Conditional survival (CS) is a measure of prognosis of patients who have already survived several years since diagnosis. However, few studies have investigated the CS of patients who underwent liver resection (LR) for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We enrolled 942 consecutive patients who underwent LR for HCC with pathology-defined American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition stage 1 or 2 disease. The three-year CS was calculated as CS = S(x + 3)/S(x) and represented the probability of surviving an additional three years, given that the patient had already survived x years. The one-, three-, and five-year survival rates were 97.1%, 86.7%, and 76.1%, respectively, and were lower in cases with AJCC stage 2 disease, alpha-fetoprotein level of ≥ 20 ng/ml, presence of cirrhosis, anti-hepatitis C virus positivity, age > 65 years, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score of > 9. However, the three-year CS indicated that these variables were associated with shortened survival only in the first two years. From the third year after LR, the probability of survival of patients was similar between subgroups. CS is useful for providing a dynamic evaluation of survival during postoperative follow-up.

Liver function, tumor burden, inflammation level, and nutritional status are critical factors influencing tumor onset, progression, and metastasis. This study sought to investigate the prognostic significance and clinical relevance of biomarkers associated with these factors to develop a novel liver function-tumor burden-inflammation-nutrition (LTIN) score for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received hepatectomy.

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 285 patients with HCC undergoing hepatectomy at two medical centers between July 2019 and July 2023. The patients were divided into a training set (n = 200) and a validation set (n = 85). The study evaluated the prognostic significance of eight relevant clinical indicators and developed an LTIN score using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariate Cox regression analysis were utilized to determine the prognostic value of the LTIN score. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were used to compare the predictive performance of various prognostic factors.

The LTIN score, derived from the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, tumor burden score (TBS), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and prognostic inflammatory index (PII), effectively classified patients into high- and low-risk groups based on the optimal cut-off value. Patients with low-risk scores exhibited significantly better overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) than those with high-risk groups in both the training and validation sets (P < 0.001). Furthermore, the LTIN score was identified as a significant independent prognostic factor for both OS (P < 0.001) and RFS (P < 0.001). The LTIN score also exhibited superior prognostic capabilities compared to the other indicators, Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) staging system, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system.

Our findings indicated that the preoperative LTIN score has significant potential as a reliable predictor of OS and RFS for HCC patients underwent radical surgery. The LTIN score could further effectively guide treatment decisions and optimize follow-up strategies to enhance patients prognosis.

The role of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains debated. This study aimed to evaluate the short- and long-term outcomes of LLR vs. open liver resection (OLR) in ICC stratified by tumor burden score (TBS). ICC patients who underwent LLR or OLR were included from a multicenter database between July 2009 and October 2022. Patients were stratified into two cohorts based on whether the TBS was > 5.3. A 1:3 propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed between LLR and OLR in each cohort. Cox regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors for ICC. A total of 626 patients were included in this study, 304 and 322 patients were classified into the low- and high-TBS groups, respectively. In the low-TBS group, after PSM, LLR was associated with less blood loss, lower CCI, fewer complications and shorter hospital stay (all p < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves revealed that LLR had better OS (p = 0.032). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that surgical procedure was an independent prognostic factor for ICC (HR: 0.445; 95% CI: 0.235-0.843; p = 0.013). In the high-TBS group, after PSM, LLR were associated with reduced blood loss, lower CCI, fewer complications and shorter hospital stay (all p < 0.05), while OS (p = 0.98) and DFS (p = 0.24) were similar between the two groups. TBS is an important prognostic factor for ICC. LLR is a safe and feasible option for ICC and leads to faster postoperative recovery. LLR can offer ICC a comparable and even better long-term prognosis than OLR.

The prognostic role of the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index relative to intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after hepatectomy remains unclear. This study sought to characterize the impact of the FIB-4 index and tumor burden score (TBS) on recurrence and overall survival (OS).

ICC patients undergoing hepatectomy (2000-2020) were identified using a multi-institutional database. Patients were categorized as low (low TBS/low FIB-4 index), intermediate (low TBS/high FIB-4 index or high TBS/low FIB-4 index), and high (high TBS/high FIB-4 index).

