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Lee AR, Choi SM, Baik M, Sun JY, Lee SM, Paik JW. Inpatient suicide trends and prevention: Insights from a South Korean nationwide study. Asian J Psychiatr 2025; 107:104479. [PMID: 40185048 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajp.2025.104479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2024] [Revised: 03/27/2025] [Accepted: 03/28/2025] [Indexed: 04/07/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Inpatient suicide is a significant problem, accounting for the third-highest ratio(17.8 %) of suicides in South Korea in 2017. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of inpatient suicides using national data, evaluate risk factors, and provide recommendations for suicide prevention. METHODS This nationwide case-control study utilized national data on all inpatient suicides from police investigations between 2013 and 2017. A total of 4998 individuals were included, comprising 833 inpatient suicides and 4165 controls. Inpatient suicide risk factors were assessed through cross-tabulations and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS Among eight hundred thirty-three individuals died by suicide in hospitals; most were male (74.9 %), older than 60 years (61.3 %), married (43.0 %), and unemployed (85.1 %). The primary method of inpatient suicide were jumping from a height (49 %), followed by hanging (39.7 %). Major depressive disorder was the most prevalent psychiatric diagnosis among inpatient suicides. The risk of inpatient suicide was significantly higher in patients with schizophrenia, dementia, and alcohol use disorder. CONCLUSIONS Effective management of hospital facilities and environments is essential to prevent inpatient suicides. Nursing hospitals treating patients with dementia require more rigorous psychiatric evaluations and facility safety standards. We recommend implementing crisis interventions and comprehensive psychiatric assessments to prevent inpatient suicide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ah Rah Lee
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Moon Choi
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myungjae Baik
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Je Young Sun
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; WELT Corp., 132 Teheran-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Min Lee
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
| | - Jong-Woo Paik
- Department of Psychiatry, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Kang DH, Marques AH, Yang JH, Park CHK, Kim MJ, Rhee SJ, Ahn YM. Suicide prevention strategies in South Korea: What we have learned and the way forward. Asian J Psychiatr 2025; 104:104359. [PMID: 39813873 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajp.2025.104359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2024] [Revised: 01/05/2025] [Accepted: 01/06/2025] [Indexed: 01/18/2025]
Abstract
Suicide is a serious global public health concern. South Korea has consistently reported one of the highest suicide rates among Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries over the past few decades. In response to the increasing suicide rate, South Korea enacted the Suicide Prevention Act in 2011, and allocated significant budget funding for implementation of various policies according to its national strategy for suicide prevention. Suicide prevention policies, such as restricting access to highly hazardous pesticides, implementing emergency room-based follow-up management programs, and adhering to safety guidelines for the media while reporting on suicide, were effective. Thereafter, the overall suicide rate and the suicide rate in older people steadily declined. However, the suicide rate among younger age groups has increased since 2017, and South Korea continues to report higher suicide rates than those of most other countries. Further research is needed to develop and implement suicide prevention strategies that address the recently changing trends.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dae Hun Kang
- Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | | | - Jeong Hun Yang
- Department of Psychiatry, Chungnam National University Sejong Hospital, Sejong, Republic of Korea; Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - C Hyung Keun Park
- Department of Psychiatry, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Min Ji Kim
- Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Jin Rhee
- Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
| | - Yong Min Ahn
- Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Institute of Human Behavioral Medicine, Seoul National University Medical Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Abstract
