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Domanski MJ, Wu CO, Tian X, Li H, Shalhoub R, Miao R, Hasan AA, Huang Y, Reis JP, Fleg JL, Rana JS, Zhang K, Hicks A, Allen NB, Ning H, Bae S, Jacobs DR, Lloyd-Jones DM, Fuster V. Association of Race With Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease, Coronary Heart Disease, Heart Failure, and Stroke. JACC. ADVANCES 2025; 4:101811. [PMID: 40411976 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101811] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2024] [Revised: 04/13/2025] [Accepted: 04/15/2025] [Indexed: 05/27/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In prior studies of cumulative risk factor exposure, self-identified race was independently associated with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). A recent study suggests clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic factors explain racial differences. We used propensity score matching to study race as an independent incident CVD risk factor. OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study was to assess race as an independent risk factor for incident CVD. METHODS We analyzed CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study data using propensity score matching of White and Black women, and, separately, White and Black men, with respect to known CVD risk factors. RESULTS Black men (n = 487), compared to White men (n = 487), had higher risk of CVD (HR: 2.30; 95% CI: 1.36-3.89; P = 0.0014), stroke (HR: 5.00; 95% CI: 1.45-17.3; P = 0.0047), and congestive heart failure (CHF) (HR: 3.60; 95% CI: 1.34-9.70; P = 0.0067). Black women (n = 640), compared to White women (n = 640), had higher CVD risk (HR: 2.36; 95% CI: 1.17-4.78; P = 0.014) and stroke risk (HR: 2.80; 95% CI: 1.01-7.77; P = 0.039) and borderline significantly higher CHF risk (HR: 3.50; 95% CI: 0.73-16.9; P = 0.096). Risk of coronary heart disease did not differ significantly by race in either sex. Multivariable analyses showed racial differences in the associations of multiple risk factors with incident CVD events independent of other known CVD risk factors. CONCLUSIONS Propensity score matching analyses demonstrate that race is an independent risk factor for incident CVD and its components, CHF, and stroke. Multivariable analyses suggest racial differences in Black vs White risk factor impact as the possible cause. Reasons for these differences remain to be explored.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael J Domanski
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Data Science Initiative, University of Maryland School of Medicine and the VA Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
| | - Colin O Wu
- Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Xin Tian
- Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Haiou Li
- Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Ruba Shalhoub
- Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Rui Miao
- Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Ahmed A Hasan
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Data Science Initiative, University of Maryland School of Medicine and the VA Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Yi Huang
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Data Science Initiative, University of Maryland School of Medicine and the VA Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Jared P Reis
- Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Jerome L Fleg
- Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Jamal S Rana
- Division of Cardiology, Kaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center, California, USA
| | - Kai Zhang
- School of Public Health, State University of New York, Albany, New York, USA
| | - Albert Hicks
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Data Science Initiative, University of Maryland School of Medicine and the VA Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Norrina B Allen
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Hongyan Ning
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Sejong Bae
- Department of Biostatistics, Data Science, and Epidemiology, Augusta University, Augusta, Georgia, USA
| | - David R Jacobs
- Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Donald M Lloyd-Jones
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Valentin Fuster
- Cardiovascular Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
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Pesarini G, Hellig F, Seth A, Shlofmitz RA, Ribichini FL. Percutaneous coronary intervention for calcified and resistant lesions. EUROINTERVENTION 2025; 21:e339-e355. [PMID: 40191879 PMCID: PMC11956026 DOI: 10.4244/eij-d-24-00195] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2024] [Accepted: 09/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/09/2025]
Abstract
Relevant calcified coronary artery disease (CCAD) may be present in around 20% of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions, and it is known to add procedural challenges and risks. Careful patient selection and specific expertise in multimodality imaging and plaque modification techniques are required to plan and adopt the most appropriate therapeutic strategy. This review aims to present the contemporary clinical approach and procedural planning for CCAD patients, describing the available tools and strategies in view of the most recent scientific evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabriele Pesarini
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Farrel Hellig
- Netcare Sunninghill Hospital, Sandton, South Africa
- University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Ashok Seth
- Fortis Escorts Heart Institute, New Delhi, India
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Nianogo RA, O’Neill S, Inoue K. Generalized framework for identifying meaningful heterogenous treatment effects in observational studies: A parametric data-adaptive G-computation approach. Stat Methods Med Res 2025; 34:648-662. [PMID: 39995162 PMCID: PMC12075891 DOI: 10.1177/09622802251316969] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/26/2025]
Abstract
There has been a renewed interest in identifying heterogenous treatment effects (HTEs) to guide personalized medicine. The objective was to illustrate the use of a step-by-step transparent parametric data-adaptive approach (the generalized HTE approach) based on the G-computation algorithm to detect heterogenous subgroups and estimate meaningful conditional average treatment effects (CATE). The following seven steps implement the generalized HTE approach: Step 1: Select variables that satisfy the backdoor criterion and potential effect modifiers; Step 2: Specify a flexible saturated model including potential confounders and effect modifiers; Step 3: Apply a selection method to reduce overfitting; Step 4: Predict potential outcomes under treatment and no treatment; Step 5: Contrast the potential outcomes for each individual; Step 6: Fit cluster modeling to identify potential effect modifiers; Step 7: Estimate subgroup CATEs. We illustrated the use of this approach using simulated and real data. Our generalized HTE approach successfully identified HTEs and subgroups defined by all effect modifiers using simulated and real data. Our study illustrates that it is feasible to use a step-by-step parametric and transparent data-adaptive approach to detect effect modifiers and identify meaningful HTEs in an observational setting. This approach should be more appealing to epidemiologists interested in explanation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roch A. Nianogo
- Department of Epidemiology, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), USA
- California Center for Population Research, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), USA
| | - Stephen O’Neill
- Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK
| | - Kosuke Inoue
- Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Japan
- Hakubi Center, Kyoto University, Japan
