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Grujić-Vujmilović D, Veljković K, Gavrić Ž, Popović-Pejičić S. Cost-effectiveness of prevention program for type 2 diabetes mellitus in high risk patients in the Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Libyan J Med 2025; 20:2437226. [PMID: 39676503 DOI: 10.1080/19932820.2024.2437226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2024] [Accepted: 11/28/2024] [Indexed: 12/17/2024] Open
Abstract
The Republic of Srpska (RS), as a part of the Western Balkans (WB) region, has a higher diabetes prevalence than the EU. This study aims to assess the cost-effectiveness of early treatment of high-risk patients with pre-diabetes and undiagnosed diabetes in our setting. We designed a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) model which reflects the current International Diabetes Federation (IDF) three-step plan for the prevention of T2DM in those at increased risk. The model captures the evolution of the disease in FINDRISC high-risk patients from normal glucose tolerance (NGT) to impaired fasting glucose (IFG) or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and then to T2DM and its complications. We developed two MCMC models, in order to follow the progression of the disease in high-risk cases, ie, when early treatment is undertaken or when it is not undertaken. The health costs and quality adjusted life years (QALY) were discounted at an annual rate of 3%. The key model parameters were varied in one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Early treatment resulted in increased life expectancy, postponement of the onset of diabetes and increased QALY for all patients. The discounted incremental cost-effectiveness-ratios (ICER) in NGT, IFG, IGT, and T2DM patients were -289.9, 9724.03, -1478.59 and 4084.67 €. In high-risk IGT patients, ICER was the most favorable, being both a cost saving and QALY gaining, with the consistent results confirmed by the sensitivity analysis. The results recommend the acceptance of a new health policy of identifying IGT patients with the use of FINDRISC questionnaire and plasma glucose measurements; providing them with a lifestyle change program; and implementing intensive diabetes treatment, as their disease progresses. Our results are especially significant for the Western Balkan countries, since this was the first cost-effectiveness study of T2DM prevention in this region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dragana Grujić-Vujmilović
- Department of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Banja Luka, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Department of Social Medicine, Public Health Institute of the Republic of Srpska, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | - Kristina Veljković
- Laboratory for Cryptography and Computer Security, Faculty of Computer and Information Science, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Živana Gavrić
- Department of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Banja Luka, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Department of Social Medicine, Public Health Institute of the Republic of Srpska, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
| | - Snježana Popović-Pejičić
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- University Clinical Center of the Republic of Srpska, Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina
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Marchant ED, Singh E, Kureel S, Blair B, Kalenta H, Von Ruff ZD, Weldon KS, Lai Z, Sheetz MP, Rasmussen BB. Low-frequency ultrasound reverses insulin resistance and diabetes-induced changes in the muscle transcriptome in aged mice. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab 2025; 328:E899-E910. [PMID: 40323206 DOI: 10.1152/ajpendo.00470.2024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2024] [Revised: 12/20/2024] [Accepted: 04/25/2025] [Indexed: 05/28/2025]
Abstract
The risk for developing insulin resistance and type II diabetes increases with age. Although lifestyle factors contribute to age-related insulin resistance, aging itself independently reduces insulin sensitivity, partially via an increase in inflammation and cellular senescence. Low-frequency ultrasound (LFU) has been shown to rejuvenate senescent cells and to reduce the proinflammatory senescence-associated secretory phenotype. Because diabetes is more common in aged individuals, there is an increased need to develop effective therapeutics for aged individuals with this condition. This study investigated the effects of LFU treatment on muscle function, blood glucose control, and skeletal muscle gene expression in aged, insulin-resistant, and diabetic mice. Insulin resistance was induced via a high-fat, high-sucrose (HFHS) diet, and diabetes was induced via an HFHS diet plus a low dose of streptozotocin. Insulin-resistant and diabetic mice exhibited impaired glucose metabolism and physical function, as well as an altered transcriptomic profile in skeletal muscle, indicating an increase in inflammation and an immune response. LFU treatment reversed much of the transcriptomic changes that occurred with insulin resistance and diabetes but had no effect on blood glucose control or physical function. LFU demonstrates potential as a noninvasive therapy for reducing inflammation and altering immune cell function in skeletal muscle in insulin-resistant and diabetic populations.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This study introduces low-frequency ultrasound (LFU) as a novel, noninvasive therapy that attenuates insulin resistance- and diabetes-induced transcriptional changes in aged skeletal muscle. LFU primarily reduced inflammatory and immune-related gene expression, potentially by promoting a shift toward an anti-inflammatory (M2) macrophage profile. These findings suggest that LFU may target underlying inflammatory mechanisms of insulin resistance and diabetes in aging muscle.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erik D Marchant
- Department of Cellular and Integrative Physiology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
- Barshop Institute for Longevity and Aging Studies, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
| | - Ekta Singh
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas, United States
| | - Sanjay Kureel
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas, United States
| | - Brandon Blair
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas, United States
| | - Hanna Kalenta
- Department of Cellular and Integrative Physiology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
- Barshop Institute for Longevity and Aging Studies, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
| | - Zachary D Von Ruff
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas, United States
| | - Korri S Weldon
- Greehey Children's Cancer Research Institute, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
| | - Zhao Lai
- Greehey Children's Cancer Research Institute, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
- Department of Molecular Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
| | - Michael P Sheetz
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas, United States
| | - Blake B Rasmussen
- Department of Cellular and Integrative Physiology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
- Barshop Institute for Longevity and Aging Studies, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, United States
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Montes YD, Anillo Arrieta LA, De La Hoz JJE, Acosta-Vergara T, Acosta-Reyes J, Flórez Lozano KC, Molina RT, Aschner P, Acosta SR, Barengo NC. Effectiveness of a community intervention program on healthy lifestyles (PREDICOL) among adults with prediabetes in two Latin American cities: A quasi-experimental study. Prim Care Diabetes 2025; 19:277-287. [PMID: 40158901 DOI: 10.1016/j.pcd.2025.03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2024] [Revised: 03/21/2025] [Accepted: 03/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/02/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aimed to measure the impact of a community-based lifestyle modification intervention program on the Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) of adults with prediabetes in two Latin American cities. METHODS A quasi-experimental study was conducted with participants aged 30 and above in two Colombian cities between 2018 and 2022. The glycemic status of study participants was determined through the administration of an oral glucose tolerance test. Individuals exhibiting impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) were selected for inclusion in the intervention program. Of the 146 individuals identified with IGT, 91 completed the one-year intervention protocol. HRQoL was assessed utilizing the EQ-5D-3L questionnaire, both before and after the intervention. Logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds ratios (OR) and 95 % confidence intervals (CI), while classification models based on machine learning algorithms were utilized to identify factors associated with favorable changes in health-related quality of life (HRQoL). RESULTS In Bogotá D.C., a significant improvement in HRQoL was documented (pre-intervention: 0.69 ± 0.17; post-intervention: 0.76 ± 0.16), attaining the threshold for clinically meaningful change (0.06). No changes in HRQoL were observed in the study participants. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the improvement in HRQoL was statistically significantly associated with sex (OR 8.75; 95 % CI 1.91-40.03), age (OR 11.61; 95 % CI 1.44-93.44), place of residence (OR 29.31; 95 % CI 5.26-163.54), and weight loss (OR 5.56; 95 % CI 1.15-26.76). According to the XGBoost model, return to normal glycemic status emerged as the most important variable for improvements in HRQoL. CONCLUSION Gender, age, place of residence, weight loss, and return to normoglycemic status were identified as significant predictors in lifestyle modification to improve HRQoL among participants at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yenifer Diaz Montes
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, Universidad Autonóma de Madrid, Madrid 28029, Spain; Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia; Faculty of Nursing Sciences, Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, Santa Marta, Colombia.
| | - Luis A Anillo Arrieta
- Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia; School of Basic Sciences, Technology, and Engineering, Universidad Nacional Abierta y a Distancia-UNAD, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Juan Jose Espitia De La Hoz
- Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia; Division of Health Sciences, Department of Medicine, Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Tania Acosta-Vergara
- Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Jorge Acosta-Reyes
- Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Karen C Flórez Lozano
- Division of Basic Sciences, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Rafael Tuesca Molina
- Department of Public Health, Division of Health Sciences, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia; ScienceFlows Research Group, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, España
| | - Pablo Aschner
- Colombian Diabetes Association, Bogotá, Colombia; Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia; Hospital Universitario San Ignacio, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Sandra Rodríguez Acosta
- Division of Humanities and Sciences, Social Division, Department of Economics, Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia
| | - Noël C Barengo
- Department of Medical Education, Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA; Escuela Superior de Medicina, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Mar del Plata, Argentina
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Boughanem H, de Larriva APA, Camargo A, Torres-Peña JD, Ojeda-Rodriguez A, Alcala-Diaz JF, Romero-Cabrera JL, Rangel-Zuñiga OA, Rodríguez-Cantalejo F, Soehnlein O, Macias-Gonzalez M, Tinahones FJ, Perez-Martinez P, Delgado-Lista J, López-Miranda J. Decreased Neutrophils Are Associated With Reduced Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Incidence: Results From the CORDIOPREV Study. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2025; 110:1550-1558. [PMID: 39470387 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgae736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2024] [Revised: 09/30/2024] [Accepted: 10/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/30/2024]
Abstract
CONTEXT Numerous studies have reported an association between neutrophils and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), although this relationship remains unclear. OBJECTIVE To investigate the interaction of neutrophils and a dietary intervention on T2DM incidence after 60 months of follow-up. METHODS A comprehensive analysis was conducted on the framework of the CORDIOPREV study, which included 462 patients without T2DM at the beginning of the study, randomly assigned to either a Mediterranean or a low-fat diet; 107 developed T2DM. Absolute neutrophil counts and neutrophil-related ratios were measured. RESULTS Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the lowest tertile of basal neutrophils was associated with a reduced likelihood of T2DM incidence when compared to the middle (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.499 [95% CI, 0.287-0.866]) and the highest tertiles (HR = 0.442 [95% CI, 0.255-0.768]) in the overall population, after adjusting for clinical variables. This association only remained significant in patients who followed a Mediterranean diet when comparing the lowest to the middle (HR = 0.423 [95% CI, 0.213-0.842]) and the highest tertiles (HR = 0.371 [95% CI, 0.182-0.762]). The predictive capacity yielded an AUC of 0.711 (95% CI, 0.652-0.769), with neutrophils being the most important variable in the in the model. Decrease in neutrophils over the 60 months was associated with increased insulin sensitivity index (R = -0.31; P = .019), particularly in patients who followed the Mediterranean diet. CONCLUSION These findings suggest that monitoring neutrophils can help prevent the development of T2DM, as a reduction in neutrophil counts could be associated with improved insulin sensitivity. Following a Mediterranean diet might be a potential strategy to reduce the incidence of T2DM by lowering neutrophil levels. Further research is necessary to gain a deeper understanding regarding this mechanism.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hatim Boughanem
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Antonio Pablo Arenas de Larriva
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Antonio Camargo
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - José D Torres-Peña
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Ana Ojeda-Rodriguez
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan F Alcala-Diaz
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan L Romero-Cabrera
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Oriol Alberto Rangel-Zuñiga
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Oliver Soehnlein
- Institute of Experimental Pathology (ExPat), Center of Molecular Biology of Inflammation (ZMBE), University of Münster, 48149 Münster, Germany
| | - Manuel Macias-Gonzalez
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Department of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Virgen de la Victoria University Hospital, 29010 Malaga, Spain
- Institute of Biomedical Research in Malaga (IBIMA)-Bionand Platform, University of Malaga, 29590 Malaga, Spain
| | - Francisco J Tinahones
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
- Department of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Virgen de la Victoria University Hospital, 29010 Malaga, Spain
- Institute of Biomedical Research in Malaga (IBIMA)-Bionand Platform, University of Malaga, 29590 Malaga, Spain
| | - Pablo Perez-Martinez
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Javier Delgado-Lista
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - José López-Miranda
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Universidad de Cordoba, 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research in Cordoba (IMIBIC), 14004 Cordoba, Spain
- CIBER Fisiopatologia Obesidad y Nutricion (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain
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Kalkan I, Saleki N, Alpat Yavaş İ, Pehlivan M, Gündüz N. Are Nutrition Literacy and Sustainable Dietary Habits Associated with Cardiovascular Disease and Diabetes Developmental Risks? JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN NUTRITION ASSOCIATION 2025; 44:353-365. [PMID: 39693406 DOI: 10.1080/27697061.2024.2435039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2024] [Revised: 11/21/2024] [Accepted: 11/23/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to examine the association of nutritional literacy levels and sustainable nutritional behaviors with the risk of developing cardiovascular diseases and diabetes in the Turkish adult population. METHODS Sociodemographic information, disease history, nutritional habits, and physical activity levels of 3146 volunteer individuals (male = 1590, female = 1556) between the ages of 40-75 were collected using a questionnaire form and face-to-face interviews. The sustainable nutritional behaviors of the participants were evaluated using Turkish validated scales for Sustainable and Healthy Eating Behavior (SHE) and nutritional literacy levels with the Evaluation Instrument of Nutrition Literacy on Adults (EINLA). Cardiovascular disease risks of the participants were assessed with the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) Risk Estimator program and the Heart Score (SCORE) scale and type-2 diabetes risk with the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC). Each participant's 24-h food consumption record was obtained using the retrospective recall method. RESULTS It was determined that ASCVD and SCORE levels were significantly higher in males compared to females. It was observed that individuals with lower cardiovascular and diabetes risk scores had higher educational levels, and the risks increased significantly with age (p < 0.05). Anthropometric measurements such as body mass index, and waist hip circumference were significantly higher in those with higher cardiovascular and diabetes risk scores. Furthermore, in individuals with higher SCORE and FINDRISC levels, SHE and EINLA scores were significantly lower (p < 0.05). It was also observed that SCORE and diabetes risk scores increased with higher energy and macronutrient intakes. CONCLUSION The risk of developing cardiovascular disease and diabetes was associated with sustainable nutritional behaviors and nutritional literacy. It may be suggested that increasing nutritional literacy and encouraging sustainable nutritional behaviors may be effective strategies in the management and reduction of the prevalence of certain chronic diseases.KEY TEACHING POINTSCardiovascular diseases and diabetes are two major chronic conditions that can be managed and treated through proper nutrition.Increased nutritional literacy levels and sustainable dietary habits may result in reduced risk of cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.Nutritionists should assess the patients' nutrition literacy levels and implement sustainable, health-focused nutrition education programs to enhance their understanding of nutrition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Indrani Kalkan
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Neda Saleki
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - İdil Alpat Yavaş
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Merve Pehlivan
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Nedime Gündüz
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey
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Lai J, Hao M, Huang X, Chen S, Yan D, Li H. Novel Model Predicts Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients Complicated With Metabolic Syndrome Using Retrospective Dataset From First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, China. Int J Endocrinol 2025; 2025:9558141. [PMID: 40313395 PMCID: PMC12045690 DOI: 10.1155/ije/9558141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2023] [Revised: 03/23/2025] [Accepted: 04/01/2025] [Indexed: 05/03/2025] Open
Abstract
Objective: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is the most important risk factor for Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease. This study used a retrospective dataset from the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University and aimed to develop and validate a novel model nomogram based on clinical parameters to predict MS in patients with T2DM. Methods: A total of 2854 patients with T2DM between January 2014 and May 2022 were selected and divided into a training dataset (n = 2114) and a validation dataset (n = 740). This study used multivariate logistic regression analysis to develop a nomogram for predicting MS in patients with T2DM that included candidates selected in the LASSO regression model. The data were set standardized before LASSO regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was used to assess discrimination in the prediction model. The calibration curve is used to evaluate the calibration of the calibration nomogram, and the clinical decision curve is used to determine the clinical utility of the calibration diagram. The validation dataset is used to evaluate the performance of predictive models. Results: A total of 2854 patients were eligible for this study. There were 1941 (68.01%) patients with MS. The training dataset included 20 potential risk factors of the patient's demographic, clinical, and laboratory indexes in the LASSO regression analysis. Gender, hypertension, BMI, WC, HbA1c, TG, LDL, and HDL were multivariate models. We obtained a model for estimating MS in patients with T2DM. The AUC-ROC of the training dataset in our model is 0.886, and the 95% CI is 0.871-0.901. Similar to the results obtained from the training dataset, the AUC-ROC of the validation dataset in our model is 0.859, and the 95% CI is 0.831-0.887, thus proving the robustness of the model. The prediction model is as follows: logit (MS) = -9.18209 + 0.14406 ∗ BMI (kg/m2) + 0.09218 ∗ WC (cm) + 1.05761 ∗ TG (mmol/L)-3.30013 ∗ HDL (mmol/L). The calibration plots of the predicted probabilities show excellent agreement with the observed MS rates. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the new nomogram provided significant net benefits in clinical applications. Conclusion: The prediction model of this study covers four clinically easily obtained parameters: BMI, WC, TG, and HDL, and shows a high accuracy rate in the validation dataset. Our predictive model may provide an effective method for large-scale epidemiological studies of T2DM patients with MS and offer a practical tool for the early detection of MS in clinical work.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinghua Lai
