Retrospective Cohort Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2020.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Dec 15, 2020; 12(12): 1381-1393
Published online Dec 15, 2020. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v12.i12.1381
Table 1 Comparisons of choledocholithiasis patients who underwent endoscopic sphincterotomy/endoscopic papillary balloon dilatation, endoscopic sphincterotomy/endoscopic papillary balloon dilatation and cholecystectomy, and no intervention

ES/EPBD, n = 511, n (SD; %)
ES/EPBD and CCY, n = 100, n (SD; %)
Without intervention, n = 1485, n (SD; %)
P value
Age, mean (SD)67.44 (15.23)59.96 (16.87)66.16 (16.02)< 0.001
Age, yr
18-4940.08 (6.91)39.13 (8.43)39.48 (6.76)
50-6960.48 (5.43)58.21 (5.88)60.14 (5.55)
> 7079.45 (6.02)77.58 (4.71)79.89 (6.43)
Gender0.450
Male282 (55.19)49 (49.00)824 (55.49)
Female229 (44.81)51 (51.00)661 (44.51)
Follow-up time (mo), mean (SD)42.77 (22.20)47.91 (20.86)36.14 (24.87)< 0.001
Economic status0.445
MBS292 (57.14)54 (54.00)867 (58.38)
1-3 times MBS189 (36.99)36 (36.00)536 (36.09)
Above 3 times MBS29 (5.68)10 (10.00)82 (5.52)
Place of residence 0.154
City288 (56.36)68 (68.00)900 (60.61)
Countryside213 (41.68)31 (31.00)551 (37.10)
Remote village 9 (1.76)1 (1.00)33 (2.22)
Comorbidity
CHB50 (9.78)3 (3.00)154 (10.37)0.057
CHC23 (4.50)5 (5.00)103 (6.94)0.127
DM172 (33.66)29 (29.00)504 (33.94)0.599
ESRD8 (1.57)1 (1.00)32 (2.15)0.552
CCDL12 (2.35)2 (2.00)20 (1.35)0.289
CO0 (0.00)0 (0.00)0 (0.00)1.000
IBD8 (1.57)0 (0.00)32 (2.15)0.253
Cholangiocarcinoma
Number of CC39 (7.63)4 (4.00)90 (6.06)0.279
Number of CC after first 18 mo12 (2.35)1 (1.00)11 (0.74)0.013
Hazard ratio3.45 (1.52-7.82)1.31 (0.17-10.13)1.000.012
Time to diagnosis of CC (excluding case in first 18 mo), month39.71 (18.93)25.12 (0.00)43.27 (17.98)0.624
Overall mortality rate146 (28.57)12 (12.00)596 (40.13)< 0.001
Table 2 Incidence of cholangiocarcinoma among patients with choledocholithiasis who underwent therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and cholecystectomy, or no intervention compared with normal population (excluding cholangiocarcinoma in the first 18 mo)
Variable
Person-years at risk in study cohort
Person-years at risk in control cohort
No. of observed cases of cholangiocarcinoma in study cohort
No. of observed cases of cholangiocarcinoma in control cohort
Incidence rate/1000 person-years (95%CI) in study cohort
Incidence rate/1000 person-years (95%CI) in control cohort
P value
ES/EPBD
Total1659.7025360.071277.23 (3.92-12.29)0.28 (0.12-0.55)< 0.001
Gender
Male889.9513822.88434.50 (1.43-10.84)0.22 (0.06-0.59)< 0.001
Female769.7611537.208410.39 (4.83-19.74)0.35 (0.11-0.84)< 0.001
Age, years
18-49253.844392.03103.94 (0.20-19.43)0.00 (0.00-0.00)< 0.001
50-69574.788631.76456.96 (2.21-16.79)0.58 (0.21-1.28)< 0.001
> 70831.0812336.28728.42 (3.68-16.66)0.16 (0.03-0.54)< 0.001
ES/EPBD and CCY
Total393.1125360.07172.54 (0.13-12.55)0.28 (0.12-0.55)0.011
Gender
Male184.3613822.88030.00 (0.00-0.00)0.22 (0.06-0.59)0.842
Female208.7511537.20144.79 (0.24-23.63)0.35 (0.11-0.84)0.002
Age, yr
18-49113.014392.03000.00 (0.00-0.00)0.00 (0.00-0.00)NA
50-69143.378631.76156.98 (0.35-34.40)0.58 (0.21-1.28)0.004
> 70136.7312336.28020.00 (0.00-0.00)0.16 (0.03-0.54)0.882
Without intervention
Total4364.4525360.071172.52 (1.35-4.38)0.28 (0.12-0.55)< 0.001
Gender
Male2345.2213822.88632.56 (1.04-5.32)0.22 (0.06-0.59)< 0.001
Female2019.2311537.20542.48 (0.91-5.49)0.35 (0.11-0.84)< 0.001
Age, yr
18-49871.874392.03000.00 (0.00-0.00)0.00 (0.00-0.00)NA
50-691528.748631.76653.93 (1.601-8.16)0.58 (0.21-1.28)< 0.001
> 701963.8412336.28522.55 (0.93-5.64)0.16 (0.03-0.54)< 0.001
Table 3 Recurrent biliary event incidence and relationship with cholangiocarcinoma incidence among patients with choledocholithiasis underwent therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and cholecystectomy, or without intervention (excluding cholangiocarcinoma in the first 18 mo)
Variable
Number of RBE events
Number of RBE patients
RBE per person (SD)
Incidence proportion (person)
Person-years
Cholangiocarcinoma incidence rate/1000 person-years
RBEs incidence rate/1000 person-years
P value
ES/EPBD, n = 5115811261.14 (2.28)24.66%1659.707.23350.06< 0.0011
ES/EPBD and CCY, n = 10070140.70 (1.36)14.00%393.112.54178.07< 0.0011
Choledocholithiasis without intervention, n = 148512132860.82 (1.52)19.26%4364.452.52277.93Reference
Patients had cholangiocarcinoma after 18 mo, n = 2443101.79 (2.06)41.67%81.47NA527.79< 0.001
Patients without cholangiocarcinoma, n = 196318124140.92 (1.76)21.09%6320.31NA286.69Reference