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Kankaria R, Gami A, Patel J. Role of coronary artery calcification detection in tailoring patient care, personalized risk assessment, and prevention of future cardiac events. Curr Opin Cardiol 2025:00001573-990000000-00202. [PMID: 40072518 DOI: 10.1097/hco.0000000000001216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/14/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW We review the utility of coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring in personalized risk assessment and initiation of cardiovascular disease risk modifying therapy. RECENT FINDINGS Many populations - including South Asians, patients with cancer, patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), younger patients, and elderly patients - were not included during the conception of the current risk stratification tools. CAC scoring may allow clinicians to risk-stratify these individuals and help initiate preventive therapy in higher risk populations. Furthermore, CAC scoring may be able to be integrated into current imaging practices to allow for more ubiquitous and equitable screening practices. SUMMARY CAC scoring is an additional, objective metric that may allow for nuanced and personalized risk assessment of future atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rohan Kankaria
- Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine
| | - Abhishek Gami
- Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine
- Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, John Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Jaideep Patel
- Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, John Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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Chen M, Xiong J, Li M, Hu T, Zhang Y. Research on Prediction model of Carotid-Femoral Pulse Wave Velocity: Based on Machine Learning Algorithm. J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) 2025; 27:e70017. [PMID: 40101019 PMCID: PMC11917802 DOI: 10.1111/jch.70017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2024] [Revised: 02/01/2025] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 03/20/2025]
Abstract
Carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cf-PWV) is an important but difficult to obtain measure of arterial stiffness and an independent predictor of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for cf-PWV based on brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and other the accessible clinical parameters. This model aims to allow patients to estimate their cf-PWV in advance without the need for direct measurement. We selected participants of the Northern Shanghai community from 2013 to 2022 as the study object. The Pearson correlation coefficient was employed for correlation analysis in feature selection. The linear regression models demonstrated low root mean square error (RMSE), error term (ε), and R2 values, indicating good predictive performance. A Cox proportional hazards model revealed a significant association between machine learning-predicted cf-PWV and mortality risk, supporting the validity of prediction model. Using a threshold of cf-PWV greater than 10 m/s as the criterion, a classification prediction model was developed. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis was then applied to the Gradient Boosting model to elucidate the predictive mechanism of the optimal model. Without precise instruments, doctors often cannot determine a patient's cf-PWV. When the cf-PWV value predicted by the machine learning algorithm is high, patients can be recommended for more precise measurements to confirm the prediction and emphasize the importance of follow-up health management and psychological support. It is feasible to use a machine learning algorithm based on baPWV and other readily available clinical parameters to predict cf-PWV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minghui Chen
- School of Health Science and EngineeringUniversity of Shanghai for Science and TechnologyShanghaiChina
| | - Jing Xiong
- Department of CardiologyShanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of MedicineShanghaiChina
| | - Moran Li
- Department of CardiologyShanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of MedicineShanghaiChina
| | - Tao Hu
- Department of CardiologyXijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical UniversityXi 'anShanxiChina
| | - Yi Zhang
- Department of CardiologyShanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of MedicineShanghaiChina
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Zhao X, Xu X, Wang S, Zhang X, Zheng R, Wang K, Xiang Y, Wang T, Zhao Z, Li M, Zheng J, Xu M, Lu J, Bi Y, Xu Y. Heterogeneous blood pressure treatment effects on cognitive decline in type 2 diabetes: A machine learning analysis of a randomized clinical trial. Diabetes Obes Metab 2025; 27:1432-1443. [PMID: 39723470 DOI: 10.1111/dom.16145] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2024] [Revised: 11/28/2024] [Accepted: 12/10/2024] [Indexed: 12/28/2024]
Abstract
AIM We aimed to identify the characteristics of patients with diabetes who can derive cognitive benefits from intensive blood pressure (BP) treatment using machine learning methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS Using data from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Memory in Diabetes (ACCORD-MIND) study, 1349 patients with type 2 diabetes who underwent BP treatment (intensive treatment targeting a systolic BP <120 mmHg vs. standard treatment targeting <140 mmHg) were included in the machine learning analysis. Seventy-nine variables correlated with diabetes and cognitive function were used to build the causal forest and causal tree models for identifying heterogeneous BP treatment effects on cognitive decline. RESULTS Our analyses identified four variables including urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR, mg/g), Framingham 10-year cardiovascular risk score (FRS, %), triglycerides (TG, mmol/L) and diabetes duration, that categorized the participants into five subgroups with different risk benefits for cognitive decline from BP treatments. Subgroup 1 (UACR ≥65 mg/g) had an absolute risk reduction (ARR) of 15.36% (95% CI, 5.01%-25.46%) from intensive versus standard BP treatment (hazard ratio [HR], 0.36; 95% CI, 0.18-0.73). Subgroup 2 (UACR <65 mg/g, FRS ≥26%, TG <2.3 mmol/L and diabetes duration ≥9 years) had an ARR of 14.74% (95% CI, 4.56%-24.59%) from intensive versus standard BP treatment (HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.15-0.77). No significant benefits were found for other subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Patients with type 2 diabetes with high UACR, or with low UACR and low TG, but high predicted cardiovascular risk and long diabetes duration were likely to derive cognitive benefits from intensive BP treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xuan Zhao
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaoli Xu
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Siyu Wang
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaoyun Zhang
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Ruizhi Zheng
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Kan Wang
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Xiang
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Tiange Wang
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhiyun Zhao
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Mian Li
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jie Zheng
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Min Xu
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jieli Lu
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yufang Bi
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Xu
- Department of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases (Shanghai), Key Laboratory for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases of the National Health Commission of the PR China, National Research Center for Translational Medicine, Shanghai Key Laboratory for Endocrine Tumor, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
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Inoue K. Causal inference and machine learning in endocrine epidemiology. Endocr J 2024; 71:945-953. [PMID: 38972718 PMCID: PMC11778366 DOI: 10.1507/endocrj.ej24-0193] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2024] [Accepted: 05/16/2024] [Indexed: 07/09/2024] Open