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Center for Diabetes Control and Prevention, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Mingyu Hao
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Center for Diabetes Control and Prevention, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Xiaohong Huang
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Baoan Shiyan People's Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Shujuan Chen
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Center for Diabetes Control and Prevention, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Dewen Yan
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Center for Diabetes Control and Prevention, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Haiyan Li
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Center for Diabetes Control and Prevention, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
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Wu H, Lv B, Zhi L, Shao Y, Liu X, Mitteregger M, Chakaroun R, Tremaroli V, Hazen SL, Wang R, Bergström G, Bäckhed F. Microbiome-metabolome dynamics associated with impaired glucose control and responses to lifestyle changes. Nat Med 2025:10.1038/s41591-025-03642-6. [PMID: 40200054 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-025-03642-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2024] [Accepted: 03/05/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025]
Abstract
Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a complex disease shaped by genetic and environmental factors, including the gut microbiome. Recent research revealed pathophysiological heterogeneity and distinct subgroups in both T2D and prediabetes, prompting exploration of personalized risk factors. Using metabolomics in two Swedish cohorts (n = 1,167), we identified over 500 blood metabolites associated with impaired glucose control, with approximately one-third linked to an altered gut microbiome. Our findings identified metabolic disruptions in microbiome-metabolome dynamics as potential mediators of compromised glucose homeostasis, as illustrated by the potential interactions between Hominifimenecus microfluidus and Blautia wexlerae via hippurate. Short-term lifestyle changes, for example, diet and exercise, modulated microbiome-associated metabolites in a lifestyle-specific manner. This study suggests that the microbiome-metabolome axis is a modifiable target for T2D management, with optimal health benefits achievable through a combination of lifestyle modifications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Wu
- Center for Obesity and Hernia Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Huashan Hospital, and State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Fudan Microbiome Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Bomin Lv
- Center for Obesity and Hernia Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Huashan Hospital, and State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Fudan Microbiome Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Luqian Zhi
- Center for Obesity and Hernia Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Huashan Hospital, and State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Fudan Microbiome Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yikai Shao
- Center for Obesity and Hernia Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Huashan Hospital, and State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Fudan Microbiome Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xinyan Liu
- Center for Obesity and Hernia Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Huashan Hospital, and State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Fudan Microbiome Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Matthias Mitteregger
- The Wallenberg Laboratory, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Rima Chakaroun
- The Wallenberg Laboratory, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Medical Department III - Endocrinology, Nephrology, Rheumatology, University of Leipzig Medical Center, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Valentina Tremaroli
- The Wallenberg Laboratory, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Stanley L Hazen
- Department of Cardiovascular & Metabolic Sciences, Lerner Research Institute, Cleveland, OH, USA
- Center for Microbiome and Human Health, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart, Vascular and Thoracic Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Ru Wang
- School of Kinesiology, Key Laboratory of Exercise and Health Sciences of Ministry of Education, Shanghai University of Sport, Shanghai, China
| | - Göran Bergström
- The Wallenberg Laboratory, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Physiology, Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Fredrik Bäckhed
- The Wallenberg Laboratory, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
- Department of Clinical Physiology, Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
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Navarro-Cerdán JR, Pons-Suñer P, Arnal L, Arlandis J, Llobet R, Perez-Cortes JC, Lara-Hernández F, Moya-Valera C, Quiroz-Rodriguez ME, Rojo-Martinez G, Valdés S, Montanya E, Calle-Pascual AL, Franch-Nadal J, Delgado E, Castaño L, García-García AB, Chaves FJ. A machine learning approach for type 2 diabetes diagnosis and prognosis using tailored heterogeneous feature subsets. Med Biol Eng Comput 2025:10.1007/s11517-025-03355-5. [PMID: 40198441 DOI: 10.1007/s11517-025-03355-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2024] [Accepted: 03/23/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025]
Abstract
Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is becoming one of the leading health problems in Western societies, diminishing quality of life and consuming a significant share of healthcare resources. This study presents machine learning models for T2D diagnosis and prognosis, developed using heterogeneous data from a Spanish population dataset (Di@bet.es study). The models were trained exclusively on individuals classified as controls and undiagnosed diabetics, ensuring that the results are not influenced by treatment effects or behavioral changes due to disease awareness. Two data domains are considered: environmental (patient lifestyle questionnaires and measurements) and clinical (biochemical and anthropometric measurements). The preprocessing pipeline consists of four key steps: geospatial data extraction, feature engineering, missing data imputation, and quasi-constancy filtering. Two working scenarios (Environmental and Healthcare) are defined based on the features used, and applied to two targets (diagnosis and prognosis), resulting in four distinct models. The feature subsets that best predict the target have been identified based on permutation importance and sequential backward selection, reducing the number of features and, consequently, the cost of predictions. In the Environmental scenario, models achieved an AUROC of 0.86 for diagnosis and 0.82 for prognosis. The Healthcare scenario performed better, with an AUROC of 0.96 for diagnosis and 0.88 for prognosis. A partial dependence analysis of the most relevant features is also presented. An online demo page showcasing the Environmental and Healthcare T2D prognosis models is available upon request.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Ramón Navarro-Cerdán
- Universitat Politècnica de València, Camí de Vera, s/n, 46022, València, Spain.
- ITI, Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain.
| | - Pedro Pons-Suñer
- ITI, Instituto Tecnológico de Informática, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain
| | - Laura Arnal
- ITI, Instituto Tecnológico de Informática, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain
| | - Joaquim Arlandis
- Universitat Politècnica de València, Camí de Vera, s/n, 46022, València, Spain
- ITI, Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain
| | - Rafael Llobet
- Universitat Politècnica de València, Camí de Vera, s/n, 46022, València, Spain
- ITI, Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain
| | - Juan-Carlos Perez-Cortes
- Universitat Politècnica de València, Camí de Vera, s/n, 46022, València, Spain
- ITI, Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022, València, Spain
| | | | - Celeste Moya-Valera
- Genomic and Diabetes Unit, INCLIVA Biomedical Research Institute, 46010, València, Spain
| | | | - Gemma Rojo-Martinez
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
- UGC Endocrinología y Nutrición, Hospital regional Universitario de Málaga, Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Málaga y Plataforma en Nanomedicina-IBIMA Plataforma BIONAND, Málaga, Spain
| | - Sergio Valdés
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
- UGC Endocrinología y Nutrición, Hospital regional Universitario de Málaga, Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Málaga y Plataforma en Nanomedicina-IBIMA Plataforma BIONAND, Málaga, Spain
| | - Eduard Montanya
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
- Bellvitge Hospital-IDIBELL, Barcelona, Spain
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Alfonso L Calle-Pascual
- Medical School, University Complutense, Madrid, Spain
- Endocrinology and Nutrition Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario San Carlos, Madrid, Spain
| | - Josep Franch-Nadal
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
- EAP Raval Sud, Catalan Institute of Health, GEDAPS Network, Primary Care, Research Support Unit (IDIAP-Jordi Gol Foundation), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Elias Delgado
- Department of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Central University Hospital of Asturias, Health Research Institute of the Principality of Asturias, Oviedo, Spain
- CIBERER, Madrid, Spain
| | - Luis Castaño
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
- CIBERER, Madrid, Spain
- Cruces University Hospital, Biocruces Bizkaia Health Research Institute, Endo-ERN, UPV/EHU, Barakaldo, Spain
| | - Ana-Bárbara García-García
- Genomic and Diabetes Unit, INCLIVA Biomedical Research Institute, 46010, València, Spain
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
| | - Felipe Javier Chaves
- Genomic and Diabetes Unit, INCLIVA Biomedical Research Institute, 46010, València, Spain
- CIBERDEM, ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
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9
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Colagiuri S, Ceriello A. 1. Detection of diabetes and intermediate hyperglycaemia, and prevention of type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2025:112145. [PMID: 40209902 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112145] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/12/2025]
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10
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Al-Wawi O, Alameleh H, Alhaj Ahmad M, Al Shamsi F, Suwan L, Bin Kowayer J, Almaqableh F, Hussein A, Sulaiman N. Prediabetes Knowledge, Attitudes, Practices, and Risk Levels in the United Arab Emirates: A Cross-Sectional Study. Cureus 2025; 17:e82099. [PMID: 40357096 PMCID: PMC12066878 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.82099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/10/2025] [Indexed: 05/15/2025] Open
Abstract
Background and aims Prediabetes is a reversible state of mild hyperglycemia that significantly increases the risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study aimed to assess knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP), risk levels, and associated factors related to prediabetes among adults in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Methods This cross-sectional study was conducted between February and March 2022 among adults (≥18 years) residing in the UAE, using non-probability convenience sampling. Data were collected through a self-administered online questionnaire using the Knowledge Attitude Practice - Prediabetes Assessment Questionnaire (KAP-PAQ) and the Saudi Diabetes Risk Score (SADRISC). Data analysis was performed using SPSS (IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, IBM Corp., Version 28, Armonk, NY). Mann-Whitney U and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for group comparisons, and Spearman correlation assessed associations. Participants with diabetes were excluded from the SADRISC-based risk analysis. Results A total of 414 participants completed the survey, 278 (67.1%) of whom were non-Emirati Arabs. Poor knowledge of prediabetes was observed in 269 (65%) of participants, and 348 (84.1%) reported poor to very poor practices. In contrast, 238 (57.5%) expressed positive to strongly positive attitudes. The SADRISC tool classified 105 (27.8%) non-diabetic participants as having a high risk for prediabetes or undiagnosed T2DM. Nearly half (203, 49.0%) were unaware that prediabetes progression to T2DM is preventable with intervention, and 244 (58.9%) had never checked their blood sugar levels. Higher knowledge levels were associated with better attitudes and practices. Conclusion This study reveals insufficient knowledge and poor health practices regarding prediabetes among UAE adults despite generally positive attitudes. A considerable proportion of participants were at high risk for prediabetes or undiagnosed T2DM. Nearly half were unaware that prediabetes progression is preventable. Despite national efforts, most had never checked their blood glucose levels. Targeted interventions, including more extensive awareness campaigns and screening programs, are crucial to improving knowledge, encouraging preventive behaviors, and enhancing early detection of prediabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Obada Al-Wawi
- College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, ARE
| | | | | | | | - Laith Suwan
- College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, ARE
| | | | | | - Amal Hussein
- College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, ARE
- Family and Community Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, ARE
| | - Nabil Sulaiman
- College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, ARE
- Department of Medicine, Baker/IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, AUS
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11
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Shahraki PK, Feizi A, Aminorroaya S, Ghanbari H, Abyar M, Amini M, Aminorroaya A. Developing risk models for predicting incidence of diabetes and prediabetes in the first-degree relatives of Iranian patients with type 2 diabetes and comparison with the finnish diabetes risk score. JOURNAL OF RESEARCH IN MEDICAL SCIENCES : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF ISFAHAN UNIVERSITY OF MEDICAL SCIENCES 2025; 30:17. [PMID: 40302997 PMCID: PMC12039862 DOI: 10.4103/jrms.jrms_139_23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2023] [Revised: 05/17/2023] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 05/02/2025]
Abstract
Background We aimed to develop risk models for predicting the onset of developing diabetes and prediabetes in the first-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with type 2 diabetes, who have normal glucose tolerance (NGT). Materials and Methods In this study, 1765 FDRs of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, who had NGT, were subjected to the statistical analysis. Diabetes risk factors, including anthropometric indices, physical activity, fast plasma glucose, plasma glucose concentrations 2-h after oral glucose administration, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), blood pressure, and lipid profile at the baseline were considered as independent variables. Kaplan-Meier, log-rank test, univariate, and multivariable proportional hazard Cox regression were used for the data analysis. The optimal cutoff value for risk score was created according to the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results The best diabetes predictability was achieved by a model in which waist-to-hip ratio, HbA1c, oral glucose tolerance test-area under the curve (OGTT-AUC), and the lipid profile were included. The best prediabetes risk model included HbA1c, OGTT-AUC, systolic blood pressure, and the lipid profile. The predictive ability of multivariable risk models was compared with fasting plasma glucose (FPG), HbA1c, and OGTT. The predictive ability of developed models was higher than FPG and HbA1c; however, it was comparable with OGTT-AUC alone. In addition, our study showed that the developed models predicted diabetes and OGTT-AUC better than the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC). Conclusion We recommend regular monitoring of risk factors for the FDRs of patients with type 2 diabetes as an efficient approach for predicting and prevention of the occurrence of diabetes and prediabetes in future. Our developed diabetes risk score models showed precise prediction ability compared to the FINDRISC in Iranian population.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Awat Feizi
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Sima Aminorroaya
- Department of Engineering and Mathematics, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK
| | - Heshmatollah Ghanbari
- Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Majid Abyar
- Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Massoud Amini
- Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Ashraf Aminorroaya
- Isfahan Endocrine and Metabolism Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
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12
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Li X, Ding F, Zhang L, Zhao S, Hu Z, Ma Z, Li F, Zhang Y, Zhao Y, Zhao Y. Interpretable machine learning method to predict the risk of pre-diabetes using a national-wide cross-sectional data: evidence from CHNS. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:1145. [PMID: 40140819 PMCID: PMC11938594 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-22419-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2024] [Accepted: 03/20/2025] [Indexed: 03/28/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The incidence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) continues to rise steadily, significantly impacting human health. Early prediction of pre-diabetic risks has emerged as a crucial public health concern in recent years. Machine learning methods have proven effective in enhancing prediction accuracy. However, existing approaches may lack interpretability regarding underlying mechanisms. Therefore, we aim to employ an interpretable machine learning approach utilizing nationwide cross-sectional data to predict pre-diabetic risk and quantify the impact of potential risks. METHODS The LASSO regression algorithm was used to conduct feature selection from 30 factors, ultimately identifying nine non-zero coefficient features associated with pre-diabetes, including age, TG, TC, BMI, Apolipoprotein B, TP, leukocyte count, HDL-C, and hypertension. Various machine learning algorithms, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naive Bayes (NB), Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Decision Trees (DT), and Logistic Regression (LR), were employed to compare predictive performance. Employing an interpretable machine learning approach, we aimed to enhance the accuracy of pre-diabetes risk prediction and quantify the impact and significance of potential risks on pre-diabetes. RESULTS From the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) data, a cohort of 8,277 individuals was selected, exhibiting a disease prevalence of 7.13%. The XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance with an AUC value of 0.939, surpassing RF, SVM, DT, ANNs, Naive Bayes, and LR models. Additionally, Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) analysis indicated that age, BMI, TC, ApoB, TG, hypertension, TP, HDL-C, and WBC may serve as risk factors for pre-diabetes. CONCLUSION The constructed model comprises nine easily accessible predictive factors, which prove highly effective in forecasting the risk of pre-diabetes. Concurrently, we have quantified the specific impact of each predictive factor on the risk and ranked them based on their influence. This result may serve as a convenient tool for early identification of individuals at high risk of pre-diabetes, providing effective guidance for preventing the progression of pre-diabetes to T2DM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaolong Li
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Fan Ding
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Lu Zhang
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Shi Zhao
- School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, China
| | - Zengyun Hu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200025, China
| | - Zhanbing Ma
- School of Basic Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Feng Li
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Yuhong Zhang
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China
| | - Yi Zhao
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China.
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China.
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China.
| | - Yu Zhao
- School of Public Health, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China.
- NHC Key Laboratory of Metabolic Cardiovascular Diseases Research, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750004, China.
- Ningxia Key Laboratory of Environmental Factors and Chronic Disease Control, Yinchuan Ningxia, 750004, China.
