplantation: From Big Data to Better Outcomes. LIVERS 2025; 5:14. [DOI: 10.3390/livers5010014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/02/2025] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative field in computational research with diverse applications in medicine, particularly in the field of liver transplantation (LT) given its ability to analyze and build upon complex and multidimensional data. This literature review investigates the application of AI in LT, focusing on its role in pre-implantation biopsy evaluation, development of recipient prognosis algorithms, imaging analysis, and decision-making support systems, with the findings revealing that AI can be applied across a variety of fields within LT, including diagnosis, organ allocation, and surgery planning. As a result, algorithms are being developed to assess steatosis in pre-implantation biopsies and predict liver graft function, with AI applications displaying great accuracy across various studies included in this review. Despite its relatively recent introduction to transplantation, AI demonstrates potential in delivering cost and time-efficient outcomes. However, these tools cannot replace the role of healthcare professionals, with their widespread adoption demanding thorough clinical testing and oversight.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleni Avramidou
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Dominik Todorov
- Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Georgios Katsanos
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Nikolaos Antoniadis
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Athanasios Kofinas
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Stella Vasileiadou
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Konstantina-Eleni Karakasi
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Georgios Tsoulfas
- Department of Transplant Surgery, Center for Research and Innovation in Solid Organ Transplantation, School of Medicine Aristotle, University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece
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3
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Mohamud KA, Elzubair Eltahir SA, Ahmed Alhardalo HA, Albashir HB, Ali Mohamed Zain NQA, Abdelrahman Ibrahim ME, Ahmed Fadlallah EN. The Role of Machine Learning Models in Predicting Cirrhosis Mortality: A Systematic Review. Cureus 2025; 17:e78155. [PMID: 40026938 PMCID: PMC11867977 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.78155] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/28/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Liver cirrhosis affects millions of individuals worldwide and is one of the primary causes of mortality. Early mortality prediction for cirrhosis patients may increase the possibility for medical professionals to treat the illness successfully. This study assesses the ability of machine learning (ML) models to predict cirrhosis mortality. We followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines to search for relevant literature across four different databases. We found 379 studies of which 10 were eligible for inclusion in the current study. We analyzed 10 retrospective studies that showed that ML models outperformed conventional scores in predicting the death rate from end-stage liver disease (ESLD). Interestingly, models that used more parameters, such as patient demographics and extensive laboratory testing, exhibited higher prediction accuracy. With an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) ranging from 0.71 to 0.96, ML models showed consistently significant gains over traditional prognostic ratings. This review emphasizes how ML models might improve ESLD patient death prediction. Because machine learning models are more accurate than conventional approaches, it is important to incorporate data-driven informatics technologies into clinical settings. Additional validation and openness are required to guarantee model dependability and interpretability before ML may be used in clinical practice. The goal of future research should be to create reliable, interpretable models that may be used successfully in a variety of clinical contexts, enhancing ESLD patient treatment and results.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Hind AbdAlla Ahmed Alhardalo
- Department of General Medicine, Abu Dhabi Health Services Company (SEHA) - Salma Rehabilitation Hospital, Abu Dhabi, ARE
| | - Hadel Bakhet Albashir
- Department of General Medicine, Abu Dhabi Health Services Company (SEHA) - Salma Rehabilitation Hospital, Abu Dhabi, ARE
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4
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Wang Z, Li FY, Cai J, Xue Z, Zhou Y, Wang Z. Construction and validation of a machine learning-based prediction model for short-term mortality in critically ill patients with liver cirrhosis. Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol 2025; 49:102507. [PMID: 39622289 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinre.2024.102507] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2024] [Revised: 10/30/2024] [Accepted: 11/24/2024] [Indexed: 12/12/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Critically ill patients with liver cirrhosis generally have a poor prognosis due to complications such as multiple organ failure. This study aims to develop a machine learning-based prediction model to forecast short-term mortality in critically ill cirrhotic patients in the intensive care unit (ICU), thereby assisting clinical decision-making for intervention and treatment. METHODS Machine learning models were developed using clinical data from critically ill cirrhotic patients in the MIMIC database, with multicenter validation performed using data from the eICU database and Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital(QUAH). Various machine learning models, including a Stacking ensemble model, were employed, with the SHAP method used to enhance model interpretability. RESULTS The Stacking ensemble model demonstrated superior predictive performance through internal and external validation, with AUC and AP values surpassing those of individual algorithms. The AUC values were 0.845 in the internal validation set, 0.819 in the eICU external validation, and 0.761 in the QUAH validation set. Additionally, the SHAP method highlighted key prognostic variables such as INR, bilirubin, and urine output. The model was ultimately deployed as a web-based calculator for bedside decision-making. CONCLUSION The machine learning model effectively predicts short-term mortality risk in critically ill cirrhotic patients in the ICU, showing strong predictive performance and generalizability. The model's robust interpretability and its deployment as a web-based calculator suggest its potential as a valuable tool for assessing the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Ying Zhou
- Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital, Qinghai, PR China
| | - Zhan Wang
- Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital, Qinghai, PR China; Department of Medical Engineering Integration and Translational Application, Qinghai, PR China.
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5
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Zhang C, Iqbal MFB, Iqbal I, Cheng M, Sarhan N, Awwad EM, Ghadi YY. Prognostic Modeling for Liver Cirrhosis Mortality Prediction and Real-Time Health Monitoring from Electronic Health Data. BIG DATA 2024. [PMID: 39651607 DOI: 10.1089/big.2024.0071] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2024]
Abstract
Liver cirrhosis stands as a prominent contributor to mortality, impacting millions across the United States. Enabling health care providers to predict early mortality among patients with cirrhosis holds the potential to enhance treatment efficacy significantly. Our hypothesis centers on the correlation between mortality and laboratory test results along with relevant diagnoses in this patient cohort. Additionally, we posit that a deep learning model could surpass the predictive capabilities of the existing Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score. This research seeks to advance prognostic accuracy and refine approaches to address the critical challenges posed by cirrhosis-related mortality. This study evaluates the performance of an artificial neural network model for liver disease classification using various training dataset sizes. Through meticulous experimentation, three distinct training proportions were analyzed: 70%, 80%, and 90%. The model's efficacy was assessed using precision, recall, F1-score, accuracy, and support metrics, alongside receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision-recall (PR) curves. The ROC curves were quantified using the area under the curve (AUC) metric. Results indicated that the model's performance improved with an increased size of the training dataset. Specifically, the 80% training data model achieved the highest AUC, suggesting superior classification ability over the models trained with 70% and 90% data. PR analysis revealed a steep trade-off between precision and recall across all datasets, with 80% training data again demonstrating a slightly better balance. This is indicative of the challenges faced in achieving high precision with a concurrently high recall, a common issue in imbalanced datasets such as those found in medical diagnostics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chengping Zhang
- Mechanical and Electrical Engineering College, Hainan Vocational University of Science and Technology, Haikou, China
| | - Muhammad Faisal Buland Iqbal
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Computing & Information Processing, Ministry of Education, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, China
| | - Imran Iqbal
- Department of Pathology, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York University Langone Health, New York, USA
| | - Minghao Cheng
- School of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
| | - Nadia Sarhan
- Department of Quantitative Analysis, College of Business Administration, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Emad Mahrous Awwad
- Department of Electrical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Yazeed Yasin Ghadi
- Department of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Al Ain University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates
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6