Abstract
With the rapid development of computer science, there is an increasing demand for the use of causal inference methods and machine learning in the research of endocrine disorders and their long-term health outcomes. However, studies on the effective and appropriate applications of these approaches in real-world data and clinical settings are still limited. This review will illustrate the use of causal inference and machine learning in epidemiological research within the field of endocrinology and metabolism. It will examine each concept of causal inference and machine learning through application examples of endocrine disorders. Subsequently, the paper will discuss the integration of machine learning within the causal inference framework, including (i) the estimation of treatment effects or the causal relationship between exposure and outcomes, and (ii) the evaluation of heterogeneity in such treatment effects (or exposure-outcome causal relationship) based on individuals' characteristics. Accurately assessing causal relationships and their heterogeneity across different individuals is crucial not only for determining effective interventions, but also for the appropriate allocation of medical resources and reducing healthcare disparities. By illustrating some application examples in endocrinology, this review aims to enhance readers' understanding and application of causal inference and machine learning in future epidemiological studies focusing on endocrine disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kosuke Inoue
- Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan
- Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan
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Yang Y, Li C, Hong Y, Sun J, Chen G, Ji K. Association between functional dependence and cardiovascular disease among middle-aged and older adults: Findings from the China health and retirement longitudinal study. Heliyon 2024; 10:e37821. [PMID: 39315220 PMCID: PMC11417238 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2024] [Revised: 09/05/2024] [Accepted: 09/10/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The effect of different functional dependency types on cardiovascular disease (CVD) is largely unknown. Here, we aimed to investigate the association between functional dependence and CVD among middle-aged and older adults by conducting a cross-sectional and longitudinal study. METHODS The study sample comprised 16,459 individuals of ≥40 years (including 10,438 without CVD) who had participated in the 2011 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Functional dependence was categorized based on the "interval-of-need" method, while CVD was defined as physician-diagnosed heart disease or stroke. Cox proportional hazard regression was employed to assess the effects of functional dependence on CVD. Moreover, patients were grouped according to the functional status changes, and the impact of these changes on CVD was observed. Heterogeneity, subgroup, and interaction analyses were used to evaluate the consistency of the study findings. Finally, a mediation analysis was performed to estimate the potential mediation effects on the relationship between functional dependence and CVD risk. RESULTS CVD prevalence in the overall study population was 13.73 % (2260/16,459), while its prevalence among individuals with functional independence, low dependency, medium dependency, and high dependency was 9.60 % (1085/11,302), 14.25 % (119/835), 17.72 % (115/649), and 25.01 % (941/3763), respectively. Additionally, medium (odds ratio: 1.33, 95 % confidence interval: 1.06-1.68) and high functional dependency (1.55, 95 % CI: 1.38-1.75) were associated with CVD. A total of 2987 (28.62 %) participants with CVD were identified during the 9-year follow-up, with 4.85 % (145/2987) of the CVD cases being attributed to functional dependence. The individuals with medium (HR: 1.20, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.44) and high functional dependency (1.25, 95 % CI: 1.14-1.37) were more likely to develop CVD than their peers with functional independence. Furthermore, persistent functional dependence (HR: 1.72, 95 % CI: 1.52-1.94) and transition from functional independence to dependence (1.79, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.98) were associated with a higher CVD risk than continuous functional independence. Hypertension and diabetes may partially mediate CVD caused by functional dependence. CONCLUSION Functional dependence is associated with high CVD risk. Therefore, appropriate healthcare attention must be directed towards functionally dependent populations to protect their cardiovascular health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaxi Yang
- College of Life Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430070, China
| | - Chaonian Li
- Department of Clinical Medical Research, Binhai County People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yancheng, Jiangsu, 224500, China
| | - Ye Hong
- Department of Clinical Medical Research, Binhai County People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yancheng, Jiangsu, 224500, China
| | - Jinqi Sun
- Department of Clinical Medical Research, Binhai County People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yancheng, Jiangsu, 224500, China
| | - Guoping Chen
- Department of Clinical Medical Research, Binhai County People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yancheng, Jiangsu, 224500, China
- Institute of Translational Medicine, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, 225002, China
| | - Kangkang Ji
- College of Life Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430070, China
- Department of Clinical Medical Research, Binhai County People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yancheng, Jiangsu, 224500, China
- College of Biomedicine and Health, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430070, China
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Naito T, Inoue K, Namba S, Sonehara K, Suzuki K, Matsuda K, Kondo N, Toda T, Yamauchi T, Kadowaki T, Okada Y. Machine learning reveals heterogeneous associations between environmental factors and cardiometabolic diseases across polygenic risk scores. COMMUNICATIONS MEDICINE 2024; 4:181. [PMID: 39304733 PMCID: PMC11415376 DOI: 10.1038/s43856-024-00596-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 08/22/2024] [Indexed: 09/22/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are expected to be helpful in precision medicine, it remains unclear whether high-PRS groups are more likely to benefit from preventive interventions for diseases. Recent methodological advancements enable us to predict treatment effects at the individual level. METHODS We employed causal forest to explore the relationship between PRSs and individual risk of diseases associated with certain environmental factors. Following simulations illustrating its performance, we applied our approach to investigate the individual risk of cardiometabolic diseases, including coronary artery diseases (CAD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D), associated with obesity and smoking among individuals from UK Biobank (UKB; n = 369,942) and BioBank Japan (BBJ; n = 149,421). RESULTS Here we find the heterogeneous association of obesity and smoking with diseases across PRS values, complicated by the multi-dimensional combination of individual characteristics such as age and sex. The highest positive correlations of PRSs and the exposure-related disease risks are observed between obesity and T2D in UKB and between smoking and CAD in BBJ (Spearman's ρ = 0.61 and 0.32, respectively). However, most relationships are weak or negative, suggesting that high-PRS groups will not necessarily benefit most from environmental factor prevention. CONCLUSIONS Our study highlights the importance of individual-level prediction of disease risks associated with target exposure in precision medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tatsuhiko Naito
- Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
- Laboratory for Systems Genetics, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama City, Kanagawa, Japan.