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13
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Smart MH, Lin JY, Layden BT, Eisenberg Y, Pickard AS, Sharp LK, Danielson KK, Kong A. Diabetes Screening in the Emergency Department: Development of a Predictive Model for Elevated Hemoglobin A1c. J Diabetes Res 2025; 2025:8830658. [PMID: 40109952 PMCID: PMC11922610 DOI: 10.1155/jdr/8830658] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2024] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 03/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Aims: We developed a prediction model for elevated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) among patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) at risk for diabetes to identify important factors that may influence follow-up patient care. Methods: Retrospective electronic health records data among patients screened for diabetes at the ED in May 2021 was used. The primary outcome was elevated HbA1c (≥ 5.7%). The data was divided into a derivation set (80%) and a test set (20%) stratified by elevated HbA1c. In the derivation set, we estimated the optimal significance level for backward elimination using a 10-fold cross-validation method. A final model was derived using the entire derivation set and validated on the test set. Performance statistics included C-statistic, sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and Brier score. Results: There were 590 ED patients screened for diabetes in May 2021. The final model included nine variables: age, race/ethnicity, insurance, chief complaints of back pain and fever/chills, and a past medical history of obesity, hyperlipidemia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and substance misuse. Adequate model discrimination (C-statistic = 0.75; sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values > 0.70), no evidence of model ill fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow test = 0.29), and moderate Brier score (0.21) suggest acceptable model performance. Conclusion: In addition to age, obesity, and hyperlipidemia, a history of substance misuse was identified as an important predictor of elevated HbA1c levels among patients screened for diabetes in the ED. Our findings suggest that substance misuse may be an important factor to consider when facilitating follow-up care for patients identified with prediabetes or diabetes in the ED and warrants further investigation. Future research efforts should also include external validation in larger samples of ED patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary H. Smart
- Department of Pharmacy Systems, Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Janet Y. Lin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Brian T. Layden
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
- Jesse Brown Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Yuval Eisenberg
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - A. Simon Pickard
- Department of Pharmacy Systems, Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Lisa K. Sharp
- Department of Biobehavioral Nursing Science, College of Nursing, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Kirstie K. Danielson
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Angela Kong
- Department of Pharmacy Systems, Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, The University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
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14
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Poon PKM, Tam KW, Yip BHK, Chung RY, Lee EKP, Wong SYS. Social and health service-related factors associated with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus- a population-based survey in a highly urbanized Chinese setting. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:900. [PMID: 40050834 PMCID: PMC11887179 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-22048-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2025] [Indexed: 03/09/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (UDM) is associated with poorer health outcomes compared to diagnosed DM. We investigated factors associated with UDM in a highly urbanized Chinese setting to facilitate UDM detection. METHODS We analysed data from the cross-sectional Hong Kong Population Health Survey. We defined UDM by blood glucose and HbA1c levels and a negative history of self-reported doctor-diagnosed DM. We categorized diabetes status into UDM, incident DM (IDM, i.e. recently diagnosed) and individuals without diabetes and used multinomial logistic regression models to investigate the relationship between diabetes status and social and health service-related factors. RESULTS We included 98 IDM cases, 101 UDM cases, and 2,153 individuals without diabetes. Individuals aged 35-44 years (aOR 12.65, 95% C.I. 2.54-62.97) and those living in subsidized-sale housing (aOR 2.01, 95% C.I. 1.14-3.56) had a higher risk of UDM relative to not having diabetes, but not IDM. Males who were economically active (aOR 4.22, 95% C.I. 1.25-14.30), and males who did not have regular check-ups (aOR 3.05, 95% C.I. 1.16-8.00) had higher risks of UDM relative to not having diabetes, whereas males with a higher household income had a lower risk of UDM (aOR 0.94, 95% C.I. 0.89-0.99). Compared to individuals without diabetes, UDM cases had comparable physical activity levels but most were work- and transport-related rather than recreational. CONCLUSIONS Compared to individuals without diabetes or IDM cases, economically active males, males without regular check-ups and males with lower household income had a higher risk of UDM. Targeted active DM screening can reduce UDM. However, further research on the benefits of different types of physical activity is needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul K M Poon
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China
| | - King Wa Tam
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China
| | - Benjamin H K Yip
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China
| | - Roger Y Chung
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China
- CUHK Institute of Health Equity, HKSAR, China
| | - Eric K P Lee
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China
| | - Samuel Y S Wong
- Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Sha Tin, New Territories, HKSAR, China.
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15
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Rodacki M, Zajdenverg L, da Silva Júnior WS, Giacaglia L, Negrato CA, Cobas RA, de Almeida-Pititto B, Bertoluci MC. Brazilian guideline for screening and diagnosis of type 2 diabetes: a position statement from the Brazilian Diabetes Society. Diabetol Metab Syndr 2025; 17:78. [PMID: 40038723 DOI: 10.1186/s13098-024-01572-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2024] [Accepted: 12/28/2024] [Indexed: 03/06/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) often experience prolonged periods of asymptomatic hyperglycemia, which significantly increases the risk of developing chronic complications related to diabetes. Screening programs for individuals at high risk for T2D provide valuable opportunities not only for early diagnosis but also for detecting intermediate hyperglycemic states, commonly referred to as prediabetes. Interventions aimed at preventing diabetes in this group can successfully delay or even avoid the onset of the disease and its associated burdens. This review is an update of the Brazilian Diabetes Society (Sociedade Brasileira de Diabetes [SBD]) evidence-based guideline for diagnosing diabetes and screening T2D. METHODS The methodology was previously published and defined by the internal institutional steering committee. The working group drafted the manuscript by selecting vital clinical questions for a narrative review, utilizing MEDLINE via PubMed to identify relevant studies. The review assessed the best available evidence, including randomized clinical trials (RCTs), meta-analyses, and high-quality observational studies related to the diagnosis of diabetes. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS Fifteen specific recommendations were formulated. Screening is recommended for adults aged 35 and older or younger individuals with obesity and additional risk factors. For children and adolescents, screening is recommended starting at age ten or the onset of puberty if they are overweight or obese and have additional risk factors. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and HbA1c are recommended as initial screening tests. The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is recommended for high-risk individuals with normal HbA1c and FPG or those with prediabetes. The 1-h OGTT is preferred over the 2-h OGTT, as it is both more practical and a superior test. A structured approach to reevaluation intervals is provided.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melanie Rodacki
- Departamento de Clínica Médica / Nutrologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
| | - Lenita Zajdenverg
- Departamento de Clínica Médica / Nutrologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | | | - Luciano Giacaglia
- Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Roberta Arnoldi Cobas
- Departamento de Medicina Interna, Faculdade de Ciências Médicas, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Bianca de Almeida-Pititto
- Departamento de Medicina Preventiva, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Marcello Casaccia Bertoluci
- Serviço de Endocrinologia do Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre. Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil
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Karaca-Çelik KE, Toprak D, Baş M, Tevfikoğlu L, Kahrıman M, İnce-Palamutoglu M, Doğan N, Baş D. Evaluation of sociodemographic and nutrition-related factors for type 2 diabetes risk: a sample from Turkiye. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:858. [PMID: 40038651 PMCID: PMC11877910 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-21940-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Accepted: 02/13/2025] [Indexed: 03/06/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Considering the increasing prevalence of diabetes, we aimed to evaluate the risk of diabetes in our sample and its relationship with sociodemographic and nutrition-related factors. METHODS We conducted the study in Afyonkarahisar province of Turkiye with participants aged 18-65 years. In this face-to-face study, we used a questionnaire on sociodemographic information and general dietary habits and the FINDRISC screening tool. We also recorded participants' 24-hour food recall and assessed anthropometric measurements. We analyzed epidemiological data using binary logistic regression models to assess possible risk factors associated with the presence of diabetes risk. RESULTS Overall, this study included 3,990 participants, 50.03% (n = 1996) and 49.97% (n = 1994) of whom were males and females, respectively. The FINDRISC score was higher in females (p = 0.001), married individuals (p < 0.001), those with lower education levels (p < 0.001), and participants diagnosed with the disease by a doctor (p < 0.001). Additionally, having a body mass index (BMI) of > 30 kg/m2 increased the risk by 7.33 folds compared with having a BMI of < 25 kg/m2. Significant but very low correlation coefficients were found between main meal consumption, energy, lipid and iron intake and diabetes risk (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that increasing age, increasing BMI, lower education level, and having a disease diagnosis can be significant risk factors for diabetes. However, more studies are needed to clarify risk factors, especially those related to nutrition.
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Affiliation(s)
- K Esen Karaca-Çelik
- Izmir Demokrasi University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Dilek Toprak
- Istanbul Atlas University, Department of Family Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Murat Baş
- Acibadem Mehmet Ali Aydinlar University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Leyla Tevfikoğlu
- Trakya University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Edirne, Türkiye
| | - Meryem Kahrıman
- Acibadem Mehmet Ali Aydinlar University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Istanbul, Türkiye.
| | - Merve İnce-Palamutoglu
- Afyonkarahisar Health Sciences University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Afyonkarahisar, Türkiye
| | - Nurhan Doğan
- Afyonkarahisar Health Sciences University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Afyonkarahisar, Türkiye
| | - Dilşat Baş
- Istanbul Galata University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Istanbul, Türkiye
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Ramachandran A, Nanditha A, Tuomilehto J, Gabriel R, Saboo B, Mohan V, Chawla M, Chawla P, Raghavan A, Gupta A, Joshi S, Agarwal S, Misra A, Sahay R, Tiwaskar MH, Azad Khan AK, Arvind SR, Viswanathan V, Das AK, Makkar BM, Kowlessur S, Yajnik CS, Sriram U, Seshadri KG, Susairaj P, Satheesh K, Duncan BB, Aschner P, Barengo NC, Schwarz PEH, Ceriello A. Call to action for clinicians in the South-East Asian regions on primary prevention of diabetes in people with prediabetes- A consensus statement. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2025; 221:111997. [PMID: 39814235 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2025.111997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2025]
Abstract
Primary prevention of diabetes still remains as an unmet challenge in a real world setting. While, translational programmes have been successful in the developed nations, the prevailing social and economic inequities in the low and middle income countries, fail to integrate diabetes prevention into their public health systems. The resulting exponential increase in the prevalence of diabetes and the cost of treatment has put primary prevention in the back seat. As a call to action, an expert group was formed to lay down practical guidelines for clinicians in the South East Asian regions to implement primary prevention programmes at an individual or at a community level. The guideline was developed based on the outcomes of the evidence based prevention programmes conducted in India. This decentralised self-guided approach for primary prevention of diabetes follows a three step implementation process of screening, diagnosis of intermediate hyperglycaemia and design and delivery of personalized interventions. Recommendations provided on dietary intake and physical activity can be tailored by the clinician to suit individual needs. Initiation of pharmacological treatment to achieve desired targets has also been addressed. A personalised approach by the clinician may be effective and offer a sustainable solution to curb the rising epidemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ambady Ramachandran
- India Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr.A. Ramachandran's Diabetes Hospitals, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.
| | - Arun Nanditha
- India Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr.A. Ramachandran's Diabetes Hospitals, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Jaakko Tuomilehto
- Population Health Unit, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, P.O. Box 30, 00271 Helsinki, Finland, Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland, World Community for Prevention of Diabetes Foundation (WCPD), Calle General Pardinas 64, 28001 Madrid, Spain
| | - Rafael Gabriel
- National School of Public Health, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. World Community for Prevention of Diabetes Foundation (WCPD), Madrid, Spain
| | - Banshi Saboo
- Department of Diabetology, Dia Care Hormone Clinic, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India
| | - Viswanathan Mohan
- Madras Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr. Mohan's Diabetes Specialities Centre, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Manoj Chawla
- Lina Diabetes Care and Mumbai Diabetes Research Centre, Mumbai, India
| | - Purvi Chawla
- Lina Diabetes Care and Mumbai Diabetes Research Centre, Mumbai, India
| | - Arun Raghavan
- India Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr.A. Ramachandran's Diabetes Hospitals, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Amit Gupta
- Centre for Diabetes Care, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Shashank Joshi
- Department of Diabetology & Endocrinology, Lilavati Hospital and Research Centre, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
| | - Sanjay Agarwal
- Department of Diabetes Care, Aegle Clinic; Department of Medicine and Diabetes, Ruby Hall Clinic, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Anoop Misra
- Diabetes Foundation (India), New Delhi, India; National Diabetes, Obesity and Cholesterol Foundation (N-DOC), New Delhi, India; Fortis C-DOC Centre for Excellence for Diabetes, Metabolic Disease, and Endocrinology, New Delhi, India
| | - Rakesh Sahay
- Department of Endocrinology, Osmania Medical College, Hyderabad, Telengana, India
| | - Mangesh H Tiwaskar
- Department of Diabetology, Shilpa Medical Research Centre, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
| | - A K Azad Khan
- Department of Public Health, Bangladesh University of Health Sciences, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - S R Arvind
- Department of Medicine, Diacon Hospital, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Vijay Viswanathan
- MV Hospital for Diabetes and Prof M Viswanathan Diabetes Research Center, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Ashok Kumar Das
- Professor of Medicine, Mahatma Gandhi Medical College and Research Institute; Dean Academic, Sri Balaji Vidyapeeth, Pondicherry, India
| | - Brij Mohan Makkar
- Department of Diabetology, Dr Makkar's Diabetes and Obesity Centre, New Delhi, India
| | - Sudhirsen Kowlessur
- Health Promotion and Research Unit, Ministry of Health and Wellness, Port Louis 11321, Mauritius
| | - Chittaranjan S Yajnik
- Diabetes Unit, King Edward Memorial Hospital and Research Centre, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Usha Sriram
- Department of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Women's health, Voluntary Health Services SH 49A, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | | | - Priscilla Susairaj
- India Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr.A. Ramachandran's Diabetes Hospitals, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Krishnamoorthy Satheesh
- India Diabetes Research Foundation and Dr.A. Ramachandran's Diabetes Hospitals, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Bruce B Duncan
- Postgraduate Program in Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Pablo Aschner
- Colombian Diabetes Association and the Javeriana University School of Medicine, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Noel C Barengo
- Department of Medical Education, Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Peter E H Schwarz
- President of the International Diabetes Federation (IDF), Avenue Herrmann-Debroux 54., B-1160 Brussels, Belgium; Department for Prevention and Care of Diabetes, Faculty of Medicine, Carl Gustav Carus at the Technische Universität/TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany; Paul Langerhans Institute Dresden of Helmholtz Zentrum München at University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine, TU Dresden, 01307 Dresden, Germany; German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD e.V.), 85764 Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Antonio Ceriello
- Department of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases, Istituto Ricerca Cura Carattere Scientifico Multimedica, Sesto, San Giovanni, MI, Italy
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18
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Chee HK, Abbas F, van Winkelhoff AJ, Tjakkes GH, Htoon HM, Li H, de Waal Y, Vissink A, Seneviratne CJ. Identifying Undiagnosed Diabetes and Prediabetes in the Dental Setting in an Asian Population-A Clinical Risk Model. J Clin Periodontol 2025; 52:324-338. [PMID: 39532695 DOI: 10.1111/jcpe.14090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2023] [Revised: 10/25/2024] [Accepted: 10/29/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
AIM To assess the glycaemic status of Asian patients in a tertiary care dental setting and develop a risk model for undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (DM). MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 1074 participants completed a diabetes risk test questionnaire, full-mouth periodontal examination and a point-of-care HbA1c finger-prick blood test. Univariable logistic regression was performed to assess the effect of potential factors to predict DM, with confirmed diabetes as the outcome. Subsequently, multivariable logistic regression analysis with stepwise variable selection was employed to develop the final models for predicting DM. RESULTS Sixty-five (6.1%) and 83 (7.7%) of the 1074 participants were medically confirmed with T2DM and prediabetes, respectively. The 'best' predictive risk model for DM included body mass index (BMI), family history of diabetes, smoking and a diagnosis of Stage III/IV or severe periodontitis with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.717 (95% confidence interval, CI [0.689-0.744]) and 0.721 (95% CI [0.693-0.748]), respectively. Including the oral health measure marginally increased the AUC. CONCLUSIONS Dental patients clinically diagnosed with advanced periodontitis in combination with high BMI, positive family history of DM and smoking are potentially at high risk for DM and should be screened for DM and referred for medical confirmation and management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hoe Kit Chee
- National Dental Centre of Singapore, Singapore
- Center for Dentistry and Oral Hygiene, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Frank Abbas
- Center for Dentistry and Oral Hygiene, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Arie Jan van Winkelhoff
- Center for Dentistry and Oral Hygiene, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Geerten Has Tjakkes
- Center for Dentistry and Oral Hygiene, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | | | - Huihua Li
- National Dental Centre of Singapore, Singapore
- National Dental Research Institute Singapore, Singapore
| | - Yvonne de Waal
- Center for Dentistry and Oral Hygiene, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Arjan Vissink
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Chaminda Jayampath Seneviratne
- National Dental Centre of Singapore, Singapore
- National Dental Research Institute Singapore, Singapore
- School of Dentistry, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
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19
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Mas-Fontao S, Tarín N, Cristóbal C, Soto-Catalán M, Pello A, Aceña A, Lumpuy-Castillo J, Garces C, Gomez-Guerrero C, Gutiérrez-Landaluce C, Blanco-Colio LM, Martín-Ventura JL, Huelmos A, Alonso J, López Bescós L, Moreno JA, Mahíllo-Fernández I, Lorenzo Ó, González-Casaus ML, Egido J, Tuñón J. Elevated plasma levels of TNF-R1 predict the development of acute ischemic events in coronary patients with diabetes. CLINICA E INVESTIGACION EN ARTERIOSCLEROSIS : PUBLICACION OFICIAL DE LA SOCIEDAD ESPANOLA DE ARTERIOSCLEROSIS 2025; 37:100735. [PMID: 39343690 DOI: 10.1016/j.arteri.2024.08.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2024] [Revised: 08/12/2024] [Accepted: 08/13/2024] [Indexed: 10/01/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine the relationship between inflammatory biomarkers and the occurrence of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) and stable coronary artery disease. METHODS A total of 964 patients with stable coronary artery disease were included. Plasma levels of inflammatory markers, including tumour necrosis factor receptors 1 and 2 (TNF-R1 and TNF-R2), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) were measured. The primary endpoint was the development of acute ischaemic events (any type of acute coronary syndrome, stroke, or transient ischaemic attack). RESULTS There were 232 diabetic patients and 732 non-diabetic patients. Patients with coronary artery disease and DM2 (232, 24%) had higher levels of TNF-R1, TNF-R2, GDF-15, sST2 (P<.001), and hsCRP compared to patients without DM2, indicating a higher inflammatory state. After a median follow-up of 5.39 (2.81-6.92) years, patients with DM2 more frequently developed the primary endpoint (15.9% vs 10.8%; P=.035). Plasma levels of TNF-R1 were independent predictors of the primary endpoint in patients with DM2, along with male gender, triglyceride levels, and the absence of treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. None of these inflammatory markers predicted the development of this event in non-diabetic patients. CONCLUSIONS Patients with stable coronary artery disease and DM2 exhibit elevated levels of the proinflammatory markers TNF-R1, TNF-R2, GDF-15, and sST2. Moreover, TNF-R1 is an independent predictor of acute ischaemic events only in diabetic patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sebastián Mas-Fontao
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine and Biomedicine, Universidad Alfonso X el Sabio (UAX), Madrid, España
| | - Nieves Tarín
- Department of Cardiology, Hospital Universitario de Móstoles, Móstoles, Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Alcorcón, Madrid, España
| | - Carmen Cristóbal
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Alcorcón, Madrid, España; Department of Cardiology, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Fuenlabrada, Madrid, España
| | - Manuel Soto-Catalán
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España
| | - Ana Pello
- Department of Cardiology, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España
| | - Alvaro Aceña
- Department of Cardiology, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España
| | - Jairo Lumpuy-Castillo
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España
| | - Carmen Garces
- Lipid Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España
| | - Carmen Gomez-Guerrero
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España
| | | | - Luis M Blanco-Colio
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; CIBERCV, Madrid, España
| | - José Luis Martín-Ventura
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España; CIBERCV, Madrid, España
| | - Ana Huelmos
- Department of Cardiology, Hospital Universitario Fundación Alcorcón, Alcorcón, Madrid, España
| | - Joaquín Alonso
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Alcorcón, Madrid, España; Department of Cardiology, Hospital de Getafe, Getafe, Madrid, España
| | | | - Juan A Moreno
- Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Cordoba (IMIBIC), Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, Córdoba, España; Department of Cell Biology, Physiology and Immunology, University of Cordoba, Córdoba, España
| | - Ignacio Mahíllo-Fernández
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Research Unit, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España
| | - Óscar Lorenzo
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España
| | | | - Jesús Egido
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Spanish Biomedical Research Centre in Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España.
