Maconi G, Bolzoni E, Giussani A, Friedman AB, Duca P. Accuracy and cost of diagnostic strategies for patients with suspected Crohn's disease.
J Crohns Colitis 2014;
8:1684-92. [PMID:
25179579 DOI:
10.1016/j.crohns.2014.08.005]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2014] [Revised: 08/06/2014] [Accepted: 08/08/2014] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE
To evaluate accuracy and cost of non-invasive diagnostic strategies including magnetic resonance imaging, intestinal ultrasonography, ileocolonoscopy and video-capsule endoscopy in suspected Crohn's disease.
METHODS
A decision-analytic model was used to assess the costs in low (25%), intermediate (50%) or high (75%) pre-test probability of Crohn's disease. Based on the published accuracy of diagnostic modalities and Bayes' rule, we calculated post-test probability of Crohn's disease using different strategies, starting from ileocolonoscopy, ultrasonography or magnetic resonance. Each strategy was considered successful when post-test probability was >95% or <5%.
RESULTS
With low pre-test probability, only ileocolonoscopy as the first investigation could exclude or confirm Crohn's disease while a normal ultrasonography may exclude Crohn's disease. With high pre-test probability, ileocolonoscopy or ultrasonography as the first test may confirm Crohn's disease, but at least 3 negative tests are required to exclude Crohn's disease. The cost to diagnose one patient was cheapest utilising an ultrasonography-based strategy both in low (ultrasonography €1076; ileocolonoscopy €2005; magnetic resonance €4515) and high pre-test probability of Crohn's disease (ultrasonography €321; ileocolonoscopy €712; magnetic resonance €1412).
CONCLUSION
The accuracy and cost of these strategies depend on pre-test probability of Crohn's disease and vary according to the first test used. Ileocolonoscopy plus ultrasonography is the most accurate and less expensive initial diagnostic strategy.
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