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Lin S, Zheng J, Zhou C, Feng S, Lin Z. Developing a nomogram for forecasting the 28-day mortality rate of individuals with bleeding esophageal varices using model for end-stage liver disease scores. J Gastrointest Surg 2024; 28:1646-1653. [PMID: 39094676 DOI: 10.1016/j.gassur.2024.07.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2024] [Revised: 06/28/2024] [Accepted: 07/27/2024] [Indexed: 08/04/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to create a nomogram using the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) that can better predict the risk of 28-day mortality in patients with bleeding esophageal varices. METHODS Data on patients with bleeding esophageal varices were retrospectively collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database. Variables were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression model and were used to construct a prognostic nomogram. The nomogram was evaluated against the MELD model using various methods, including receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, calibration plotting, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS A total of 280 patients were included in the study. The patient's use of vasopressin and norepinephrine, respiratory rate, temperature, mean corpuscular volume, and MELD score were included in the nomogram. The area under the ROC curve, NRI, IDI, and DCA of the nomogram indicated that it performs better than the MELD alone. CONCLUSION A nomogram was created that outperformed the MELD score in forecasting the risk of 28-day mortality in individuals with bleeding esophageal varices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Siming Lin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Department of Emergency Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Jantao Zheng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Quanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, China
| | - Chanjuan Zhou
- Department of Geriatrics, Quanzhou First Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, China
| | - Shaodan Feng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Department of Emergency Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Zhihong Lin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Department of Emergency Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
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Berg T, Aehling NF, Bruns T, Welker MW, Weismüller T, Trebicka J, Tacke F, Strnad P, Sterneck M, Settmacher U, Seehofer D, Schott E, Schnitzbauer AA, Schmidt HH, Schlitt HJ, Pratschke J, Pascher A, Neumann U, Manekeller S, Lammert F, Klein I, Kirchner G, Guba M, Glanemann M, Engelmann C, Canbay AE, Braun F, Berg CP, Bechstein WO, Becker T, Trautwein C. [Not Available]. ZEITSCHRIFT FUR GASTROENTEROLOGIE 2024; 62:1397-1573. [PMID: 39250961 DOI: 10.1055/a-2255-7246] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/11/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Thomas Berg
- Bereich Hepatologie, Medizinischen Klinik II, Universitätsklinikum Leipzig, Leipzig, Deutschland
| | - Niklas F Aehling
- Bereich Hepatologie, Medizinischen Klinik II, Universitätsklinikum Leipzig, Leipzig, Deutschland
| | - Tony Bruns
- Medizinische Klinik III, Universitätsklinikum Aachen, Aachen, Deutschland
| | - Martin-Walter Welker
- Medizinische Klinik I Gastroent., Hepat., Pneum., Endokrin. Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Deutschland
| | - Tobias Weismüller
- Klinik für Innere Medizin - Gastroenterologie und Hepatologie, Vivantes Humboldt-Klinikum, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Jonel Trebicka
- Medizinische Klinik B für Gastroenterologie und Hepatologie, Universitätsklinikum Münster, Münster, Deutschland
| | - Frank Tacke
- Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Medizinische Klinik m. S. Hepatologie und Gastroenterologie, Campus Virchow-Klinikum (CVK) und Campus Charité Mitte (CCM), Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Pavel Strnad
- Medizinische Klinik III, Universitätsklinikum Aachen, Aachen, Deutschland
| | - Martina Sterneck
- Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik I, Universitätsklinikum Hamburg, Hamburg, Deutschland
| | - Utz Settmacher
- Klinik für Allgemein-, Viszeral- und Gefäßchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Jena, Jena, Deutschland
| | - Daniel Seehofer
- Klinik für Viszeral-, Transplantations-, Thorax- und Gefäßchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Leipzig, Leipzig, Deutschland
| | - Eckart Schott
- Klinik für Innere Medizin II - Gastroenterologie, Hepatologie und Diabetolgie, Helios Klinikum Emil von Behring, Berlin, Deutschland
| | | | - Hartmut H Schmidt
- Klinik für Gastroenterologie und Hepatologie, Universitätsklinikum Essen, Essen, Deutschland
| | - Hans J Schlitt
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Chirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Regensburg, Regensburg, Deutschland
| | - Johann Pratschke
- Chirurgische Klinik, Charité Campus Virchow-Klinikum - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Andreas Pascher