Among 1168 patients in different TBS and FIB-4 index cohorts, 3-year recurrence varied considerably. For instance, among the patients with low TBS, individuals with a high FIB-4 index had a greater risk of recurrence than patients with a low FIB-4 index (59.9 vs. 47.7%; P = 0.01). Among patients with a high TBS, individuals with a high versus a low FIB-4 index had a higher incidence of recurrence (76.8 vs. 69.0%; P = 0.04). A similar pattern was observed among patients with both a low FIB-4 index (low [47.7%] vs. high [69.0%] TBS) and a high FIB-4 index (low [59.9%] vs. high [76.8%] TBS; both P < 0.001). Patients with a high [27.5%] versus a low [48.8%] TBS; P < 0.001) and patients with a high [34.2%] versus a low [43.5%] FIB-4 index; P = 0.01) had a worse OS. The multivariable analysis demonstrated an increasing risk of recurrence in the intermediate-index (hazard ratio [HR], 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20-2.16; P = 0.001) and high-index (HR, 2.13; 95% CI 1.45-3.13; P < 0.001) groups versus the low-index group.

Both tumor-related and non-tumorous characteristics should be used to predict risk of recurrence and survival more accurately among patients with ICC following hepatic resection.

We aimed to develop a preoperative model to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatoma undergoing liver resection (LR).

Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0, A, or B hepatoma were enrolled. Tumor burden score (TBS) scores were determined using the following equation: TBS (Pinna et al., 2018) 2 = (largest tumor size [in cm])(Pinna et al., 2018) 2 ​+ ​(tumor number) (Pinna et al., 2018) 22. The cutoff values for radiographic TBS were based on our recently published paper: low, <2.6; medium, 2.6-7.9; high, >7.9.

Multivariate analysis showed that radiographic TBS (low: referent; medium: HR ​= ​2.89; 95 ​% CI: 1.60-5.21; p ​< ​0.001; high, HR ​= ​7.60; 95 ​% CI: 3.80-15.2; p ​< ​0.001), AFP (<400 ​ng/mL: referent; ≧400 ​ng/mL: HR ​= ​1.67, 95 ​% CI: 1.11-2.52, p ​= ​0.014), and cirrhosis (absence: referent; presence: HR ​= ​1.88, 95 ​% CI: 1.30-2.72, p ​< ​0.001) were associated with OS. A simplified risk score was superior to BCLC system in concordance index (0.688 vs. 0.623).

We have developed a preoperative model that performs better in predicting OS than the BCLC system.

This study examines the relationship between tumor burden score (TBS) and survival and recurrence following radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma through a cohort study conducted in the Guangxi population of China.

This cohort study eventually recruited 576 HCC patients undergoing radical resection of HCC in the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region during 2013-2022. After determining the best threshold TBS, all cases were grouped to evaluate the relationship between TBS versus overall survival (OS) and cumulative recurrence. Using X-Tile software, the best threshold TBS to judge patient prognostic outcome following radical resection of HCC was 10.77.

Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that patients with high TBS showed considerably decreased OS relative to the control group, accompanied by an increased recurrence rate. According to multivariate Cox proportional regression, the patients with high TBS were associated with poorer OS (HR = 2.56, 95% CI 1.64-3.99, P < 0.001) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 1.55, 95% CI 1.02-2.35, P < 0.001).

In patients undergoing radical resection for HCC, higher TBS was significantly related to shorter OS and RFS.

The risk of HCC recurrence at particular landmarks since the initial treatment is unknown. With this registry-based study, we aimed to provide a nuanced description of the prognosis following resection or ablation for HCC, including landmark analyses.

Using the Danish nationwide health care registries, we identified all patients who received resection or ablation in 2000-2018 as the first HCC treatment. HCC recurrence was defined as a new HCC treatment > 90 days after the first treatment. We conducted competing risk landmark analyses of the cumulative risk of recurrence and death.

Among 4801 patients with HCC, we identified 426 patients who received resection and 544 who received ablation. The 2 treatment cohorts differed in cirrhosis prevalence and tumor stage. The 5-year recurrence risk was 40.7% (95% CI 35.5%-45.8%) following resection and 60.7% (95% CI: 55.9%-65.1%) following ablation. The 1-year recurrence risk decreased over the landmarks from 20.4% (95% CI: 16.6%-24.6%) at the time of resection to 4.7% (95% CI: 0.9%-13.9%) at the 5-year landmark. For ablation, the risk decreased from 36.1% (95% CI: 31.9%-40.4%) at the time of treatment to 5.3% (95% CI: 0.4%-21.4%) at the 5-year landmark. The risk of death without recurrence was stable over the landmarks following both resection and ablation.