INTRODUCTION Suicide by charcoal burning has accounted for more than 100,000 deaths. It has become an increasingly common suicide method in Hong Kong since first reported in 1998, and it has spread into South Korea, Taiwan, Japan and other countries. This systematic scoping review aimed to explore current evidence on trends, risk factors, impact of media and prevention strategies for this suicide method, and to identify research gaps. METHODS A search for articles published from January 1998 to June 2021 was conducted through electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, SCOPUS and PsycINFO) with the keywords (suicide*) AND (charcoal). Articles describing prevalence, trends, characteristics, risk factors and prevention strategies of charcoal burning suicide deaths were included. Non-peer-reviewed articles, non-English articles, commentaries/editorials/letters, poster abstracts, reviews, meta-analyses and studies that documented only charcoal burning suicide attempters/survivors were excluded. RESULTS Eighty-eight studies were identified, most from East Asia. Charcoal burning suicide rates in Hong Kong, Taiwan and Japan has passed the peak, while continuing to increase in South Korea. Risk factors are changing and not static. Media appears to play an important role in triggering and spreading information. Restricting access to charcoal, and raising public awareness have been effective in the short term in preventing charcoal burning suicide, but there is little information on their long-term effectiveness or sustainability. DISCUSSION More research is required to update the development and dynamic changes of charcoal burning suicide and the contributing factors. The evidence from this review may assist in detecting and intervening early for future novel suicide methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheuk Yui Yeung
- Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Vera Yu Men
- Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Paul Siu Fai Yip
- Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Hong Kong Jockey Club Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
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Ilic M, Ilic I. Worldwide suicide mortality trends (2000-2019): A joinpoint regression analysis. World J Psychiatry 2022; 12:1044-1060. [PMID: 36158305 PMCID: PMC9476842 DOI: 10.5498/wjp.v12.i8.1044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2021] [Revised: 11/16/2021] [Accepted: 07/08/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Studies exploring suicide mortality on a global scale are sparse, and most evaluations were limited to certain populations. AIM To assess global, regional and national trends of suicide mortality. METHODS Suicide mortality data for the period 2000-2019 were obtained from the mortality database of the World Health Organization and the Global Burden of Disease Study. Age-standardized rates (ASRs; expressed per 100000) were presented. To assess trends of suicide mortality, joinpoint regression analysis was used: The average annual percent change (AAPC) with the corresponding 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was calculated. RESULTS A total of 759028 (523883 male and 235145 female) suicide deaths were reported worldwide in 2019. The global ASR of mortality of suicide was 9.0/100000 population in both sexes (12.6 in males vs 5.4 in females). In both sexes, the highest rates were found in the region of Africa (ASR = 11.2), while the lowest rates were reported in Eastern Mediterranean (ASR = 6.4). Globally, from 2000 to 2019, ASRs of mortality of suicide had a decreasing tendency in both sexes together [AAPC = -2.4% per year; 95%CI: (-2.6)-(-2.3)]. The region of the Americas experienced a significant increase in suicide mortality over 2000-2019 unlike other regions that had a declining trend. Out of all 133 countries with a decline in suicide mortality, Barbados (AAPC = -10.0%), Grenada (AAPC = -8.5%), Serbia (AAPC = -7.6%), and Venezuela (AAPC = -6.2%) showed the most marked reduction in mortality rates. Out of all 26 countries with a rise in suicide mortality, Lesotho (AAPC = +6.0%), Cyprus (AAPC = +5.1%), Paraguay (AAPC = +3.0%), Saudi Arabia (AAPC = +2.8%), Brunei (AAPC = +2.6%), Greece (AAPC = +2.6%), Georgia (AAPC = +2.1%), and Mexico (AAPC = +2.0%), are among those with the highest increase in mortality. CONCLUSION Decreasing trends in suicide mortality were observed in most countries across the world. Unfortunately, the mortality of suicide showed an increasing trend in a number of populations. Further research should explore the reasons for these unfavorable trends, in order to consider and recommend more efforts for suicide prevention in these countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Milena Ilic
- Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac 34000, Serbia
| | - Irena Ilic
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade 11000, Serbia
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Pan YJ, Loi MX, Lan YH, Chen CL, Cheng IC. Perceptions towards charcoal-burning suicide and the surge of this lethal method in Taiwan. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0262384. [PMID: 35061796 PMCID: PMC8782296 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262384] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2021] [Accepted: 12/23/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective
Whether sociocultural perceptions of charcoal-burning suicide have influenced its rapid increase in prevalence is unclear. We aimed to explore perceptions of Taiwan’s general population regarding charcoal-burning suicide, their personal belief in life after death, and related feelings of thoughts associated with those who attempt charcoal-burning suicide.