| | - Kosuke Inoue
- Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
- Hakubi Center, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Shinichi Namba
- Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
- Laboratory for Systems Genetics, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama City, Kanagawa, Japan
- Department of Genome Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kyuto Sonehara
- Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
- Laboratory for Systems Genetics, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama City, Kanagawa, Japan
- Department of Genome Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ken Suzuki
- Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
| | - Koichi Matsuda
- Laboratory of Clinical Genome Sequencing, Department of Computational Biology and Medical Sciences, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naoki Kondo
- Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Tatsushi Toda
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Toshimasa Yamauchi
- Department of Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | - Yukinori Okada
- Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.
- Laboratory for Systems Genetics, RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama City, Kanagawa, Japan.
- Department of Genome Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
- Laboratory of Statistical Immunology, Immunology Frontier Research Center (WPI-IFReC), Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.
- Premium Research Institute for Human Metaverse Medicine (WPI-PRIMe), Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.
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10
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Chao TH, Lin TH, Cheng CI, Wu YW, Ueng KC, Wu YJ, Lin WW, Leu HB, Cheng HM, Huang CC, Wu CC, Lin CF, Chang WT, Pan WH, Chen PR, Ting KH, Su CH, Chu CS, Chien KL, Yen HW, Wang YC, Su TC, Liu PY, Chang HY, Chen PW, Juang JMJ, Lu YW, Lin PL, Wang CP, Ko YS, Chiang CE, Hou CJY, Wang TD, Lin YH, Huang PH, Chen WJ. 2024 Guidelines of the Taiwan Society of Cardiology on the Primary Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease --- Part I. ACTA CARDIOLOGICA SINICA 2024; 40:479-543. [PMID: 39308649 PMCID: PMC11413940 DOI: 10.6515/acs.202409_40(5).20240724a] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 07/24/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024]
Abstract
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is one of the leading causes of death worldwide and in Taiwan. It is highly prevalent and has a tremendous impact on global health. Therefore, the Taiwan Society of Cardiology developed these best-evidence preventive guidelines for decision-making in clinical practice involving aspects of primordial prevention including national policies, promotion of health education, primary prevention of clinical risk factors, and management and control of clinical risk factors. These guidelines cover the full spectrum of ASCVD, including chronic coronary syndrome, acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral artery disease, and aortic aneurysm. In order to enhance medical education and health promotion not only for physicians but also for the general public, we propose a slogan (2H2L) for the primary prevention of ASCVD on the basis of the essential role of healthy dietary pattern and lifestyles: "Healthy Diet and Healthy Lifestyles to Help Your Life and Save Your Lives". We also propose an acronym of the modifiable risk factors/enhancers and relevant strategies to facilitate memory: " ABC2D2EFG-I'M2 ACE": Adiposity, Blood pressure, Cholesterol and Cigarette smoking, Diabetes mellitus and Dietary pattern, Exercise, Frailty, Gout/hyperuricemia, Inflammation/infection, Metabolic syndrome and Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, Atmosphere (environment), Chronic kidney disease, and Easy life (sleep well and no stress). Some imaging studies can be risk enhancers. Some risk factors/clinical conditions are deemed to be preventable, and healthy dietary pattern, physical activity, and body weight control remain the cornerstone of the preventive strategy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ting-Hsing Chao
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Shan Medical University Hospital; School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung
| | - Tsung-Hsien Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital
- Faculty of Medicine and Graduate Institute of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University
| | - Cheng-I Cheng
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung; School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan
| | - Yen-Wen Wu
- Division of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Medical Center, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, New Taipei City
- School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
- Graduate Institute of Medicine, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan
| | - Kwo-Chang Ueng
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Shan Medical University Hospital; School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung
| | - Yih-Jer Wu
- Department of Medicine and Institute of Biomedical Sciences, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei City
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei
| | - Wei-Wen Lin
- Cardiovascular Center, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung
| | - Hsing-Ban Leu
- School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
- Healthcare and Management Center
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital
| | - Hao-Min Cheng
- Ph.D. Program of Interdisciplinary Medicine (PIM), National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University College of Medicine; Division of Faculty Development; Center for Evidence-based Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital; Institute of Public Health; Institute of Health and Welfare Policy, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University College of Medicine
| | - Chin-Chou Huang
- School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
| | - Chih-Cheng Wu
- Center of Quality Management, National Taiwan University Hospital Hsinchu Branch, Hsinchu; College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei; Institute of Biomedical Engineering, National Tsing-Hua University, Hsinchu; Institute of Cellular and System Medicine, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan
| | - Chao-Feng Lin
- Department of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei City; Department of Cardiology, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei
| | - Wei-Ting Chang
- School of Medicine and Doctoral Program of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, College of Medicine and Center of Excellence for Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung; Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan
| | - Wen-Han Pan
- Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei; Institute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli; and Institute of Biochemistry and Biotechnology, National Taiwan University
