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Desai SR, Hwang NC. Does Amino Acid Infusion Reduce the Risk of Clinically Significant Acute Kidney Injury Following Cardiac Surgery? J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2025; 39:1116-1119. [PMID: 39919943 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2025.01.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2025] [Accepted: 01/17/2025] [Indexed: 02/09/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Suneel Ramesh Desai
- Department of Cardiothoracic Anaesthesia, National Heart Centre, Singapore; Department of Surgical Intensive Care, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore
| | - Nian Chih Hwang
- Department of Cardiothoracic Anaesthesia, National Heart Centre, Singapore; Department of Anaesthesiology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.
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Ohya Y, Irie F, Nakamura K, Kiyohara T, Wakisaka Y, Ago T, Matsuo R, Kamouchi M, Kitazono T. Association between pulse pressure and risk of acute kidney injury after intracerebral hemorrhage. Hypertens Res 2025; 48:939-949. [PMID: 39653796 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-024-02046-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2024] [Revised: 11/06/2024] [Accepted: 11/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/06/2025]
Abstract
The aim of this study was to determine whether pulse pressure (PP), an indicator of arterial stiffness, was independently associated with the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We enrolled patients with acute ICH from a multicenter stroke registry in Fukuoka, Japan, from June 2007 to September 2019. The mean PP, measured three times on the third day after admission, was categorized into three groups based on tertiles: G1 < 54 mmHg, G2 54-64 mmHg, and G3 ≥ 65 mmHg. AKI was defined as an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or ≥150% in serum creatinine levels above baseline during hospitalization. The associations between PP and AKI were evaluated using logistic regression analyses. Overall, 1512 patients with acute ICH (mean age: 69.8 ± 13.5 years; 56.4% men) were included in the analysis. The incidence rates of AKI were 5.6%, 11.0%, and 13.2% in groups G1, G2, and G3, respectively. The odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of AKI was significantly elevated in G2 (1.77 [1.07-2.91]) and G3 (1.82 [1.10-3.03]) compared to G1, even after adjusting for initial systolic blood pressure (SBP) values on admission and subsequent SBP reductions. This significant association was observed in patients with an initial SBP < 200 mmHg (P for heterogeneity, 0.045) and those receiving intravenous antihypertensive therapy in the acute stage (P for heterogeneity, 0.03). High PP should be recognized as a novel potential risk factor for AKI following ICH. High pulse pressure was significantly associated with an increased risk of acute kidneyinjury following intracranial hemorrhage. Pulse pressure should be recognized as anovel potential risk factor and one of the predictors of acute kidney injury afterintracranial hemorrhage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuichiro Ohya
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Fumi Irie
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Department of Health Care Administration and Management, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Kuniyuki Nakamura
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Takuya Kiyohara
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Yoshinobu Wakisaka
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Tetsuro Ago
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Ryu Matsuo
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
- Department of Health Care Administration and Management, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
| | - Masahiro Kamouchi
- Department of Health Care Administration and Management, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Takanari Kitazono
- Department of Medicine and Clinical Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
- Center for Cohort Studies, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
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Jones C, Taylor M, Sperrin M, Grant SW. A systematic review of cardiac surgery clinical prediction models that include intra-operative variables. Perfusion 2025; 40:328-342. [PMID: 38649154 PMCID: PMC11849261 DOI: 10.1177/02676591241237758] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Most cardiac surgery clinical prediction models (CPMs) are developed using pre-operative variables to predict post-operative outcomes. Some CPMs are developed with intra-operative variables, but none are widely used. The objective of this systematic review was to identify CPMs with intra-operative variables that predict short-term outcomes following adult cardiac surgery. METHODS Ovid MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched from inception to December 2022, for studies developing a CPM with at least one intra-operative variable. Data were extracted using a critical appraisal framework and bias assessment tool. Model performance was analysed using discrimination and calibration measures. RESULTS A total of 24 models were identified. Frequent predicted outcomes were acute kidney injury (9/24 studies) and peri-operative mortality (6/24 studies). Frequent pre-operative variables were age (18/24 studies) and creatinine/eGFR (18/24 studies). Common intra-operative variables were cardiopulmonary bypass time (16/24 studies) and transfusion (13/24 studies). Model discrimination was acceptable for all internally validated models (AUC 0.69-0.91). Calibration was poor (15/24 studies) or unreported (8/24 studies). Most CPMs were at a high or indeterminate risk of bias (23/24 models). The added value of intra-operative variables was assessed in six studies with statistically significantly improved discrimination demonstrated in two. CONCLUSION Weak reporting and methodological limitations may restrict wider applicability and adoption of existing CPMs that include intra-operative variables. There is some evidence that CPM discrimination is improved with the addition of intra-operative variables. Further work is required to understand the role of intra-operative CPMs in the management of cardiac surgery patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ceri Jones
- Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Department of Clinical Perfusion, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK
| | - Marcus Taylor
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Manchester University Hospital Foundation Trust, Wythenshawe Hospital, , Manchester, UK
| | - Matthew Sperrin
- Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Stuart W. Grant
- Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, ERC, Manchester University Hospitals Foundation Trust, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- South Tees Academic Cardiovascular Unit, South Tees Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Middlesbrough, UK
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Jia X, Ma J, Qi Z, Zhang D, Gao J. Development and validation of a prediction model for acute kidney injury following cardiac valve surgery. Front Med (Lausanne) 2025; 12:1528147. [PMID: 39958823 PMCID: PMC11825392 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1528147] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2024] [Accepted: 01/20/2025] [Indexed: 02/18/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) often accompanies cardiac valve surgery, and worsens patient outcome. The aim of our study is to identify preoperative and intraoperative independent risk factors for AKI in patients undergoing cardiac valve surgery. Using these factors, we developed a risk prediction model for AKI after cardiac valve surgery and conducted external validation. Methods Our retrospective study recruited 497 adult patients undergoing cardiac valve surgery as a derivation cohort between February and August 2023. Patient demographics, including medical history and perioperative clinical information, were acquired, and patients were classified into one of two cohorts, AKI and non-AKI, according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines. Using binary logistic stepwise regression analysis, we identified independent AKI risk factors after cardiac valve surgery. Lastly, we constructed a nomogram and conducted external validation in a validation cohort comprising 200 patients. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results In the derivation cohort, 172 developed AKI (34.6%). Relative to non-AKI patients, the AKI patients exhibited elevated postoperative complication incidences and worse outcome. Based on multivariate analysis, advanced age (OR: 1.855; p = 0.011), preoperative hypertension (OR: 1.91; p = 0.017), coronary heart disease (OR: 6.773; p < 0.001), preoperative albumin (OR: 0.924; p = 0.015), D-Dimer (OR: 1.001; p = 0.038), plasma creatinine (OR: 1.025; p = 0.001), cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) duration (OR: 1.011; p = 0.001), repeat CPB (OR: 6.195; p = 0.010), intraoperative red blood cell transfusion (OR: 2.560; p < 0.001), urine volume (OR: 0.406 p < 0.001) and vasoactive-inotropic score (OR: 1.135; p = 0.009) were independent risk factors for AKI. The AUC of the nomogram in the derivation and validation cohorts were 0.814 (95%CI: 0.775-0.854) and 0.798 (95%CI: 0.726-0.871), respectively. Furthermore, the calibration curve revealed that the predicted outcome was in agreement with the actual observations. Finally, the DCA curves showed that the nomogram had a good clinical applicability value. Conclusion Several perioperative factors modulate AKI development following cardiac valve surgery, resulting in poor patient prognosis. The proposed AKI predictive model is both sensitive and precise, and can assist in high-risk patient screening in the clinics.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jun Ma
- Department of Anesthesiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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van der Linden J, Fux T, Kaakinen T, Rutanen J, Toivonen JM, Nyström F, Wahba A, Hammas B, Parviainen M, Cunha-Goncalves D, Hiippala S. In Nordic countries 30-day mortality rate is half that estimated with EuroSCORE II in high-risk adult patients given aprotinin and undergoing mainly complex cardiac procedures. SCAND CARDIOVASC J 2024; 58:2330347. [PMID: 38555873 DOI: 10.1080/14017431.2024.2330347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2023] [Revised: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 03/09/2024] [Indexed: 04/02/2024]
Abstract
Objectives. To describe current on- (isolated coronary arterty bypass grafting, iCABG) and off-label (non-iCABG) use of aprotinin and associated safety endpoints in adult patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery in Nordic countries. Design. Data come from 10 cardiac surgery centres in Finland, Norway and Sweden participating in the European Nordic aprotinin patient registry (NAPaR). Results. 486 patients were given aprotinin between 2016 and 2020. 59 patients (12.1%) underwent iCABG and 427 (87.9%) non-iCABG, including surgery for aortic dissection (16.7%) and endocarditis (36.0%). 89.9% were administered a full aprotinin dosage and 37.0% were re-sternotomies. Dual antiplatelet treatment affected 72.9% of iCABG and 7.0% of non-iCABG patients. 0.6% of patients had anaphylactic reactions associated with aprotinin. 6.4% (95 CI% 4.2%-8.6%) of patients were reoperated for bleeding. Rate of postoperative thromboembolic events, day 1 rise in creatinine >44μmol/L and new dialysis for any reason was 4.7% (95%CI 2.8%-6.6%), 16.7% (95%CI 13.4%-20.0%) and 14.0% (95%CI 10.9%-17.1%), respectively. In-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality was 4.9% (95%CI 2.8%-6.9%) and 6.3% (95%CI 3.7%-7.8%) in all patients versus mean EuroSCORE II 11.4% (95%CI 8.4%-14.0%, p < .01). 30-day mortality in patients undergoing surgery for aortic dissection and endocarditis was 6.2% (95%CI 0.9%-11.4%) and 6.3% (95%CI 2.7%-9.9%) versus mean EuroSCORE II 13.2% (95%CI 6.1%-21.0%, p = .11) and 14.5% (95%CI 12.1%-16.8%, p = .01), respectively. Conclusions. NAPaR data from Nordic countries suggest a favourable safety profile of aprotinin in adult cardiac surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jan van der Linden
- Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Thomas Fux
- Department of Surgery and Molecular Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Timo Kaakinen
- Research Group of Surgery, Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Medical Research Center Oulu, Oulu University Hospital, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
| | - Juha Rutanen
- Department of Anesthesiology, Kuopio University Hospital, Kuopio, Finland
| | - Jenni M Toivonen
- Department of Anesthesiology, Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland
| | - Fredrik Nyström
- Department of Anesthesiology, Norrland's University Hospital, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Alexander Wahba
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery , Trondheim University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Bengt Hammas
- Department of Anesthesiology, Örebro University Hospital, Örebro, Sweden
| | - Maria Parviainen
- Department of Anesthesiology, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland
| | | | - Seppo Hiippala
- Department of Anesthesiology, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
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Patharkar A, Huang J, Wu T, Forzani E, Thomas L, Lind M, Gades N. Eigen-entropy based time series signatures to support multivariate time series classification. Sci Rep 2024; 14:16076. [PMID: 38992044 PMCID: PMC11239935 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-66953-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2024] [Accepted: 07/05/2024] [Indexed: 07/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Most current algorithms for multivariate time series classification tend to overlook the correlations between time series of different variables. In this research, we propose a framework that leverages Eigen-entropy along with a cumulative moving window to derive time series signatures to support the classification task. These signatures are enumerations of correlations among different time series considering the temporal nature of the dataset. To manage dataset's dynamic nature, we employ preprocessing with dense multi scale entropy. Consequently, the proposed framework, Eigen-entropy-based Time Series Signatures, captures correlations among multivariate time series without losing its temporal and dynamic aspects. The efficacy of our algorithm is assessed using six binary datasets sourced from the University of East Anglia, in addition to a publicly available gait dataset and an institutional sepsis dataset from the Mayo Clinic. We use recall as the evaluation metric to compare our approach against baseline algorithms, including dependent dynamic time warping with 1 nearest neighbor and multivariate multi-scale permutation entropy. Our method demonstrates superior performance in terms of recall for seven out of the eight datasets.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abhidnya Patharkar
- School of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA
- ASU-Mayo Center for Innovative Imaging, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA
| | - Jiajing Huang
- School of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA
- ASU-Mayo Center for Innovative Imaging, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA
| | - Teresa Wu
- School of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA.