In conclusion, the risk of recurrence or death following resection or ablation for HCC is high from the treatment date, but the risk of recurrence decreases greatly over the survival landmarks. This information is valuable for clinicians and their patients.

The significance of tumor burden for survival is unknown for patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC). The purpose of our study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) and tumor burden score (TBS) in patients with R/M HNSCC.

R/M HNSCC patients who were treated with cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil plus cetuximab (EPF) or pembrolizumab (PPF) as first-line treatment were included in our study. PD-L1 and TBS were estimated and correlated with treatment responses. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for outcomes estimation.

A total of 252 R/M HNSCC patients were included, with 126 high tumor burden (HTB) and 126 low tumor burden (LTB) patients. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 7.1 months in LTB and 3.9 months in HTB (p < 0.001) and median overall survival (OS) was 14.2 months in LTB and 9.2 months in HTB (p = 0.001). Patients with LTB had better PFS and OS than those with HTB independent of PD-L1 status. Subgroup analysis showed HTB patients treated with EPF had better survival than those treated with PPF, regardless of PD-L1 expression. For LTB PD-L1 positive patients, there was a longer survival with PPF than EPF, while for LTB PD-L1 negative patients, survival was similar between PPF and EPF. Multivariate analysis exhibited that tumor burden was significantly correlated with OS.

Tumor burden is significantly correlated with survival in patients with R/M HNSCC. PD-L1 and TBS should be taken into consideration to determine first-line treatment.

With recent advances in breast cancer (BC) treatment, the disease-free survival (DFS) of patients is increasing and the risk factors for recurrence and metastasis are changing. However, a dynamic approach to assessing the risk of recurrent metastasis in BC is currently lacking. This study aimed to develop a dynamically changing prediction model for recurrent metastases based on conditional survival (CS) analysis.

Clinical and pathological data from patients with BC who underwent surgery at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University between August 2011 and August 2022 were retrospectively analysed. The risk of recurrence and metastasis in patients with varying survival rates was calculated using CS analysis, and a risk prediction model was constructed.

A total of 4244 patients were included in this study, with a median follow-up of 83.16 ± 31.59 months. Our findings suggested that the real-time DFS of patients increased over time, and the likelihood of DFS after surgery correlated with the number of years of prior survival. We explored different risk factors for recurrent metastasis in baseline patients, 3-year, and 5-year disease-free survivors, and found that low HER2 was a risk factor for subsequent recurrence in patients with 5-year DFS. Based on this, conditional nomograms were developed. The nomograms showed good predictive ability for recurrence and metastasis in patients with BC.

Our study showed that the longer patients with BC remained disease-free, the greater their chances of remaining disease-free again. Predictive models for recurrence and metastasis risk based on CS analysis can help improve the confidence of patients fighting cancer and help doctors personalise treatment and follow-up plans.