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Forte E, Sanders JM, Pla I, Kanchustambham VL, Hollas MAR, Huang CF, Sanchez A, Peterson KN, Melani RD, Huang A, Polineni P, Doll JM, Dietch Z, Kelleher NL, Ladner DP. Top-Down Proteomics Identifies Plasma Proteoform Signatures of Liver Cirrhosis Progression. Mol Cell Proteomics 2024; 23:100876. [PMID: 39521382 DOI: 10.1016/j.mcpro.2024.100876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2024] [Revised: 10/16/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Cirrhosis, advanced liver disease, affects 2 to 5 million Americans. While most patients have compensated cirrhosis and may be fairly asymptomatic, many decompensate and experience life-threatening complications such as gastrointestinal bleeding, confusion (hepatic encephalopathy), and ascites, reducing life expectancy from 12 to less than 2 years. Among patients with compensated cirrhosis, identifying patients at high risk of decompensation is critical to optimize care and reduce morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to preferentially direct them towards specialty care which cannot be provided to all patients with cirrhosis. We used discovery top-down proteomics to identify differentially expressed proteoforms (DEPs) in the plasma of patients with progressive stages of liver cirrhosis with the ultimate goal to identify candidate biomarkers of disease progression. In this pilot study, we identified 209 DEPs across three stages of cirrhosis (compensated, compensated with portal hypertension, and decompensated), of which 115 derived from proteins enriched in the liver at a transcriptional level and discriminated the three stages of cirrhosis. Enrichment analyses demonstrated DEPs are involved in several metabolic and immunological processes known to be impacted by cirrhosis progression. We have preliminarily defined the plasma proteoform signatures of cirrhosis patients, setting the stage for ongoing discovery and validation of biomarkers for early diagnosis, risk stratification, and disease monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleonora Forte
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA; Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Jes M Sanders
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Indira Pla
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | | | - Michael A R Hollas
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | - Che-Fan Huang
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | - Aniel Sanchez
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | - Katrina N Peterson
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | - Rafael D Melani
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA
| | - Alexander Huang
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Praneet Polineni
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Julianna M Doll
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Zachary Dietch
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Neil L Kelleher
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA; Department of Chemistry, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA; Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
| | - Daniela P Ladner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
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7
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Zhai Y, Hai D, Zeng L, Lin C, Tan X, Mo Z, Tao Q, Li W, Xu X, Zhao Q, Shuai J, Pan J. Artificial intelligence-based evaluation of prognosis in cirrhosis. J Transl Med 2024; 22:933. [PMID: 39402630 PMCID: PMC11475999 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-024-05726-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2024] [Accepted: 10/02/2024] [Indexed: 10/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Cirrhosis represents a significant global health challenge, characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates that severely impact human health. Timely and precise prognostic assessments of liver cirrhosis are crucial for improving patient outcomes and reducing mortality rates as they enable physicians to identify high-risk patients and implement early interventions. This paper features a thorough literature review on the prognostic assessment of liver cirrhosis, aiming to summarize and delineate the present status and constraints associated with the application of traditional prognostic tools in clinical settings. Among these tools, the Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scoring systems are predominantly utilized. However, their accuracy varies significantly. These systems are generally suitable for broad assessments but lack condition-specific applicability and fail to capture the risks associated with dynamic changes in patient conditions. Future research in this field is poised for deep exploration into the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with routine clinical and multi-omics data in patients with cirrhosis. The goal is to transition from static, unimodal assessment models to dynamic, multimodal frameworks. Such advancements will not only improve the precision of prognostic tools but also facilitate personalized medicine approaches, potentially revolutionizing clinical outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yinping Zhai
- Department of Gastroenterology Nursing Unit, Ward 192, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Darong Hai
- The School of Nursing, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Li Zeng
- The Second Clinical Medical College of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Chenyan Lin
- The School of Nursing, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Xinru Tan
- The First School of Medicine, School of Information and Engineering, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Zefei Mo
- School of Biomedical Engineering, School of Ophthalmology and Optometry, Eye Hospital, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Qijia Tao
- The School of Nursing, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Wenhui Li
- The School of Nursing, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Xiaowei Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology Nursing Unit, Ward 192, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China
| | - Qi Zhao
- School of Computer Science and Software Engineering, University of Science and Technology Liaoning, Anshan, 114051, China.