- ASU-Mayo Center for Innovative Imaging, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA.
| | - Erica Forzani
- The Biodesign Institute, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85287, USA
| | - Leslie Thomas
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic in Arizona, Scottsdale, AZ, USA
| | - Marylaura Lind
- The Biodesign Institute, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85287, USA
| | - Naomi Gades
- Department of Comparative Medicine, Mayo Clinic in Arizona, Scottsdale, AZ, USA
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Anzai A, Takaki S, Yokoyama N, Kashiwagi S, Yokose M, Goto T. Creatinine Reduction Ratio Is a Prognostic Factor for Acute Kidney Injury following Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study. J Clin Med 2023; 13:9. [PMID: 38202016 PMCID: PMC10779757 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13010009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2023] [Revised: 12/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/17/2023] [Indexed: 01/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery is a common complication that can lead to death. We previously reported that the creatinine reduction ratio (CRR) serves as a useful prognostic factor for AKI. The primary objective of this study was to determine the predictors of AKI after surgery. The secondary objective was to determine the reliability of the CRR for short- and long-term outcomes. We retrospectively collected information about cardiac surgery patients who underwent cardiopulmonary bypass. Patients were divided into AKI and non-AKI groups based on the AKIN and RIFLE criteria. We analyzed the two groups regarding the preoperative patient data and operative information. The CRR was calculated as follows: (preoperative creatinine-postoperative creatinine)/preoperative creatinine. The prognostic factors of AKI-CS were surgery time, CPB time, aorta clamp time, platelet transfusion, and CRR < 20%. In the multivariate logistical analysis, CRR was an independent predictor of AKI (adjusted odds ratio: 0.90 [0.87-0.93], p < 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in CRR in terms of the rate of new onset chronic kidney disease (CKD). After cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass, CRR has good diagnostic power for predicting perioperative AKI. However, we cannot use it as a prognostic factor over a long-term period.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Shunsuke Takaki
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Yokohama City University Hospital, 3-9 Fukuura Kanazawaku, Yokohama 236-0004, Japan; (A.A.)
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Kant S, Banerjee D, Sabe SA, Sellke F, Feng J. Microvascular dysfunction following cardiopulmonary bypass plays a central role in postoperative organ dysfunction. Front Med (Lausanne) 2023; 10:1110532. [PMID: 36865056 PMCID: PMC9971232 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1110532] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 02/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Despite significant advances in surgical technique and strategies for tissue/organ protection, cardiac surgery involving cardiopulmonary bypass is a profound stressor on the human body and is associated with numerous intraoperative and postoperative collateral effects across different tissues and organ systems. Of note, cardiopulmonary bypass has been shown to induce significant alterations in microvascular reactivity. This involves altered myogenic tone, altered microvascular responsiveness to many endogenous vasoactive agonists, and generalized endothelial dysfunction across multiple vascular beds. This review begins with a survey of in vitro studies that examine the cellular mechanisms of microvascular dysfunction following cardiac surgery involving cardiopulmonary bypass, with a focus on endothelial activation, weakened barrier integrity, altered cell surface receptor expression, and changes in the balance between vasoconstrictive and vasodilatory mediators. Microvascular dysfunction in turn influences postoperative organ dysfunction in complex, poorly understood ways. Hence the second part of this review will highlight in vivo studies examining the effects of cardiac surgery on critical organ systems, notably the heart, brain, renal system, and skin/peripheral tissue vasculature. Clinical implications and possible areas for intervention will be discussed throughout the review.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Jun Feng
- Cardiothoracic Surgery Research Laboratory, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Rhode Island Hospital, Lifespan, Providence, RI, United States
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Yan Y, Gong H, Hu J, Wu D, Zheng Z, Wang L, Lei C. Perioperative parameters-based prediction model for acute kidney injury in Chinese population following valvular surgery. Front Cardiovasc Med 2023; 10:1094997. [PMID: 36960471 PMCID: PMC10028074 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1094997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2022] [Accepted: 02/20/2023] [Indexed: 03/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a relevant complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Existing risk prediction tools have certain limitations and perform poorly in the Chinese population. We aimed to develop prediction models for AKI after valvular cardiac surgery in the Chinese population. Methods Models were developed from a retrospective cohort of patients undergoing valve surgery from December 2013 to November 2018. Three models were developed to predict all-stage, or moderate to severe AKI, as diagnosed according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) based on patient characteristics and perioperative variables. Models were developed based on lasso logistics regression (LLR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGboost). The accuracy was compared among three models and against the previously published reference AKICS score. Results A total of 3,392 patients (mean [SD] age, 50.1 [11.3] years; 1787 [52.7%] male) were identified during the study period. The development of AKI was recorded in 50.5% of patients undergoing valve surgery. In the internal validation testing set, the LLR model marginally improved discrimination (C statistic, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.66-0.73) compared with two machine learning models, RF (C statistic, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.65-0.72) and XGBoost (C statistic, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.63-0.70). A better calibration was also found in the LLR, with a greater net benefit, especially for the higher probabilities as indicated in the decision curve analysis. All three newly developed models outperformed the reference AKICS score. Conclusion Among the Chinese population undergoing CPB-assisted valvular cardiac surgery, prediction models based on perioperative variables were developed. The LLR model demonstrated the best predictive performance was selected for predicting all-stage AKI after surgery. Clinical trial registration Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04237636.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yun Yan
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Hairong Gong
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Jie Hu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, the First Medical Centre, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Di Wu
- Department of School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Ziyu Zheng
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Lini Wang
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Chong Lei
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
- Correspondence: Chong Lei
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Milne B, Gilbey T, Kunst G. Perioperative Management of the Patient at High-Risk for Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2022; 36:4460-4482. [PMID: 36241503 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2022.08.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2022] [Revised: 07/27/2022] [Accepted: 08/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most common major complications of cardiac surgery, and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Cardiac surgery-associated AKI has a complex, multifactorial etiology, including numerous factors such as primary cardiac dysfunction, hemodynamic derangements of cardiac surgery and cardiopulmonary bypass, and the possibility of a large volume of blood transfusion. There are no truly effective pharmacologic therapies for the management of AKI, and, therefore, anesthesiologists, intensivists, and cardiac surgeons must remain vigilant and attempt to minimize the risk of developing renal dysfunction. This narrative review describes the current state of the scientific literature concerning the specific aspects of cardiac surgery-associated AKI, and presents it in a chronological fashion to aid the perioperative clinician in their approach to this high-risk patient group. The evidence was considered for risk prediction models, preoperative optimization, and the intraoperative and postoperative management of cardiac surgery patients to improve renal outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benjamin Milne
- Department of Anaesthetics and Pain Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom; National Institute of Health Research Academic Clinical Fellow, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Tom Gilbey
- Department of Anaesthetics and Pain Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom; National Institute of Health Research Academic Clinical Fellow, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Gudrun Kunst
- Department of Anaesthetics and Pain Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom; School of Cardiovascular Medicine and Metabolic Medicine and Sciences, King's College London, British Heart Foundation Centre of Excellence, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
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Mitrev LV, Germaine P, Crudeli C, Santisi A, Trivedi A, Van Helmond N, Gaughan J. Is Calcium Score in the Abdominal Aorta or Renal Arteries Predictive of Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiopulmonary Bypass: An Exploratory Study. Cureus 2022; 14:e31466. [DOI: 10.7759/cureus.31466] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
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12
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Mitrev L, Krickus C, DeChiara J, Huseby R, Desai N, van Helmond N. Association of Preoperative Pulse Pressure and Oxygen Delivery Index During Cardiopulmonary Bypass With Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2022; 36:4070-4076. [PMID: 35909040 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2022.06.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2022] [Revised: 06/13/2022] [Accepted: 06/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate if oxygen delivery index during cardiopulmonary bypass (DO2I) was more strongly associated with acute kidney injury (AKI), the higher the patient's preoperative pulse pressure (PP). DESIGN Retrospective cohort of 1064 patients undergoing cardiac surgery. SETTING Single academic healthcare center. PARTICIPANTS Adult patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting, valve, aortic, or combined surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass. INTERVENTIONS Hemoglobin, arterial oxygen saturation, and pump flow recorded no fewer than every 30 min were extracted from the patients' perfusion records, and DO2I was calculated. The AKI was assessed from the pre- and postoperative creatinine and urine output values using the Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria. The sample was stratified in 5 categories of progressively higher PP. The patient characteristics and intraoperative variables were evaluated in univariate analysis for a relationship with AKI. The significant risk factors from the univariate analysis then were evaluated in a multivariate analysis and assessed for logistic fit with respect to AKI. PRIMARY OUTCOME The AKI assessed as a binary outcome. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Age, body surface area, DO2I, history of heart failure, and baseline creatinine were associated significantly with AKI, as was an interaction term between the PP category and DO2I (p = 0.0067). The higher the PP category, the stronger the observed association between DO2I and AKI, and the higher the variability in the predicted risk of AKI dependent on DO2I. CONCLUSIONS A lower DO2I during cardiopulmonary bypass appeared more strongly associated with a higher likelihood of developing AKI, the higher the patient's preoperative pulse pressure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ludmil Mitrev
- Department of Anesthesiology, Division of Cardiothoracic Anesthesiology, Cooper University Hospital, Camden, NJ, United States; Cooper Medical School of Rowan University, Camden, NJ, United States.
