Role of children in the Bulgarian COVID-19 epidemic: A mathematical model study

doi:10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28

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World Journal of Experimental Medicine

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2220-315x

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Baishideng Publishing Group Inc, 7041 Koll Center Parkway, Suite 160, Pleasanton, CA 94566, USA

Evidence-Based Medicine

World J Exp Med. Jun 20, 2023; 13(3): 28-46
Published online Jun 20, 2023. doi: 10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28

Table 4 Regression models with ARIMA (0,2,1) errors - Model II

Model summary
Coefficient	Estimate	Standard error
MA1	-0.4661	0.1438
Variants^a	147.7111	385.2214
Vaccines	548.6656	412.7460
0-19 L1	1.2614	0.5521
0-19 L2	1.4164	0.5521
0-19 L3	1.1012	0.6543
R²	0.962
RMSE	620.16
Bias	-16.44
MAPE	23.38

^aThis variable is not so well estimated because the newest variant has not enough data.

Citation: Tomov L, Batselova H, Lazova S, Ganev B, Tzocheva I, Velikova T. Role of children in the Bulgarian COVID-19 epidemic: A mathematical model study. World J Exp Med 2023; 13(3): 28-46
URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/2220-315X/full/v13/i3/28.htm
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.5493/wjem.v13.i3.28