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©The Author(s) 2025.
World J Hepatol. Nov 27, 2025; 17(11): 112675
Published online Nov 27, 2025. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v17.i11.112675
Table 1 Validated risk stratification models for hepatocellular carcinoma development
Model
Region
Derivation cohort
Variables included
Risk stratification cutoffs
Ref.
aMAPGlobalTreated chronic liver disease patientsAge, sex, bilirubin, albumin, platelet countLow: 0-50. Intermediate: 50-60. High: 60-100Fan et al[43], 2020
GAG-HCCHong Kong, ChinaCHB patientsAge, sex, HBV DNA level, core promoter mutations, cirrhosisLow: < 100. High: ≥ 100Yuen et al[72], 2009
CU-HCCTaiwan, China, South Korea, Hong KongNon-cirrhotic CHB patientsAge, sex, platelet count, ALT level, HBeAg statusLow: < 5. Intermediate: 5-20. High: > 20Kim et al[73], 2024
REACH-BTaiwan, ChinaUntreated non-cirrhotic CHB patientsAge, albumin, bilirubin, HBV DNA, cirrhosisLow: ≤ 5. Intermediate: 6-11. High: ≥ 12Wong et al[74], 2010
LSM-HCCHong Kong, ChinaCHB patientsLSM, age, serum albumin, HBV DNALow: < 11. High: ≥ 11Wong et al[75], 2014
mREACH-BSouth KoreaCHB patientsAge, sex, HBeAg, LSM, ALTLow: < 10. High: ≥ 10Jung et al[76], 2015
HCC-RESCUESouth KoreaCHB patients on oral antiviralsAge, sex, cirrhosisLow: < 5%. Intermediate: 5%-20%. High: ≥ 20%Sohn et al[77], 2017
AGEDChinaHBsAg-positive CHB patientsAge, sex, HBeAg status, HBV DNA levelLow: 0-4. Intermediate: 5-9. High: 10-12Fan et al[78], 2019
CAMDHong Kong, TaiwanCHB patients on ETV/TDFAge, sex, cirrhosis, diabetesLow: 0-7. Intermediate: 8-13. High: > 13Hsu et al[79], 2018
PAGE-BEuropeCaucasian CHB patients on antivirals (≥ 12 months)Age, sex, platelet countLow: ≤ 9. Intermediate: 10-17. High: ≥ 18Papatheodoridis et al[80], 2016
mPAGE-BSouth KoreaAsian CHB patients on antivirals (≥ 12 months)Age, sex, platelet count, albuminLow: 0-8. Intermediate: 9-12. High: ≥ 13Kim et al[81], 2018
REAL-BAsia-Pacific, United StatesCHB patients on antiviralsSex, age, alcohol use, diabetes, cirrhosis, platelet count, AFPLow: 0-3. Intermediate: 4-7. High: 8-13Yang et al[82], 2020
RWS-HCCSingaporeCHB patientsAge, sex, cirrhosis, AFPLow: < 4.5. Significant: ≥ 4.5Poh et al[83], 2016
THRICanadaCirrhosis patientsAge, sex, etiology, platelet countLow: < 120. Intermediate: 120-240. High: > 240Sharma et al[84], 2017
GESEgyptHCV cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis patientsAge, sex, albumin, AFP, pretreatment fibrosis stageLow: ≤ 6. Intermediate: 6-7.5. High: > 7.5Shiha et al[85], 2020
George et alUnited StatesNAFLD or ALD cirrhosis patientsAge, sex, BMI, diabetes, platelet count, albumin, AST/ALT ratioLow: 0%-1%. Intermediate: > 1%-3%. High: > 3%Ioannou et al[86], 2019
PAaMUnited StatesCirrhosis (mixed etiology)Prognostic liver secretome signature + AFP, age, male sex, ALBI, platelet countLow: < 4.318. High: ≥ 5.072Fujiwara et al[87], 2025


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