- Klinik für Allgemein-, Viszeral- und Transplantationschirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Münster, Münster, Deutschland
| | - Ulf Neumann
- Klinik für Allgemein-, Viszeral- und Transplantationschirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Essen, Essen, Deutschland
| | - Steffen Manekeller
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Allgemein-, Viszeral-, Thorax- und Gefäßchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Bonn, Bonn, Deutschland
| | - Frank Lammert
- Medizinische Hochschule Hannover (MHH), Hannover, Deutschland
| | - Ingo Klein
- Chirurgische Klinik I, Universitätsklinikum Würzburg, Würzburg, Deutschland
| | - Gabriele Kirchner
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Chirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Regensburg und Innere Medizin I, Caritaskrankenhaus St. Josef Regensburg, Regensburg, Deutschland
| | - Markus Guba
- Klinik für Allgemeine, Viszeral-, Transplantations-, Gefäß- und Thoraxchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum München, München, Deutschland
| | - Matthias Glanemann
- Klinik für Allgemeine, Viszeral-, Gefäß- und Kinderchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum des Saarlandes, Homburg, Deutschland
| | - Cornelius Engelmann
- Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Medizinische Klinik m. S. Hepatologie und Gastroenterologie, Campus Virchow-Klinikum (CVK) und Campus Charité Mitte (CCM), Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Ali E Canbay
- Medizinische Klinik, Universitätsklinikum Knappschaftskrankenhaus Bochum, Bochum, Deutschland
| | - Felix Braun
- Klinik für Allgemeine Chirurgie, Viszeral-, Thorax-, Transplantations- und Kinderchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Schlewswig-Holstein, Kiel, Deutschland
| | - Christoph P Berg
- Innere Medizin I Gastroenterologie, Hepatologie, Infektiologie, Universitätsklinikum Tübingen, Tübingen, Deutschland
| | - Wolf O Bechstein
- Klinik für Allgemein- und Viszeralchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Deutschland
| | - Thomas Becker
- Klinik für Allgemeine Chirurgie, Viszeral-, Thorax-, Transplantations- und Kinderchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Schlewswig-Holstein, Kiel, Deutschland
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Lashen SA, Salem P, Ibrahim E, Abd Elmoaty D, Yousif WI. Hematological ratios in patients with acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure: prognostic factors. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 36:952-960. [PMID: 38829945 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002782] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is the most severe form of acutely decompensated cirrhosis and is characterized by the presence of intense systemic inflammation. Leucocyte quantification can serve as an indirect indicator of systemic inflammation. In our study, we investigated the predictive value of hematological ratios (neutrophils to lymphocytes, monocyte to lymphocytes, platelets to lymphocytes, lymphocytes to C-reactive protein, and neutrophils to lymphocytes and platelets) in acute decompensation (AD) and ACLF patients and their relation to disease severity and early mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS We included 60 patients with ACLF and AD, and 30 cirrhotic controls. Clinical data were collected, and survival was followed for 1 and 6 months. Blood samples were analyzed at admission for differential leucocytes and assessed for liver and renal function tests. The leukocyte ratios were calculated and compared, and their correlation with liver function indicators and prognosis was assessed. RESULTS All ratios were significantly higher in AD and ACLF patients compared to control (except for lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio which was significantly lower), and were positively correlated with Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na, and ACLF severity scores. Multivariate regression revealed that neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, and MELD-Na were independent prognostic factors of 1-month and 6-month mortality. A unique prognostic nomogram incorporating MELD-Na, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio could be proposed for predicting prognosis in AD and ACLF patients. CONCLUSIONS Cheap, easy, and noninvasive hematological ratios are introduced as a tool for early identification and risk stratification of AD and ACLF patients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Dalia Abd Elmoaty
- Clinical and Chemical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt
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Yankov YG, Bocheva Y. Comparative Characterization of Procalcitonin (Sensitivity, Specificity, Predictability, and Cut-Off Reference Values) as a Marker of Inflammation in Odontogenic Abscesses of the Head and Neck in the Female Population. Cureus 2023; 15:e48207. [PMID: 38050495 PMCID: PMC10693721 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.48207] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/03/2023] [Indexed: 12/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Odontogenic abscesses of the head and neck can lead to serious complications and even end in death. This requires healthcare professionals to have a good knowledge of all the markers of inflammation that can be used in their diagnosis and treatment. Such markers that we use in our daily medical practice are leukocytes (WBC), neutrophils (Neu), and C-reactive protein (CRP). Somehow, in the background is procalcitonin (PCT), which has not been studied in detail in this type of purulent infection. The aim of the present study is to investigate and analyze PCT in odontogenic purulent infections of the head and neck in the female population and to compare it with already proven markers of inflammation such as CRP, WBC, and Neu. For the first time in the literature, as per our knowledge, the sensitivity, specificity, and predictability of PCT were determined when using it as an independent indicator of inflammation, and its cut-off reference values were determined in women with odontogenic abscesses of the head and neck. Materials and methods This is a prospective study, in which the CRP, WBC, Neu, and PCT of 30 women with odontogenic abscesses of the head and neck with a mean age of 47 (18-81) years were examined and analyzed. As a control group, we included 30 healthy women with a mean age of 48 (18-80) years, in whom there was no anamnestic and physical evidence of the presence of any infection in the last three months. The four markers were measured for the control group too. Results In the clinical group of women with odontogenic abscesses of the head and neck, the average values of CRP, WBC, Neu, and PCT were significantly higher (p<0.0001) compared to the same in the control group of healthy women; CRP: 95.46±76.41 mg/l vs. 0.63±0.37 mg/l, WBC: 10.44±2.97x103/L vs. 6.5±1.49x103/L, Neu: 7.92±2.93x103/L vs. 4.03±1.07x103/L, PCT: 0.74±0.69 ng/ml vs. 0.14±0.08 ng/ml. Discussion PCT, as well as CRP, WBC, and Neu, increases its plasma concentration in women with odontogenic abscesses of the head and neck and is extremely well positively correlated with them, with a high correlation with CRP and a significant correlation with WBC and Neu. In addition, PCT has a number of advantages over the other markers; it begins to increase its plasma concentration faster, reaches its maximum plasma concentration faster, normalizes its concentration faster after the infection subsides, and increases its blood level only in bacterial infection genesis. Conclusions PCT as a marker of inflammation not only positively correlates well with CRP, WBC, and Neu but also, with its advantages over them, it appears to be the most accurate indicator in the diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up of odontogenic head and neck abscesses in the near future; not only in women but also in the male and children's population. Its sensitivity, specificity, and predictability as an independent indicator of inflammation are 80%, 76.7%, and 83%, respectively, and its cut-off value of 0.225 ng/ml is lower than the generally accepted 0.5 ng/ml.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanko G Yankov
- Maxillofacial Surgery, University Hospital St. Marina, Varna, BGR
- General and Operative Surgery, Medical University "Prof. Dr. Paraskev Stoyanov", Varna, BGR
| | - Yana Bocheva
- Cinical Laboratory, Medical University "Prof. Dr. Paraskev Stoyanov", Varna, BGR
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Jeong JH, Lee SB, Sung A, Shin H, Kim DH. Factors predicting mortality in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis visiting the emergency department. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e33074. [PMID: 36827072 PMCID: PMC11309678 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000033074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2022] [Revised: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 02/02/2023] [Indexed: 02/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Liver cirrhosis (LC) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and is becoming a regional and healthcare burden. South Korea is one of the 10 countries with the highest age standardized prevalence of decompensated LC. Moreover, the proportion of patients with alcoholic LC is increasing and there has been no decrease in the incidence of decompensated alcoholic LC. Patients with decompensated LC frequently visit the emergency department (ED). Several studies focused on patients with LC who visited the ED, but the studies about alcoholic LC were limited. This study aimed to identify predicting factors for mortality in alcoholic LC patients visiting the ED. This was a retrospective study of alcoholic LC patients who visited an ED between November 2017 and June 2021. The baseline characteristics, complications of LC, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and laboratory values including lactate were assessed. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. In total, 433 patients with alcoholic LC were included for analysis and the in hospital mortality rate was 15.9% (n = 69). Univariate regression analyses identified that MELD score, lactate, platelet, international normalized ratio, bilirubin, creatinine, albumin, and C-reactive protein (CRP) predicted in-hospital mortality. Multivariate regression analysis showed that MELD score, lactate, albumin, and CRP were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. MELD score, lactate, albumin, and CRP predicted the mortality in alcoholic LC patients visiting the ED.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Hee Jeong
