MH-STRALP: A scoring system for prognostication in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

Table 2 Logistic regression analysis for the prognostic factors of upper gastrointestinal bleeding

	Univariate Logistic analysis			Multivariate Logistic stepwise forward analysis
	OR	P value	95%CI	OR	z value	P value	95%CI
Age	1.017	0.010	1.004-1.030
Weight	0.974	0.004	0.957-0.992
BMI	0.916	0.002	0.866-0.968
Previous UGIB history	1.550	0.036	1.028-2.337
Liver disease	2.677	< 0.001	1.718-4.173
Cirrhosis	4.341	< 0.001	2.713-6.945
Autoimmune diseases	4.798	0.042	1.060-21.715
Cerebral infarction	2.123	0.006	1.247-3.612
Stroke	2.030	0.008	1.207-3.416	1.710	1.45	0.148	0.826-3.540
Liver failure	5.036	< 0.001	3.149-8.052	2.370	2.66	0.008	1.254-4.480
Hematemesis	3.293	< 0.001	2.177-4.980
Black stool	0.537	0.005	0.349-0.827
Palpitation	2.958	< 0.001	1.961-4.462
Amaurosis	1.892	0.030	1.063-3.366
Sweat	1.969	0.002	1.284-3.020
Altered mental status	4.798	0.042	1.060-21.715
Systolic blood pressure	0.986	0.006	0.976-0.996
Diastolic blood pressure	0.959	< 0.001	0.942-0.976
Pulse	1.044	< 0.001	1.031-1.057	1.039	4.73	< 0.001	1.023-1.055
Anemia appearance	3.971	< 0.001	2.560-6.161
Neutrophil count	1.061	0.010	1.014-1.110
Lymphocyte count	0.647	< 0.001	0.509-0.823
RBC	0.436	< 0.001	0.341-0.557
MCV	0.969	0.007	0.947-0.991
HCT	0.901	< 0.001	0.876-0.927
Hemoglobin	0.972	< 0.001	0.964-0.980
CRP	1.009	0.007	1.002-1.015
Fibrinogen	0.768	0.013	0.624-0.947
D-dimer	1.081	0.006	1.023-1.142
Albumin	0.814	< 0.001	0.780-0.851	0.912	-3.37	0.001	0.864-0.962
Ferritin	1.001	0.004	1.000-1.001
Blood transfusion	12.305	< 0.001	7.849-19.290	4.387	5.00	< 0.001	2.458-7.831
Somatostatin and its analogs	4.870	< 0.001	2.477-9.572
Peptic ulcer	0.225	< 0.001	0.150-0.339
UGIC	3.165	< 0.001	1.761-5.690	3.795	3.32	0.001	1.727-8.337
EGVB	5.426	< 0.001	3.373-8.729
Dark spots	2.082	0.036	1.049-4.132
Bleeding	4.139	< 0.001	2.721-6.297
Adherent thrombosis	4.992	< 0.001	3.278-7.604
Visible vessels	4.039	< 0.001	2.682-6.083
Lesion diameter ≥ 2 cm	2.609	0.001	1.492-4.559
SRH	6.916	< 0.001	4.219-11.336	4.089	4.43	<0.001	2.192-7.626
Rebleeding	7.417	< 0.001	3.794-14.500	2.071	1.69	0.090	0.892-4.809

BMI: Body mass index; UGIB: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding; RBC: Red blood cell; MCV: Mean corpuscular volume; HCT: Hematocrit; CRP: C reactive protein; UGIC: Upper gastrointestinal carcinoma; EGVB: Esophageal and gastric variceal bleeding; SRH: Stigmata of recent hemorrhage.