| | - Pey-Rong Chen
- Department of Dietetics, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei
| | - Ke-Hsin Ting
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yunlin Christian Hospital, Yunlin
| | - Chun-Hung Su
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Shan Medical University Hospital; School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung
| | - Chih-Sheng Chu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Municipal Ta-Tung Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung
| | - Kuo-Liong Chien
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University; Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and College of Medicine; Population Health Research Center, National Taiwan University, Taipei
| | - Hsueh-Wei Yen
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital
| | - Yu-Chen Wang
- Division of Cardiology, Asia University Hospital; Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, Asia University; Division of Cardiology, China Medical University College of Medicine and Hospital, Taichung
| | - Ta-Chen Su
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital
- Department of Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine
| | - Pang-Yen Liu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center
| | - Hsien-Yuan Chang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan
| | - Po-Wei Chen
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan
| | - Jyh-Ming Jimmy Juang
- Heart Failure Center and Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, and National Taiwan University Hospital
| | - Ya-Wen Lu
- Cardiovascular Center, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
| | - Po-Lin Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hsinchu MacKay Memorial Hospital, Hsinchu
| | - Chao-Ping Wang
- Division of Cardiology, E-Da Hospital; School of Medicine for International Students, College of Medicine, I-Shou University, Kaohsiung
| | - Yu-Shien Ko
- Cardiovascular Division, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital; College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan
| | - Chern-En Chiang
- General Clinical Research Center and Division of Cardiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital and National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
| | - Charles Jia-Yin Hou
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei
| | - Tzung-Dau Wang
- Cardiovascular Center and Divisions of Hospital Medicine and Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine
| | - Yen-Hung Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei
| | - Po-Hsun Huang
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital
| | - Wen-Jone Chen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Min-Sheng General Hospital, Taoyuan; Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
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11
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Shiba K, Inoue K. Harnessing causal forests for epidemiologic research: key considerations. Am J Epidemiol 2024; 193:813-818. [PMID: 38319713 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwae003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2023] [Revised: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 02/02/2024] [Indexed: 02/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Assessing heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an essential task in epidemiology. The recent integration of machine learning into causal inference has provided a new, flexible tool for evaluating complex HTEs: causal forest. In a recent paper, Jawadekar et al (Am J Epidemiol. 2023;192(7):1155-1165) introduced this innovative approach and offered practical guidelines for applied users. Building on their work, this commentary provides additional insights and guidance to promote the understanding and application of causal forest in epidemiologic research. We start with conceptual clarifications, differentiating between honesty and cross-fitting, and exploring the interpretation of estimated conditional average treatment effects. We then delve into practical considerations not addressed by Jawadekar et al, including motivations for estimating HTEs, calibration approaches, and ways to leverage causal forest output with examples from simulated data. We conclude by outlining challenges to consider for future advancements and applications of causal forest in epidemiologic research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Koichiro Shiba
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA 02118, United States
| | - Kosuke Inoue
- Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan
- Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan
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12
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Lu KC, Hung KC, Liao MT, Shih LJ, Chao CT. Vascular Calcification Heterogeneity from Bench to Bedside: Implications for Manifestations, Pathogenesis, and Treatment Considerations. Aging Dis 2024; 16:683-692. [PMID: 38739930 PMCID: PMC11964443 DOI: 10.14336/ad.2024.0289] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 04/20/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Vascular calcification (VC) is the ectopic deposition of calcium-containing apatite within vascular walls, exhibiting a high prevalence in older adults, and those with diabetes or chronic kidney disease. VC is a subclinical cardiovascular risk trait that increases mortality and functional deterioration. However, effective treatments for VC remain largely unavailable despite multiple attempts. Part of this therapeutic nihilism results from the failure to appreciate the diversity of VC as a pathological complex, with unforeseeable variations in morphology, risk associates, and anatomical and molecular pathogenesis, affecting clinical management strategies. VC should not be considered a homogeneous pathology because accumulating evidence refutes its conceptual and content uniformity. Here, we summarize the pathophysiological sources of VC heterogeneity from the intersecting pathways and networks of cellular, subcellular, and molecular crosstalk. Part of these pathological connections are synergistic or mutually antagonistic. We then introduce clinical implications related to the VC heterogeneity concept. Even within the same individual, a specific artery may exhibit the strongest tendency for calcification compared with other arteries. The prognostic value of VC may only be detectable with a detailed characterization of calcification morphology and features. VC heterogeneity is also evident, as VC risk factors vary between different arterial segments and layers. Therefore, diagnostic and screening strategies for VC may be improved based on VC heterogeneity, including the use of radiomics. Finally, pursuing a homogeneous treatment strategy is discouraged and we suggest a more rational approach by diversifying the treatment spectrum. This may greatly benefit subsequent efforts to identify effective VC therapeutics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kuo-Cheng Lu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, New Taipei, Taiwan.