| | - Casey Krickus
- Cooper Medical School of Rowan University, Camden, NJ, United States
| | - James DeChiara
- Madigan Army Medical Center, Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Tacoma, WA, United States
| | - Robert Huseby
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mt. Sinai University, New York, NY, United States
| | - Neil Desai
- Cooper Medical School of Rowan University, Camden, NJ, United States
| | - Noud van Helmond
- Department of Anesthesiology, Division of Cardiothoracic Anesthesiology, Cooper University Hospital, Camden, NJ, United States
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LUO CC, ZHONG YL, QIAO ZY, LI CN, LIU YM, ZHENG J, SUN LZ, GE YP, ZHU JM. Development and validation of a nomogram for postoperative severe acute kidney injury in acute type A aortic dissection. J Geriatr Cardiol 2022; 19:734-742. [PMID: 36338280 PMCID: PMC9618850 DOI: 10.11909/j.issn.1671-5411.2022.10.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major complication associated with increased morbidity and mortality after surgery for acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD). To the best of our knowledge, risk prediction models for AKI following AAAD surgery have not been reported. The goal of the present study was to develop a prediction model to predict severe AKI after AAAD surgery. METHODS A total of 485 patients who underwent AAAD surgery were enrolled and randomly divided into the training cohort (70%) and the validation cohort (30%). Severe AKI was defined as AKI stage III following the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Preoperative variables, intraoperative variables and postoperative data were collected for analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to select predictors and develop a nomogram in the study cohort. The final prediction model was validated using the bootstrapping techniques and in the validation cohort. RESULTS The incidence of severe AKI was 23.0% (n = 78), and 14.7% (n = 50) of patients needed renal replacement treatment. The hospital mortality rate was 8.3% (n = 28), while for AKI patients, the mortality rate was 13.1%, which increased to 20.5% for severe AKI patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that age, cardiopulmonary bypass time, serum creatinine, and D-dimer were key predictors for severe AKI following AAAD surgery. The logistic regression model incorporated these predictors to develop a nomogram for predicting severe AKI after AAAD surgery. The nomogram showed optimal discrimination ability, with an area under the curve of 0.716 in the training cohort and 0.739 in the validation cohort. Calibration curve analysis demonstrated good correlations in both the training cohort and the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS We developed a prognostic model including age, cardiopulmonary bypass time, serum creatinine, and D-dimer to predict severe AKI after AAAD surgery. The prognostic model demonstrated an effective predictive capability for severe AKI, which may help improve risk stratification for poor in-hospital outcomes after AAAD surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cong-Cong LUO
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai 9th People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yong-Liang ZHONG
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhi-Yu QIAO
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Cheng-Nan LI
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yong-Min LIU
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jun ZHENG
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Li-Zhong SUN
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yi-Peng GE
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jun-Ming ZHU
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beijing Aortic Disease Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Thongprayoon C, Pattharanitima P, Kattah AG, Mao MA, Keddis MT, Dillon JJ, Kaewput W, Tangpanithandee S, Krisanapan P, Qureshi F, Cheungpasitporn W. Explainable Preoperative Automated Machine Learning Prediction Model for Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury. J Clin Med 2022; 11:6264. [PMID: 36362493 PMCID: PMC9656700 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11216264] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2022] [Revised: 10/15/2022] [Accepted: 10/21/2022] [Indexed: 08/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aimed to develop and validate an automated machine learning (autoML) prediction model for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). METHODS Using 69 preoperative variables, we developed several models to predict post-operative AKI in adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Models included autoML and non-autoML types, including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network (ANN), as well as a logistic regression prediction model. We then compared model performance using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and assessed model calibration using Brier score on the independent testing dataset. RESULTS The incidence of CSA-AKI was 36%. Stacked ensemble autoML had the highest predictive performance among autoML models, and was chosen for comparison with other non-autoML and multivariable logistic regression models. The autoML had the highest AUROC (0.79), followed by RF (0.78), XGBoost (0.77), multivariable logistic regression (0.77), ANN (0.75), and DT (0.64). The autoML had comparable AUROC with RF and outperformed the other models. The autoML was well-calibrated. The Brier score for autoML, RF, DT, XGBoost, ANN, and multivariable logistic regression was 0.18, 0.18, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, and 0.18, respectively. We applied SHAP and LIME algorithms to our autoML prediction model to extract an explanation of the variables that drive patient-specific predictions of CSA-AKI. CONCLUSION We were able to present a preoperative autoML prediction model for CSA-AKI that provided high predictive performance that was comparable to RF and superior to other ML and multivariable logistic regression models. The novel approaches of the proposed explainable preoperative autoML prediction model for CSA-AKI may guide clinicians in advancing individualized medicine plans for patients under cardiac surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charat Thongprayoon
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
| | - Pattharawin Pattharanitima
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand
| | - Andrea G. Kattah
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
| | - Michael A. Mao
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA
| | - Mira T. Keddis
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ 85054, USA
| | - John J. Dillon
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
| | - Wisit Kaewput
- Department of Military and Community Medicine, Phramongkutklao College of Medicine, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Supawit Tangpanithandee
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
- Faculty of Medicine, Chakri Naruebodindra Medical Institute, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Samut Prakan 10540, Thailand
| | - Pajaree Krisanapan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand
| | - Fawad Qureshi
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
| | - Wisit Cheungpasitporn
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA
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Xinsai L, Zhengye W, Xuan H, Xueqian C, Kai P, Sisi C, Xuyan J, Suhua L. Prediction model of acute kidney injury after different types of acute aortic dissection based on machine learning. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:984772. [PMID: 36211563 PMCID: PMC9535339 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.984772] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective A clinical prediction model for postoperative combined Acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with Type A acute aortic dissection (TAAAD) and Type B acute aortic dissection (TBAAD) was constructed by using Machine Learning (ML). Methods Baseline data was collected from Acute aortic division (AAD) patients admitted to First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2021. (1) We identified baseline Serum creatinine (SCR) estimation methods and used them as a basis for diagnosis of AKI. (2) Divide their total datasets randomly into Training set (70%) and Test set (30%), Bootstrap modeling and validation of features using multiple ML methods in the training set, and select models corresponding to the largest Area Under Curve (AUC) for follow-up studies. (3) Screening of the best ML model variables through the model visualization tools Shapley Addictive Explanations (SHAP) and Recursive feature reduction (REF). (4) Finally, the pre-screened prediction models were evaluated using test set data from three aspects: discrimination, Calibration, and clinical benefit. Results The final incidence of AKI was 69.4% (120/173) in 173 patients with TAAAD and 28.6% (81/283) in 283 patients with TBAAD. For TAAAD-AKI, the Random Forest (RF) model showed the best prediction performance in the training set (AUC = 0.760, 95% CI:0.630–0.881); while for TBAAD-AKI, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model worked best (AUC = 0.734, 95% CI:0.623–0.847). Screening of the characteristic variables revealed that the common predictors among the two final prediction models for postoperative AKI due to AAD were baseline SCR, Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and Uric acid (UA) at admission, Mechanical ventilation time (MVT). The specific predictors in the TAAAD-AKI model are: White blood cell (WBC), Platelet (PLT) and D dimer at admission, Plasma The specific predictors in the TBAAD-AKI model were N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), Serum kalium, Activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) and Systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission, Combined renal arteriography in surgery. Finally, we used in terms of Discrimination, the ROC value of the RF model for TAAAD was 0.81 and the ROC value of the LightGBM model for TBAAD was 0.74, both with good accuracy. In terms of calibration, the calibration curve of TAAAD-AKI's RF fits the ideal curve the best and has the lowest and smallest Brier score (0.16). Similarly, the calibration curve of TBAAD-AKI's LightGBM model fits the ideal curve the best and has the smallest Brier score (0.15). In terms of Clinical benefit, the best ML models for both types of AAD have good Net benefit as shown by Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). Conclusion We successfully constructed and validated clinical prediction models for the occurrence of AKI after surgery in TAAAD and TBAAD patients using different ML algorithms. The main predictors of the two types of AAD-AKI are somewhat different, and the strategies for early prevention and control of AKI are also different and need more external data for validation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li Xinsai
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
| | - Wang Zhengye
- School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Huang Xuan
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
| | - Chu Xueqian
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
| | - Peng Kai
- School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Chen Sisi
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
| | - Jiang Xuyan
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
| | - Li Suhua
- Kidney Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, Institute of Nephrology of Xinjiang, Urumqi, China