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
- Gyeongsang Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Bong Lee
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Aejin Sung
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyuntack Shin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
| | - Dong Hoon Kim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine and Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
- Gyeongsang Institute of Health Sciences, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju-si, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea
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Role of Polypeptide Inflammatory Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Monitoring of COVID-19. Int J Pept Res Ther 2022; 28:59. [PMID: 35095356 PMCID: PMC8785374 DOI: 10.1007/s10989-022-10366-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic that took over the world in December 2019 has had everlasting devastating impacts on the lives of people globally. It manifests a huge symptom spectrum ranging from asymptomatic to critically ill patients with an unpredictable outcome. Timely diagnosis and assessment of disease severity is imperative for effective treatment. Possibilities exist that by the time symptoms appear the viral load might increase beyond control. However, it is advisable to get adequately diagnosed as soon as the first symptom appears. There is an immediate requirement of reliable biomarkers of COVID-19 manifesting an early onset for effective clinical management, stratification of high risk patients and ensuring ideal resource allocation. In this review, we attempt to explore and describe important polypeptide inflammatory biomarkers, namely C-reactive protein, Procalcitonin, Ferritin, Lactate Dehydrogenase, Serum amyloid A, Interleukin-6, Tumor necrosis factor-alpha and LIGHT used in the detection and management of COVID-19. Viral pathogenesis and the role of these inflammatory biomarkers is highlighted, based on the evidences available till date. An integrative data monitoring along with their correlation with the natural disease progression is of utmost importance in the management of COVID-19. So further research and in-depth analysis of these biomarkers is warranted in the present scenario.
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He X, Chen L, Chen H, Feng Y, Zhu B, Yang C. Diagnostic Accuracy of Procalcitonin for Bacterial Infection in Liver Failure: A Meta-Analysis. Bioinorg Chem Appl 2021; 2021:5801139. [PMID: 34646316 PMCID: PMC8505115 DOI: 10.1155/2021/5801139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2021] [Accepted: 06/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
The purpose of our studies was to systematically assess the accuracy and clinical value of plasma calcitonin in patients with liver failure complicated with bacterial infection. In this study, we included prospective observational studies or randomized controlled trials on PCT. The quality of the studies was evaluated using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) tool. Heterogeneity, pooled diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), pooled sensitivity, pooled specificity, pooled positive likelihood ratio, pooled negative likelihood ratio, the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC), and metaregression analysis were performed using Stata16.0 software. Consequently, the studies revealed substantial heterogeneity (I 2 = 96, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 94-99). The results of meta-analysis using random effect models suggested that the combined DOR was 10.67 (95% CI = 3.73-30.53). In addition, the threshold effect analysis showed that the threshold effect was 0.23 and the correlation coefficient was -0.48, indicating that there was no threshold effect. In the forest map, the DOR of each study and the combined DOR are not distributed along the same line, and Q = 2.2 × 1014, P ≤ 0.001. Furthermore, the metaregression analysis of PCT study design, bacterial infection site, and mean age displayed that the P values were >0.05. The combined sensitivity was 0.77 (95% CI = 0.54-0.90), the combined specificity was 0.76 (95% CI = 0.70-0.82), the combined positive likelihood ratio was 3.25 (95% CI = 2.33-4.52), the combined negative likelihood ratio was 0.30 (95% CI = 0.14-0.67), and the combined AUC was 0.80 (95% CI = 0.76-0.83). In conclusion, PCT has moderate diagnostic value for adult liver failure complicated with bacterial infection, and it is a better auxiliary diagnostic index for liver failure with bacterial infection. However, the results of procalcitonin must be carefully interpreted combined with medical history, physical examination, and microbiological assessment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinchun He
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
| | - Liang Chen
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