Predicting recurrence patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be helpful in developing surveillance strategies. This study aimed to use the hazard function to investigate recurrence hazard and peak recurrence time transitions in patients with HCC undergoing liver resection (LR). We enrolled 1204 patients with HCC undergoing LR between 2007 and 2018 at our institution. Recurrence hazard, patterns, and peak rates were analyzed. The overall recurrence hazard peaked at 7.2 months (peak hazard rate [pHR]: 0.0197), but varied markedly. In subgroups analysis based on recurrence risk factors, patients with a high radiographic tumor burden score (pHR: 0.0521), alpha-fetoprotein level ≥ 400 ng/ml (pHR: 0.0427), and pT3-4 (pHR: 0.0656) showed a pronounced peak within the first year after LR. Patients with cirrhosis showed a pronounced peak within three years after LR (pHR: 0.0248), whereas those with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B (pHR: 0.0609) and poor tumor differentiation (pHR: 0.0451) showed multiple peaks during the 5-year follow-up period. In contrast, patients without these recurrence risk factors had a relatively flat hazard function curve. HCC recurrence hazard, patterns, and peak rates varied substantially depending on different risk factors of HCC recurrence.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly lethal disease, and surgical resection is one of the major treatment methods used. However, to date, at least to the best of our knowledge, there is no effective prognostic scoring system for the overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) of patients following hepatectomy. The present study developed a low-cost and easy-to-use model based on the clinicopathological characteristics of patients with HCC for assessment of outcome prediction and risk stratification. A total of 690 patients with HCC undergoing surgery were included and randomly divided into two cohorts (n=345). Cox regression analysis was conducted to investigate the association between the clinicopathological and treatment features, and patient survival. Multivariate analysis revealed that ascites, vascular tumor thrombus, low tumor differentiation and extrahepatic metastasis were independent risk factors for OS. Extrahepatic metastasis and multiple tumors were independent risk factors to predict tumor recurrence. These variables were weighted to construct the ascites, vascular tumor thrombus, low tumor differentiation, extrahepatic metastasis and multiple tumors (AVLEM) score based on the cumulative incidence (CuI) of the aforementioned variables, and the patients were classified into grade 0 (CuI=0), grade 1 (CuI=1 for OS and CuI ≥1 for RFS), and grade 2 (CuI ≥2) subgroups, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the OS and RFS differed significantly among the subgroups; however, the survival rate between the two cohorts did not exhibit any marked differences. On the whole, the present study demonstrates that with this AVLEM scoring system, patients with HCC with a high score had a poor OS and RFS; thus, it is suggested that such patients undergo imaging examinations following a hepatectomy more frequently.

There is little information regarding the overall survival (OS) predictive ability of the combination of tumor burden score (TBS), α-fetoprotein (AFP), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to develop a model including TBS, AFP, and ALBI grade to predict HCC patient OS following liver resection.

Patients (N = 1556) from six centers were randomly divided 1:1 into training and validation sets. The X-Tile software was used to determine the optimal cutoff values. The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was calculated to assess the prognostic ability of the different models.

In the training set, tumor differentiation, TBS, AFP, ALBI grade, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage were independently related to OS. According to the coefficient values of TBS, AFP, and ALBI grade, we developed the TBS-AFP-ALBI (TAA) score using a simplified point system (0, 2 for low/high TBS, 0, 1 for low/high AFP and 0,1 for ALBI grade 1/2). Patients were further divided into low TAA (TAA ≤ 1), medium TAA (TAA = 2-3), and high TAA (TAA= 4) groups. TAA scores (low: referent; medium, HR = 1.994, 95% CI = 1.492-2.666; high, HR = 2.413, 95% CI = 1.630-3.573) were independently associated with patient survival in the validation set. The TAA scores showed higher AUROCs than BCLC stage for the prediction of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in both the training and validation sets.

TAA is a simple score that has better OS prediction performance than the BCLC stage in predicting OS for HCC patients after liver resection.

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has been recommended for prognostic prediction. However, prognosis is variable at different BCLC stages. We aimed to evaluate whether the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) could be used to stratify prognosis in different BCLC stages.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection (LR) at BCLC-0, -A, or -B stage in our institution in 2007-2018 were divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed according to the TBS and BCLC stage. TBS cutoff values for OS were determined with X-tile.

Of the 749 patients in the derivation cohort, 138 (18.4%) had BCLC-0, 542 (72.3%) BCLC-A, and 69 (9.2%) BCLC-B HCC; 76 (10.1%) had a high TBS (> 7.9), 477 (63.7%) a medium TBS (2.6-7.9), and 196 (26.2%) a low TBS (< 2.6). OS worsened progressively with increasing TBS in the cohort (p < 0.001) and in BCLC-A (p = 0.04) and BCLC-B (p = 0.002) stages. Multivariate analysis showed that the TBS was associated with OS of patients with BCLC-A (medium vs. low TBS: hazard ratio [HR] = 2.390, 95% CI = 1.024-5.581, p = 0.04; high vs. low TBS: HR = 3.885, 95% CI = 1.443-10.456, p = 0.007) and BCLC-B (high vs. medium TBS: HR = 2.542, 95% CI = 1.077-6.002, p = 0.033) HCC. The TBS could also be used to stratify the OS of patients in the validation cohort (p < 0.001).

The TBS could be used to stratify the OS of the entire cohort and BCLC stages A and B of HCC patients undergoing LR.

The interplay of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and tumor burden score (TBS) within intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma remains ill-defined. We evaluated the roles of TBS and CA19-9 relative to overall survival (OS) and recurrence, as well as the predictive ability of the combined TBS and CA19-9 (CTC) grading system.