- Wenzhou Institute, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
| | - Jianwei Shuai
- Wenzhou Institute, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
- Oujiang Laboratory (Zhejiang Lab for Regenerative Medicine, Vision, and Brain Health), Wenzhou, 325000, China.
| | - Jingye Pan
- Department of Big Data in Health Science, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Treatment and Life Support for Critical Diseases of Zhejiang Province, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
- Zhejiang Engineering Research Center for Hospital Emergency and Process Digitization, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
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8
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Forte E, Sanders JM, Pla I, Kanchustambham VL, Hollas MAR, Huang CF, Sanchez A, Peterson KN, Melani RD, Huang A, Polineni P, Doll JM, Dietch Z, Kelleher NL, Ladner DP. Top-Down Proteomics Identifies Plasma Proteoform Signatures of Liver Cirrhosis Progression. BIORXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR BIOLOGY 2024:2024.06.19.599662. [PMID: 38948836 PMCID: PMC11212939 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.19.599662] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/02/2024]
Abstract
Cirrhosis, advanced liver disease, affects 2-5 million Americans. While most patients have compensated cirrhosis and may be fairly asymptomatic, many decompensate and experience life-threatening complications such as gastrointestinal bleeding, confusion (hepatic encephalopathy), and ascites, reducing life expectancy from 12 to less than 2 years. Among patients with compensated cirrhosis, identifying patients at high risk of decompensation is critical to optimize care and reduce morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to preferentially direct them towards specialty care which cannot be provided to all patients with cirrhosis. We used discovery Top-down Proteomics (TDP) to identify differentially expressed proteoforms (DEPs) in the plasma of patients with progressive stages of liver cirrhosis with the ultimate goal to identify candidate biomarkers of disease progression. In this pilot study, we identified 209 DEPs across three stages of cirrhosis (compensated, compensated with portal hypertension, and decompensated), of which 115 derived from proteins enriched in the liver at a transcriptional level and discriminated the three stages of cirrhosis. Enrichment analyses demonstrated DEPs are involved in several metabolic and immunological processes known to be impacted by cirrhosis progression. We have preliminarily defined the plasma proteoform signatures of cirrhosis patients, setting the stage for ongoing discovery and validation of biomarkers for early diagnosis, risk stratification, and disease monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eleonora Forte
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Jes M. Sanders
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Indira Pla
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | | | - Michael A. R. Hollas
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | - Che-Fan Huang
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | - Aniel Sanchez
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | - Katrina N. Peterson
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | - Rafael D. Melani
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
| | - Alexander Huang
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Praneet Polineni
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Julianna M. Doll
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Zachary Dietch
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Neil L. Kelleher
- Proteomics Center of Excellence, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
- Department of Chemistry, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Genetics, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
| | - Daniela P. Ladner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 60611, USA
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9
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Salkić N, Jovanović P, Barišić Jaman M, Selimović N, Paštrović F, Grgurević I. Machine Learning for Short-Term Mortality in Acute Decompensation of Liver Cirrhosis: Better than MELD Score. Diagnostics (Basel) 2024; 14:981. [PMID: 38786278 PMCID: PMC11119188 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics14100981] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2024] [Revised: 04/28/2024] [Accepted: 05/06/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis could be improved. We aimed to develop and validate two machine learning (ML) models for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated liver cirrhosis. We trained two artificial neural network (ANN)-based ML models using a training sample of 165 out of 290 (56.9%) patients, and then tested their predictive performance against Model of End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) and MELD 3.0 scores using a different validation sample of 125 out of 290 (43.1%) patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 28-day mortality for the ML model was 0.811 (95%CI: 0.714- 0.907; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.577 (95%CI: 0.435-0.720; p = 0.226) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.600 (95%CI: 0.462-0.739; p = 0.117). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting 90-day mortality for the ML model was 0.839 (95%CI: 0.776- 0.884; p < 0.001), while the AUC for the MELD-Na score was 0.682 (95%CI: 0.575-0.790; p = 0.002) and for MELD 3.0 was 0.703 (95%CI: 0.590-0.816; p < 0.001). Our study demonstrates that ML-based models for predicting short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis perform significantly better than MELD-Na and MELD 3.0 scores in a validation cohort.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nermin Salkić
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Predrag Jovanović
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Mislav Barišić Jaman
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
| | - Nedim Selimović
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center Tuzla, 75000 Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina;
| | - Frane Paštrović
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
| | - Ivica Grgurević
- Department for Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, University Hospital Dubrava, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia; (M.B.J.)
