TIPS is the most effective treatment for portal hypertension. Patient selection remains important to achieving optimal post-TIPS outcomes. The study evaluates 1-year mortality factors in cirrhotic patients receiving TIPS.

87 cirrhotic patients received a TIPS between 2015 - 2021. Predictors of 1-year and overall mortality were assessed by estimating cumulative incidence functions and Grey's test to adjust for liver transplantation as a risk competing with mortality. Variables with p < 0.05 were checked for collinearity and included in the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Model discrimination was evaluated by calculating the area under the ROC curve.

87 patients were included (68% men; 22% ≥70 years). ALD was the primary cirrhosis cause. Most patients were Child-Pugh class B, MELD-Na score was 13.6 ± 6.0 points. The most frequent indication for TIPS was bleeding (51.7%), followed by refractory ascites (42.5%). The variables positively associated with mortality in univariate analysis were ascites, clinically overt sarcopenia and MELD-Na score, while ongoing nutritional supplementation improved survival. In the multivariate analysis, only clinically overt sarcopenia and MELD-Na score remained independently associated with mortality. A MELD-Na/sarcopenia model demonstrated a good discrimination, AUROC: 0.86 (95% CI 0.77 - 0.95).

MELD-Na score, and sarcopenia were significantly associated with 1-year survival in cirrhotic patients who received TIPS.

Interventions for portal hypertension are continuously evolving and expanding beyond the realm of medical management. When complications such as varices and ascites persist despite conservative interventions, procedures including transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation, transvenous obliteration, portal vein recanalization, splenic artery embolization, surgical shunt creation, and devascularization are all potential interventions detailed in this article. Selection of the optimal procedure to address the underlying cause, treat symptoms, and, in some cases, bridge to liver transplantation depends on the specific etiology of portal hypertension and the patient's comorbidities.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is a procedure that can effectively treat complications of portal hypertension, such as variceal bleeding and refractory ascites. However, there have been no specific studies on predicting long-term survival after TIPS placement.

To establish a model to predict long-term survival in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis after TIPS.

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 224 patients who underwent TIPS implantation. Through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, various factors were examined for their ability to predict survival at 6 years after TIPS. Consequently, a composite score was formulated, encompassing the indication, shunt reasonability, portal venous pressure gradient (PPG) after TIPS, percentage decrease in portal venous pressure (PVP), indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min (ICGR15) and total bilirubin (Tbil) level. Furthermore, the performance of the newly developed Cox (NDC) model was evaluated in an internal validation cohort and compared with that of a series of existing models.

The indication (variceal bleeding or ascites), shunt reasonability (reasonable or unreasonable), ICGR15, postoperative PPG, percentage of PVP decrease and Tbil were found to be independent factors affecting long-term survival after TIPS placement. The NDC model incorporated these parameters and successfully identified patients at high risk, exhibiting a notably elevated mortality rate following the TIPS procedure, as observed in both the training and validation cohorts. Additionally, in terms of predicting the long-term survival rate, the performance of the NDC model was significantly better than that of the other four models [Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-sodium and the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival].

The NDC model can accurately predict long-term survival after the TIPS procedure in patients with hepatitis cirrhosis, help identify high-risk patients and guide follow-up management after TIPS implantation.

Multiple prognostic scores have been applied for predicting survival after TIPS placement. The aim was to evaluate the added value of sarcopenia on existing risk scores and develop a sarcopenia-based scoring system for survival prediction and risk stratification.

In the derivation cohort of 386 cirrhotic patients undergoing TIPS, five risk scores (Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and FIPS) were compared for prediction of short- and long-term mortality after TIPS. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the L3 skeletal muscle index and was incorporated into existing scores to assess its added value. A novel sarcopenia-based score was developed and externally validated in an independent cohort of 198 patients undergoing TIPS.