- Xinjiang Blood Purification Medical Quality Control Center, Urumqi, China
- *Correspondence: Li Suhua
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Bajaj T, Koyner JL. Artificial Intelligence in Acute Kidney Injury Prediction. Adv Chronic Kidney Dis 2022; 29:450-460. [PMID: 36253028 PMCID: PMC10259199 DOI: 10.1053/j.ackd.2022.07.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2022] [Revised: 07/20/2022] [Accepted: 07/27/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in nephrology and its associated clinical research is growing. Recent years have seen increased interest in utilizing AI to predict the development of hospital-based acute kidney injury (AKI). Several AI techniques have been employed to improve the ability to detect AKI across a variety of hospitalized settings. This review discusses the evolutions of AKI risk prediction discussing the static risk assessment models of yesteryear as well as the more recent trend toward AI and advanced learning techniques. We discuss the relative improvement in AKI detection as well as the relative dearth of data around the clinical implementation and patient outcomes using these models. The use of AI for AKI detection and clinical care is in its infancy, and this review describes how we arrived at our current position and hints at the promise of the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tushar Bajaj
- Section of Nephrology, Department of Medicine University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Jay L Koyner
- Section of Nephrology, Department of Medicine University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
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Diagnosis of Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury: State of the Art and Perspectives. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11154576. [PMID: 35956190 PMCID: PMC9370029 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11154576] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2022] [Revised: 07/26/2022] [Accepted: 07/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Diagnosis of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI), a syndrome of sudden renal dysfunction occurring in the immediate post-operative period, is still sub-optimal. Standard CSA-AKI diagnosis is performed according to the international criteria for AKI diagnosis, afflicted with insufficient sensitivity, specificity, and prognostic capacity. In this article, we describe the limitations of current diagnostic procedures and of the so-called injury biomarkers and analyze new strategies under development for a conceptually enhanced diagnosis of CSA-AKI. Specifically, early pathophysiological diagnosis and patient stratification based on the underlying mechanisms of disease are presented as ongoing developments. This new approach should be underpinned by process-specific biomarkers including, but not limited to, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) to other functions of renal excretion causing GFR-independent hydro-electrolytic and acid-based disorders. In addition, biomarker-based strategies for the assessment of AKI evolution and prognosis are also discussed. Finally, special focus is devoted to the novel concept of pre-emptive diagnosis of acquired risk of AKI, a premorbid condition of renal frailty providing interesting prophylactic opportunities to prevent disease through diagnosis-guided personalized patient handling. Indeed, a new strategy of risk assessment complementing the traditional scores based on the computing of risk factors is advanced. The new strategy pinpoints the assessment of the status of the primary mechanisms of renal function regulation on which the impact of risk factors converges, namely renal hemodynamics and tubular competence, to generate a composite and personalized estimation of individual risk.
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18
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De Hert S, Ouattara A, Royston D, van der Linden J, Zacharowski K. Use and safety of aprotinin in routine clinical practice: A European postauthorisation safety study conducted in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Eur J Anaesthesiol 2022; 39:685-694. [PMID: 35766393 PMCID: PMC9451913 DOI: 10.1097/eja.0000000000001710] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aprotinin has been used to reduce blood loss and blood product transfusions in patients at high risk of major blood loss during cardiac surgery. Approval by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for its current indication is limited to patients at high risk of major blood loss undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery (iCABG). OBJECTIVE To report current real-world data on the use and certain endpoints related to the safety of aprotinin in adult patients. DESIGN The Nordic aprotinin patient registry (NAPaR) received data from 83 European centres in a noninterventional, postauthorisation safety study (PASS) performed at the request of the EMA. SETTING Cardiac surgical centres committed to enrolling patients in the NAPaR. PATIENTS Patients receiving aprotinin agreeing to participate. INTERVENTION The decision to administer aprotinin was made by the treating physicians. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Aprotinin safety endpoints were in-hospital death, thrombo-embolic events (TEEs), specifically stroke, renal impairment, re-exploration for bleeding/tamponade. RESULTS From 2016 to 2020, 5309 patients (male 71.5%; >75 years 18.9%) were treated with aprotinin; 1363 (25.7%) underwent iCABG and 3946 (74.3%) another procedure, including a surgical treatment for aortic dissection ( n = 660, 16.7%); 54.5% of patients received the full-dose regimen. In-hospital mortality in iCABG patients was 1.3% (95% CI, 0.66 to 1.84%) vs. 8.3% (7.21 to 8.91%) in non-iCABG patients; incidence of TEEs and postoperative rise in creatinine level greater than 44 μmol l -1 2.3% (1.48 to 3.07%) and 2.7% (1.79 to 3.49%) vs. 7.2% (6.20 to 7.79%) and 15.5% (13.84 to 16.06%); patients undergoing re-exploration for bleeding 1.4% (0.71 to 1.93%) vs. 3.0% (2.39 to 3.44%). Twelve cases of hypersensitivity/anaphylactic reaction (0.2%) were reported as Adverse Drug Reactions. CONCLUSION The data in the NApaR indicated that in this patient population, at high risk of death or blood loss undergoing cardiac surgery, including complex cardiac surgeries other than iCABG, the incidence of adverse events is in line with data from current literature, where aprotinin was not used. TRIAL REGISTRATION EU PAS register number: EUPAS11384.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefan De Hert
- From the Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Ghent University Hospital - Ghent University, Corneel Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, Belgium (SDH), CHU Bordeaux, Department of Anaesthesia and Critical Care Diseases (AO), Univ. Bordeaux, INSERM, UMR 1034, Biology and Cardiovascular Diseases, Pessac, France (AO), Anaesthetics Department, RBH Foundation Trust, Harefield Hospital, Hill End Rd Harefield, Uxbridge, UK (DR), Department of Perioperative Medicine, Section of Cardiothoracic Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, Karolinska University Hospital, Solna, Stockholm, Sweden (JVDL) and Department of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care Medicine & Pain Therapy at the University Hospital Frankfurt, Theodor-Stern-Kai 7, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany (KZ)
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Yun L, Ge M, Xu R, Zheng F, Zhao X, Li X. C677T Gene Polymorphism of MTHFR Is a Risk Factor for Impaired Renal Function in Pregnant Women With Preeclampsia in the Chinese Han Population. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:902346. [PMID: 35711354 PMCID: PMC9196626 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.902346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Accepted: 05/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Impaired renal function in pregnant women with preeclampsia is particularly common, yet there is no consensus about implementation. This lack of consensus is due in part to uncertainty about risks for disease progression. Limited evidence suggests that C677T gene polymorphism of 5, 10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR C677T) may affect impaired renal function in pregnant women with preeclampsia in Chinese Han population. To investigate the association between MTHFR C677T and impaired renal function in pregnant women with preeclampsia, a total of 327 pregnant women diagnosed with gestational hypertension (GH) or preeclampsia-eclampsia (PE) from January 2016 to December 2021 were selected as the study subjects. The personal information, gestational information, clinical indicators, and the C677T gene polymorphism of MTHFR were tested. Compared with the GH group, the PE renal function impairment group had increased in blood pressure, homocysteine level, liver and kidney function indicators (creatinine, uric acid, urea nitrogen, cystatin C, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, cholyglycine), and blood lipids (total cholesterol, triglycerides and low density lipoprotein) but had reductions in plasma protein (total protein, albumin, globulin, prealbumin), trace elements (calcium and zinc), prothrombin time and fibrinogen. The homocysteine level in the TT genotype was higher than that in the CC and CT genotypes. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the MTHFR C677T gene polymorphism was associated with PE renal function impairment in the recessive model (OR: 1.620, 95% CI: 1.033-2.541, P < 0.05). These findings show that the C677T gene polymorphism of MTHFR is an independent risk factor for impaired renal function in pregnant Chinese Han women with PE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lin Yun
- Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, China
- Department of Medicine, Jinan Maternity and Child Care Hospital, Jinan, China
| | - Meiqi Ge
- Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Rui Xu
- Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, China
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Medicine and Health Key Laboratory of Cardiac Electrophysiology and Arrhythmia, Jinan, China
| | - Fei Zheng
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Medicine and Health Key Laboratory of Cardiac Electrophysiology and Arrhythmia, Jinan, China
| | - Xueqiang Zhao
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Medicine and Health Key Laboratory of Cardiac Electrophysiology and Arrhythmia, Jinan, China
| | - Xinran Li
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Medicine and Health Key Laboratory of Cardiac Electrophysiology and Arrhythmia, Jinan, China
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Sickeler RA, Kertai MD. Risk Assessment and Perioperative Renal Dysfunction. Perioper Med (Lond) 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/b978-0-323-56724-4.00008-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
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21
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Uchino E, Sato N, Okuno Y. Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Kidney Function and Acute Kidney Injury. Artif Intell Med 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-64573-1_270] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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22