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, School of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Kuo-Chin Hung
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Min-Sheng General Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
- Department of Pharmacy, Tajen University, Pingtung, Taiwan.
| | - Min-Tser Liao
- Department of Pediatrics, Taoyuan Armed Forces General Hospital, Hsinchu Branch, Hsinchu, Taiwan.
- Department of Pediatrics, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Li-Jane Shih
- Department of Medical Laboratory, Taoyuan Armed Forces General Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
- Graduate Institute of Medical Science, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Chia-Ter Chao
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Min-Sheng General Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Graduate Institute of Toxicology, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Center of Faculty Development, National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
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13
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Matsuyama Y, Aida J, Kondo K, Shiba K. Heterogeneous Association of Tooth Loss with Functional Limitations. J Dent Res 2024; 103:369-377. [PMID: 38533640 DOI: 10.1177/00220345241226957] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Tooth loss is prevalent in older adults and associated with functional capacity decline. Studies on the susceptibility of some individuals to the effects of tooth loss are lacking. This study aimed to investigate the heterogeneity of the association between tooth loss and higher-level functional capacity in older Japanese individuals employing a machine learning approach. This is a prospective cohort study using the data of adults aged ≥65 y in Japan (N = 16,553). Higher-level functional capacity, comprising instrumental independence, intellectual activity, and social role, was evaluated using the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology Index of Competence (TMIG-IC). The scale ranged from 0 (lowest function) to 13 (highest function). Doubly robust targeted maximum likelihood estimation was used to estimate the population-average association between tooth loss (having <20 natural teeth) and TMIG-IC total score after 6 y. The heterogeneity of the association was evaluated by estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) using the causal forest algorithm. The result showed that tooth loss was statistically significantly associated with lower TMIG-IC total scores (population-average effect: -0.14; 95% confidence interval, -0.18 to -0.09). The causal forest analysis revealed the heterogeneous associations between tooth loss and lower TMIG-IC total score after 6 y (median of estimated CATEs = -0.13; interquartile range = 0.12). The high-impact subgroup (i.e., individuals with estimated CATEs of the bottom 10%) were significantly more likely to be older and male, had a lower socioeconomic status, did not have a partner, and had poor health conditions compared with the low-impact subgroup (i.e., individuals with estimated CATEs of the top 10%). This study found that heterogeneity exists in the association between tooth loss and lower scores on functional capacity. Implementing tooth loss prevention policy and clinical measures, especially among vulnerable subpopulations significantly affected by tooth loss, may reduce its burden more effectively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y Matsuyama
- Department of Oral Health Promotion, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan
| | - J Aida
- Department of Oral Health Promotion, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan
| | - K Kondo
- Center for Preventive Medical Sciences, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan
- Center for Gerontology and Social Science, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Chiba, Japan
| | - K Shiba
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
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14
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Makimoto H, Kohro T. Adopting artificial intelligence in cardiovascular medicine: a scoping review. Hypertens Res 2024; 47:685-699. [PMID: 37907600 DOI: 10.1038/s41440-023-01469-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2023] [Revised: 09/03/2023] [Accepted: 09/26/2023] [Indexed: 11/02/2023]
Abstract
Recent years have witnessed significant transformations in cardiovascular medicine, driven by the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI). This scoping review was conducted to capture the breadth of AI applications within cardiovascular science. Employing a structured approach, we sourced relevant articles from PubMed, with an emphasis on journals encompassing general cardiology and digital medicine. We applied filters to highlight cardiovascular articles published in journals focusing on general internal medicine, cardiology and digital medicine, thereby identifying the prevailing trends in the field. Following a comprehensive full-text screening, a total of 140 studies were identified. Over the preceding 5 years, cardiovascular medicine's interplay with AI has seen an over tenfold augmentation. This expansive growth encompasses multiple cardiovascular subspecialties, including but not limited to, general cardiology, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, and arrhythmia. Deep learning emerged as the predominant methodology. The majority of AI endeavors in this domain have been channeled toward enhancing diagnostic and prognostic capabilities, utilizing resources such as hospital datasets, electrocardiograms, and echocardiography. A significant uptrend was observed in AI's application for omics data analysis. However, a clear gap persists in AI's full-scale integration into the clinical decision-making framework. AI, particularly deep learning, has demonstrated robust applications across cardiovascular subspecialties, indicating its transformative potential in this field. As we continue on this trajectory, ensuring the alignment of technological progress with medical ethics becomes crucial. The abundant digital health data today further accentuates the need for meticulous systematic reviews, tailoring them to each cardiovascular subspecialty.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hisaki Makimoto
- Data Science Center/Cardiovascular Center, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Japan.