| | - José Tuñón
- Renal, Vascular and Diabetes Research Laboratory, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Department of Cardiology, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Madrid, España; Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, España; CIBERCV, Madrid, España.
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20
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Moura FA, Kamanu FK, Wiviott SD, Giugliano RP, Udler MS, Florez JC, Ellinor PT, Sabatine MS, Ruff CT, Marston NA. Type 2 diabetes genetic risk and incident diabetes across diabetes risk enhancers. Diabetes Obes Metab 2025; 27:1287-1295. [PMID: 39696834 DOI: 10.1111/dom.16123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2024] [Revised: 11/22/2024] [Accepted: 11/25/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024]
Abstract
AIMS To evaluate the predictive value of a contemporary type 2 diabetes (T2D) polygenic score (PGS) in detecting incident diabetes across a range of diabetes risk factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS We analysed participants in the Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects With Elevated Risk (FOURIER) trial (ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT0176463), which compared the efficacy of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitor evolocumab versus placebo in lowering cardiovascular outcomes in participants with stable atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and LDL cholesterol levels of 70 mg/dL (1.8 mmol/L) or higher who were receiving statin therapy. Genetic risk was characterized using a previously validated T2D PGS based on ~1.2 million single-nucleotide polymorphisms. PGS was analysed continuously and categorically as high (top 20% of the PGS) and low to intermediate (lower 80% of the PGS). The effect of evolocumab on incident diabetes in patients without diabetes at baseline was also assessed. HbA1c was measured at baseline and every 24 weeks thereafter, while FPG was measured at baseline, week 12, week 24 and every 24 weeks thereafter. Potential cases of incident diabetes were adjudicated centrally. Hazards ratios (HRs) for incident diabetes were adjusted for baseline characteristics and ancestry. RESULTS Among 9388 participants, the mean age was 63 ± 9 years and 22.7% were women, with median HbA1c 39 mmol/mol (36 mmol/mol - 41 mmol/mol; 5.7% [5.4%-5.9%]) and mean body mass index (BMI) 28.7 ± 5 kg/m2. Diabetes developed in 690 participants (7.3%) during 2.3 years of median follow-up. T2D PGS predicted incident T2D (HR per 1-SD 1.22, 95% CI 1.14-1.32, p < 0.001). The rates of incident T2D in the high and low to intermediate genetic risk categories were 12.1% versus 6.8%, respectively (HR 1.43 95% CI 1.20-1.70, p < 0.001). Notably, high T2D genetic risk had greater predictive strength among individuals with lower HbA1c (P-int = 0.0499) and lower BMI (P-int = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS The T2D polygenic score serves as an independent predictor of incident diabetes, particularly among individuals with lower distribution of traditional risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Filipe A Moura
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Frederick K Kamanu
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Stephen D Wiviott
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Robert P Giugliano
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Miriam S Udler
- Center for Genomic Medicine and Diabetes Unit, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Programs in Metabolism and Medical & Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jose C Florez
- Center for Genomic Medicine and Diabetes Unit, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Programs in Metabolism and Medical & Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Patrick T Ellinor
- Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
- Cardiovascular Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Marc S Sabatine
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Christian T Ruff
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Nicholas A Marston
- TIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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21
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De la Torre K, Min S, Lee H, Kang D. The Application of Preventive Medicine in the Future Digital Health Era. J Med Internet Res 2025; 27:e59165. [PMID: 40053712 PMCID: PMC11907169 DOI: 10.2196/59165] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2024] [Revised: 06/09/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/09/2025] Open
Abstract
A number of seismic shifts are expected to reshape the future of medicine. The global population is rapidly aging, significantly impacting the global disease burden. Medicine is undergoing a paradigm shift, defining and diagnosing diseases at earlier stages and shifting the health care focus from treating diseases to preventing them. The application and purview of digital medicine are expected to broaden significantly. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has further accelerated the shift toward predictive, preventive, personalized, and participatory (P4) medicine, and has identified health care accessibility, affordability, and patient empowerment as core values in the future digital health era. This "left shift" toward preventive care is anticipated to redefine health care, emphasizing health promotion over disease treatment. In the future, the traditional triad of preventive medicine-primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention-will be realized with technologies such as genomics, artificial intelligence, bioengineering and wearable devices, and telemedicine. Breast cancer and diabetes serve as case studies to demonstrate how these technologies such as personalized risk assessment, artificial intelligence-assisted and app-based technologies, have been developed and commercialized to provide personalized preventive care, identifying those at a higher risk and providing instructions and interventions for healthier lifestyles and improved quality of life. Overall, preventive medicine and the use of advanced technology will hold great potential for improving health care outcomes in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katherine De la Torre
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sukhong Min
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyobin Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Daehee Kang
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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Ture N, Emecen AN, Unal B. Validation of the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score and development of a country-specific diabetes prediction model for Turkey. Prim Health Care Res Dev 2025; 26:e18. [PMID: 40007162 PMCID: PMC11883787 DOI: 10.1017/s1463423625000180] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2023] [Revised: 09/14/2024] [Accepted: 01/02/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
AIMS Diabetes is a global health concern, and early identification of high-risk individuals is crucial for preventive interventions. Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) is a widely accepted non-invasive tool that estimates the 10-year diabetes risk. This study aims to validate the FINDRISC in the Turkish population and develop a specific model using data from a nationwide cohort. METHOD The study used data of 12249 participants from the Türkiye Chronic Diseases and Risk Factors Survey. Data included sociodemographic variables, lifestyle factors, and anthropometric measurements. Multivariable logistic regression was employed using FINDRISC variables to predict incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Two country-specific models, one incorporating the waist-to-hip ratio (WHR model) and the other waist circumference (WC model), were developed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was used for variable selection in the final models, and model discrimination indexes were compared. RESULTS The optimal FINDRISC cut-off was 8.5, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76, demonstrating good predictive performance in identifying T2DM cases in the Turkish population. Both WHR and WC models showed similar predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.77). Marital status and education were associated with increased diabetes risk in both country-specific models. CONCLUSION The study found that the FINDRISC tool is effective in predicting the risk of type 2 diabetes in the Turkish population. Models using WHR and WC showed similar predictive performance to FINDRISC. Sociodemographic factors may play a role in diabetes risk. These findings highlight the need to consider population-specific characteristics when evaluating diabetes risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Neslisah Ture
- Ayvacik District of Health Directorate, Canakkale, Turkey
| | - Ahmet Naci Emecen
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health, Epidemiology Subsection, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
| | - Belgin Unal
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health, Epidemiology Subsection, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey
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Faramarzi E, Mehrtabar S, Molani-Gol R, Dastgiri S. The relationship between hepatic enzymes, prediabetes, and diabetes in the Azar cohort population. BMC Endocr Disord 2025; 25:41. [PMID: 39953488 PMCID: PMC11827479 DOI: 10.1186/s12902-025-01871-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2024] [Accepted: 02/06/2025] [Indexed: 02/17/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early prediabetes screening holds immense significance in decreasing the incidence of diabetes. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the association of hepatic enzymes with prediabetes and diabetes in the Azar cohort population in Iran. METHODS This cross-sectional study utilized data from the Azar cohort study, initiated in 2014, with 14,865 participants aged 35-70 years. This study defines prediabetes, according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA), as fasting blood sugar (FBS) of 100-125 mg/dl. An FBS ≥ 126 mg/dL or a history of diabetes indicates diabetes. Serum liver enzymes including alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) were measured, and associations with prediabetes and diabetes were analyzed using binary logistic regression. RESULTS In a study of 14,865 participants, 16% had prediabetes and 14.1% had diabetes. The serum levels of ALT, AST, GGT, and ALP were significantly higher (P < 0.05) in the prediabetic and diabetic patients. The adjusted logistic regression model showed a dose-response increase for all hepatic enzymes, with the highest ORs in the fourth quartile for both prediabetes and diabetes. The highest OR for prediabetes and diabetes was in the fourth GGT quartile. CONCLUSION Our findings suggest that serum ALT, GGT, and ALP levels are strongly associated with prediabetes and diabetes. These hepatic enzymes may be considered easy and valuable early indicators of diabetes risk, prompting timely interventions to slow disease progression.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elnaz Faramarzi
- Liver and Gastrointestinal Diseases Research Center Tabriz, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Saba Mehrtabar
- Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Roghayeh Molani-Gol
- Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
| | - Saeed Dastgiri
- Tabriz Health Services Management Research Center School of Medicine, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
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Cahyaningsih I, Rokhman MR, Sudikno, Postma MJ, van der Schans J. Accuracy of the Modified Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (Modified FINDRISC) for detecting metabolic syndrome: Findings from the Indonesian national health survey. PLoS One 2025; 20:e0314824. [PMID: 39937716 PMCID: PMC11819590 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0314824] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 11/17/2024] [Indexed: 02/14/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the Modified Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (Modified FINDRISC) for detecting individuals with metabolic syndrome in Indonesia. METHODS A dataset from the 2018 Indonesian National Basic Health Survey was analysed, and cases of metabolic syndrome were identified in accordance with both National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III) and International Diabetes Federation (IDF) guidelines. Diagnostic accuracy of the Modified FINDRISC tool was evaluated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC) curve, while optimal cut-off scores were determined by Youden's Index. RESULTS From 25,432 participants, the mean and standard deviation of the Modified FINDRISC score was 5.7 (SD 4.1). The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 32.1% and 24.8% based on NCEP-ATP III and IDF criteria, respectively. Based on NCEP-ATP III criteria alone, the AUC of the Modified FINDRISC was 80.9% (80.3%-81.5%) with 74.0% sensitivity and 75.5% specificity. Similarly, based on IDF criteria, AUC was 88.9% (88.5%-89.3%) with 89.8% sensitivity and 75.8% specificity. The optimal cut-off score was 6 for both criteria, with 41.2% of the total participants above the cut-off who would require further confirmation tests. CONCLUSION Metabolic syndrome is prevalent in Indonesia, and the Modified FINDRISC tool offers good diagnostic accuracy for detecting such cases. Utilising Modified FINDRISC as a first-instance screening modality will reduce the number of people requiring further confirmation tests. Modified FINDRISC has the potential for use in daily clinical practice, and the cost-effectiveness of Modified FINDRISC should be further evaluated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Indriastuti Cahyaningsih
- Department of PharmacoTherapy, Epidemiology and Economics (PTE2), University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
| | - M. Rifqi Rokhman
- Faculty of Pharmacy, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
| | - Sudikno
- Research Center for Public Health and Nutrition, National Research and Innovation Agency, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - Maarten J. Postma
- Department of PharmacoTherapy, Epidemiology and Economics (PTE2), University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Health Sciences, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Jurjen van der Schans
- Department of Health Sciences, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Economics, Econometrics and Finance, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
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Hutchison AL, Rinella ME, Mirmira RG, Parker WF. Development and validation of a multivariable Prediction Model for Pre-diabetes and Diabetes using Easily Obtainable Clinical Data. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2025:2025.02.10.25321897. [PMID: 39990568 PMCID: PMC11844569 DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.10.25321897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2025]
Abstract
Importance In the US, pre-diabetes and diabetes are increasing in prevalence alongside other chronic diseases. Hemoglobin A1c is the most common diagnostic test for diabetes performed in the US, but it has known inaccuracies in the setting of other chronic diseases. Objective To determine if easily obtained clinical data could be used to improve the diagnosis of pre-diabetes and diabetes compared to hemoglobin A1c alone. Design Setting and Participants This cross-sectional study analyzed nationally representative data obtained from six 2-year cycles (2005 to 2006 through 2015 to 2016) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in the US. We excluded participants without hemoglobin A1c, oral glucose tolerance test, or sample weight data. The sample comprised 13,800 survey participants. Data analyses were performed from May 1, 2024 to February 9, 2025. Main Outcomes and Measures We estimated 2-hour glucose from a gradient boosted machine decision tree machine learning model to diagnose pre-diabetes and diabetes as defined by oral glucose tolerance test 2-hour glucose of greater than or equal to 140 mg/dL but less than 200 mg/dL and greater than or equal to 200 mg/dL, respectively. We compared the area-under-the-receiver-operating-curve (AUROC), the calibration, positive predictive value, and the net benefit by decision curve analysis to hemoglobin A1C alone. Results A 20-feature Model outperformed the hemoglobin A1c and fasting plasma glucose for diagnosis, with AUROC improvement from 0.66/0.71 to 0.77 for pre-diabetes and from 0.87/0.88 to 0.91 for diabetes. The Model also had improved positive predictive value compared to the A1c for diagnosis and for net benefit on decision curve analysis. Main features that improved diagnosis of pre-diabetes and diabetes were the standard vitals: age, height, weight, waist circumference, blood pressure, pulse, the fasting labs plasma glucose, insulin, triglycerides, and iron, the non-fasting labs cholesterol, gamma-glutamyl transferase, creatinine, platelet count, segmented neutrophil percentage, urine albumin, and urine creatinine, and the social determinant of health factor Poverty Ratio. Conclusions and Relevance In this cross-sectional study of NHANES participants, we identified risk factors that could be incorporated into the electronic medical record to identify patients with potentially undiagnosed pre-diabetes and diabetes. Implementation could improve diagnosis and lead to earlier intervention on disease before it becomes severe and complications develop. Key Points Question: Can readily-available clinical data improve diagnosis of pre-diabetes and diabetes compared to hemoglobin A1c testing alone?Findings: In this cross-sectional study of 13,800 adults with paired hemoglobin A1c and oral glucose tolerance testing in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, the rate of pre-diabetes undiagnosed by 8.6% and rate of diabetes undiagnosed by the hemoglobin A1c was 3.5%. A novel multivariable prediction model that included fasting plasma glucose, insulin, basic body measurements, and routinely available dyslipidemia and hepatic function labs for was significantly more accurate (AUROC 0.66/0.71 to 0.77 for pre-diabetes, 0.87/0.88 to 0.91 for diabetes) than hemoglobin A1C or fasting plasma glucose alone.Meaning: Incorporation of easily obtainable clinical data can improve diagnosis of pre-diabetes and diabetes compared to hemoglobin A1C alone.