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Yan G, Wang D, Tang C, Ma G. The Association of Serum Lactate Level with the Occurrence of Contrast-Induced Acute Kidney Injury and Long-Term Prognosis in Patients Undergoing Emergency Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Int J Gen Med 2021; 14:3087-3097. [PMID: 34234537 PMCID: PMC8257073 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s316036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2021] [Accepted: 06/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective The association of lactate and contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) has not been well established. This prospective study was planned to identify the effects of lactate level on the occurrence of CI-AKI and long-term prognosis with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods A total of 280 patients with AMI who underwent emergency PCI were selected from March 2018 to March 2019. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the optimal cut-off value of lactate on predicting CI-AKI after PCI. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to explore the significant predictors that might affect the occurrence of CI-AKI after univariate analysis. The primary endpoints were clinical outcomes including events: a combined endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events, re-hospitalization due to heart failure, and worsening renal function. The Cox regression model was further used to analyze the predictors of the long-term prognosis after PCI. Results Among the 280 patients, 64 patients (22.9%) developed CI-AKI after emergency PCI procedure. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that baseline lactate level was the independent risk factor for the development of CI-AKI (OR, 3.657; 95% CI, 2.237–5.978; p<0.001). The area under the ROC curve for predicting CI-AKI of lactate was 0.786, and the optimum cut-off point of lactate was 3.02 mmol/L, with sensitivity of 65.6% and specificity of 85.2%. The incidence of primary endpoints in the high lactate group (lactate ≥3.02mmol/L) was significantly increased compared with the control group [26.3% (42/160) vs 15.8% (19/120), χ2=4.430, p=0.035]. Cox regression analysis also confirmed high lactate was an independent predictor for primary endpoint outcomes at 1-year follow-up (HR, 1.916; 95% CI, 1.118–3.285; p=0.018). Conclusion Our study demonstrates that baseline high lactate levels may be associated with an increased risk of CI-AKI and are the important predictors of long-term poor cardiorenal outcomes in AMI patients undergoing emergency PCI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gaoliang Yan
- Department of Cardiology, Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Dong Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Chengchun Tang
- Department of Cardiology, Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Genshan Ma
- Department of Cardiology, Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
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Mostafa EA, Elelwany SE, Shahin KM, El Midany AAH, Hassaballa AS, El-Sokkary IN, Gamal MA, Elsaid ME, ElBarbary MG, Khorshid R. Validation of Cardiac Surgery-Associated Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Score for Prediction of Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury. Heart Lung Circ 2021; 31:272-277. [PMID: 34219024 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2021.05.084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2021] [Revised: 03/16/2021] [Accepted: 05/06/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Cardiac Surgery-Associated Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin (CSA-NGAL) score has been developed to stratify patients with cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). Its predictive power needs to be validated to guide clinical decision for such high-risk patients. METHODS A prospective study was conducted on 637 consecutive adult patients who developed postoperative AKI after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. AKI was defined according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria (KDIGO). The CSA-NGAL score was calculated. Assessment of the diagnostic performance of the scoring model was performed by area under the receiver operating curve analysis. RESULTS The area under the curve for the postoperative Urinary NGAL showed an area under the curve ([standard error (SE)] 0.80 (0.38); p<0.001; 95% CI, 0.72-0.87). Its sensitivity for CSA-AKI in the first 24 hours was 66% and specificity was 80% (cut-off value 300.1 ng/mL). There was a positive correlation between NGAL score and KDIGO criteria, with a significant increase in postoperative mean Urinary NGAL values as the KDIGO stage increased. CONCLUSION The CSA-NGAL score has a high sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value that can translate into improved outcomes and resource allocation. It is believed that adding it to the existing clinical scoring systems for AKI prediction will be productive.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ezzeldin A Mostafa
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Shady E Elelwany
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, AlMinia, Egypt
| | - Khaled M Shahin
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, AlMinia, Egypt
| | - Ashraf A H El Midany
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt.
| | - Aly S Hassaballa
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Ismail N El-Sokkary
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mohamed A Gamal
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mohamed E Elsaid
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Moustafa G ElBarbary
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Ramy Khorshid
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Ain-Shams University Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt
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Poorsarvi Tehrani P, Malek H. Early Detection of Rhabdomyolysis-Induced Acute Kidney Injury through Machine Learning Approaches. ARCHIVES OF ACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE 2021; 9:e29. [PMID: 34027424 PMCID: PMC8126356 DOI: 10.22037/aaem.v9i1.1059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: Rhabdomyolysis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most common complications of catastrophic incidents, especially earthquakes. Early detection of AKI can reduce the burden of the disease. In this paper, data collected from the Bam earthquake was used to find a suitable model that can be used in prediction of AKI in the early stages of the disaster. Methods: Models used in this paper utilized many inputs, which were extracted from the previously published dataset, but depending on the employed method, other inputs have also been considered. This work has been done in two parts. In the first part, the models were constructed from a smaller set of records, which included all of the required fields and in the second part; the main purpose was to find a way to replace the missing data, as data are mostly incomplete in catastrophic events. The data used belonged to the victims of the Bam earthquake, who were admitted to different hospitals. These data were collected on the first day of the incident via questionnaires that were provided by the Iranian Society of Nephrology, in collaboration with the International Society of Nephrology (ISN). Results: Overall, neural networks have more robust results and given that they can be trained on more data to gain better accuracy, and gain more generalization, they show promising results. Overall, the best specificity that was achieved on testing almost all of the records was 99.24% and the best sensitivity that was achieved in testing almost all of the records was 94.44%. Conclusion: We introduced several machine learning-based methods for predicting rhabdomyolysis-induced AKI on the third day after a catastrophic incident. The introduced models show higher accuracy compared to previous works performed on the Bam earthquake dataset.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Hamed Malek
- Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
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Acute Kidney Injury following Cardiopulmonary Bypass: A Challenging Picture. OXIDATIVE MEDICINE AND CELLULAR LONGEVITY 2021; 2021:8873581. [PMID: 33763177 PMCID: PMC7963912 DOI: 10.1155/2021/8873581] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2020] [Revised: 02/02/2021] [Accepted: 02/18/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Recent studies have recognized several risk factors for cardiopulmonary bypass- (CPB-) associated acute kidney injury (AKI). However, the lack of early biomarkers for AKI prevents practitioners from intervening in a timely manner. We reviewed the literature with the aim of improving our understanding of the risk factors for CPB-associated AKI, which may increase our ability to prevent or improve this condition. Some novel early biomarkers for AKI have been introduced. In particular, a combinational use of these biomarkers would be helpful to improve clinical outcomes. Furthermore, we discuss several interventions that are aimed at managing CPB-associated AKI, may increase the effect of renal replacement therapy (RRT), and may contribute to preventing CPB-associated AKI. Collectively, the conclusions of this paper are limited by the availability of clinical trial evidence and conflicting definitions of AKI. A guideline is urgently needed for CPB-associated AKI.
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Palazuelos J, Iborra C, Jauregui M. Commentary: Should RASi Toxicity Conducting AKI on Patients Undergoing Cardiac Surgery be Questioned? Semin Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2021; 33:1023-1024. [PMID: 33609675 DOI: 10.1053/j.semtcvs.2021.01.037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2020] [Accepted: 01/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jorge Palazuelos
- Interventional Unit, Cardiology Department, Hospital La Luz, Madrid, Spain.
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27
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Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Kidney Function and Acute Kidney Injury. Artif Intell Med 2021. [DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-58080-3_270-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Mistry NS, Koyner JL. Artificial Intelligence in Acute Kidney Injury: From Static to Dynamic Models. Adv Chronic Kidney Dis 2021; 28:74-82. [PMID: 34389139 DOI: 10.1053/j.ackd.2021.03.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2020] [Revised: 02/22/2021] [Accepted: 03/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the development of computer systems that normally require human intelligence. In the field of acute kidney injury (AKI) AI has led to an evolution of risk prediction models. In the past, static prediction models were developed using baseline (eg, preoperative) data to evaluate AKI risk. Newer models which incorporated baseline as well as evolving data collected during a hospital admission have shown improved predicative abilities. In this review, we will summarize the advances made in AKI risk prediction over the last several years, including a shift toward more dynamic, real-time, electronic medical record-based models. In addition, we will be discussing the role of electronic AKI alerts and decision support tools. Recent studies have demonstrated improved patient outcomes through the use of these tools which monitor for nephrotoxin medication exposures as well as provide kidney focused care bundles for patients at high risk for severe AKI. Finally, we will briefly discuss the pitfalls and implications of implementing these scores, alerts, and support tools.
