Prognostic factors analysis of ultrasound-guided percutaneous puncture drainage in severe acute pancreatitis with peripancreatic fluid collection

Table 2 Univariate analysis of prognostic factors, n (%)

Variable	Good prognosis (n = 82)	Poor prognosis (n = 52)	OR (95%CI)	P value
Age ≥ 55 years	26 (31.7)	28 (53.8)	2.51 (1.23-5.12)	0.011
APACHE II score ≥ 17	22 (26.8)	38 (73.1)	7.48 (3.41-16.38)	< 0.001
CTSI ≥ 8	24 (29.3)	36 (69.2)	5.38 (2.52-11.48)	< 0.001
CRP ≥ 300 mg/L at drainage	26 (31.7)	36 (69.2)	4.82 (2.28-10.19)	< 0.001
Infected necrosis confirmed	18 (22.0)	30 (57.7)	4.73 (2.19-10.21)	< 0.001
Drainage timing > 72 hours from diagnosis	28 (34.1)	36 (69.2)	4.34 (2.03-9.27)	< 0.001
Organ failure ≥ 2 systems	14 (17.1)	30 (57.7)	6.54 (2.93-14.60)	< 0.001
Catheter size < 14 Fr	22 (26.8)	26 (50.0)	2.73 (1.30-5.74)	0.008
Collection volume ≥ 400 mL	22 (26.8)	30 (57.7)	3.68 (1.73-7.82)	< 0.001
Walled-off necrosis type	30 (36.6)	32 (61.5)	2.76 (1.34-5.70)	0.006
Serum albumin < 30 g/L	18 (22.0)	26 (50.0)	3.49 (1.62-7.53)	0.001

Variables with P < 0.10 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression. OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence interval; APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; CRP: C-reactive protein; CTSI: Computed tomography severity index.