| | - Takahide Kohro
- Data Science Center/Cardiovascular Center, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Japan
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15
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Ichita C, Shimizu S, Goto T, Haruki U, Itoh N, Iwagami M, Sasaki A. Effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis for acute esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with band ligation: A large observational study. World J Gastroenterol 2024; 30:238-251. [PMID: 38314133 PMCID: PMC10835525 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v30.i3.238] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2023] [Revised: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 01/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Esophageal variceal bleeding is a severe complication associated with liver cirrhosis and typically necessitates endoscopic hemostasis. The current standard treatment is endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL), and Western guidelines recommend antibiotic prophylaxis following hemostasis. However, given the improvements in prognosis for variceal bleeding due to advancements in the management of bleeding and treatments of liver cirrhosis and the global concerns regarding the emergence of multidrug-resistant bacteria, there is a need to reassess the use of routine antibiotic prophylaxis after hemostasis. AIM To evaluate the effectiveness of antibiotic prophylaxis in patients treated for EVL. METHODS We conducted a 13-year observational study using the Tokushukai medical database across 46 hospitals. Patients were divided into the prophylaxis group (received antibiotics on admission or the next day) and the non-prophylaxis group (did not receive antibiotics within one day of admission). The primary outcome was composed of 6-wk mortality, 4-wk rebleeding, and 4-wk spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). The secondary outcomes were each individual result and in-hospital mortality. A logistic regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting was used. A subgroup analysis was conducted based on the Child-Pugh classification to determine its influence on the primary outcome measures, while sensitivity analyses for antibiotic type and duration were also performed. RESULTS Among 980 patients, 790 were included (prophylaxis: 232, non-prophylaxis: 558). Most patients were males under the age of 65 years with a median Child-Pugh score of 8. The composite primary outcomes occurred in 11.2% of patients in the prophylaxis group and 9.5% in the non-prophylaxis group. No significant differences in outcomes were observed between the groups (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.99; P = 0.74). Individual outcomes such as 6-wk mortality, 4-wk rebleeding, 4-wk onset of SBP, and in-hospital mortality were not significantly different between the groups. The primary outcome did not differ between the Child-Pugh subgroups. Similar results were observed in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION No significant benefit to antibiotic prophylaxis for esophageal variceal bleeding treated with EVL was detected in this study. Global reassessment of routine antibiotic prophylaxis is imperative.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chikamasa Ichita
- Gastroenterology Medicine Center, Shonan Kamakura General Hospital, Kamakura 247-8533, Kanagawa, Japan
- Department of Health Data Science, Yokohama City University, Yokohama 236-0027, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Sayuri Shimizu
- Department of Health Data Science, Yokohama City University, Yokohama 236-0027, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Tadahiro Goto
- Department of Health Data Science, Yokohama City University, Yokohama 236-0027, Kanagawa, Japan
- TXP Research, TXP Medical Co., Ltd., Chiyoda-ku 101-0042, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Uojima Haruki
- Gastroenterology Medicine Center, Shonan Kamakura General Hospital, Kamakura 247-8533, Kanagawa, Japan
- Department of Genome Medical Sciences Project, Research Institute, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Ichikawa 272-8516, Chiba, Japan
| | - Naoya Itoh
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Aichi Cancer Center, Nagoya 464-8681, Aichi, Japan
| | - Masao Iwagami
- Department of Health Services Research, Institute of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba 305-8575, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Akiko Sasaki
- Gastroenterology Medicine Center, Shonan Kamakura General Hospital, Kamakura 247-8533, Kanagawa, Japan
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16
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Dou Y, Liu J, Meng W, Zhang Y. Comparative analysis of supervised learning algorithms for prediction of cardiovascular diseases. Technol Health Care 2024; 32:241-251. [PMID: 38759053 PMCID: PMC11191474 DOI: 10.3233/thc-248021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND With the advent of artificial intelligence technology, machine learning algorithms have been widely used in the area of disease prediction. OBJECTIVE Cardiovascular disease (CVD) seriously jeopardizes human health worldwide, thereby needing the establishment of an effective CVD prediction model that can be of great significance for controlling the risk of the disease and safeguarding the physical and mental health of the population. METHODS Considering the UCI heart disease dataset as an example, initially, a single machine learning prediction model was constructed. Subsequently, six methods such as Pearson, chi-squared, RFE and LightGBM were comprehensively used for the feature screening. On the basis of the base classifiers, Soft Voting fusion and Stacking fusion was carried out to build a prediction model for cardiovascular diseases, in order to realize an early warning and disease intervention for high-risk populations. To address the data imbalance problem, the SMOTE method was adopted to process the data set, and the prediction effect of the model was analyzed using multi-dimensional and multi-indicators. RESULTS In the single classifier model, the MLP algorithm performed optimally on the preprocessed heart disease dataset. After feature selection, five features eliminated. The ENSEM_SV algorithm that combines the base classifiers to determine the prediction results by soft voting on the results of the classifiers achieved the optimal value on five metrics such as Accuracy, Jaccard_Score, Hamm_Loss, AUC, etc., and the AUC value reached 0.951. The RF, ET, GBDT, and LGB algorithms were employed in the first stage sub-model composed of base classifiers. The AB algorithm was selected as the second stage model, and the ensemble algorithm ENSEM_ST, obtained by Stacking fusion of the two stages exhibited the best performance on 7 indicators such as Accuracy, Sensitivity, F1_Score, Mathew_Corrcoef, etc., and the AUC reached 0.952. Furthermore, a comparison of the algorithms' classification effects based on different training set occupancy was carried out. The results indicated that the prediction performance of both the fusion models was better than the single models, and the overall effect of ENSEM_ST fusion was stronger than the ENSEM_SV fusion. CONCLUSIONS The fusion model established in this study improved the overall classification accuracy and stability of the model to a significant extent. It has a good application value in the predictive analysis of CVD diagnosis, and can provide a valuable reference in the disease diagnosis and intervention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yifeng Dou