Among existing scores, the FIPS score showed the highest discrimination (c-index: 0.756-0.783) and calibration (Brier score: 0.059-0.127). Besides, the FIPS score was significantly associated with the severity of baseline sarcopenia and reversal of sarcopenia after TIPS. The inclusion of sarcopenia improved discrimination of existing scores in different degrees and sarcopenia could stratify the low-risk categories deemed by these scores. A FIPS-sarcopenia score was developed, showing superior discrimination over existing scores (c-index: 0.777-0.804 in the derivation cohort, 0.738-0.788 in the validation cohort). With a determined cutoff of 0.8, this score allowed for the identification of two prognostic subgroups with distinct prognoses.

FIPS score was highly correlated with the severity of sarcopenia and sarcopenia reversal after TIPS, and sarcopenia could improve the prognostic ability of existing scores. A FIPS-sarcopenia score was developed and validated, showing improved survival prediction and risk stratification.

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is an established indicator of cirrhosis severity and a predictor of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and for allocation in liver transplantation. Since the adoption of the score, its use has been expanded to multiple new indications requiring model modifications, including relevant clinical and demographic variables, to increase predictive accuracy. The purpose of this report is to provide an update on the modifications made to the MELD score, comparing their performance with C statistics, advantages and disadvantages, and impact on mortality at 3 months after placing a TIPS or awaiting liver transplantation.

It is important and challenging to evaluate the survival of cirrhotic patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to validate the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score and classic scores for predicting mortality in Chinese patients after TIPS creation.

A total of 709 consecutive patients with cirrhosis from December 2011 to July 2018 who underwent TIPS placement were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic value of the FIPS score, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh score and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute Decompensation score was validated with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and DeLong et al. test.

The MELD-Na score was superior to the FIPS score in predicting 1-month mortality [AUROC, 0.727 (0.692-0.759) vs. 0.588 (0.551-0.625); P = 0.048]. The MELD and MELD-Na scores were significant superior to the FIPS score in predicting 3-month mortality [AUROC, 0.730 (0.696-0.762) vs. 0.598 (0.561-0.634); P = 0.044 and 0.740 (0.706-0.772) vs. 0.598 (0.561-0.634); P = 0.028]. Subgroup analyses revealed that Child-Pugh score was better than FIPS score in predicting 3-month mortality [AUROC, 0.797 (0.745-0.843) vs. 0.578 (0.517-0.637); P = 0.049] in nonviral cirrhosis group.

Classic scores still had good risk stratification and predictive ability of post-TIPS mortality. The FIPS score was not superior to the classic scores in the current Chinese cohort. The MELD and MELD-Na scores were significantly superior to the FIPS score in predicting 3-month mortality.

To explore the predictive value of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Sarcopenia score for survival of cirrhotic patients after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement.

289 patients who underwent TIPS between February 2016 and December 2020 were included, they were divided into the sarcopenia group ( n = 138) and non-sarcopenia group ( n = 151) according to whether they were complicated with sarcopenia. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to analyze and compare the prognosis of the above two groups and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. The performance of different predictive models was compared using C-index.

During the follow-up, Kaplan-Meier analyses indicated that cumulative survival was significantly lower in sarcopenia group than that in non-sarcopenia group [74.6% vs. 92.7%, HR, 0.24 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.12-0.46), Log-rank P < 0.001]. After multivariate Cox analysis, age [HR, 1.040 (95% CI, 1.015-1.065), P = 0.002], sarcopenia [HR, 3.948 (95% CI, 1.989-7.838), P < 0.001], albumin [HR, 0.945 (95% CI, 0.897-0.997), P = 0.037], and MELD score [HR, 1.156 (95% CI, 1.097-1.217), P < 0.001] were identified as the independent risk factors for mortality after TIPS. The C-indexes of MELD-Sarcopenia, Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, and the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) scores were 0.782, 0.688, 0.719, 0.734, and 0.770, respectively.

Sarcopenia is independently correlated with post-TIPS mortality, and MELD-Sarcopenia score showed the best performance in predicting post-TIPS mortality than the traditional predictive models.