Basic Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2019.
World J Gastroenterol. Mar 21, 2019; 25(11): 1327-1340
Published online Mar 21, 2019. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v25.i11.1327
Table 3 Estimated number of total hepatitis C virus infected (viremic cases), compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma cases in 2030 and 2035 under base and hepatitis C virus elimination scenarios
2015, Base n2020, n (% change compared to 2015)2030, n (% change compared to 2015)2035, n (% change compared to base case in 2015)
Base case
Total infected132500127940 (-3.4)121460 (-8.3)117750 (-11.1)
Compensated cirrhosis1770018584 (+4.9)21100 (+19.2)21280 (+20.2)
Decompensated cirrhosis18301885 (+3.0)2160 (+18.3)2200 (+20.2)
HCC590605 (+2.5)705 (+19.4)710 (+20.3)
Liver related deaths660686 (+3.9)790 (+19.6)805 (+21.9)
WHO Global Hepatitis Strategy
Total infected107910 (-18.5)28000 (-78.8)2100 (-98.4)
Compensated cirrhosis13584 (-23.2)6480 (-63.3)1084 (-93.9)
Compensated cirrhosis1155 (-36.9)610 (-66.7)160 (-91.2)
HCC395 (-33.0)195 (-66.9)30 (-94.9)
Liver related deaths415 (-37.2)226 (-65.7)57 (-91.4)