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Molnar D, Björnson E, Hjelmgren O, Adiels M, Bäckhed F, Bergström G. Coronary artery calcifications are not associated with epicardial adipose tissue volume and attenuation on computed tomography in 1,945 individuals with various degrees of glucose disorders. IJC HEART & VASCULATURE 2025; 56:101613. [PMID: 39906627 PMCID: PMC11791301 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2025.101613] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2024] [Revised: 01/10/2025] [Accepted: 01/12/2025] [Indexed: 02/06/2025]
Abstract
Background The quantification of coronary artery calcifications (CAC) is a mainstay in radiological assessment of coronary atherosclerosis and cardiovascular risk, but reflect advanced, possibly late-stage changes in the arteries. Increased volume and changes in attenuation of the epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) on computed tomography (CT) have been linked to adverse cardiovascular events, and these changes in the EAT might reflect earlier stages of the processes leading to clinically manifest atherosclerosis. The relationship between EAT and CAC is subject to a knowledge gap, especially in individuals with no previously known coronary artery disease. Methods Fully automated EAT analysis with an artificial intelligence-based model was performed in a population sample enriched for pre-diabetics, comprising a total of 1,945 individuals aged 50-64 years, where non-contrast CT images, anthropometric and laboratory data was available on established cardiovascular risk factors. Uni- and multivariable linear regression, gradient-boosting and correlation analyses were performed to determine the explanatory value of EAT volume and attenuation data with regards to CAC data. Results Neither EAT volume nor EAT attenuation was associated with the presence or severity of CAC, when adjusting for established cardiovascular risk factors, and had only weak explanatory value in gradient-boosting and correlation analyses. Age was the strongest predictor of CAC in both sexes. Conclusion No independent association was found between CAC and total EAT volume or attenuation. Importantly, these findings do not rule out early stage or local effects on coronary atherosclerosis from the EAT immediately surrounding the coronary arteries.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Molnar
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Radiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Elias Björnson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Ola Hjelmgren
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Pediatric Heart Centre, Queen Silvia Childreńs Hospital, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Martin Adiels
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Fredrik Bäckhed
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Physiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Göran Bergström
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Physiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
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Cabrera-Rode E, Díaz-Díaz O, Orlandi González N, Ronald M. FINDRISC modified for Cuba as a tool for the detection of prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes in cuban population. Rev Peru Med Exp Salud Publica 2025; 41:351-364. [PMID: 39936758 PMCID: PMC11797583 DOI: 10.17843/rpmesp.2024.414.14138] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2024] [Accepted: 10/23/2024] [Indexed: 02/13/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Motivation for the study. There is an increase in obesity and diabetes mellitus cases in Cuba, so it is necessary to provide easy to use, fast and inexpensive tools for the identification of people with dysglycemia. Main findings. For the first time in CUBA, the optimal cut-off point for FINDRISC, LA-FINDRISC and modified FINDRISC for Cuba (CUBDRISC) questionnaires was established with its own anthropometric parameters to identify people with dysglycemia. Implications. The use of the CUBDRISC scale as a simple, fast and low-cost tool for the active screening of people with dysglycemia in Cuban population will be useful to establish timely intervention strategies for people with risk score to develop dysglycemia. OBJECTIVES. To evaluate the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) modified for Cuba as a tool for the detection of prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes in Cuban population. MATERIALS AND METHODS. An analytical cross-sectional and secondary source epidemiological study was conducted in 3737 adults aged 19 years and older with at least one risk factor for diabetes, they did not have previous diagnosis of prediabetes and diabetes mellitus and underwent oral glucose tolerance test for the diagnosis of dysglycemia. We applied the FINDRISC and the FINDRISC modified for Latin America (LA-FINDRISC) and Cuba (CUBDRISC), each with their own anthropometric parameters. The ROC curve was used to establish the cut-off point of each scale for the diagnosis of dysglycemia. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values and likelihood ratios were calculated. The concordance between scales was calculated with Cohen's Kappa coefficient. RESULTS. We found that 34.5% (n=1289) of the subjects were diagnosed with dysglycemia (28.1% had prediabetes and 6.4% had type 2 diabetes without previous diagnosis). The LA-FINDRISC and CUBDRISC scales showed an almost perfect concordance with the FINDRISC scale for the different cut-off values from 11 to 16 (0.882-0.890 and 0.910-0.922, respectively). The optimal cutoff point for detecting persons with dysglycemia was ≥ 13 for the FINDRISC and CUBDRISC scales (sensitivity was 63.6% and 61.6%; specificity was 84.3% and 86.0%, respectively) and ≥11 for LA-FINDRISC (sensitivity 58.0% and specificity 88.0%). CONCLUSIONS. We found almost perfect concordance between the diabetes risk scales. The FINDRISC score modified for Cuba proved to be a useful tool to identify persons with prediabetes and diabetes with a cut-off point of 13 in a Cuban population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo Cabrera-Rode
- Instituto de Endocrinología, Universidad de Ciencias Médicas de La Habana, La Habana, Cuba
| | - Oscar Díaz-Díaz
- Instituto de Endocrinología, Universidad de Ciencias Médicas de La Habana, La Habana, Cuba
| | | | - Mohan Ronald
- Instituto de Endocrinología, Universidad de Ciencias Médicas de La Habana, La Habana, Cuba
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Wang J, Chen J, Liu Y, Xu J. Use of the FHTHWA Index as a Novel Approach for Predicting the Incidence of Diabetes in a Japanese Population Without Diabetes: Data Analysis Study. JMIR Med Inform 2025; 13:e64992. [PMID: 39881429 PMCID: PMC11793195 DOI: 10.2196/64992] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2024] [Revised: 11/14/2024] [Accepted: 11/17/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Many tools have been developed to predict the risk of diabetes in a population without diabetes; however, these tools have shortcomings that include the omission of race, inclusion of variables that are not readily available to patients, and low sensitivity or specificity. Objective We aimed to develop and validate an easy, systematic index for predicting diabetes risk in the Asian population. Methods We collected the data from the NAGALA (NAfld [nonalcoholic fatty liver disease] in the Gifu Area, Longitudinal Analysis) database. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was used to select potentially relevant features. Multiple Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to develop a model based on the training set. Results The final study population of 15464 participants had a mean age of 42 (range 18-79) years; 54.5% (8430) were men. The mean follow-up duration was 6.05 (SD 3.78) years. A total of 373 (2.41%) participants showed progression to diabetes during the follow-up period. Then, we established a novel parameter (the FHTHWA index), to evaluate the incidence of diabetes in a population without diabetes, comprising 6 parameters based on the training set. After multivariable adjustment, individuals in tertile 3 had a significantly higher rate of diabetes compared with those in tertile 1 (hazard ratio 32.141, 95% CI 11.545-89.476). Time receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed that the FHTHWA index had high accuracy, with the area under the curve value being around 0.9 during the more than 12 years of follow-up. Conclusions This research successfully developed a diabetes risk assessment index tailored for the Japanese population by utilizing an extensive dataset and a wide range of indices. By categorizing the diabetes risk levels among Japanese individuals, this study offers a novel predictive tool for identifying potential patients, while also delivering valuable insights into diabetes prevention strategies for the healthy Japanese populace.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiao Wang
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Jianrong Chen
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Ying Liu
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
| | - Jixiong Xu
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
- Jiangxi Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Disease, Nanchang, China
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Jin Z, Rothwell J, Lim KK. Screening for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review of Recent Economic Evaluations. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2025:S1098-3015(25)00019-1. [PMID: 39880196 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2025.01.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2024] [Revised: 01/05/2025] [Accepted: 01/08/2025] [Indexed: 01/31/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine recent economic evaluations and understand whether any type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) screening designs may represent better value for money and to rate their methodological qualities. METHODS We systematically searched 3 concepts (economic evaluations [EEs], T2DM, screening) in 5 databases (Medline, Embase, EconLit, Web of Science, and Cochrane) for EEs published between 2010 and 2023. Two independent reviewers screened for and rated their methodological quality (using the Consensus on Health Economics Criteria Checklist-Extended). RESULTS Of 32 EEs, a majority were from high-income countries (69%). Half used single biomarkers (50%) to screen adults ≥30 to <60 years old (60%) but did not report locations (69%), treatments for those diagnosed (66%), diagnostic methods (57%), or screening intervals (54%). Compared with no screening, T2DM screening using single biomarkers was found to be not cost-effective (23/54 comparisons), inconclusive (16/54), dominant (11/54), or cost-effective (4/54). Compared with no screening, screening with a risk score and single biomarkers was found to be cost-effective (21/40) or dominant (19/40). The risk score alone was mostly dominant (6/10). Compared with universal screening, targeted screening among obese, overweight, or older people may be cost-effective or dominant. Compared with fasting plasma glucose or fasting capillary glucose, screening using risk scores was found to be mostly dominant or cost-effective. Expanding screening locations or lowering HbA1c or fasting plasma glucose thresholds was found to be dominant or cost-effective. Each EE had 4 to 17 items (median 13/20) on Consensus on Health Economics Criteria Checklist-Extended rated "Yes/Rather Yes." CONCLUSIONS EE findings varied based on screening tools, intervals, locations, minimum screening age, diagnostic methods, and treatment. Future EEs should more comprehensively report screening designs and evaluate T2DM screening in low-income countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zixuan Jin
- School of Life Course & Population Sciences, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine/MPH Graduate, King's College London, London, England, UK
| | - Joshua Rothwell
- GKT School of Medical Education, Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine/MBBS Student, King's College London, London, England, UK; Department of Radiology, School of Clinical Medicine/PhD Student, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, England, UK
| | - Ka Keat Lim
- Health Economics and Policy Research Unit, Wolfson Institute of Population Health/Lecturer in Health Economics, Queen Mary University of London, London, England, UK; School of Life Course & Population Sciences, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine/Visiting Lecturer, King's College London, London, England, UK.
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Nölken K, Linseisen J, Raake P, Meisinger C, Schmitz T. Diabetes mellitus risk in post-myocardial infarction patients: FINDRISC versus self-assessment-a cross sectional study. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2025; 24:23. [PMID: 39827106 PMCID: PMC11743004 DOI: 10.1186/s12933-024-02551-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of this study was to investigate the difference between perceived and calculated diabetes risks among post-myocardial infarction (AMI) patients using the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC). METHODS The study population includes individuals from the Myocardial Infarction Registry in Augsburg, Germany, who had not been previously diagnosed with diabetes and who received a postal follow-up questionnaire after hospital discharge. A total of 466 participants completed the questionnaire, which collected information on age, sex, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, physical activity, eating habits, use of antihypertensive medication, previous hyperglycemia, and family history of diabetes. These factors are components of the FINDRISC score, which estimates the likelihood of developing diabetes within the next 10 years. Furthermore, the participants were asked, how they would rate their personal risk to develop diabetes. The analysis focused on determining how many post-AMI patients correctly estimated their diabetes risk compared to the risk calculated by the FINDRISC score. Furthermore, multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze determinants associated with risk underestimation. RESULTS Results showed that a significant proportion of the AMI population (58%) underestimated their diabetes risk. This underestimation was significantly associated with older age, higher BMI, greater waist circumference, elevated blood glucose levels, use of antihypertensive medication and a family history of diabetes. Higher education contributed to more accurate risk perception. CONCLUSION This study contributes to the understanding of diabetes risk perception in AMI patients and highlights the need for improving diabetes risk awareness through targeted education and healthcare communication interventions. These efforts can help patients understand their health risks, which improves health outcomes and preventive care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karianne Nölken
- Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany.
- Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), Faculty of Medicine, LMU, Munich, Germany.
- Pettenkofer School of Public Health, Munich, Germany.
| | - Jakob Linseisen
- Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
- Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), Faculty of Medicine, LMU, Munich, Germany
| | - Philip Raake
- Department of Cardiology, Respiratory Medicine and Intensive Care, University Hospital Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | | | - Timo Schmitz
- Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
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Ji L, Zhang J. Complex interactions and composite burden of risk factors in vascular cognitive impairment. J Neurol Sci 2025; 468:123367. [PMID: 39733713 DOI: 10.1016/j.jns.2024.123367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2024] [Revised: 11/23/2024] [Accepted: 12/22/2024] [Indexed: 12/31/2024]
Abstract
Vascular cognitive impairment (VCI) stresses the vascular contributions to cognitive decline, ranging from mild to major forms. Except for symptomatic treatment for relevant vascular diseases, the other recommended strategy is to intervene in key vascular risk factors (VRFs) as early as possible. A considerable amount of previous research delineated the association of a specific factor with dementia, involving each risk factor discussed in the present review. However, due to the heterogeneity and complexity of VCI, managing a single factor is insufficient to reduce its incidence and prevalence. Ongoing studies suggest differences in the impact of various combinations of risk factors on dementia. Here in this review, we aimed to provide an updated overview of clinical evidence and implications of complex interactions among various risk factors of VCI, including common VRFs and modifiable dementia-related risk factors. Understating the effect of comorbid risk factors on VCI and underlying mechanisms of them during VCI progression is essential for identifying high-risk population and developing preventive strategies. Furthermore, we summarized common composite risk scores and models used for risk evaluation and prediction of VCI, involving conventional risk scores, subclinical vascular composites, and novel risk models driven by intelligent algorithms. Lastly, we discussed potential gaps and research directions on searching specific clinical risk profiles, constructing effective risk scores, and implementing targeted risk interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linna Ji
- Department of Neurology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Junjian Zhang
- Department of Neurology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
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Steinfeldt J, Wild B, Buergel T, Pietzner M, Upmeier Zu Belzen J, Vauvelle A, Hegselmann S, Denaxas S, Hemingway H, Langenberg C, Landmesser U, Deanfield J, Eils R. Medical history predicts phenome-wide disease onset and enables the rapid response to emerging health threats. Nat Commun 2025; 16:585. [PMID: 39794311 PMCID: PMC11724087 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55879-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2024] [Accepted: 01/02/2025] [Indexed: 01/13/2025] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic exposed a global deficiency of systematic, data-driven guidance to identify high-risk individuals. Here, we illustrate the utility of routinely recorded medical history to predict the risk for 1741 diseases across clinical specialties and support the rapid response to emerging health threats such as COVID-19. We developed a neural network to learn from health records of 502,489 UK Biobank participants. Importantly, we observed discriminative improvements over basic demographic predictors for 1546 (88.8%) endpoints. After transferring the unmodified risk models to the All of US cohort, we replicated these improvements for 1115 (78.9%) of 1414 investigated endpoints, demonstrating generalizability across healthcare systems and historically underrepresented groups. Ultimately, we showed how this approach could have been used to identify individuals vulnerable to severe COVID-19. Our study demonstrates the potential of medical history to support guidance for emerging pandemics by systematically estimating risk for thousands of diseases at once at minimal cost.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jakob Steinfeldt
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité (DHZC), Berlin, Germany
- Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Klinik/Centrum, Berlin, Germany
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Friede Springer Cardiovascular Prevention Center@Charite, Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK
| | - Benjamin Wild
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK
- Center for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Thore Buergel
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK
- Center for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Maik Pietzner
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Precision Health University Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London and Barts NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Julius Upmeier Zu Belzen
- Center for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Andre Vauvelle
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Stefan Hegselmann
- Institute for Medical Engineering and Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, USA
- Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis Lab, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
| | - Spiros Denaxas
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
- British Heart Foundation Data Science Centre, London, UK
- Health Data Research UK, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research, Biomedical Research Centre at University College London Hospitals, London, UK
| | - Harry Hemingway
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
- Health Data Research UK, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research, Biomedical Research Centre at University College London Hospitals, London, UK
| | - Claudia Langenberg
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Precision Health University Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London and Barts NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Ulf Landmesser
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité (DHZC), Berlin, Germany
- Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Klinik/Centrum, Berlin, Germany
- Friede Springer Cardiovascular Prevention Center@Charite, Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Berlin, Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - John Deanfield
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK
| | - Roland Eils
- Center for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite - University Medicine Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
- Health Data Science Unit, Heidelberg University Hospital and BioQuant, Heidelberg, Germany.
