Visuospatial memory modulates insight and its predictive value for 6-year psychosis risk in clinical high-risk individuals

Figure 2 Performance of the Cox conversion prediction model: Variable selection, discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. A: Shows bootstrap inclusion frequencies from the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox model; B: Presents time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves across 12-72 months; C and D: Show calibration plots at 3 years and 6 years, respectively. The grey dashed line represents perfect calibration; the orange line shows the apparent calibration curve; the green line shows the bias-corrected curve from bootstrap resampling; E and F: Display decision curve analyses at 3 years and 6 years, respectively. The dashed horizontal line represents the “treat-none” strategy, and the light gray solid line represents the “treat-all” strategy. LASSO: Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; z-BVMT-R: Z-score for the Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised; ROC: Receiver operating characteristic; AUC: Area under the curve.