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Zhang K, Alfirevic A, Ramos D, Liang C, Soltesz EG, Duncan AE. Neither Preoperative Pulse Pressure nor Systolic Blood Pressure Is Associated With Cardiac Complications After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting. Anesth Analg 2020; 131:1491-1499. [PMID: 33079872 DOI: 10.1213/ane.0000000000005124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Increased pulse pressure has been associated with adverse cardiovascular events, cardiac and all-cause mortality in surgical and nonsurgical patients. Whether increased pulse pressure worsens myocardial injury and dysfunction after cardiac surgery, however, has not been fully characterized. We examined whether cardiac surgical patients with elevated pulse pressure are more susceptible to myocardial injury, dysfunction, cardiac-related complications, and mortality. Secondarily, we examined whether pulse pressure was a stronger predictor of the outcomes than systolic blood pressure. METHODS This retrospective observational study included adult cardiac surgical patients having elective isolated on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) between 2010 and 2017 at the Cleveland Clinic. The association between elevated pulse pressure and (1) perioperative myocardial injury, measured by postoperative troponin-T concentrations, (2) perioperative myocardial dysfunction, assessed by the requirement for perioperative inotropic support using the modified inotropic score (MIS), and (3) cardiovascular complications assessed by the composite outcome of postoperative mechanical circulatory assistance or in-hospital mortality were assessed using multivariable linear regression models. Secondarily, the association between pulse pressure versus systolic blood pressure and the outcomes were compared. RESULTS Of 2704 patients who met the inclusion/exclusion criteria, complete data were available for 2003 patients. Increased pulse pressure over 40 mm Hg was associated with elevated postoperative troponin-T level, estimated to be 1.05 (97.5% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.09; P < .001) times higher per 10 mm Hg increase in pulse pressure. The association between pulse pressure and myocardial dysfunction and the composite outcome of cardiovascular complications and death were not significant. There was no difference in the association with pulse pressure versus systolic blood pressure and troponin-T concentrations. CONCLUSIONS Elevated preoperative pulse pressure was associated with a modest increase in postoperative troponin-T concentrations, but not postoperative cardiovascular complications or in-hospital mortality in patients having CABG. Pulse pressure was not a better predictor than systolic blood pressure.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Chen Liang
- Departments of Quantitative Health Sciences and Outcomes Research
| | | | - Andra E Duncan
- Department of Cardiothoracic Anesthesia and Outcomes Research, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
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Rank N, Pfahringer B, Kempfert J, Stamm C, Kühne T, Schoenrath F, Falk V, Eickhoff C, Meyer A. Deep-learning-based real-time prediction of acute kidney injury outperforms human predictive performance. NPJ Digit Med 2020; 3:139. [PMID: 33134556 PMCID: PMC7588492 DOI: 10.1038/s41746-020-00346-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2020] [Accepted: 09/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major complication after cardiothoracic surgery. Early prediction of AKI could prompt preventive measures, but is challenging in the clinical routine. One important reason is that the amount of postoperative data is too massive and too high-dimensional to be effectively processed by the human operator. We therefore sought to develop a deep-learning-based algorithm that is able to predict postoperative AKI prior to the onset of symptoms and complications. Based on 96 routinely collected parameters we built a recurrent neural network (RNN) for real-time prediction of AKI after cardiothoracic surgery. From the data of 15,564 admissions we constructed a balanced training set (2224 admissions) for the development of the RNN. The model was then evaluated on an independent test set (350 admissions) and yielded an area under curve (AUC) (95% confidence interval) of 0.893 (0.862-0.924). We compared the performance of our model against that of experienced clinicians. The RNN significantly outperformed clinicians (AUC = 0.901 vs. 0.745, p < 0.001) and was overall well calibrated. This was not the case for the physicians, who systematically underestimated the risk (p < 0.001). In conclusion, the RNN was superior to physicians in the prediction of AKI after cardiothoracic surgery. It could potentially be integrated into hospitals' electronic health records for real-time patient monitoring and may help to detect early AKI and hence modify the treatment in perioperative care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nina Rank
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
| | - Boris Pfahringer
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
| | - Jörg Kempfert
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
| | - Christof Stamm
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
| | - Titus Kühne
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
- Institute for Computer-assisted Cardiovascular Medicine, Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Anna-Louisa-Karsch-Str. 2, 10178 Berlin, Germany
| | - Felix Schoenrath
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
| | - Volkmar Falk
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Anna-Louisa-Karsch-Str. 2, 10178 Berlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany
- Department of Health Sciences and Technology, ETH Zürich, Leopold-Ruzicka-Weg 4, 8093 Zürich, Switzerland
| | - Carsten Eickhoff
- Center for Biomedical Informatics, Brown University, 233 Richmond Street, Providence, RI 02912 USA
| | - Alexander Meyer
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, P.O. Box 65 21 33, 13316 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Anna-Louisa-Karsch-Str. 2, 10178 Berlin, Germany
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Tseng PY, Chen YT, Wang CH, Chiu KM, Peng YS, Hsu SP, Chen KL, Yang CY, Lee OKS. Prediction of the development of acute kidney injury following cardiac surgery by machine learning. CRITICAL CARE : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE CRITICAL CARE FORUM 2020; 24:478. [PMID: 32736589 PMCID: PMC7395374 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-020-03179-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 237] [Impact Index Per Article: 47.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2020] [Accepted: 07/14/2020] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Background Cardiac surgery–associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) is a major complication that results in increased morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. Most established prediction models are limited to the analysis of nonlinear relationships and fail to fully consider intraoperative variables, which represent the acute response to surgery. Therefore, this study utilized an artificial intelligence–based machine learning approach thorough perioperative data-driven learning to predict CSA-AKI. Methods A total of 671 patients undergoing cardiac surgery from August 2016 to August 2018 were enrolled. AKI following cardiac surgery was defined according to criteria from Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO). The variables used for analysis included demographic characteristics, clinical condition, preoperative biochemistry data, preoperative medication, and intraoperative variables such as time-series hemodynamic changes. The machine learning methods used included logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), and ensemble (RF + XGboost). The performance of these models was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We also utilized SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values to explain the prediction model. Results Development of CSA-AKI was noted in 163 patients (24.3%) during the first postoperative week. Regarding the efficacy of the single model that most accurately predicted the outcome, RF exhibited the greatest AUC (0.839, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.772–0.898), whereas the AUC (0.843, 95% CI 0.778–0.899) of ensemble model (RF + XGboost) was even greater than that of the RF model alone. The top 3 most influential features in the RF importance matrix plot were intraoperative urine output, units of packed red blood cells (pRBCs) transfused during surgery, and preoperative hemoglobin level. The SHAP summary plot was used to illustrate the positive or negative effects of the top 20 features attributed to the RF. We also used the SHAP dependence plot to explain how a single feature affects the output of the RF prediction model. Conclusions In this study, machine learning methods were successfully established to predict CSA-AKI, which determines risks following cardiac surgery, enabling the optimization of postoperative treatment strategies to minimize the postoperative complications following cardiac surgeries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Po-Yu Tseng
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, No. 155, Section 2, Li-Nong Street, Beitou District, Taipei, 11221, Taiwan.,Stem Cell Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.,Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei City Hospital, Heping Fuyou Branch, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Ting Chen
- Muen Biomedical and Optoelectronics Technologies Inc., New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Chuen-Heng Wang
- Muen Biomedical and Optoelectronics Technologies Inc., New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Kuan-Ming Chiu
- Division of Cardiovascular Surgery, Cardiovascular Center, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,Department of Electrical Engineering, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan City, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Sen Peng
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,College of Electrical and Communication Engineering, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan City, Taiwan.,Department of Applied Cosmetology, Lee-Ming Institute of Technology, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Ping Hsu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Kang-Lung Chen
- Division of Cardiovascular Surgery, Cardiovascular Center, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,Division of Cardiovascular Surgery, En Chu Kong Hospital, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Chih-Yu Yang
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, No. 155, Section 2, Li-Nong Street, Beitou District, Taipei, 11221, Taiwan. .,Stem Cell Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Center for Intelligent Drug Systems and Smart Bio-devices (IDS2B), Hsinchu, Taiwan.
| | - Oscar Kuang-Sheng Lee
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, No. 155, Section 2, Li-Nong Street, Beitou District, Taipei, 11221, Taiwan. .,Stem Cell Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan. .,China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.