Patients undergoing liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. The impact of CA19-9 and TBS on 5-year OS and 3-year recurrence was assessed, along with the prognostic accuracy of the CTC grading system (ie the composite score of CA19-9 level and TBS).

Among 831 patients, the median age was 58.2 years and 482 (58.0%) were male. The median [IQR] CA19-9 level was 49.7 [17.0, 221.0] U/mL and TBS was 6.1 [4.1, 8.3]. Median [IQR] and 5-year OS were 36.9 [32.3, 43.1] months and 38.9%, respectively; 3-year recurrence was 68.9%. Five-year survival varied relative to CA19-9 (low vs high, 49.0% vs 19.7%) and TBS (low vs high, 53.6% vs 26.9%) (p < 0.001 for both). On multivariable analysis, high CA19-9 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.02, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.49) and high TBS (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.06) remained independently associated with OS. In turn, the CTC grading score stratified 5-year OS (low vs intermediate vs high CTC, 57.7% vs 39.9% vs 12.6%; p < 0.001) and remained an independent prognostic factor (referent, low CTC; [intermediate CTC] HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.01; [high CTC] HR 3.28, 95% CI 2.47 to 4.36).

The interplay between tumor morphology and biology dictates long-term prognosis after liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Prognostic models such as the CTC grading system may inform discussions around prognosis, as well as help identify which patients with ICC may benefit more from neoadjuvant chemotherapy rather than up-front surgery.

Recurrence following liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be as high as 50-70%. While salvage liver transplantation may be feasible, patients may develop a non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) (recurrence beyond Milan criteria). We sought to identify preoperative risk factors to predict NTR after resection.

Patients who underwent curative-intent LR for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Preoperative factors associated with NTR were identified and a risk score model (NTR score) was developed and validated.

Among 1620 patients, 842 (52.0%) developed recurrence; among patients with recurrence, NTR occurred in 341 (40.5%) with a median recurrence-free survival (RFS) of 30 months (24.7-35.3 months). On multivariable analysis, factors associated with NTR included alpha fetoprotein (AFP) > 400 ng/mL [hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-2.19], albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI) (referent low, medium ALBI: HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.10-1.81, high ALBI: HR 2.47, 95% CI 0.91-6.68), and tumor burden score (TBS) (referent low, high TBS: HR 2.55, 95% CI, 1.99-3.28). A simplified TBS-based NTR score was developed using the β-coefficients of each factor (C-index 0.68, 95% CI 0.65-0.71). Higher NTR score was associated with incrementally worse 5-year RFS (low 44.8%, medium 37.5%, high 24.5%) [area under the curve (AUC) 0.59] and increased incidence of NTR (low 13.7%, medium 25.4%, high 38.2%) (AUC 0.65) (both p < 0.001). Moreover, higher NTR score was associated with higher risk of extrahepatic recurrence (low 11.3%, medium 28.8%, high 37.5%) (p < 0.001).

NTR following curative-intent resection of HCC occurred in one in five patients. A simple TBS-based NTR score accurately predicted the risk of NTR and may help identify candidates for upfront resection versus transplantation.

We evaluated whether combining the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level could be used to stratify overall survival (OS) among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver resection (LR). Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0, A, or B HCC between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. TBS scores were calculated using the following equation: TBS2 = (largest tumor size (in cm))2 + (tumor number)2. Among 743 patients, 193 (26.0%) patients had a low TBS (<2.6), 474 (63.8%) had a moderate TBS (2.6-7.9), and 75 (10.1%) had a high TBS (>7.9). Those with a TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL had a significantly better OS than those with a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (p = 0.003) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis using TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL as the reference values showed that a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR): 2.063; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.175-3.623; p = 0.012) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR: 6.570; 95% CI: 3.684-11.719; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS. In conclusion, combining radiographic TBSs and AFP levels could stratify OS among HCC patients undergoing LR.

Overall survival (OS) reflects the constant hazard and survival probabilities calculated from the initial follow-up. Conditional survival (CS) dynamically estimates prognosis based on survival time after treatment. This study aimed to estimate CS in patients who had undergone narrow-margin hepatectomy for primary hepatocellular carcinoma.