Methods
An online web-based survey, focussing on sociocultural attitudes towards death, as well as perceptions towards charcoal-burning suicide, and those who attempt charcoal-burning suicide, was conducted from 14 January to 14 June 2016.
Results
In total, 1343 adults completed the online survey (mean age of 33.46; 66.6% women). Notably, 90.3% of participants considered charcoal burning to be an easily accessible suicide method. Multivariable analyses revealed that among the examined factors, the perceived ‘painlessness’ of charcoal-burning suicide was associated with an over seven-fold increased risk of choosing charcoal-burning suicide (OR = 7.394; p < 0.001; 95% CI: 2.614–20.912).
Conclusion
As reflected in this study, charcoal-burning suicide is perceived as easily accessible and painless. The perceived ‘painlessness’ may be the factor that distinguishes the choice of charcoal-burning suicide from that of other suicide methods. Future efforts to target these perceptions regarding charcoal-burning suicide may be warranted in both media reporting and suicide prevention programmes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi-Ju Pan
- Department of Psychiatry, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
- Institute of Public Health, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
- * E-mail: ,
| | - Mei-Xian Loi
- Department of Psychiatry, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Yin-Hsiang Lan
- Department of Psychiatry, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Chun-Lin Chen
- Department of Psychiatry, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
- Center for General Education, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - I-Chih Cheng
- Department of Psychiatry, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
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Na KS, Geem ZW, Cho SE. The Development of a Suicidal Ideation Predictive Model for Community-Dwelling Elderly Aged >55 Years. Neuropsychiatr Dis Treat 2022; 18:163-172. [PMID: 35140466 PMCID: PMC8819701 DOI: 10.2147/ndt.s336947] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2021] [Accepted: 01/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Suicide is an important health and social concern worldwide. Both suicidal ideation and suicide rates are higher in the elderly population than in other age groups; thus, more careful attention and targeted interventions are required. Therefore, we have developed a model to predict suicidal ideation in the community-dwelling elderly aged of >55 years. PATIENTS AND METHODS A random forest algorithm was applied to those who participated in the Korea Welfare Panel. We used a total of 26 variables as potential predictors. To resolve the imbalance in the dataset resulting from the low frequency of suicidal ideation, training was performed by applying the synthetic minority oversampling technique. The performance index was calculated by applying the predictive model to the test set, which was not included in the training process. RESULTS A total of 6410 elderly Korean aged of >55 (mean, 71.48; standard deviation, 9.56) years were included in the analysis, of which 2.7% had suicidal ideation. The results for predicting suicidal ideation using the 26 chosen variables showed an AUC of 0.879, accuracy of 0.871, sensitivity of 0.750, and specificity of 0.874. The most significant variable in the predictive model was the severity of depression, followed by life satisfaction and self-esteem factors. Basic demographic variables such as age and gender demonstrated a relatively small effect. CONCLUSION Machine learning can be used to create algorithms for predicting suicidal ideation in community-dwelling elderly. However, there are limitations to predicting future suicidal ideation. A predictive model that includes both biological and cognitive indicators should be created in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyoung-Sae Na
- Department of Psychiatry, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, 21565, Republic of Korea
| | - Zong Woo Geem
- College of IT Convergence, Gachon University, Seongnam, 13120, Republic of Korea
| | - Seo-Eun Cho
- Department of Psychiatry, Gil Medical Center, Incheon, 21565, Republic of Korea
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Lim JS, Buckley NA, Chitty KM, Moles RJ, Cairns R. Association Between Means Restriction of Poison and Method-Specific Suicide Rates. JAMA HEALTH FORUM 2021; 2:e213042. [PMID: 35977165 PMCID: PMC8727039 DOI: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.3042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2021] [Accepted: 08/13/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Question Findings Meaning Importance Objective Evidence Review Findings Conclusions and Relevance
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessy S. Lim
- Sydney Pharmacy School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- Edith Collins Centre (Translational Research in Alcohol Drugs and Toxicology), Sydney Local Health District, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Nicholas A. Buckley