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Bell S, James MT, Farmer CKT, Tan Z, de Souza N, Witham MD. Development and external validation of an acute kidney injury risk score for use in the general population. Clin Kidney J 2020; 13:402-412. [PMID: 33149901 PMCID: PMC7596889 DOI: 10.1093/ckj/sfaa072] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2019] [Accepted: 04/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Improving recognition of patients at increased risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in the community may facilitate earlier detection and implementation of proactive prevention measures that mitigate the impact of AKI. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate a practical risk score to predict the risk of AKI in either hospital or community settings using routinely collected data. Methods Routinely collected linked datasets from Tayside, Scotland, were used to develop the risk score and datasets from Kent in the UK and Alberta in Canada were used to externally validate it. AKI was defined using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes serum creatinine–based criteria. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed with occurrence of AKI within 1 year as the dependent variable. Model performance was determined by assessing discrimination (C-statistic) and calibration. Results The risk score was developed in 273 450 patients from the Tayside region of Scotland and externally validated into two populations: 218 091 individuals from Kent, UK and 1 173 607 individuals from Alberta, Canada. Four variables were independent predictors for AKI by logistic regression: older age, lower baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, diabetes and heart failure. A risk score including these four variables had good predictive performance, with a C-statistic of 0.80 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80–0.81] in the development cohort and 0.71 (95% CI 0.70–0.72) in the Kent, UK external validation cohort and 0.76 (95% CI 0.75–0.76) in the Canadian validation cohort. Conclusion We have devised and externally validated a simple risk score from routinely collected data that can aid both primary and secondary care physicians in identifying patients at high risk of AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samira Bell
- Renal Unit, Ninewells Hospital, Dundee, UK.,Division of Population Health and Genomics, Medical Research Institute, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK
| | - Matthew T James
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.,O'Brien Institute of Public Health, Libin Cardiovascular Institute of Alberta, Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Chris K T Farmer
- Centre for Health Services Studies, University of Kent, Canterbury, Kent, UK
| | - Zhi Tan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Nicosha de Souza
- Division of Population Health and Genomics, Medical Research Institute, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK
| | - Miles D Witham
- AGE Research Group, NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle University and Newcastle-upon-Tyne Hospitals Trust, Newcastle, UK.,Ageing and Health, Division of Molecular & Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, Ninewells Hospital, Dundee, UK
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Thongprayoon C, Hansrivijit P, Bathini T, Vallabhajosyula S, Mekraksakit P, Kaewput W, Cheungpasitporn W. Predicting Acute Kidney Injury after Cardiac Surgery by Machine Learning Approaches. J Clin Med 2020; 9:1767. [PMID: 32517295 PMCID: PMC7355827 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9061767] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2020] [Accepted: 06/04/2020] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Cardiac surgery-associated AKI (CSA-AKI) is common after cardiac surgery and has an adverse impact on short- and long-term mortality. Early identification of patients at high risk of CSA-AKI by applying risk prediction models allows clinicians to closely monitor these patients and initiate effective preventive and therapeutic approaches to lessen the incidence of AKI. Several risk prediction models and risk assessment scores have been developed for CSA-AKI. However, the definition of AKI and the variables utilized in these risk scores differ, making general utility complex. Recently, the utility of artificial intelligence coupled with machine learning, has generated much interest and many studies in clinical medicine, including CSA-AKI. In this article, we discussed the evolution of models established by machine learning approaches to predict CSA-AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charat Thongprayoon
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA;
| | - Panupong Hansrivijit
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Pinnacle, Harrisburg, PA 17105, USA;
| | - Tarun Bathini
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85724, USA;
| | | | - Poemlarp Mekraksakit
- Department of Internal Medicine, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, TX 79424, USA;
| | - Wisit Kaewput
- Department of Military and Community Medicine, Phramongkutklao College of Medicine, Bangkok 10400, Thailand;
| | - Wisit Cheungpasitporn
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS 39216, USA
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Soni S, Shah S, Chaggar R, Saini R, James E, Elliot J, Stephens J, McCormack T, Hartle A. Surgical cancellation rates due to peri‐operative hypertension: implementation of multidisciplinary guidelines across primary and secondary care. Anaesthesia 2020; 75:1314-1320. [DOI: 10.1111/anae.15084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/08/2020] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- S. Soni
- Division of Anaesthetics Pain Medicine and Intensive Care Imperial College London UK
- Imperial School of Anaesthesia London UK
| | - S. Shah
- Imperial School of Anaesthesia London UK
| | - R. Chaggar
- Northwick Park Hospital Harrow London UK
| | - R. Saini
- Great Ormond Street Hospital London UK
| | - E. James
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust London UK
| | - J. Elliot
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust London UK
| | | | - T. McCormack
- Primary Care Cardiovascular Medicine Hull York Medical School UK
| | - A. Hartle
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust London UK
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Abstract
Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of surgery that is associated with significant adverse outcomes, including increased morbidity and mortality. The perioperative burden of AKI risk factors is complex and potentially large, including high-risk nephrotoxic medications, hypotension, hypovolemia, radiologic contrast, anemia, and surgery-specific factors. Understanding the pathogenesis, risk factors, and potential cumulative impact of perioperative nephrotoxic exposures is particularly important in the prevention and reduction of perioperative AKI. This review outlines the possible strategies to reduce perioperative nephrotoxicity and the development of postoperative AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heather Walker
- Division of Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom; Renal Unit, Ninewells Hospital, Dundee, United Kingdom
| | - Samira Bell
- Division of Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom; Renal Unit, Ninewells Hospital, Dundee, United Kingdom.
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36
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Acute kidney injury prediction models: current concepts and future strategies. Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 2020; 28:552-559. [PMID: 31356235 DOI: 10.1097/mnh.0000000000000536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a critical condition associated with poor patient outcomes. We aimed to review the current concepts and future strategies regarding AKI risk prediction models. RECENT FINDINGS Recent studies have shown that AKI occurs frequently in patients with common risk factors and certain medical conditions. Prediction models for AKI risk have been reported in medical fields such as critical care medicine, surgery, nephrotoxic agent exposure, and others. However, practical, generalizable, externally validated, and robust AKI prediction models remain relatively rare. Further efforts to develop AKI prediction models based on comprehensive clinical data, artificial intelligence, improved delivery of care, and novel biomarkers may help improve patient outcomes through precise AKI risk prediction. SUMMARY This brief review provides insights for current concepts for AKI prediction model development. In addition, by overviewing the recent AKI prediction models in various medical fields, future strategies to construct advanced AKI prediction models are suggested.
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Zeng J, Zheng G, Li Y, Yang Y. Preoperative Pulse Pressure and Adverse Postoperative Outcomes: A Meta-Analysis. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2019; 34:624-631. [PMID: 31986286 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2019.09.036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2019] [Revised: 08/29/2019] [Accepted: 09/25/2019] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association between preoperative pulse pressure (PP) and the incidences of renal, neurologic, cardiac, and mortality outcomes after surgery. DESIGN Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. SETTING Hospitals. PARTICIPANTS Patients who underwent cardiac or noncardiac surgeries. INTERVENTION The preoperative PP was measured. MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS Relevant cohort studies were obtained by systematic search of PubMed and Embase databases. A randomized effect model was used to pool the results. The multivariate adjusted risk ratio (RR) and its 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to reflect the association between preoperative PP and adverse postoperative outcomes. Twelve cohort studies that included 40,143 patients who had undergone cardiac, vascular, or noncardiac surgery were included in the meta-analysis. The results showed that above a threshold of 40 mmHg, an increase in preoperative PP of 10 mmHg was independently associated with increased risk for renal events (adjusted RR: 1.13, 95% CI 1.08-1.19, p < 0.001; I2 = 0%), neurologic events (adjusted RR: 1.75, 95% CI 1.01-3.02, p = 0.04; I2 = 70%), cardiac events (adjusted RR: 1.19, 95% CI 1.03-1.37, p = 0.01; I2 = 0%), major cardiovascular adverse events (adjusted RR: 1.62, 95% CI 1.10-2.41, p = 0.02; I2 = 0%), and overall mortality (adjusted RR: 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.20, p < 0.001; I2 = 0%) after surgery. CONCLUSIONS Patients with higher-than-normal preoperative PP are at increased risk for adverse postoperative outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Zeng
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China; Department of Anesthesiology, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, China
| | - Guoquan Zheng
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yalan Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Yuanyuan Yang
- Out-patient Department, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, China
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Mitrev L, Speich KG, Ng S, Shapiro A, Ben-Jacob T, Khan M, Nagubandi V, Gaughan J. Elevated Pulse Pressure in Anesthetized Subjects Before Cardiopulmonary Bypass Is Associated Strongly With Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury Stage. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2019; 33:1620-1626. [DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2019.01.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2018] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
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Perioperative Quality Initiative consensus statement on preoperative blood pressure, risk and outcomes for elective surgery. Br J Anaesth 2019; 122:552-562. [DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2019.01.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2018] [Revised: 12/18/2018] [Accepted: 01/01/2019] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
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Chew STH, Hwang NC. Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiac Surgery: A Narrative Review of the Literature. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2019; 33:1122-1138. [DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2018.08.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2018] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
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41
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Koh LY, Hwang NC. Hypertension in Post-Bypass Acute Kidney Injury: Not Just About Systolic and Diastolic Blood Pressures? J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2019; 33:1627-1628. [PMID: 30928283 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2019.02.048] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2019] [Accepted: 02/26/2019] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Li Ying Koh
- Department of Anaesthesiology, 1 Hospital Drive, Singapore, 169608, Singapore
| | - Nian Chih Hwang
- Department of Anaesthesiology, 1 Hospital Drive, Singapore, 169608, Singapore; Department of Cardiothoracic Anaesthesia, 5 Hospital Drive, Singapore, 169609, Singapore
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Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Central pulse pressure (PP), a marker of vascular stiffness, is a novel indicator of risk for perioperative morbidity including ischemic stroke. Appreciation for the mechanism by which vascular stiffness leads to organ dysfunction along with understanding its clinical detection may lead to improved patient management. RECENT FINDINGS Vascular stiffness is associated with increased mortality and neurologic, cardiac, and renal injury in nonsurgical and surgical patients. Left ventricular hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction along with microcirculatory changes in the low vascular resistance, high blood flow, cerebral and renal vasculature are seen in patients with vascular stiffness. Pulse wave velocity and the augmentation index have higher sensitivity for detecting of vascular stiffness than peripheral PP as the hemodynamic consequences of vascular stiffness are secondary to alterations in the central vasculature. Vascular stiffness alters cerebral autoregulation, resulting in a high likelihood of having a lower limit of autoregulation more than 65 mmHg during surgery. Vascular stiffness may predispose to cerebral hypoperfusion, increasing vulnerability to ischemic stroke, postoperative delirium, and acute kidney injury. SUMMARY Vascular stiffness leads to alterations in cerebral, cardiac, and renal hemodynamics increasing the risk of perioperative ischemic stroke and neurologic, cardiac, and renal dysfunction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abbas Al-Qamari
- Department of Anesthesiology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
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Axtell AL, Fiedler AG, Melnitchouk S, D'Alessandro DA, Villavicencio MA, Jassar AS, Sundt TM. Correlation of cardiopulmonary bypass duration with acute renal failure after cardiac surgery. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2019; 159:170-178.e2. [PMID: 30826102 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2019.01.072] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2018] [Revised: 01/04/2019] [Accepted: 01/19/2019] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) is recognized as a risk factor for acute renal failure (ARF), but the dose effect of time on bypass is unknown. We therefore examined the risk of ARF associated with increasing CPB time stratified by preoperative renal function. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on 3889 patients undergoing cardiac surgery on CPB without circulatory arrest between 2011 and 2017 excluding those with a diagnosis of dialysis-dependent renal failure and those who had an intra-aortic balloon pump. Postoperative ARF was defined as a 3-fold increase in creatinine level, creatinine level > 4 mg/dL, or requirement for dialysis. A logistic regression model was built to identify predictors of ARF and to determine the probability of ARF. RESULTS Postoperative ARF occurred in 72 patients (2%) overall. Of 100 patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, 22% developed ARF, of which 16 required dialysis. Thirty-day mortality was 31% for those with ARF compared with <1% for those without ARF (P < .01). Risk factors for ARF included obesity (odds ratio, 3.03; P < .01), increasing preoperative creatinine level (odds ratio, 4.21; P < .01), CPB time scaled by a factor of 10 minutes (odds ratio, 1.06; P = .04), and postoperative transfusion (odds ratio, 11.94; P < .01). The adjusted probability of ARF as a function of CPB time was determined and stratified by preoperative glomerular filtration rate. CONCLUSIONS Increasing CPB duration is associated with postoperative ARF, particularly among those with preoperative renal impairment. For patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 the risk increases exponentially with time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrea L Axtell
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Amy G Fiedler
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Serguei Melnitchouk
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - David A D'Alessandro
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Mauricio A Villavicencio
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Arminder S Jassar
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Thoralf M Sundt
- Corrigan Minehan Heart Center and Division of Cardiac Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Mass.