| | - Haiou Chen
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
| | - Yuqing Feng
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
| | - Baining Zhu
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
| | - Caixia Yang
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, Hunan 410005, China
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Qu R, Hu L, Ling Y, Hou Y, Fang H, Zhang H, Liang S, He Z, Fang M, Li J, Li X, Chen C. C-reactive protein concentration as a risk predictor of mortality in intensive care unit: a multicenter, prospective, observational study. BMC Anesthesiol 2020; 20:292. [PMID: 33225902 PMCID: PMC7680994 DOI: 10.1186/s12871-020-01207-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2020] [Accepted: 11/17/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background It is not clear whether there are valuable inflammatory markers for prognosis judgment in the intensive care unit (ICU). We therefore conducted a multicenter, prospective, observational study to evaluate the prognostic role of inflammatory markers. Methods The clinical and laboratory data of patients at admission, including C-reactive protein (CRP), were collected in four general ICUs from September 1, 2018, to August 1, 2019. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors independently associated with nonsurvival. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to evaluate the effect size of different factors in predicting mortality during ICU stay. 3 -knots were used to assess whether alternative cut points for these biomarkers were more appropriate. Results A total of 813 patients were recruited, among whom 121 patients (14.88%) died during the ICU stay. The AUC-ROC values of PCT and CRP for discriminating ICU mortality were 0.696 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.650–0.743) and 0.684 (95% CI, 0.633–0.735), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, only APACHE II score (odds ratio, 1.166; 95% CI, 1.129–1.203; P = 0.000) and CRP concentration > 62.8 mg/L (odds ratio, 2.145; 95% CI, 1.343–3.427; P = 0.001), were significantly associated with an increased risk of ICU mortality. Moreover, the combination of APACHE II score and CRP > 62.8 mg/L significantly improved risk reclassification over the APACHE II score alone, with NRI (0.556) and IDI (0.013). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed that CRP concentration > 62.8 mg/L was the optimal cut-off value for differentiating between surviving and nonsurviving patients. Conclusion CRP markedly improved risk reclassification for prognosis prediction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rong Qu
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, Guangdong, China.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Huizhou Municipal Central Hospital, 41 North E'ling Road, Huizhou, 516001, Guangdong, China
| | - Linhui Hu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Maoming People's Hospital, 101 Weimin Road, Maoming, 525000, Guangdong, China.,Clinical Research Center, Maoming People's Hospital, 101 Weimin Road, Maoming, 525000, Guangdong, China
| | - Yun Ling
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Huizhou Municipal Central Hospital, 41 North E'ling Road, Huizhou, 516001, Guangdong, China
| | - Yating Hou
- Clinical Research Center, Maoming People's Hospital, 101 Weimin Road, Maoming, 525000, Guangdong, China
| | - Heng Fang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit of Cardiovascular Surgery, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 96 Dongchuan Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 106 Zhongshan Er Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Huidan Zhang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit of Cardiovascular Surgery, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 96 Dongchuan Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 106 Zhongshan Er Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Silin Liang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit of Cardiovascular Surgery, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 96 Dongchuan Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 106 Zhongshan Er Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Zhimei He
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 106 Zhongshan Er Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Miaoxian Fang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit of Cardiovascular Surgery, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 96 Dongchuan Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Jiaxin Li
- Department of Intensive Care Unit of Cardiovascular Surgery, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, 96 Dongchuan Road, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China
| | - Xu Li
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, 1838 Guangzhou Avenue North, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
| | - Chunbo Chen
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, Guangdong, China. .,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Maoming People's Hospital Affiliated to Southern Medical University, 101 Weimin Road, Maoming, 525000, Guangdong, China.