- Discipline of Biomedical Informatics and Digital Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- New South Wales Poisons Information Centre, The Children’s Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- Edith Collins Centre (Translational Research in Alcohol Drugs and Toxicology), Sydney Local Health District, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Kate M. Chitty
- Discipline of Biomedical Informatics and Digital Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- Edith Collins Centre (Translational Research in Alcohol Drugs and Toxicology), Sydney Local Health District, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Rebekah Jane Moles
- Sydney Pharmacy School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Rose Cairns
- Sydney Pharmacy School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- New South Wales Poisons Information Centre, The Children’s Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- Edith Collins Centre (Translational Research in Alcohol Drugs and Toxicology), Sydney Local Health District, New South Wales, Australia
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Development of a Suicide Prediction Model for the Elderly Using Health Screening Data. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph181910150. [PMID: 34639457 PMCID: PMC8507921 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph181910150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2021] [Revised: 09/22/2021] [Accepted: 09/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Suicide poses a serious problem globally, especially among the elderly population. To tackle the issue, this study aimed to develop a model for predicting suicide by using machine learning based on the elderly population. To obtain a large sample, the study used the big data health screening cohort provided by the National Health Insurance Sharing Service. By applying a machine learning technique, a predictive model that comprehensively utilized various factors was developed to select the elderly aged > 65 years at risk of suicide. A total of 48,047 subjects were included in the analysis. Individuals who died by suicide were older, and the number of men was significantly greater. The suicide group had a more prominent history of depression, with the use of medicaments significantly higher. Specifically, the prescription of benzodiazepines alone was associated with a high suicide risk. Furthermore, body mass index, waist circumference, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein level were lower in the suicide group. We developed a model for predicting suicide by using machine learning based on the elderly population. This suicide prediction model can satisfy the performance to some extent by employing only the medical service usage behavior without subjective reports.
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Marsh I, Marzano L, Mosse D, Mackenzie JM. First-person accounts of the processes and planning involved in a suicide attempt on the railway. BJPsych Open 2021; 7:e39. [PMID: 33468276 PMCID: PMC8058816 DOI: 10.1192/bjo.2020.173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Revised: 12/02/2020] [Accepted: 12/29/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The processes and planning involved in choosing and attempting to die by a particular method of suicide are not well understood. Accounts from those who have thought about or attempted suicide using a specific method might allow us to better understand the ways in which people come to think about, plan and enact a suicide attempt. AIMS To understand from first-person accounts the processes and planning involved in a suicide attempt on the railway. METHOD Thematic analysis was conducted of qualitative interviews (N = 34) undertaken with individuals who had contemplated or attempted suicide by train. RESULTS Participants explained how they decided upon a particular method, time and place for a suicide attempt. Plans were described as being contingent on a number of elements (including the likelihood of being seen or interrupted), rather than being fixed in advance. Participants mentally rehearsed and evaluated a particular method, which would sometimes involve imagining in detail what would happen before, during and after an attempt. The extent to which this involved others (train drivers, partners, friends) was striking. CONCLUSIONS By giving people free reign to describe in their own words the processes they went through in planning and undertaking a suicide attempt, and by not interpreting such accounts through a lens of deficit and pathology, we can arrive at important insights into how people come to think and feel about, plan and enact a suicide attempt. The findings have implications in terms of understanding suicide risk and prevention more broadly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ian Marsh
- Faculty of Medicine, Health and Social Care, Canterbury Christ Church University, UK
| | - Lisa Marzano
- Department of Psychology, Middlesex University, UK
| | - David Mosse
- Department of Anthropology and Sociology, School of Oriental and African Studies University of London, UK