The clinical data of 1010 eligible patients between 2012 and 2017 were retrospectively analysed. The equation CS1=OS(x+1)/OS(x) was used to calculate the probability of an additional 1-year survival in patients who had survived for x years.

Tumour differentiation, microvascular invasion, and tumour emboli were independent risk factors for OS. Actuarial survival decreased from 91.53% at 1 year after hepatectomy to 48.92% at 4 years, whereas CS1 increased from 69.45% at 1 year to 94.62% at 4 years. The difference was more obvious in the tumour-emboli subgroup, with an OS of 26.38% at 5 years versus a CS1 of 88.91% at 4 years following narrow-margin hepatectomy (Δ62.53%).

CS is potentially useful in providing a dynamic evaluation of survival, predicting prognosis more accurately than OS during follow-up, and formulating more appropriate treatment measures based on disease progression.

The prognostic value of the tumor burden score (TBS) in patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the impact of TBS on long-term outcomes after surgery.

Patients who underwent radical-intent resection between June 2013 and December 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze patient survival, and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined in relation to TBS.

A total of 178 patients were included in this study, with 119 in the training cohort and 59 in the validation cohort. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that TBS was a strong prognostic indicator in patients with cHCC-CCA. Elevated TBS was associated with poorer DFS and OS (both P-value < 0.001) and was identified as an independent prognostic indicator. In addition, the prognostic value of TBS outperformed tumor size and number alone, microvascular invasion, and lymph node invasion. The prognostic significance of TBS was confirmed by the internal validation cohort.

The present study suggested the significance of tumor morphology in assessing the prognosis of patients with cHCC-CCA who undergoing curative resection. The TBS is a promising prognostic index in patients with cHCC-CCA. Elevated TBS was related to a lower long-term survival rate and was identified as an independent risk factor for poor DFS and OS. Further research is needed to verify our results.

The prognostic role of tumor burden score (TBS) relative to albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade among patients undergoing curative-intent resection of ICC has not been examined.

We identified patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between 1990 and 2017 from a multi-institutional database. Multivariable analysis was performed to assess the effect of TBS relative to ALBI grade on both short- and long-term outcomes.

Among 724 patients, 360 (49.7%) patients had low TBS and low ALBI grade, 142 (19.6%) patients had low TBS and high ALBI grade, 138 (19.1%) patients had high TBS and low ALBI grade, and 84 patients (11.6%) had high TBS and high ALBI grade. Decreased tumor burden was associated with better long-term outcomes among patients with both low (5-year OS; low TBS vs. high TBS: 52.4% vs 21.4%; p < 0.001) and high ALBI grade (5-year OS; low TBS vs. high TBS: 40.7% vs 12.0%; p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, higher ALBI grade was associated with greater odds of an extended hospital LOS (> 10 days) (OR 2.80, 95%CI 1.62-4.82; p < 0.001), perioperative transfusion (OR 2.04, 95%CI 1.25-3.36; p = 0.005), 90-day mortality (OR 2.56, 95%CI 1.12-5.81; p = 0.025), as well as a major complication (OR 1.99, 95%CI 1.13-3.49; p = 0.016) among patients with similar tumor burden. Of note, patients with high TBS and high ALBI grade had markedly worse overall survival compared with patients who had low TBS and low ALBI grade disease (HR 2.27; 95%CI 1.44-3.59; p < 0.001). Importantly, high TBS and high ALBI grade were strongly associated with both early recurrence (88.1%%) and 5-year risk of death (96.4%).

Both TBS (i.e., tumor morphology) and ALBI grade (i.e., hepatic function reserve) were strong predictors of outcomes among patients undergoing ICC resection. There was an interplay between TBS and ALBI grade relative to patient prognosis after hepatic resection of ICC with high ALBI grade predicting worse outcomes among ICC patients with different TBS.

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a dreaded complication following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high mortality rate. We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF.

Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score.

Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08-7.26), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10-3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02-1.11) (all p < 0.05). Using the beta-coefficients of these variables, a weighted predictive score was developed and made available online ( https://alaimolaura.shinyapps.io/PHLFriskCalculator/ ). The CTF score (c-index = 0.67) performed better than Child-Pugh score (CPS) (c-index = 0.53) or Barcelona clinic liver cancer system (BCLC) (c-index = 0.57) to predict PHLF. A high CTF score was also an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival (HR 1.61, 95%CI, 1.12-2.30) and recurrence (HR 1.36, 95%CI, 1.08-1.71) (both p = 0.01).