- Network Information Center, Tianjin Baodi Hospital, Tianjin, China
- Baodi Clinical College, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China
| | - Jiantao Liu
- Network Information Center, Tianjin Baodi Hospital, Tianjin, China
- Baodi Clinical College, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China
| | - Wentao Meng
- Network Information Center, Tianjin Baodi Hospital, Tianjin, China
- Baodi Clinical College, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China
| | - Yingchao Zhang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Baodi Hospital, Tianjin, China
- Baodi Clinical College, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China
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Osawa I, Goto T, Kudo D, Hayakawa M, Yamakawa K, Kushimoto S, Foster DM, Kellum JA, Doi K. Targeted therapy using polymyxin B hemadsorption in patients with sepsis: a post-hoc analysis of the JSEPTIC-DIC study and the EUPHRATES trial. Crit Care 2023; 27:245. [PMID: 37344804 PMCID: PMC10286480 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-023-04533-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 06/23/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Polymyxin B hemadsorption (PMX-HA) reduces blood endotoxin levels, but characteristics of patients with sepsis likely to benefit from PMX-HA are not well known. We sought to identify patient subgroups likely to benefit from PMX-HA. METHODS We retrospectively identified 1911 patients with sepsis from a retrospective observational study in Japan (the JSEPTIC-DIC study) and 286 patients with endotoxemic septic shock from a randomized controlled trial in North America that restricted patients to those with high endotoxin activity (the EUPHRATES trial). We applied the machine learning-based causal forest model to the JSEPTIC-DIC cohort to investigate heterogeneity in treatment effects of PMX-HA on 28-day survival after adjusting for potential confounders and ascertain the best criteria for PMX-HA use. The derived criteria for targeted therapy by PMX-HA were validated using the EUPHRATES trial cohort. RESULTS The causal forest model revealed heterogeneity in treatment effects of PMX-HA. Since patients having higher treatment effects were more likely to have severe coagulopathy and hyperlactatemia, we identified the potential treatment targets of PMX-HA as patients with PT-INR > 1.4 or lactate > 3 mmol/L. In the EUPHRATES trial cohort, PMX-HA use on the targeted subpopulation (75% of all patients) was significantly associated with higher 28-day survival (PMX-HA vs. control, 68% vs. 52%; treatment effect of PMX-HA, + 16% [95% CI + 2.2% to + 30%], p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS Abnormal coagulation and hyperlactatemia in septic patients with high endotoxin activity appear to be helpful to identify patients who may benefit most from PMX-HA. Our findings will inform enrollment criteria for future interventional trials targeting patients with coagulopathy and hyperlactatemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Itsuki Osawa
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, The University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 1130033, Japan
| | - Tadahiro Goto
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- TXP Medical Co. Ltd., Tokyo, Japan
| | - Daisuke Kudo
- Division of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Mineji Hayakawa
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Hokkaido University Hospital, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Kazuma Yamakawa
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Osaka, Japan
| | - Shigeki Kushimoto
- Division of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Miyagi, Japan
| | | | - John A Kellum
- Spectral Medical, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Center for Critical Care Nephrology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Kent Doi
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, The University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 1130033, Japan.
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Naghavi M, De Oliveira I, Mao SS, Jaberzadeh A, Montoya J, Zhang C, Atlas K, Manubolu V, Montes M, Li D, Atlas T, Reeves A, Henschke C, Yankelevitz D, Budoff M. Opportunistic AI-enabled automated bone mineral density measurements in lung cancer screening and coronary calcium scoring CT scans are equivalent. Eur J Radiol Open 2023; 10:100492. [PMID: 37214544 PMCID: PMC10196960 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejro.2023.100492] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Rationale and objectives We previously reported a novel manual method for measuring bone mineral density (BMD) in coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans and validated our method against Dual X-Ray Absorptiometry (DEXA). Furthermore, we have developed and validated an artificial intelligence (AI) based automated BMD (AutoBMD) measurement as an opportunistic add-on to CAC scans that recently received FDA approval. In this report, we present evidence of equivalency between AutoBMD measurements in cardiac vs lung CT scans. Materials and methods AI models were trained using 132 cases with 7649 (3 mm) slices for CAC, and 37 cases with 21918 (0.5 mm) slices for lung scans. To validate AutoBMD against manual measurements, we used 6776 cases of BMD measured manually on CAC scans in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We then used 165 additional cases from Harbor UCLA Lundquist Institute to compare AutoBMD in patients who underwent both cardiac and lung scans on the same day. Results Mean±SD for age was 69 ± 9.4 years with 52.4% male. AutoBMD in lung and cardiac scans, and manual BMD in cardiac scans were 153.7 ± 43.9, 155.1 ± 44.4, and 163.6 ± 45.3 g/cm3, respectively (p = 0.09). Bland-Altman agreement analysis between AutoBMD lung and cardiac scans resulted in 1.37 g/cm3 mean differences. Pearson correlation coefficient between lung and cardiac AutoBMD was R2 = 0.95 (p < 0.0001). Conclusion Opportunistic BMD measurement using AutoBMD in CAC and lung cancer screening scans is promising and yields similar results. No extra radiation plus the high prevalence of asymptomatic osteoporosis makes AutoBMD an ideal screening tool for osteopenia and osteoporosis in CT scans done for other reasons.
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Affiliation(s)
- Morteza Naghavi
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Isabel De Oliveira
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Song Shou Mao
- Lundquist Institute, Harbor UCLA Medical Center, 1124 W Carson St, Torrance, CA 90502, USA
| | | | - Juan Montoya
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Chenyu Zhang
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Kyle Atlas
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Venkat Manubolu
- Lundquist Institute, Harbor UCLA Medical Center, 1124 W Carson St, Torrance, CA 90502, USA
| | - Marlon Montes
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | - Dong Li
- Emory University, 201 Dowman Dr, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | - Thomas Atlas
- HeartLung AI Technologies, TMC Innovation, 2450 Holcomb Blvd, Houston, TX 77021
| | | | | | | | - Matthew Budoff
- Lundquist Institute, Harbor UCLA Medical Center, 1124 W Carson St, Torrance, CA 90502, USA
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