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He J, Ouyang F, Qiu D, Li L, Li Y, Xiao S. Time Trends and Predictions of Suicide Mortality for People Aged 70 Years and Over From 1990 to 2030 Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Front Psychiatry 2021; 12:721343. [PMID: 34646174 PMCID: PMC8502866 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2021.721343] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2021] [Accepted: 08/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: High suicide rate in the elderly is an important global public health problem but has not received the attention it deserves. This study aimed to examine time trends of suicide mortality for people aged 70 years and over by sex, age, and location from 1990 to 2017, and to provide predictions up to 2030. Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017, we presented elderly suicide mortality changes and compared the patterns for the elderly with that for all ages. We estimated associations between socio-demographic index (SDI) and suicide mortality rates using a restricted cubic spline smoother, and predicted suicide mortality rates up to 2030. Results: In 2017, 118,813 people aged 70 years and over died from suicide, indicating a mortality rate of 27.5 per 100,000, with the highest rates in Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa, Western Sub-Saharan Africa, and Central Sub-Saharan Africa, and for countries and territories, the highest were in South Korea, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, Mozambique, and Senegal. Between 1990 and 2017, suicide mortality rate for the elderly aged 70 years and over decreased globally (percentage change -29.1%), and the largest decreases occurred in East Asia, Southern Latin America, and Western Europe. Nationally, the largest decrease was found in Chile, followed by Czech Republic, Hungary, Turkey, and Philippines. For most countries, the elderly mortality rate was higher than the age-standardized rate, with the largest percentage differences in China and countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. The elderly suicide mortality rate decreased as SDI increased, except for a slight rebound at mid to high SDI. According to projections, 10 out of 195 countries were expected to meet the SDGs indicator of a third reduction by 2030. Conclusions: Variability in suicide mortality rates for the elderly aged 70 years and over by sex, age, region, country, and SDI can guide preventive policies, but causes of the variability need further study. Comprehensive strategies should be adopted to reduce suicide rates and close the gap to the 2030 SDGs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jun He
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
| | - Feiyun Ouyang
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
| | - Dan Qiu
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
| | - Ling Li
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
| | - Yilu Li
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
| | - Shuiyuan Xiao
- Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Changsha, China
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Cho SE, Geem ZW, Na KS. Prediction of suicide among 372,813 individuals under medical check-up. J Psychiatr Res 2020; 131:9-14. [PMID: 32906052 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2020.08.035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2020] [Revised: 07/27/2020] [Accepted: 08/26/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Suicide is a serious social and public health problem. Social stigma and prejudice reduce the accessibility of mental health care services for high-risk groups, resulting in them not receiving interventions and committing suicide. A suicide prediction model is necessary to identify high-risk groups in the general population. METHODS We used national medical check-up data from 2009 to 2015 in Korea. The latest medical check-up data for each subject was set as an index point. Analysis was undertaken for an overall follow-up period (index point to the final tracking period) as well as for a one-year follow-up period. The training set was cross-validated fivefold. The predictive model was trained using a random forest algorithm, and its performance was measured using a separate test set not included in the training. RESULTS The analysis covered 372,813 individuals, with an average (SD) overall follow-up duration of 1.52 (1.52) years. When we predicted suicide during the overall follow-up period, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.849, sensitivity was 0.817, and specificity was 0.754. The performance of the predicted suicide risk model for one year from the index point was AUC 0.818, sensitivity 0.788, and specificity 0.657. CONCLUSIONS This is probably the first suicide predictive model using machine learning based on medical check-up data from the general population. It could be used to screen high-risk suicidal groups from the population through routine medical check-ups. Future studies may test preventive interventions such as exercise and alcohol in these high-risk groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seo-Eun Cho
- Department of Psychiatry, Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Zong Woo Geem
- Department of Energy and Information Technology, Gachon University, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea
| | - Kyoung-Sae Na
- Department of Psychiatry, Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