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Chirapongsathorn S, Poovorawan K, Soonthornworasiri N, Pan‐ngum W, Phaosawasdi K, Treeprasertsuk S. Thirty-Day Readmission and Cost Analysis in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Nationwide Population-Based Data. Hepatol Commun 2020; 4:453-460. [PMID: 32140661 PMCID: PMC7049670 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1472] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2019] [Accepted: 12/07/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Accurate population-based data are needed on the rate, economic impact, and the long-term outcomes of readmission among patients with cirrhosis. To examine the rates, costs, and 1-year outcomes of patients readmitted within 30 days following their index hospitalization for complications of cirrhosis, we conducted a nationwide, population-based cohort study involving all patients with cirrhosis in Thailand from 2009 through 2013, using data from the National Health Security Office databases, which included those from nationwide hospitalizations. Readmission was captured from hospitals at all health care levels across the country within the Universal Coverage Scheme. For the 134,038 patients hospitalized with cirrhosis, the overall 30-day readmission rate was 17%. Common causes of readmission consisted of complications of portal hypertension (47%) and infections (17%). After adjusting for multiple covariates, predictors of 30-day readmission included hepatocellular carcinoma (odds ratio [OR] 1.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.84-2.06), human immunodeficiency virus-related admission (OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.51-2.17) and cholangiocarcinoma (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.3-2.05). In all, 2,936 deaths (13%) occurred during readmission, and an additional 14,425 deaths up to 1 year (63.5% total mortality among readmitted patients). Causes of death were mostly from liver-related mortality. Average cost at index admission for those with a 30-day readmission were significantly higher than those readmitted beyond 30 days or not readmitted. Conclusions: Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis complications had high rates of unscheduled 30-day readmission. Average hospitalization costs were high, and only 36.5% of patients readmitted within 30 days survived at 1 year.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sakkarin Chirapongsathorn
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyDepartment of MedicinePhramongkutklao HospitalCollege of Medicine, Royal Thai ArmyBangkokThailand
| | - Kittiyod Poovorawan
- Department of Clinical Tropical MedicineFaculty of Tropical MedicineMahidol UniversityBangkokThailand
| | | | - Wirichada Pan‐ngum
- Department of Tropical HygieneFaculty of Tropical MedicineMahidol UniversityBangkokThailand
| | | | - Sombat Treeprasertsuk
- Division of GastroenterologyDepartment of MedicineChulalongkorn UniversityBangkokThailand
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Li Y, Chen L, Fang W, Chen H. Application value of procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and interleukin-6 in the evaluation of traumatic shock. Exp Ther Med 2019; 17:4586-4592. [PMID: 31086589 PMCID: PMC6488981 DOI: 10.3892/etm.2019.7492] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2018] [Accepted: 04/02/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) were detected to explore the value of these inflammatory markers in the assessment of traumatic shock patients. The clinical data of 80 patients with traumatic shock and infections in Zhangzhou Municipal Hospital of Fujian Province from January 2014 to December 2017 were collected as the experimental group. During the same period, 80 acute trauma patients who did not suffer from traumatic shock were regarded as the control group. According to the prognosis outcomes, the experimental group was divided into 56 patients with good prognosis and 24 patients with poor prognosis. Also the PCT, CRP and IL-6 levels in serum of patients at admission (T1), 12 h after admission (T2), three days after admission (T3) and on day 7 (T4) were detected. The differences between the three inflammatory indicators, the pre-admission injury severity score (ISS score), the acute physiology and chronic psychological score (APACHE II score) were compared between the good prognosis and the poor prognosis group. The serum CRP at the T4 time period was significantly lower than both the T1 and T2 time periods (P<0.05). There were differences in serum PCT, CRP and IL-6 between the good prognosis and the poor prognosis group at the time of T1-T4 (P<0.05). The expression levels of PCT, CRP and IL-6 in the serum of patients with poor prognosis were higher than those with good prognosis (P<0.05). Pre-admission ISS scores and APACHE II scores in patients with good prognosis were lower than those with poor prognosis (P<0.05). Detection of PCT, CRP and IL-6 expression levels in serum of the patients has an important reference value for assessing the condition of patients with traumatic shock.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Li