- Faculty of Pharmacy and Biochemistry, University of Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia
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10
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Al Alawi AM, Al Kaabi H, Al Falahi Z, Al-Naamani Z, Al Busafi S. Machine Learning-powered 28-day Mortality Prediction Model for Hospitalized Patients with Acute Decompensation of Liver Cirrhosis. Oman Med J 2024; 39:e632. [PMID: 39497942 PMCID: PMC11532584 DOI: 10.5001/omj.2024.79] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2023] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 11/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis are persistent global health threats, ranking among the top causes of death. Despite medical advancements, their mortality rates have remained stagnant for decades. Existing scoring systems such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Mayo End-Stage Liver Disease have limitations, prompting the exploration of more accurate predictive methods using artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML). Methods We retrospectively reviewed the data of all adult patients with acute decompensated liver cirrhosis admitted to a tertiary hospital during 2015-2021. The dataset underwent preprocessing to handle missing values and standardize continuous features. Traditional ML and deep learning algorithms were applied to build a 28-day mortality prediction model. Results The subjects were 173 cirrhosis patients, whose medical records were examined. We developed and evaluated multiple models for 28-day mortality prediction. Among traditional ML algorithms, logistic regression outperformed was achieving an accuracy of 82.9%, precision of 55.6%, recall of 71.4%, and an F1-score of 0.625. Naive Bayes and Random Forest models also performed well, both achieving the same accuracy (82.9%) and precision (54.5%). The deep learning models (multilayer artificial neural network, recurrent neural network, and Long Short-Term Memory) exhibited mixed results, with the multilayer artificial neural network achieving an accuracy of 74.3% but lower precision and recall. The feature importance analysis identified key predictability contributors, including admission in the intensive care unit (importance: 0.112), use of mechanical ventilation (importance: 0.095), and mean arterial pressure (importance: 0.073). Conclusions Our study demonstrates the potential of ML in predicting 28-day mortality following hospitalization with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis. Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, and Random Forest models proved effective, while deep learning models exhibited variable performance. These models can serve as useful tools for risk stratification and timely intervention. Implementing these models in clinical practice has the potential to improve patient outcomes and resource allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abdullah M. Al Alawi
- General Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Hoor Al Kaabi
- Internal Medicine Training Program, Oman Medical Specialty Board, Muscat, Oman
| | - Zubaida Al Falahi
- General Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Zakariya Al-Naamani
- General Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Said Al Busafi
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman
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Bhat M, Rabindranath M, Chara BS, Simonetto DA. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, and deep learning in liver transplantation. J Hepatol 2023; 78:1216-1233. [PMID: 37208107 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2023.01.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving treatment for individuals with end-stage liver disease. The management of LT recipients is complex, predominantly because of the need to consider demographic, clinical, laboratory, pathology, imaging, and omics data in the development of an appropriate treatment plan. Current methods to collate clinical information are susceptible to some degree of subjectivity; thus, clinical decision-making in LT could benefit from the data-driven approach offered by artificial intelligence (AI). Machine learning and deep learning could be applied in both the pre- and post-LT settings. Some examples of AI applications pre-transplant include optimising transplant candidacy decision-making and donor-recipient matching to reduce waitlist mortality and improve post-transplant outcomes. In the post-LT setting, AI could help guide the management of LT recipients, particularly by predicting patient and graft survival, along with identifying risk factors for disease recurrence and other associated complications. Although AI shows promise in medicine, there are limitations to its clinical deployment which include dataset imbalances for model training, data privacy issues, and a lack of available research practices to benchmark model performance in the real world. Overall, AI tools have the potential to enhance personalised clinical decision-making, especially in the context of liver transplant medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mamatha Bhat
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Toronto General Hospital Research Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Madhumitha Rabindranath