Roughly 1 in 20 patients experienced PHLF following resection of HCC. Patient (i.e., CCI), tumor (i.e., TBS), and liver function (i.e., ALBI) factors were associated with risk of PHLF. These preoperative factors were incorporated into a novel CTF tool that was made available online, which outperformed other previously proposed tools.

The ability to predict the incidence, timing, and site of recurrence can be beneficial to select surgical candidates and inform appropriate postoperative surveillance. We sought to identify factors associated with risk and timing of recurrence after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma based on differences in tumor burden score.

Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. The incidence, timing, and pattern of recurrence was examined relative to traditional clinicopathological factors, as well as tumor burden score using hazard rates and multivariable analysis.

Among 1,994 patients (tumor burden score, low: n = 511, 25.6% vs medium: n = 1,286, 64.5% vs high: n = 197, 9.9%), the incidence of recurrence at 5 years was 50.4% (95% confidence interval 47.9-53.0); risk of recurrence varied relative to hepatocellular carcinoma tumor burden score (low: 36.0% vs medium: 54.4% vs high: 62.5%, P < .001). Although intrahepatic recurrence was much more common in low tumor burden score (low: n = 106, 84.1% vs medium: n = 335, 71.7% vs high: n = 48, 56.5%; P < .001), extrahepatic recurrence was more common in high tumor burden score (low: n = 18, 14.3% vs medium: n = 121, 25.9% vs high: n = 37, 43.5%; P < .001). The peak hazard rate for intrahepatic recurrence among patients with a high tumor burden score was almost double the peak hazard noted among patients with a low tumor burden score (low: 0.047, 42.0 months vs medium: 0.051, 6.6 months vs high: 0.094, 15.0 months). Of note, the patients with high tumor burden score were also more likely to recur earlier (≤24 months) (low: n = 227, 44.4% vs medium: n = 686, 53.3% vs high: n = 144, 73.1%) with multiple tumors (low: n = 50, 36.5% vs medium: n = 271, 56.1% vs high: n = 52, 70.3%) and larger lesions (low: 1.8 [interquartile range 1.2-3.0] cm vs medium: 2.0 [interquartile range 1.3-3.0] cm vs high: 2.5 [interquartile range 1.6-4.4] cm) (all P < .001). On multivariable analysis, high tumor burden score remained independently associated with risk of recurrence (referent, low; medium: hazard ratio = 1.49 [95% confidence interval 1.19-1.88], P = .001; high: hazard ratio = 1.95 [95% confidence interval 1.41-2.69]; P < .001].

Tumor burden score was independently associated with higher risk of recurrence. Patients who underwent resection of high tumor burden score lesions were more likely to recur early with multiple tumors and at an extrahepatic site. Tumor burden score is an important tool in assessing risk, timing, and pattern of recurrence after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

The prognostic significance of tumor burden score (TBS) on patients who underwent curative-intent resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has not been evaluated. The present study aimed to investigate the impact of TBS and its synergistic effect with CA19-9 (combination of TBS and CA19-9, CTC grade) on long-term outcomes.

Patients who underwent radical resection of ICC between 2009 and 2017 were retrospectively identified from a multi-center database. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were examined in relation to TBS, serum preoperative CA19-9, and CTC grade.

A total of 650 patients were included in our study (509 in the derivation cohort and 141 in the validation cohort). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that both TBS and CA19-9 levels were strong predictors of survival outcomes. Patients with elevated TBS grade or elevated CA19-9 were associated with worse OS and RFS (both p < 0.001). As expected, CTC grade also performed well in predicting long-term outcomes. Patients with low TBS/low CA19-9 (CTC grade 1) were associated with the best OS as well as RFS, while high TBS/high CA19-9 (CTC grade 3) correlated to the worst outcomes. In the validation cohort, TBS grade, preoperative CA19-9, and CTC grade also stratified prognosis among patients (p < 0.001 for each).

Both tumor morphology (tumor burden) and tumor-specific biomarker (serum CA19-9) were important when evaluating prognosis of patients with resectable ICC. Serum CA19-9 and TBS showed a synergistic effect on prognostic evaluation. CTC grade was a promising tool in stratifying prognosis of ICC patients after curative resection.