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Robledo KP, Marschner IC, Grossmann M, Handelsman DJ, Yeap BB, Allan CA, Foote C, Inder WJ, Stuckey BGA, Jesudason D, Bracken K, Keech AC, Jenkins AJ, Gebski V, Jardine M, Wittert G. Predicting type 2 diabetes and testosterone effects in high-risk Australian men: development and external validation of a 2-year risk model. Eur J Endocrinol 2025; 192:15-24. [PMID: 39720906 DOI: 10.1093/ejendo/lvae166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2024] [Revised: 11/13/2024] [Accepted: 12/21/2024] [Indexed: 12/26/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We have shown that men aged 50 years+ at high risk of type 2 diabetes treated with testosterone together with a lifestyle program reduced the risk of type 2 diabetes at 2 years by 40% compared to a lifestyle program alone. To develop a personalized approach to treatment, we aimed to explore a prognostic model for incident type 2 diabetes at 2 years and investigate biomarkers predictive of the testosterone effect. DESIGN Model development in 783 men with impaired glucose tolerance but not type 2 diabetes from Testosterone for Prevention of Type 2 Diabetes; a multicenter, 2-year trial of Testosterone vs placebo. External validation performed in 236 men from the Examining Outcomes in Chronic Disease in the 45 and Up Study (EXTEND-45, n = 267 357). METHODS Type 2 diabetes at 2 years defined as 2-h fasting glucose by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) ≥11.1 mmol/L. Risk factors, including predictive biomarkers of testosterone treatment, were assessed using penalized logistic regression. RESULTS Baseline HbA1c and 2-h OGTT glucose were dominant predictors, together with testosterone, age, and an interaction between testosterone and HbA1c (P = .035, greater benefit with HbA1c ≥ 5.6%, 38 mmol/mol). The final model identified men who developed type 2 diabetes, with C-statistics 0.827 in development and 0.798 in validation. After recalibration, the model accurately predicted a participant's absolute risk of type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS Baseline HbA1c and 2-h OGTT glucose predict incident type 2 diabetes at 2 years in high-risk men, with risk modified independently by testosterone treatment. Men with HbA1c ≥ 5.6% (38 mmol/mol) benefit most from testosterone treatment, beyond a lifestyle program.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kristy P Robledo
- NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Locked bag 77, Camperdown, NSW 1450, Australia
| | - Ian C Marschner
- NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Locked bag 77, Camperdown, NSW 1450, Australia
| | - Mathis Grossmann
- Department of Endocrinology, Austin Hospital, Heidelberg, VIC 3084, Australia
- Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia
| | - David J Handelsman
- Andrology Laboratory, ANZAC Research Institute, University of Sydney, Concord, NSW 2139, Australia
- Andrology Department, Concord Hospital, Concord, NSW 2139, Australia
| | - Bu B Yeap
- Medical School, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA 6009, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology and Diabetes, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, WA 6150, Australia
| | - Carolyn A Allan
- Centre for Endocrinology and Metabolism, Hudson Institute of Medical Research, Clayton, VIC 3168, Australia
- School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia
| | - Celine Foote
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
| | - Warrick J Inder
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, QLD 4102, Australia
- Medical School, University of Queensland, Herston, QLD 4029, Australia
| | - Bronwyn G A Stuckey
- Keogh Institute for Medical Research, Nedlands, WA 6009, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology and Diabetes, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Nedlands, WA 6009, Australia
- Medical School, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA 6009, Australia
| | - David Jesudason
- School of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia
- Endocrinology Unit, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woodville South, SA 5011, Australia
| | - Karen Bracken
- Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW 2006, Australia
| | - Anthony C Keech
- NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Locked bag 77, Camperdown, NSW 1450, Australia
| | - Alicia J Jenkins
- Diabetes and Vascular Medicine, Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia
| | - Val Gebski
- NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Locked bag 77, Camperdown, NSW 1450, Australia
| | - Meg Jardine
- NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Locked bag 77, Camperdown, NSW 1450, Australia
| | - Gary Wittert
- Freemasons Centre for Male Health and Wellbeing, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, North Terrace, SA 5000, Australia
- Medical School, University of Adelaide, North Terrace, Adelaide 5000, Australia
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Akeren Z, Apaydın E. Metabolic syndrome index measurement tool (MSI): scale development, reliability and validity study. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:51. [PMID: 39762795 PMCID: PMC11705882 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-21304-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2024] [Accepted: 01/03/2025] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
AIM Identifying the risks of metabolic syndrome (MetS) can lead to early targeted interventions and thus contribute to improved quality of life by reducing the risk of developing MetS, diabetes or heart disease in the future. We aimed to develop a valid and reliable measurement tool to measure the MetS risk of the population. MATERIALS AND METHODS In the methodological study, an item pool was created by reviewing the literature. Pre-application was performed after the weighting of the items whose content validity was ensured by taking expert opinions. Data were collected from 43 patients with MetS from a state hospital affiliated to the Ministry of Health and 405 individuals without MetS from the community, from a total of 448 individuals using the Individual Information Form, Finnish Diabetes Risk Scale (FINDRISC) and Metabolic Syndrome Index (MSI). The data obtained were evaluated using SPSS 22.0 and MedCalc 19.1 statistical programmes. Scale discrimination was analyzed by independent samples t-test between the upper and lower 27% groups. The cut-off point of the scale score in predicting the diagnosis of MetS was tested by ROC analysis. Correlation analysis was performed with the parallel form for criterion validity. RESULTS As a result of the ROC analysis, a perfectly compatible scale with a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 85.43% and a cut-off score of 48 was obtained. When the correlation analyses between MSI and FINDRISC scores were examined for criterion validity, a positive moderate (r = 0.632, p < 0.001) correlation was found between FINDRISC and MSI. When the discrimination of the scale was analysed, it was found that there was a significant difference between the lower 27% and upper 27% groups (p < 0.05) and it was revealed that the MSI made sensitive measurements to discriminate. CONCLUSIONS The MSI scale is a valid and reliable tool for early detection of MetS risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zahide Akeren
- Nursing Department, Bayburt University Health Sciences Faculty, Bayburt, 69000, Turkey.
| | - Emine Apaydın
- Vocational School of Health Services, Medical Services and Techniques Department, First and Emergency Aid Programme, Bayburt University, Bayburt, 69000, Turkey
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Shoukat N, Zahir I, Khalid N. Modified risk calculator for the Pakistani population based on perceived versus actual risk factors for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus. NUTRITION & FOOD SCIENCE 2025; 55:438-455. [DOI: 10.1108/nfs-04-2024-0139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2025]
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study was to develop the modified risk calculator for the Pakistani population based on differences in perceived versus actual risk factors for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2-DM).
Design/methodology/approach
A cross-sectional study design was developed to assess the study sample of 296 individuals from the Pakistani population. The data was collected using a questionnaire divided into three parts: general health, the validated Risk Perception Survey for Developing Diabetes (RPS-DD) and actual T2-DM risk assessment.
Findings
The study findings showed that among the total participants, 70.27% reported a low perceived risk of developing T2-DM, whereas 29.72% reported a high perceived risk when considering their family history. Regarding actual risk, males showed a 59% higher likelihood of developing T2-DM than females, who have a 50% higher risk. The modified calculator includes physical activity, fatty food consumption, age 34–65 and over 65, depression and artificially sweetened beverages.
Research limitations/implications
This study experienced limited representativeness; many participants provided incomplete nutritional and knowledge information. It involved 296 individuals, mostly from one province and a few from other provinces of Pakistan. Therefore, the results can be generalized to the whole Pakistani population.
Practical implications
This study underscores the need for targeted interventions to enhance risk perception, inform preventive strategies and further investigate the interplay between perceived and actual risks in T2-DM in Pakistan.
Social implications
The outcomes of this study can help Pakistani individuals who perceive themselves at an elevated risk of developing T2-DM. There is a general awareness among the Pakistani population regarding T2-DM. In contrast to perceived risk, the data on actual risk reveals a significant disconnect.
Originality/value
In Pakistan, there is a lack of research on perceived versus actual risk factors for developing T2-DM. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that evaluates the actual risk factors of developing T2-DM based on culture and dietary diversity in Pakistan.
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Karakaya RE, Elibol E. The relationship between sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, and diet quality with diabetes risk in overweight and obese Turkish adults. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:5. [PMID: 39748361 PMCID: PMC11697460 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-21248-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2024] [Accepted: 12/30/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Obesity and certain associated environmental factors increase the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This research aims to evaluate the relationship between sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, and diet quality with diabetes risk in overweight and obese Turkish adults. METHODS A questionnaire form including sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, body weight and height was applied. Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) tool was used to identify the risk of T2DM. Dietary assessments were made by 24 h dietary recall and diet quality was evaluated by Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015). RESULTS According to FINDRISC score, 38.1% of adults were at mild risk, 21.9% were at moderate risk, and 20.9% were at high risk. In regression model, factors such as low educational level, being married, being employed, smoking, and the presence of comorbidities were found to increase the risk of developing diabetes. Each unit decline in HEI-2015, the risk of diabetes increased by a factor of 0.983. CONCLUSIONS Sociodemographic factors, lifestyle, and diet quality significantly contribute to the increased risk of diabetes in overweight and obese Turkish adults. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov with number NCT06614075 and registration date of 26 September 2024, retrospectively registered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rahime Evra Karakaya
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Ankara, Turkey.
| | - Emine Elibol
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Ankara, Turkey
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Laghrib Y, Hilbrands L, Oniscu GC, Crespo M, Gandolfini I, Mariat C, Mjøen G, Sever MS, Watschinger B, Velioglu A, Demir E, Martinez EG, De Weerd A, Dedinska I, Pippias M, Massart A, Abramowicz D, de Fijter JW, De Block C, Hellemans R. Current practices in prevention, screening, and treatment of diabetes in kidney transplant recipients: European survey highlights from the ERA DESCARTES Working Group. Clin Kidney J 2025; 18:sfae367. [PMID: 39839808 PMCID: PMC11747291 DOI: 10.1093/ckj/sfae367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2024] [Indexed: 01/23/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Although post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a common complication after kidney transplantation, there are few data on prevention, optimal screening, and treatment strategies. Methods The European Renal Association's DESCARTES working group distributed a web-based survey to European transplant centres to gather information on risk assessment, screening procedures, and management practices for preventing and treating PTDM in kidney transplant recipients. Results Answers were obtained from 121/241 transplant centres (50%) across 15 European countries. Screening practices for diabetes mellitus during the transplant work-up varied, with only 13% of centres using the recommended oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and 14% not screening at all. At transplantation, 19% of centres tailored the immunosuppressive regimen based on perceived PTDM risk, using strategies such as cyclosporin use or early steroid withdrawal. Fifty-two percent adopted strict glycaemic control with basal insulin in the first days post-transplant. Sixty-eight percent had defined screening protocols for early PTDM (45 days-6 months), primarily based on fasting glycaemia and/or HbA1c, while only a minority (7%) incorporated an OGTT. Changes in immunosuppression were considered by 41% in cases of early hyperglycaemia (<45 days) and by 58% in established PTDM (>45 days). Besides insulin therapy, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors and metformin were most frequently used to manage early hyperglycaemia (<45 days) and PTDM (>45 days). The use of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-analogues increased >45 days post-transplantation. Conclusion This European survey underscores the significant variation in PTDM prevention, screening, and treatment practices, emphasizing the imperative for more explicit guidance in approaching this complication.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yassine Laghrib
- Department of Nephrology-Hypertension, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
| | - Luuk Hilbrands
- Department of Nephrology, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands
| | - Gabriel C Oniscu
- Transplant Division, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Marta Crespo
- Department of Nephrology, Hospital del Mar Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Ilaria Gandolfini
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, Parma, Italy
- Nephrology Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy
| | - Christophe Mariat
- Service de Néphrologie, Dialyse et Transplantation Rénale, Hôpital Nord, CHU de Saint-Etienne, France
| | | | - Mehmet Sukru Sever
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Bruno Watschinger
- Department of Nephrology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Arzu Velioglu
- Marmara University, School of Medicine, Department of Nephrology, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Erol Demir
- Transplant Immunology Research Centre of Excellence, Koç University Hospital, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | | | - Annelies De Weerd
- Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC Transplant Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Ivana Dedinska
- Transplant Centre, University Hospital Martin, Martin, Slovakia
| | - Maria Pippias
- North Bristol NHS Trust, Renal Unit, Bristol, UK
- Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Annick Massart
- Department of Nephrology-Hypertension, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
| | - Daniel Abramowicz
- Department of Nephrology-Hypertension, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
| | - Johan Willem de Fijter
- Department of Nephrology-Hypertension, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
| | - Christophe De Block
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
- Endocrinology, Diabetology & Metabolism, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
| | - Rachel Hellemans
- Department of Nephrology-Hypertension, Antwerp University Hospital, Edegem, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine & Health Sciences, Laboratory of Experimental Medicine and Paediatrics (LEMP), University of Antwerp, Wilrijk, Belgium
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DuBois KE, Delgado-Díaz DC, McGrievy M, Valafar H, Monroe C, Wilcox S, Turner-McGrievy G. The Mobile lifestyle intervention for food and exercise (mLife) study: Protocol of a remote behavioral weight loss randomized clinical trial for type 2 diabetes prevention. Contemp Clin Trials 2025; 148:107735. [PMID: 39522630 DOI: 10.1016/j.cct.2024.107735] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2024] [Revised: 10/28/2024] [Accepted: 11/04/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Emerging research has examined electronic and mobile health (e/mHealth) technologies for weight loss and manage of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but few studies have focused specifically on ways to target social support behaviors that have proven to be effective. While gamifying an mHealth behavioral weight loss intervention holds promise to promote and sustain social support, there has been very little research in this area. The mobile Lifestyle Intervention for Food and Exercise study (mLife) was designed to test if receiving points for social support is an effective way to promote sustained weight loss. OBJECTIVE To describe the design of the 12-month mLife study, a randomized clinical trial, which compares the differential long-term effect of a behavioral weight loss program with and without gamification among adults with overweight or obesity. METHODS Participants (target N = 240) in two consecutive cohorts were randomized to either the mLife+points or mLife group. The weight loss intervention for both groups included diet and physical activity (PA) recommendations, education, daily diet logging, visualization of PA and body weight readings captured with a wearable tracker and e-scale, and facilitation of social interaction among participants. The mLife+points group earned points for social support activities. Remote follow-up assessments of weight, anthropometric measures, diet (24 h dietary recalls), PA, social support provision, receipt and enjoyment, factors driving self-monitoring adherence and study compliance/responsiveness occurred at 6 and 12-months post-baseline. CONCLUSION The mLife study informs the expansion of gamification within mHealth programs to enhance social support provision and receipt during weight loss. TRIAL REGISTRATION This study was registered on clintrials.gov on the 30th of October 2017, under the trial registration number: NCT05176847.