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Sutherland SM. Big Data and Pediatric Acute Kidney Injury: The Promise of Electronic Health Record Systems. Front Pediatr 2019; 7:536. [PMID: 31993409 PMCID: PMC6970974 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2019.00536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2019] [Accepted: 12/09/2019] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Over the last decade, our understanding of acute kidney injury (AKI) has evolved considerably. The development of a consensus definition standardized the approach to identifying and investigating AKI in children. As a result, pediatric AKI epidemiology has been refined and the consequences of renal injury are better established. Similarly, "big data" methodologies experienced a dramatic evolution and maturation, leading the critical care community to explore potential AKI/big data synergies. One such concept with tremendous potential is electronic health record (EHR) enabled informatics. Much of the promise surrounding these approaches is due to the unique position of the EHR which sits at the intersection of data accumulation and care delivery. EHR data is generated simply via the provision of routine clinical care and should be considered "big" from the standpoint of volume, variety, and velocity as a myriad of diverse elements accumulate rapidly in real time, spontaneously generating an immense dataset. This massive dataset interfaces directly with providers which creates tremendous opportunity. AKI can be diagnosed more accurately, AKI-related care can be optimized, and subsequent outcomes can be improved. Although applying big data concepts to the EHR has proven more challenging than originally thought, we have seen much success and continue to explore its potential. In this review article, we will discuss the EHR in the context of big data concepts, describe approaches applied to date, examine the challenges surrounding optimal application, and explore future directions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Scott M Sutherland
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
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Borracci RA, Macias Miranda J, Ingino CA. Transient acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery does not independently affect postoperative outcomes. J Card Surg 2018; 33:727-733. [PMID: 30353571 DOI: 10.1111/jocs.13935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to assess the incidence of in-hospital acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery by comparing preoperative baseline renal function with renal function during the postoperative period and at discharge, and to relate these indices with in-hospital postoperative outcomes. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed over a 4-year period from a series of 426 adult patients. Kidney function was based on serum creatinine (SCr), Cockroft-Gault estimated creatinine clearance (eCrCl), and glomerular filtration rate estimated with the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula (eGFR). Baseline values were compared with "peak" values of altered kidney function postoperatively, and "discharge" values. In-hospital mortality and complication rates were compared between patients with transient and persistent AKI, and those without postoperative AKI. RESULTS After surgery, AKI (Risk-Injury-Failure-Loss-Endstage [RIFLE] classes Injury and Failure) was diagnosed in 14.6-17.5% of patients based on peak values. AKI diagnosis was reduced to 3.6-4.5% when SCr, eCrCl, and eGFR were measured at discharge. In-hospital mortality of patients with transient AKI was 4% versus 26% in patients with AKI at discharge (odds ratio = 0.11, 95% confidence interval 0.02-0.62, P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS A diagnosis of AKI based on measurements of eGFR during the postoperative period was nearly four times more frequent than the same diagnosis at discharge. Transient AKI was the predominate presentation of postoperative kidney dysfunction in this study. Transient AKI did not affect in-hospital outcomes compared with patients without AKI. Patients with persistent AKI at discharge had the highest mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raul A Borracci
- Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Austral University, Buenos Aires, Argentina.,Department of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, ENERI-Sagrada Familia Clinic, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Julio Macias Miranda
- Department of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, ENERI-Sagrada Familia Clinic, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Carlos A Ingino
- Department of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, ENERI-Sagrada Familia Clinic, Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Derivation and Validation of Machine Learning Approaches to Predict Acute Kidney Injury after Cardiac Surgery. J Clin Med 2018; 7:jcm7100322. [PMID: 30282956 PMCID: PMC6210196 DOI: 10.3390/jcm7100322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2018] [Revised: 10/01/2018] [Accepted: 10/02/2018] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Machine learning approaches were introduced for better or comparable predictive ability than statistical analysis to predict postoperative outcomes. We sought to compare the performance of machine learning approaches with that of logistic regression analysis to predict acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery. We retrospectively reviewed 2010 patients who underwent open heart surgery and thoracic aortic surgery. Baseline medical condition, intraoperative anesthesia, and surgery-related data were obtained. The primary outcome was postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. The following machine learning techniques were used: decision tree, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, support vector machine, neural network classifier, and deep learning. The performance of these techniques was compared with that of logistic regression analysis regarding the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). During the first postoperative week, AKI occurred in 770 patients (38.3%). The best performance regarding AUC was achieved by the gradient boosting machine to predict the AKI of all stages (0.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.75–0.80) or stage 2 or 3 AKI. The AUC of logistic regression analysis was 0.69 (95% CI 0.66–0.72). Decision tree, random forest, and support vector machine showed similar performance to logistic regression. In our comprehensive comparison of machine learning approaches with logistic regression analysis, gradient boosting technique showed the best performance with the highest AUC and lower error rate. We developed an Internet–based risk estimator which could be used for real-time processing of patient data to estimate the risk of AKI at the end of surgery.
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Atherosclerosis on CT Angiogram Predicts Acute Kidney Injury After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2018; 211:677-683. [DOI: 10.2214/ajr.17.19340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW This review addresses the role of platelets in perioperative ischemic complications involving the brain, kidneys, and gastrointestinal tract, and long-term survival in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery. Importantly, findings of several recent clinical studies will be discussed with emphasis on platelet activation and leukocyte inflammatory responses as important mediators of vascular microthrombosis and ischemic injury. RECENT FINDINGS Our recent findings suggest that in some patients, the hemostatic balance during and after surgery may shift toward a hypercoagulable state and contribute to acute organ failure. SUMMARY For over 6 decades, major postoperative complications after cardiac surgery have remained unchanged. The potential influence of microthrombosis involving platelets has been underappreciated and use of perioperative antiplatelet therapy remains very limited - primarily because of a culture of fear of bleeding.
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Smeltz AM, Cooter M, Rao S, Karhausen JA, Stafford-Smith M, Fontes ML, Kertai MD. Elevated Pulse Pressure, Intraoperative Hemodynamic Perturbations, and Acute Kidney Injury After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Surgery. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2018; 32:1214-1224. [DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2017.08.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2017] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
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Callejas R, Panadero A, Vives M, Duque P, Echarri G, Monedero P. Preoperative predictive model for acute kidney injury after elective cardiac surgery: a prospective multicenter cohort study. Minerva Anestesiol 2018; 85:34-44. [PMID: 29756690 DOI: 10.23736/s0375-9393.18.12257-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Predictive models of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery (CS-AKI) include emergency surgery and patients with hemodynamic instability. Our objective was to evaluate the performance of validated predictive models (Thakar and Demirjian) in elective cardiac surgery and to propose a better score in the case of poor performance. METHODS A prospective, multicenter, observational study was designed. Data were collected from 942 patients undergoing cardiac surgery, after excluding emergency surgery and patients with an intra-aortic balloon pump. The main outcome measure was CS-AKI defined by the composite of requiring dialysis or doubling baseline creatinine values. RESULTS Both models showed poor discrimination in elective surgery (Thakar's model, AUC=0.57, 95% CI: 0.50-0.64 and Demirjian's model, AUC=0.64, 95% CI: 0.58-0.71). We generated a new model whose significant independent predictors were: anemia, age, hypertension, obesity, congestive heart failure, previous cardiac surgery and type of surgery. It classifies patients with scores 0-3 as at low risk (<5%), patients with scores 4-7 as at medium risk (up to 15%), and patients with scores >8 as at high risk (>30%) of developing CS-AKI with a statistically significant correlation (P<0.001). Our model reflects acceptable discriminatory ability (AUC=0.72, 95% CI: 0.66-0.78) which is significantly better than Thakar and Demirjian's models (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS We developed a new simple predictive model of CS-AKI in elective surgery based on available preoperative information. Our new model is easy to calculate and can be an effective tool for communicating risk to patients and guiding decision-making in the perioperative period. The study requires external validation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raquel Callejas
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Clínica Universidad de Navarra, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain -
| | - Alfredo Panadero
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Clínica Universidad de Navarra, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
| | - Marc Vives
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Josep Trueta University Hospital, Girona, Spain
| | - Paula Duque
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Clínica Universidad de Navarra, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
| | - Gemma Echarri
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Clínica Universidad de Navarra, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
| | - Pablo Monedero
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Clínica Universidad de Navarra, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
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