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Katayama Y, Matsuyama T, Kitamura T, Hirose T, Kiguchi T, Sado J, Kiyohara K, Takahashi H, Adachi S, Noda T, Izawa J, Ohnishi M, Shimazu T. Prehospital characteristics, incidence trends, and outcome of emergency self-inflicted injury patients with gas substances: a population-based descriptive study in Osaka, Japan. Acute Med Surg 2020; 7:e452. [PMID: 31988764 PMCID: PMC6971468 DOI: 10.1002/ams2.452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2019] [Accepted: 07/22/2019] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM Little is known about the detailed characteristics of patients using gas substances for self-inflicted injury in prehospital settings. The aim of this study was to investigate the characteristics, incidence trends, and outcomes of patients who used gas substances for self-inflicted injury in Osaka City, Japan, using ambulance records. METHODS This was a retrospective observational study that used data from 2009 to 2015. We extracted details from ambulance records of self-inflicted injury patients who used gas substances. The annual incidence of self-inflicted injury by gas substance and age group and Poisson regression models were applied for calculating the annual incidence trend by type of gas substance. The main outcome was confirmed death at the scene, and we also calculated the crude odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for each gas substance. RESULTS During the study period, there were 324 self-inflicted injury patients who used gas substances. The most commonly used gases were carbon monoxide (CO) (54.9%), followed by hydrogen sulfide (12.7%), helium (6.5%). The incidence of CO and hydrogen sulfide have subsequently decreased (P for trend = 0.023 and <0.001, respectively); however, the incidence of helium did not change during the study period (P for trend = 0.586). The mortality rate was highest in patients who used helium (66.7% [14/21]) and the crude odds ratio of helium was 3.857 (95% confidence interval, 1.267-11.745; P = 0.017) compared with hydrogen sulfide. CONCLUSION This study revealed that the incidence of self-inflicted injury with helium did not change and its proportion of death at the scene was high in Osaka City.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yusuke Katayama
- Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical MedicineOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
| | - Tasuku Matsuyama
- Department of Emergency MedicineKyoto Prefectural University of MedicineKyotoJapan
| | - Tetsuhisa Kitamura
- Division of Environmental Medicine and Population SciencesDepartment of Social and Environmental MedicineOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
| | - Tomoya Hirose
- Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical MedicineOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
- Emergency and Critical Care CenterOsaka Police HospitalOsakaJapan
| | | | - Junya Sado
- Department of Health and Sport SciencesMedicine for Sports and Performing ArtsOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
| | - Kosuke Kiyohara
- Department of Food ScienceFaculty of Home EconomicsOtsuma Women's UniversityTokyoJapan
| | - Hiroki Takahashi
- Department of Emergency and Critical MedicineKansai Medical UniversityHirakataJapan
| | - Shingo Adachi
- Rinku General Medical CenterSenshu Trauma and Critical Care CenterIzumisanoJapan
| | - Tomohiro Noda
- Department of Traumatology and Critical Care MedicineOsaka City University Graduate School of MedicineOsakaJapan
| | - Junichi Izawa
- Intensive Care UnitDepartment of AnesthesiologyThe Jikei University School of MedicineTokyoJapan
| | - Mitsuo Ohnishi
- Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical MedicineOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
| | - Takeshi Shimazu
- Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical MedicineOsaka University Graduate School of MedicineSuitaJapan
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Big Data and Discovery Sciences in Psychiatry. ADVANCES IN EXPERIMENTAL MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY 2019; 1192:3-15. [PMID: 31705487 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-32-9721-0_1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
The modern society is a so-called era of big data. Whereas nearly everybody recognizes the "era of big data", no one can exactly define how big the data is a "big data". The reason for the ambiguity of the term big data mainly arises from the widespread of using that term. Along the widespread application of the digital technology in the everyday life, a large amount of data is generated every second in relation with every human behavior (i.e., measuring body movements through sensors, texts sent and received via social networking services). In addition, nonhuman data such as weather and Global Positioning System signals has been cumulated and analyzed in perspectives of big data (Kan et al. in Int J Environ Res Public Health 15(4), 2018 [1]). The big data has also influenced the medical science, which includes the field of psychiatry (Monteith et al. in Int J Bipolar Disord 3(1):21, 2015 [2]). In this chapter, we first introduce the definition of the term "big data". Then, we discuss researches which apply big data to solve problems in the clinical practice of psychiatry.
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