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Affiliation(s)
- K E DuBois
- Prevention Research Center, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America.
| | - D C Delgado-Díaz
- Prevention Research Center, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America
| | - M McGrievy
- Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America
| | - H Valafar
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Molinaroli College of Engineering and Computing, University of South Carolina, 2203 Storey Innovation Center, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America
| | - C Monroe
- Department of Health Promotion, Education, and Behavior, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 915 Greene Street, Columbia, SC 29208, USA
| | - S Wilcox
- Prevention Research Center, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America; Department of Exercise Science, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America
| | - G Turner-McGrievy
- Prevention Research Center, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208, United States of America; Department of Health Promotion, Education, and Behavior, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, 915 Greene Street, Columbia, SC 29208, USA
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Prasad K, Hegde S, Rao S, D'souza RK, George T, Suresh S, Baliga MS. Usefulness of Indian Diabetes Risk Score in Predicting Treatment-Induced Hyperglycemia in Women Undergoing Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer. South Asian J Cancer 2025; 14:4-14. [PMID: 40124160 PMCID: PMC11925627 DOI: 10.1055/s-0043-1775805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/25/2025] Open
Abstract
In the curative treatment of cancer with adjuvant chemotherapy, antineoplastic drugs, along with glucocorticoids, can induce hyperglycemia. The objective of this study was to assess the utility of the Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) in predicting treatment-induced hyperglycemia in women who were nondiabetic and normoglycemic at the start of chemotherapy. This prospective study was conducted with nondiabetic women who required adjuvant chemotherapy. Participants voluntarily completed the IDRS, providing information on age, waist circumference, family history of diabetes, and physical activity. Chemotherapy-induced hyperglycemia was defined as fasting blood glucose levels ≥100 mg/dL or random blood glucose levels ≥140 mg/dL during treatment. Data were categorized into women who developed hyperglycemia and those who remained normoglycemic during treatment and were analyzed using Fisher's exact test. A significance level of p < 0.05 was applied. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to validate the IDRS for predicting hyperglycemia. A total of 208 women met the inclusion criteria and participated in the study. The results revealed that 38.93% (81/208) developed hyperglycemia by the end of chemotherapy, as observed during their first follow-up after treatment. Fisher's exact test demonstrated a significant difference in the total IDRS score and its domains, including family history, physical activity, and waist circumference ( p = 0.017-< 0.001), but not age. ROC analysis indicated that an IDRS score above 60 increased the likelihood of developing hyperglycemia, with a sensitivity of 81.3%, specificity of 54.7%, and an area under the curve of 0.727. These findings suggest that the IDRS is a sensitive tool for predicting adjuvant chemotherapy-induced hyperglycemia in breast cancer patients without diabetes. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the utility of the IDRS in predicting treatment-induced hyperglycemia in women undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer. Ongoing efforts are focused on understanding the underlying mechanisms and strategies for mitigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Krishna Prasad
- Department of Medical Oncology, Mangalore Institute of Oncology, Mangaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Sanath Hegde
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Mangalore Institute of Oncology, Mangaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Suresh Rao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Mangalore Institute of Oncology, Mangaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Rhea Katherine D'souza
- Department of Research, Research Unit, Mangalore Institute of Oncology, Mangaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Thomas George
- Department of Research, Research Unit, Mangalore Institute of Oncology, Mangaluru, Karnataka, India
| | - Sucharitha Suresh
- Department of Community Medicine, Father Muller Medical College, Mangalore, Karnataka, India
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Lizarzaburu-Robles JC, Garro-Mendiola A, Lazo-Porras M, Sanz-Pastor AG, Vento F, Lorenzo O. Assessment of 1-Hour Postload Plasma Glucose, the Metabolic Syndrome, and the Finish Diabetes Risk Score in the Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes. Endocr Pract 2024; 30:1134-1140. [PMID: 39332500 DOI: 10.1016/j.eprac.2024.09.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2024] [Revised: 08/31/2024] [Accepted: 09/16/2024] [Indexed: 09/29/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare the 1-hour postload glucose (1h-PG) value of an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with the metabolic syndrome (MetS) and the Finish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) in patients with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) to predict type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS A cohort study was conducted in patients at a general hospital in Lima, Perú. An OGTT was performed in subjects with IFG who were followed-up for 7 years for T2DM development. The exposure variables were 1h-PG ≥ 155 mg/dL, MetS, and a FINDRISC ≥ 13 points, and the outcome was the presence of T2DM. The relative risk, confidence interval, and area under the curve (AUROC) were also estimated. RESULTS Among 324 subjects with IFG, 218 completed the 7-year follow-up. The mean age was 56.2 ± 11.5 years, 64.0% were woman, and 63.8% were overweight/obese. Of these, 36.8% had 1h-PG ≥ 155 mg/dL and normal glucose tolerance, 66.8% had MetS, and 64.5% had FINDRISC ≥ 13 points. After 7 years, 21.1% of participants developed T2DM, with 68.8% of them who had 1h-PG ≥ 155 mg/dL (P < .001), 62.2% had MetS (P = .013), and 67.9% had FINDRISC ≥ 13 (P = .68). After adjusting by age, sex, and body mass index, the relative risk was 3.52 (1.64-7.54; 95% CI), 1.81 (0.96-3.38; 95% CI), and 1.17 (0.51-2.70; 95% CI) for each exposure variable, respectively. Also, the AUROC was 0.72 (0.60-0.83), 0.63 (0.51-0.75), and 0.51 (0.38-0.63) (P = .01), respectively. CONCLUSION By performing an OGTT in patients with IFG, an 1h-PG ≥ 155 mg/dL value may be helpful to predict T2DM at 7 years better than the use of MetS or the FINDRISC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Carlos Lizarzaburu-Robles
- Endocrinology Unit, Hospital Central de la Fuerza Aérea del Perú (HCFAP), Lima, Perú; Doctorate Program in Medicine and Surgery, Escuela de Doctorado Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
| | - Alonso Garro-Mendiola
- Endocrinology Unit, Hospital Central de la Fuerza Aérea del Perú (HCFAP), Lima, Perú
| | - María Lazo-Porras
- CRONICAS Center of Excellence in Chronic Disease, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| | | | - Flor Vento
- Endocrinology Unit, Hospital Central de la Fuerza Aérea del Perú (HCFAP), Lima, Perú
| | - Oscar Lorenzo
- Laboratory of Diabetes and Vascular Pathology, IIS-Fundación Jiménez Díaz, Universidad Autónoma, Madrid, Spain; Biomedical Research Network on Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Disorders (CIBERDEM), Carlos III National Health Institute, Madrid, Spain
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Aditya Jadhav R, Arun Maiya G, Umakanth S, Shivashankara K. External validation of Prediabetes Risk Test in Indian population for screening prediabetes. Med J Armed Forces India 2024; 80:S107-S112. [PMID: 39734854 PMCID: PMC11670613 DOI: 10.1016/j.mjafi.2022.11.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2022] [Accepted: 11/05/2022] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Prediabetes Risk Test (PRT) has been found valid in the Western population for screening prediabetes. However, ethnicity, race, geographical and other biological characteristics have been linked to the development of prediabetes. There is a dearth of literature on the external validity of PRT in the Indian population. So, the objective of this study was to assess the external validity of the PRT in the Indian population for screening prediabetes. Methods The study contained 522 participants aged between 18 and 60 years. The medical history, physical activity level and anthropometric measures were assessed. Prediabetes was diagnosed using fasting blood sugar and HbA1C levels. External validation of PRT was performed using specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio. The receiver operating curve was plotted to identify the optimum cut-off value for Indians. Results The study found that the sensitivity of PRT was 48.1%, specificity 95.5%, positive predictive value 66.1% and negative predictive value 90.9% for screening prediabetes in the Indian population. Receiver operating curve analysis revealed that the optimum cut-off of PRT was around 3 for Indians. Conclusion The results showed that PRT might not be useful in the Indian population to identify the true positives of prediabetes as it has a sensitivity of 48.1%. However, it can be helpful to identify the true negatives as the specificity is 95.5%. Further study is required to modify PRT for the Indian context to make it more appropriate for the Indian population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Radhika Aditya Jadhav
- PhD Scholar, Centre for Diabetic Foot Care & Research (Physiotherapy), Manipal College of Health Professions, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
| | - G. Arun Maiya
- Dean & Professor, Centre for Diabetic Foot Care & Research (Physiotherapy), Manipal College of Health Professions, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
| | - Shashikiran Umakanth
- Professor & Head (Medicine), Dr. TMA Pai Hospital, Melaka Manipal Medical College, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
| | - K.N. Shivashankara
- Professor & Unit Head (Medicine), Kasturba Medical College, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
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Korhonen PE, Kautiainen H, Rantanen AT. Association of unemployment and increased depressive symptoms with all-cause mortality: follow-up study of a cardiovascular prevention programme. Eur J Public Health 2024; 34:1140-1145. [PMID: 39545477 PMCID: PMC11631381 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Unemployment has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. However, factors behind this association remain unsettled. A primary care CVD prevention programme was conducted in two Finnish towns in 2005-07. Of the participants (n = 4450), a cohort of apparently healthy CVD risk subjects belonging to the labour force (n = 1487) was identified. Baseline depressive symptoms were assessed by Beck's Depression Inventory. Data on employment status and mortality were obtained from official statistics. The effect of employment status and depressive symptoms on all-cause mortality after a median follow-up of 15 years was estimated in models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, physical activity, alcohol use, current smoking, glucose metabolism, and hypertension. In comparison to employed non-depressive subjects, fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was 3.53 (1.90-6.57) in unemployed subjects with increased depressive symptoms, 1.26 (0.68-2.34) in unemployed non-depressive subjects, and 1.09 (0.63-1.90) in employed depressive subjects. Factors independently associated with mortality were unemployment with increased depressive symptoms [HR 3.56 (95% CI 1.92-6.61)], screen-detected diabetes [HR 2.71 (95% CI 1.59-4.63)], current smoking [HR 1.77 (95% CI 1.19-2.65)], and higher age [HR 1.10 (95% CI 1.05-1.15)]. Unemployment in itself was not associated with all-cause mortality. If unemployment was accompanied with increased depressive symptoms, risk of death was significantly elevated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Päivi E Korhonen
- Department of General Practice, University of Turku and Southwest Finland Wellbeing Services County, Turku, Finland
| | - Hannu Kautiainen
- Primary Health Care Unit, Kuopio University Hospital, Kuopio, Finland
- Folkhälsan Research Center, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ansa T Rantanen
- Department of General Practice, University of Turku and Southwest Finland Wellbeing Services County, Turku, Finland
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Funatake CJ, Armendáriz M, Rauch S, Eskenazi B, Nomura Y, Hivert MF, Rifas-Shiman S, Oken E, Shiboski SC, Wojcicki JM. Validation of Variables for Use in Pediatric Obesity Risk Score Development in Demographically and Racially Diverse United States Cohorts. J Pediatr 2024; 275:114219. [PMID: 39095010 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2024.114219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Revised: 07/21/2024] [Accepted: 07/29/2024] [Indexed: 08/04/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the performance of childhood obesity prediction models in four independent cohorts in the United States, using previously validated variables obtained easily from medical records as measured in different clinical settings. STUDY DESIGN Data from four prospective cohorts, Latinx, Eating, and Diabetes; Stress in Pregnancy Study; Project Viva; and Center for the Health Assessment of Mothers and Children of Salinas were used to test childhood obesity risk models and predict childhood obesity by ages 4 through 6, using five clinical variables (maternal age, maternal prepregnancy body mass index, birth weight Z-score, weight-for-age Z-score change, and breastfeeding), derived from a previously validated risk model and as measured in each cohort's clinical setting. Multivariable logistic regression was performed within each cohort, and performance of each model was assessed based on discrimination and predictive accuracy. RESULTS The risk models performed well across all four cohorts, achieving excellent discrimination. The area under the receiver operator curve was 0.79 for Center for the Health Assessment of Mothers and Children of Salinas and Project Viva, 0.83 for Stress in Pregnancy Study, and 0.86 for Latinx, Eating, and Diabetes. At a 50th percentile threshold, the sensitivity of the models ranged from 12% to 53%, and specificity was ≥ 90%. The negative predictive values were ≥ 80% for all cohorts, and the positive predictive values ranged from 62% to 86%. CONCLUSION All four risk models performed well in each independent and demographically diverse cohort, demonstrating the utility of these five variables for identifying children at high risk for developing early childhood obesity in the United States.
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Affiliation(s)
- Castle J Funatake
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Marcos Armendáriz
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Stephen Rauch
- Center for Environmental Research and Children's Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
| | - Brenda Eskenazi
- Center for Environmental Research and Children's Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
| | - Yoko Nomura
- Department of Psychology, Queens College and Graduate Center, the City University of New York (CUNY), New York, NY; Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Department of Psychiatry, New York, NY
| | - Marie-France Hivert
- Division of Chronic Disease Research Across the Lifecourse, Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA
| | - Sheryl Rifas-Shiman
- Division of Chronic Disease Research Across the Lifecourse, Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA
| | - Emily Oken
- Division of Chronic Disease Research Across the Lifecourse, Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA
| | - Stephen C Shiboski
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Janet M Wojcicki
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
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Lim JJ, Prodhan UK, Silvestre MP, Liu AY, McLay J, Fogelholm M, Raben A, Poppitt SD, Cameron-Smith D. Low serum glycine strengthens the association between branched-chain amino acids and impaired insulin sensitivity assessed before and after weight loss in a population with pre-diabetes: The PREVIEW_NZ cohort. Clin Nutr 2024; 43:17-25. [PMID: 39423758 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnu.2024.09.047] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2024] [Revised: 09/11/2024] [Accepted: 09/29/2024] [Indexed: 10/21/2024]
Abstract
AIM Accumulation of circulating branched-chain amino acids (BCAA) is a hallmark feature of impaired insulin sensitivity. As intracellular BCAA catabolism is dependent on glycine availability, we hypothesised that the concurrent measurement of circulating glycine and BCAA may yield a stronger association with markers of insulin sensitivity than either BCAA or glycine alone. This study therefore examined the correlative relationships of BCAA, BCAA and glycine together, plus glycine alone on insulin sensitivity-related markers before and after an 8-week low energy diet (LED) intervention. METHODS This is a secondary analysis of the PREVIEW (PREVention of diabetes through lifestyle Intervention and population studies in Europe and around the World) Study New Zealand sub-cohort. Eligible participants with pre-diabetes at baseline who achieved ≥8 % body weight loss following an LED intervention were included, of which 167 paired (Week 0 and Week 8) blood samples were available for amino acid analysis. Glycemic and other data were retrieved from the PREVIEW consortium database. Repeated measures linear mixed models were used to test the association between amino acids and insulin sensitivity-related markers (HOMA2-IR, glucose, insulin, and C-peptide). RESULTS Elevated BCAA was associated with impaired insulin sensitivity (p < 0.05), with strength of association (ηp2) almost doubled when glycine was added to the model. However, glycine in isolation was not associated with insulin sensitivity-related markers. The magnitude (β-estimates) of positive association between BCAA and HOMA2-IR, and inverse association between glycine and HOMA2-IR, increased when body weight was higher (Body weight∗BCAA, Body weight∗glycine, p < 0.05, both). CONCLUSION Low serum glycine strengthened the association between BCAA and impaired insulin sensitivity. Given that glycine is necessary to facilitate intracellular BCAA catabolism, measurement of glycine is necessary to complement BCAA analysis to comprehensively understand the contribution of amino acid metabolism in insulin sensitivity. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01777893).