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Toronto General Hospital Research Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Beatriz Sordi Chara
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Douglas A Simonetto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Yu X, Zhou S, Zou H, Wang Q, Liu C, Zang M, Liu T. Survey of deep learning techniques for disease prediction based on omics data. HUMAN GENE 2023; 35:201140. [DOI: 10.1016/j.humgen.2022.201140] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2025]
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13
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Chung YH, Jung J, Kim SH. Mortality scoring systems for liver transplant recipients: before and after model for end-stage liver disease score. Anesth Pain Med (Seoul) 2023; 18:21-28. [PMID: 36746898 PMCID: PMC9902634 DOI: 10.17085/apm.22258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 01/13/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
The mortality scoring systems for patients with end-stage liver disease have evolved from the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score to the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, affecting the wait list for liver allocation. There are inherent weaknesses in the MELD score, with the gradual decline in its accuracy owing to changes in patient demographics or treatment options. Continuous refinement of the MELD score is in progress; however, both advantages and disadvantages exist. Recently, attempts have been made to introduce artificial intelligence into mortality prediction; however, many challenges must still be overcome. More research is needed to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction in liver transplant recipients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Sang Hyun Kim
- Corresponding Author: Sang Hyun Kim, M.D., Ph.D. Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, 170 Jomaru-ro, Wonmi-gu, Bucheon 14584, Korea Tel: 82-32-621-5328 Fax: 82-32-621-5322 E-mail:
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Mehta S, Asrani SK. The computer will see you now: Prediction of long-term survival in patients with cirrhosis. Hepatology 2022; 76:544-545. [PMID: 35514137 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2022] [Revised: 05/03/2022] [Accepted: 05/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/08/2022]
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Ge J, Kim WR, Lai JC, Kwong AJ. "Beyond MELD" - Emerging strategies and technologies for improving mortality prediction, organ allocation and outcomes in liver transplantation. J Hepatol 2022; 76:1318-1329. [PMID: 35589253 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2022.03.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2021] [Revised: 02/24/2022] [Accepted: 03/04/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
In this review article, we discuss the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and its dual purpose in general and transplant hepatology. As the landscape of liver disease and transplantation has evolved considerably since the advent of the MELD score, we summarise emerging concepts, methodologies, and technologies that may improve mortality prognostication in the future. Finally, we explore how these novel concepts and technologies may be incorporated into clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Ge
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California - San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - W Ray Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
| | - Jennifer C Lai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California - San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Allison J Kwong
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
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Szabo G, Thursz M, Shah VH. Therapeutic advances in alcohol-associated hepatitis. J Hepatol 2022; 76:1279-1290. [PMID: 35589250 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2022.03.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2022] [Revised: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 03/24/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
In recent years, there have been important advances in our understanding of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH), which have occurred in parallel with a surge in clinical trial activity. Meanwhile, the broader medical field has seen a transformation in care paradigms based on emerging digital technologies. This review focuses on breakthroughs in our understanding of AH and how these breakthroughs are leading to new paradigms for biomarker discovery, clinical trial activity, and care models for patients. It portends a future in which multimodal data from genetic, radiomic, histologic, and environmental sources can be integrated and synthesised to generate personalised biomarkers and therapies for patients with AH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gyongyi Szabo
- Carol M. Gatton Chairman of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Mark Thursz
- Division of Digestive Diseases, Imperial College, London, UK.
| | - Vijay H Shah
- Mitchell T. Rabkin, M.D. Chair, Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Chief Academic Officer, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Beth Israel Lahey Health, Boston, MA, USA
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