- Department of Emergency, Zhangzhou Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Zhangzhou, Fujian 363000, P.R. China
| | - Ling Chen
- Department of Emergency, Zhangzhou Municipal Hospital of Fujian Province, Zhangzhou, Fujian 363000, P.R. China
| | - Wenge Fang
- Department of Emergency, Zhangzhou Municipal Hospital of Fujian Province, Zhangzhou, Fujian 363000, P.R. China
| | - Huihong Chen
- Department of Emergency, Zhangzhou Municipal Hospital of Fujian Province, Zhangzhou, Fujian 363000, P.R. China
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The Diagnostic and Prognostic Values of C-Reactive Protein and Procalcitonin during Bacterial Infections in Decompensated Cirrhosis. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2018; 2018:5915947. [PMID: 31582968 PMCID: PMC6748174 DOI: 10.1155/2018/5915947] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2018] [Accepted: 11/25/2018] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Bacterial infection (BI) represents the main cause of decompensation and death in cirrhotic patients. Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are two widely used biomarkers that may be helpful for early detection of BI especially in the presence of inflammation. Their accuracy for the diagnosis of BI in patients with chronic liver disease has been a subject of debate. In this study, we aimed to learn whether PCT and CRP would be helpful as early markers of BI in patients with cirrhosis and to evaluate their prognostic value in terms of mortality. Subjects and Methods We retrospectively included 92 adult patients with decompensated cirrhosis. PCT and CRP plasma levels were obtained within the first 24 hours of admission. Their diagnostic and prognostic values were compared using the appropriate statistical analysis. Results Ninety-two patients were included. BI was diagnosed in 60 patients (65%). Mean white blood cell (WBC) count (p = 0.005) and PCT and CRP serum levels (p < 0.001) were higher in the BI group than in the non-BI (NBI) group. The diagnostic accuracy of CRP and PCT for the diagnosis of BI was better than that of WBC. CRP was the most sensitive marker (70%) while PCT was the more specific (96.6%). No one of those biomarkers was predictive of 3-month mortality in patients with BI. Conclusion Regarding BI in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, CRP maintains efficiency slightly higher than that of the PCT without being discriminative. However, no prognostic value has been established for these markers.
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Choi JJ, McCarthy MW. Novel applications for serum procalcitonin testing in clinical practice. Expert Rev Mol Diagn 2017; 18:27-34. [PMID: 29148856 DOI: 10.1080/14737159.2018.1407244] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Procalcitonin has emerged as a reliable marker of acute bacterial infection in hospitalized patients and the assay has recently been incorporated into several clinical algorithms to reduce antimicrobial overuse, but its use in patients with end-organ dysfunction is controversial. Areas covered: In this review, the authors examine what is known about procalcitonin testing in patients with organ dysfunction, including those with end-stage renal disease, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cirrhosis, and explore how the assay is now being used in the management of non-infectious diseases. Expert commentary: Procalcitonin holds tremendous promise to identify a diverse set of medical conditions beyond those associated with acute bacterial infection, including post-surgical anastomotic leaks, acute kidney injury, and complications after intracerebral hemorrhage. The authors review recent studies examining procalcitonin in these areas and explore how the assay might be used to guide diagnosis and prognosis of non-infectious diseases in the near future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Justin J Choi
- a Division of General Internal Medicine , Weill Cornell Medical College, New York-Presbyterian Hospital , New York , NY , USA
| | - Matthew W McCarthy
- a Division of General Internal Medicine , Weill Cornell Medical College, New York-Presbyterian Hospital , New York , NY , USA
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