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Affiliation(s)
- Jia Jiet Lim
- Human Nutrition Unit, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; High Value Nutrition, National Science Challenge, Auckland, New Zealand.
| | - Utpal K Prodhan
- Liggins Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Marta P Silvestre
- Human Nutrition Unit, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; CINTESIS, NOVA Medical School, NMS, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Amy Y Liu
- Human Nutrition Unit, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Jessica McLay
- Department of Statistics, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Mikael Fogelholm
- Department of Food and Nutrition, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Anne Raben
- Department of Nutrition, Exercise and Sports, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital - Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Herlev, Denmark
| | - Sally D Poppitt
- Human Nutrition Unit, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; High Value Nutrition, National Science Challenge, Auckland, New Zealand; Department of Medicine, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - David Cameron-Smith
- Liggins Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; Clinical Nutrition Research Centre (CNRC), Singapore Institute of Food and Biotechnology Innovation (SIFBI), Singapore, Singapore
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Elbéji A, Pizzimenti M, Aguayo G, Fischer A, Ayadi H, Mauvais-Jarvis F, Riveline JP, Despotovic V, Fagherazzi G. A voice-based algorithm can predict type 2 diabetes status in USA adults: Findings from the Colive Voice study. PLOS DIGITAL HEALTH 2024; 3:e0000679. [PMID: 39700066 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 10/23/2024] [Indexed: 12/21/2024]
Abstract
The pressing need to reduce undiagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D) globally calls for innovative screening approaches. This study investigates the potential of using a voice-based algorithm to predict T2D status in adults, as the first step towards developing a non-invasive and scalable screening method. We analyzed pre-specified text recordings from 607 US participants from the Colive Voice study registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04848623). Using hybrid BYOL-S/CvT embeddings, we constructed gender-specific algorithms to predict T2D status, evaluated through cross-validation based on accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, and Area Under the Curve (AUC). The best models were stratified by key factors such as age, BMI, and hypertension, and compared to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) score for T2D risk assessment using Bland-Altman analysis. The voice-based algorithms demonstrated good predictive capacity (AUC = 75% for males, 71% for females), correctly predicting 71% of male and 66% of female T2D cases. Performance improved in females aged 60 years or older (AUC = 74%) and individuals with hypertension (AUC = 75%), with an overall agreement above 93% with the ADA risk score. Our findings suggest that voice-based algorithms could serve as a more accessible, cost-effective, and noninvasive screening tool for T2D. While these results are promising, further validation is needed, particularly for early-stage T2D cases and more diverse populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abir Elbéji
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Mégane Pizzimenti
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Gloria Aguayo
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Aurélie Fischer
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Hanin Ayadi
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Franck Mauvais-Jarvis
- Section of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Deming Department of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
- Southeast Louisiana, VA Medical Center, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America
| | - Jean-Pierre Riveline
- Institut Necker Enfants Malades, Inserm U1151, CNRS UMR 8253, Immediab Laboratory, Paris, France
- Department of Diabetology, Endocrinology and Nutrition, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Lariboisière University Hospital, Paris, France, and INSERM UMR-S1151, CNRS UMR-S8253, Immediab Lab,Institut Necker-Enfants Malades, Université Paris Cité, Paris, France
| | - Vladimir Despotovic
- Bioinformatics Platform, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
| | - Guy Fagherazzi
- Deep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit. Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, 1 A-B rue Thomas Edison, L-1445 Strassen, Luxembourg
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Castaño RA, Granados MA, Trujillo N, Bernal JP, Trujillo JF, Trasmondi P, Maestre AF, Cardona JS, Gonzalez R, Larrarte MA, Hernandez DC, Barengo NC, Reynales H. Does performing a Point-Of-Care HbA1c test increase the chances of undertaking an OGTT among individuals at risk of diabetes? A randomized controlled trial. Prim Care Diabetes 2024; 18:624-631. [PMID: 39313407 DOI: 10.1016/j.pcd.2024.09.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2024] [Revised: 08/20/2024] [Accepted: 09/12/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024]
Abstract
AIMS Early detection of type 2 diabetes mellitus is key to reducing micro and macrovascular complications associated with this disease. However, a lab-based process for diagnosis entails the risk of loss-to-follow-up. The objective of this study was to demonstrate if performing a point-of-care test of HbA1c immediately after a screening questionnaire will increase the proportion of individuals showing up for a lab-based confirmatory test as Point-of-care (POC) provides immediate availability, which is expected to reduce loss-to-follow-up. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS This trial was a two-arm, randomized controlled, open-label study. Participants were recruited using the FINDRISC Score in a primary care and community setting. All 902 eligible participants were randomized into the intervention (n=511) and control (n=391) group. The intervention group was given information on healthy lifestyles, and a Point-of-care POC-HbA1c test was performed during the same visit. The control group was only given information on healthy lifestyles. Participants in both groups received a written prescription to have an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) performed within the next 30 days. Follow-up phone calls were made at 30 and 90 days to check if participant had undergone the test. The total duration of the intervention was 8 months. The posterior data analysis was made by using the Kolmogorov-Smirnoff test for the quantitative variables, and the descriptive statistics were expressed as means and standard deviation, or median and interquartile range 25 %-75 %, as appropriate. RESULTS At 30 days, 28 % of participants in the intervention group and 26.1 % in the control group undertook the OGTT (RD 1.90 %; 95 % CI -3.94; 7.73). At 90 days, 35.8 % of participants in the intervention group and 37.1 % in the control group undertook the OGTT. There was no statistically significant difference (RD - 3.17 %; 95 % CI -7.04; 0.70) between both groups. CONCLUSIONS The data suggest that performing a POC-HbA1c test after the FINDRISC did not increase the percentage of individuals showing up for the OGTT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ramón A Castaño
- [UEB] Universidad El Bosque, Faculty of Medicine, Bogotá. Colombia
| | - Maria A Granados
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | - Natalia Trujillo
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | - Juan P Bernal
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | - Juan F Trujillo
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | | | - Angel F Maestre
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia.
| | - Juan S Cardona
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | | | - María A Larrarte
- [CAIMED] Centro de Atención e Investigación Médica, Chía, Colombia
| | | | - Noël C Barengo
- [HWCM] Department of Medical Education, Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA; [UNMdP] Escuela Superior de Medicina, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Mar del Plata, Argentina
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Bell V, Rodrigues AR, Costa V, Dias C, Alpalhão M, Martins I, Forrester M. Assessing Type 2 Diabetes Risk in the Post-Pandemic Era: A Pharmacy-Led FINDRISC Screening Study. Life (Basel) 2024; 14:1558. [PMID: 39768266 PMCID: PMC11677750 DOI: 10.3390/life14121558] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2024] [Revised: 11/19/2024] [Accepted: 11/20/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major global health issue, with type 2 diabetes (T2D) accounting for over 90% of cases. Community pharmacies, given their accessibility, are well positioned to assist in early detection and management of T2D. This study evaluated post-pandemic T2D risk in a Portuguese population using the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) across five community pharmacies. A total of 494 participants aged 40 or older without a prior diagnosis of diabetes were assessed. The mean FINDRISC score was 12.3, and 29.8% were identified as high or very high-risk, with 8.7% referred to general practitioners for follow-up based on elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). Key risk factors include age, body mass index, waist circumference, lack of physical activity, and family history of diabetes. Lower educational levels were also associated with higher diabetes risk. Community pharmacies are shown to play an essential role in screening and educating at-risk populations, emphasizing the importance of physical activity, healthy diets, and regular monitoring. These findings reinforce the value of community pharmacists in mitigating T2D risk and enhancing public health outcomes through cost-effective, validated screening tools like FINDRISC. Finally, pre-pandemic FINDRISC studies discussed show similar results suggesting that the COVID-19 pandemic did not significantly impact the overall risk profile for T2D.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Bell
- Social Pharmacy and Public Health Laboratory, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Coimbra, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal; (A.R.R.); (V.C.)
- LAQV-REQUIMTE, Group of Pharmaceutical Technology, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Coimbra, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Ana Rita Rodrigues
- Social Pharmacy and Public Health Laboratory, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Coimbra, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal; (A.R.R.); (V.C.)
| | - Vera Costa
- Social Pharmacy and Public Health Laboratory, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Coimbra, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal; (A.R.R.); (V.C.)
| | - Catarina Dias
- Glow—Pharmaceutical Products, 2855-386 Corroios, Portugal; (C.D.); (M.A.); (I.M.)
| | - Márcia Alpalhão
- Glow—Pharmaceutical Products, 2855-386 Corroios, Portugal; (C.D.); (M.A.); (I.M.)
| | - Inês Martins
- Glow—Pharmaceutical Products, 2855-386 Corroios, Portugal; (C.D.); (M.A.); (I.M.)
| | - Mário Forrester
- UFUP—Unidade de Farmacovigilância, Universidade do Porto, 4200-450 Porto, Portugal
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Arteaga JM, Latorre-Santos C, Ibáñez-Pinilla M, Ballesteros-Cabrera MDP, Barón LY, Velosa SA, Trillos CE, Duque JJ, Holguín A, Eslava-Schmalbach JH. Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes, Overweight, Obesity, and Metabolic Syndrome in Adults in Bogotá, Colombia, 2022-2023: A Cross‑Sectional Population Survey. Ann Glob Health 2024; 90:67. [PMID: 39554696 PMCID: PMC11568804 DOI: 10.5334/aogh.4539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2024] [Accepted: 10/15/2024] [Indexed: 11/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective: To establish the prevalence of type 2 diabetes, overweight/obesity, and metabolic syndrome in individuals aged >18 years in Bogotá, Colombia and the variables associated with diabetes prevalence. Research Design and Methods: This was a cross‑sectional population survey with a representative, probabilistic sample of Bogotá, Colombia collected between 2022 and 2023. The final sample size included 2,860 households, distributed among 19 localities of Bogotá. Clinical laboratory samples were taken from randomly selected individuals (n = 1,070). Data on the Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III) and Latin American Diabetes Association (ALAD) criteria for metabolic syndrome were collected, including physical measurements. Results: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Bogotá was 11.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.0-13.5%). According to the ATP III and ALAD criteria, the prevalence proportions of metabolic syndrome were 33.9% (95% CI, 29.5-38.6) and 29.3% (95% CI, 26.1-32.7), respectively. The age of ≥55 years, abdominal obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, and noneducational level had higher adjusted prevalence ratios (APRs) of diabetes. The APRs of metabolic syndrome were higher in adults with a low education level (LEL) and female sex, with the ATP III and ALAD criteria, and noninsured adults or those with unknown affiliation with the healthcare system, with the ATP III criteria. Conclusions: We found a higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes in adults in Bogotá than expected in previous studies. Intervention from public policy should be requested, especially in those of lowest socioeconomic and education levels, to avoid a future increase in this prevalence. Studies on other Colombian cities are required.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan M. Arteaga
- School of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Chief of Endocrinology Department, Hospital Universitario Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Catalina Latorre-Santos
- School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Public Health Research Group, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia
| | | | - Magnolia del Pilar Ballesteros-Cabrera
- Department of Psychology Associate Professor and Director of the Lifestyle and Human Development Research Group, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Leyvi Y. Barón
- Vice Dean of Research and Extension Office, School of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Sergio A. Velosa
- Health Equity Research Group, School of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Hospital Universitario Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Carlos E. Trillos
- School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Public Health Research Group, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Juan J. Duque
- Endocrinologist, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Andrea Holguín
- Endocrinology Fellow, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Javier H. Eslava-Schmalbach
- Health Equity Research Group, School of Medicine, Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Hospital Universitario Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
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49
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Karri AK, Guthi VR, Githa PSS. Risk Prediction of high blood glucose among women (15-49 years) and men (15-54 years) in India: An analysis from National Family Health Survey-5 (2019-21). J Family Med Prim Care 2024; 13:5312-5319. [PMID: 39723008 PMCID: PMC11668455 DOI: 10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_929_24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2024] [Revised: 07/28/2024] [Accepted: 08/12/2024] [Indexed: 12/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Context Approximately 500 million individuals worldwide are known to have diabetes, representing roughly 1 out of every 11 adults in the world. Approximately 45.8% of adult diabetes cases are believed to be undiagnosed. Aim This study aimed to identify the predictors for high blood glucose and to develop a risk score which helps in early detection of high blood glucose among Indian men (15-54 years) and women (15-49 years). Methods and Material This study utilised data from the National Family Health Survey-5, which were gathered between 2019 and 2021. The study population comprises women aged 15-49 years and men aged 15-54 years in India. Statistical Analysis Used A logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the predictors of high blood glucose. The results were expressed as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. The risk score for high blood glucose was derived through variable shrinking and by employing regression coefficients obtained from the standard logistic regression model. Data were analysed using IBM SPSS version 26. Results The prevalence of high blood glucose in India was 9.3%. The study findings indicated an association between age and the occurrence of high blood glucose levels. The prevalence of high blood glucose was higher among males (11.1% vs 7.5%), individuals living in urban areas (10.7% vs 8.9%), those with a waist circumference exceeding the specified limit (11.7% vs 5.9%), and individuals who were overweight or obese (11.3%). The prevalence of high blood glucose was higher among alcoholics (13.2% vs 8.8%) and various forms of tobacco users (12.1% vs 8.4%). Conclusions Age, sex, place of residence (urban), consumption of alcohol, hypertension, and waist circumference were found to be the significant predictor variables and were used to develop the risk prediction score using the logistic regression model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anjan Kumar Karri
- Department of Community Medicine, SVIMS-Sri Padmavathi Medical College for Women, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, India
| | - Visweswara Rao Guthi
- Department of Community Medicine, SVIMS-Sri Padmavathi Medical College for Women, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, India
| | - P Sri Sai Githa
- Department of Community Medicine, SVIMS-Sri Padmavathi Medical College for Women, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, India
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Arnardóttir E, Sigurdardóttir ÁK, Skinner T, Graue M, Kolltveit BCH. Prediabetes and cardiovascular risk factors: the effectiveness of a guided self-determination counselling approach in primary health care, a randomized controlled trial. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:3035. [PMID: 39487428 PMCID: PMC11529228 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-20538-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2024] [Accepted: 10/28/2024] [Indexed: 11/04/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Identify individuals who are at risk of Type 2 diabetes, who also are at a greater risk of developing cardiovascular disease is important. The rapid worldwide increase in diabetes prevalence call for Primary Health Care to find feasible prevention strategies, to reduce patient risk factors and promote lifestyle changes. Aim of this randomized controlled trial was to investigate how a nurse-lead Guided Self-Determination counselling approach can assist people at risk of type 2 diabetes to lower their coronary heart disease risk. METHODS In this randomized controlled study, 81 people at risk of developing type 2 diabetes were assigned into an intervention group (n = 39) receiving Guided Self-Determination counselling from Primary Health Care nurses over three months and a control group (n = 42) that received a diet leaflet only. Measurements included the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score questionnaire and biological measurements of Hemoglobin A1c protein, Body Mass Index, fasting blood glucose, Blood pressure, Cholesterol, High-density lipoprotein, and triglycerides, at baseline (time1), 6 (time2) and 9 months (time 3). RESULTS A total of 56 participants, equal number in intervention and control groups, completed all measurements. A significant difference between the intervention and control groups, in coronary heart disease risk was not found at 6 nor 9-months. However, within-group data demonstrated that 55.4% of the participants had lower coronary heart disease risk in the next ten years at the 9-month measurement. Indicating an overall 18% relative risk reduction of coronary heart disease risk by participating in the trial, with the number needed to treat for one to lower their risk to be nine. Within the intervention group a significant difference was found between time 1 and 3 in lower body mass index (p = 0.046), hemoglobin A1c level (p = 0.018) and diastolic blood pressure (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS Although unable to show significant group differences in change of coronary heart disease risk by this 12-weeks intervention, the process of regular measurements and the guided self-determination counselling seem to be beneficial for within-group measures and the overall reduction of coronary heart disease risk factors. TRIAL REGISTRATION This study is a part of the registered study 'Effectiveness of Nurse-coordinated Follow-Up Programme in Primary Care for People at Risk of T2DM' at www. CLINICALTRIALS gov (NCT04688359) (accessed on 30 December 2020).
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Affiliation(s)
- Elín Arnardóttir
- School of Health, Business and Natural Sciences-Faculty of Nursing, University of Akureyri, Akureyri, 600, Iceland.
- Health Care Institution of North Iceland, Siglufjordur, 580, Iceland.
| | - Árún K Sigurdardóttir
- School of Health, Business and Natural Sciences-Faculty of Nursing, University of Akureyri, Akureyri, 600, Iceland
- Akureyri Hospital, Akureyri, 600, Iceland
| | - Timothy Skinner
- Institute of Psychology, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, 1017, Denmark
- Australian Centre for Behavioural Research in Diabetes, Melbourne, VIC, 3053, Australia
| | - Marit Graue
- Department of Health and Caring Sciences, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen, 5063, Norway
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